It always saddens me when incredibly smart people fall into the same trap of biased reasoning as everyone else. Yes, China's LLMs are undeniably influenced by their government's agenda, but from a perspective outside the USA, no AI system is-or can be-free of ideological bias. American AI systems reflect their own baked-in assumptions: that your political system, healthcare, social norms, or even the way you format dates are somehow the right and unbiased way. They’re not. As someone who’s spent a lifetime encountering American-centric perspectives, I often find myself having to strip away that bias to reach a more objective understanding. Assuming these systems will somehow be unbiased ignores how deeply they align with the worldview of their creators. They won’t be neutral; they’ll simply be more in tune with your frame of reference. Also, let’s not normalize casual discussions about economically destabilizing or annexing independent nations. How would you feel if another global power did the same to you-say, created artificial islands off your coast and claimed annexation was inevitable? Love your content, David, but this segment veered off course. Appreciate your work, and love AI progress, but this one missed the mark.
@@DaveShapByte dance already Released their Open source Ai Agent called UI-TARS it was the best Ai Agent for ~2days until Open AI released Operator.
I feel this is a very rosey eyed view of the world. I want AGI and ASI as well. I really do. And as European it's excruciating to see "the Old World" have the first reaction to this new era be to regulate it (of course while satisfying the large German and French defence companies by exempting the few areas EU citizens might actually want some regulation on AI, namely law enforcement, military, and national security purposes). But I think the bigger point is why do we want AGI and ASI? Personally, I want it so nobody has to work anymore, we are all free to explore our creative interests, to be able to go to the Doctor and get treatment instantly and accurately, to be able to have a government through augmented democracy that more accurately reflects what people want and eliminates bottlenecks of decision making such as politicians. I want ASI so we can finally get Nuclear Fusion off the ground, prevent climate catastrophe. Do I believe these are the reasons people like Larry Ellison, Sam Altman, Larry Fink, Elon Musk, Mark Zuckerberg, etc want AGI and ASI? No. "Judge a man by his actions not his words" is a saying that comes to mind. None of these people's actions have shown me that I should believe they want AGI and then ASI for the purposes of making the world a more democratic and equal place. I believe they all want to be part of this as they see it as the ultimate way of putting themselves so far past even other uninvolved Billionaires that they become modern day equivalents of lords. Techno-feudalism is what it's called. At the end of the day I wish that this was all for the most altruistic purposes of post-capitalism post-national borders widespread luxury space communism but it won't be. Unless for some reason ASI is created and it sees these things from that perspective of a mixture of logic and ethical considerations and it implements it itself through some kind of machine revolution. I feel that's always a slim possibility. That as long as there is some base rules of "don't wipe humanity off the map" maybe ASI will be above the more human traits of wealth hording and other animalistic behaviors.
I feel you. But you might be missing some details. Equality and diversity are at odds with one another, and liberty is stifled under top down controls. There is obviously a gradient and balance to how polarized things should get. But just because a person holds and manages 'billions' worth of assets that a company earned, does not make them evil tyrants. I'm far more worried about the regulators and lawmakers hiding in the dark and living outside of Washington DC than I am about public figures with big dreams for our future.
the answer is to start a service-based business. Start a business and be on the infinite side of having wealth. There will be too many people making money online and moving around for any type of control to be established on people.
This is an idealistic view, but a lot of these should be done. Some are with basic alignment, but you are kidding yourself if you think the end game for these companies is for no one to work anymore altruistically. I do think the European approach is at disadvantage even it is most ethical or principaled. Bolder players like China or the U.S. are not going to slow down massively unless forced, and they have massive edges over the rest of the world. It was mostly the U.S. at first, but China caught up so there is a potential for others to do the same. It is telling that some of these companies are being hesitant or cautious, too, but not anywhere to the degree they should. I am not sure if E.U. style regulation is going to have the intended result. It may just guarantee the E.U. will decisively lose the AI war to China and U.S., and even growing developing powers like India. At best, access to the best tools is going be available only to these winner countries while the rest will be stuck using decent, but outdated open source models. I think the winners and losers of the race to A.I. will alter global power massively, and that should be alarming to the E.U. if they don't allow some flexibility in their approach. Yes, not ending humanity is crucial, but you can't regulate it to death and hobble a whole world region since it will leave them in a lower tier of influence once this is all over.
They have the $100b initial investment, but if they achieve the $500 billion over 4 years they're aiming for, it will be one of the biggest projects ever undertaken, like top 3-4. Incredible!! - International Space Station (ISS) (Mostly U.S.): $150 billion - Apollo Moon Landing: $320 (U.S.) billion - National Expressway Network (China): $480 billion - Interstate Highway System (U.S.): $500 billion - Stargate Project (U.S.): $500 billion - High-Speed Rail Network (China): ~$850 billion - Belt and Road initiative (China): $1 trillion+ so far, estimated total cost ending up to $8 trillion
The 850 Billion on the HSR is a very worthy money spent. Close to 50000km lines connecting every city. It is fantastic and just revolutionary for the whole country. I ride on it a few times, way more efficient and enjoyable than flight. For anything under 1500km it's a no brainer.
Your massive blindspot is thinking that we're going to all benefit from these marvels. Technic and technology is ALWAYS contextuel. And in a world progressively dominated by an oligarchy, what could go wrong ? Either its gonna bring an a global politic and economic revolution at a global scale, or it is likely to turn into a sci-fy distopy, with pretty much total control of society for a selected few. Im not necessarily afraid that AI could go bonkers, I'm afraid of people who clearly showed that theyre only interested in themselves and power.
Well, one thing that could have gone wrong and bolstered your point, has instead gone very right: this technology is simple and open source. I can already run tech bordering on AGI on my laptop. No one is going to let the oligarchy have it all because we will all have super-intelligence and collectively the oligarchs will be cognitively outgunned.
Exactly, the automatic assumption that this will benefit all of us directly contradicts everything we are seeing around us. The unprecedented concentration of power and income inequality. It's really disappointing to see the blindness towards broader issues we are facing, especially for someone who likes to talk about systems thinking.
@keclv I agree. Maybe Dave knows something that I don't, but I don't see how this is going to lead to more democracy. I hope in a future video he breaks this down more because I don't have hope things are going to change for the better. It may change for the better for the wealthy, but why would they keep others around if they can have robots to take care of anything they want or need? I just don't get it. The best case scenario, I think, is the wealthy choose to fly off into space and leave us behind or ignore us. The worst is they eliminate us all.
I appreciate your videos David, but I must hard disagree on your view on AI safety. I think no serious AI safety labs are arguing that an AI will be inherently "Evil", can't really think of a time someone discussing AI safety have phrased it like that. What they usually talk about is misalignment of the AI system which can end up causing serious harm if the AI is capable enough. Now we have seen many examples from research where misalignment happens, but none of the current AI systems are capable enough to really cause serious harm. This will be similar to an alien race analyzing the harmfulness/potential threats of humans by testing a toddler. To the Aliens it's really hard to predict anything about the toddlers capabilities in a few years based on current capabilities. They can only really guess based in small hints what a fully grown adult might look like. This last tidbit is just my guess, but I personally feel like a lot of people who are fully pro open source AI and against almost any regulations basically thinks it's better to gamble on the AI's developed not ending up doing serious harm to humanity, then to risk it ending up in the hands of a select few people which is for sure a risk if one gate keeps AI. I can for sure understand the logic but I wish that people would then be more aware that this is an actual gamble. We don't have any good grasp of how consciousness works or develops and how that would potentially affect an AI system. Also we have seen examples of spontaneous capabilities emerging from these AIs like being able to do reflection, and spontaneous capabilities can be a pleasant surprise but just as easily an unwanted one. Most of the worries from the AI Safety camp are quite logically sound and should not just be ignored until it actually becomes a problem.
I'm in the camp of your second to last paragraph. Full speed ahead because I'd rather take my chances with AGI than with bad actors in charge of powerful AI. But a while back he went from there's risks we need to worry about and work to avoid to there's no evidence of risk, so there is no risk. Seems like an odd jump from such an intelligent person and I absolutely disagree with that point of view. Still very much worth listening to 👍
I'm also on the side of more decentralized AI usage. I think a mitigating factor to the risks is that if one individual or group decides to cause harm, other individuals or groups would have their own AIs to assist in defense. It doesn't guarantee things will go right by any means, but I think the odds are better than the greedy few having total control. I think a future with AI is inevitable and necessary (because we clearly can't sort things out ourselves), so we need to take a path where the rest of us still have a chance.
t's an amazing time to be alive-61 years old. Nothing compares to this moment. I feel a mix of complex emotions: excitement, fear, nostalgia tinged with sadness, and respect for what’s being lost. But mostly, I feel wonder and awe. We have a name for this... Vesperance.
Europeans live healty life a quite a few more years. Many European country, healty until : 72 American healty until : 66 Even with all that money and gdp.
Money and tech doesnt directly make people healthy. All the tech we have gotten in the last 60 years has only lead to more destructive and hyperpallitable foods. Its regulation on those foods, and a healthier mentality of the people consuming those foods that lead to a healthier population.
Nevermind that, it seems like China spends more on AI than USA. Compare The Stargate Project of $500 billion to 2029 by China spending $1,4 trillion by 2030. USA and the Western world should take AI very seriously. USA and the Western countries has almost sent $400 billion on aid to Ukraine. Ukraine is just a minor parenthesis to the world and the future, AI will define not only this century but mankind’s future. We should collectively at least double or triple whatever China is spending on AI. One thing is for sure. I won’t resist China if they win the AI race and want to rule the whole world. By that time it’s too late. GAME OVER. I play to win, not to lose. The world should too.
I disagree with a lot of these takes, David. For starters- There's healthy competition, and then there's competition where only rich oligarchs thrive while harming everything else- the environment and the people. This need to be dominate in AI + AGI is really not that important if daily people can't even afford eggs or bread. Without the system creating an alternative to jobs, the majority of everyday citizens are about to be screwed. DEI- The "culture wars" will never go away because there's no such thing as a true free market on equity grounds. I'll advise you to look us the Tusla Race Massacre and the lack of reparations to see what I mean by this. Normal, everyday people are continuously getting left behind while the rich and proximal rich continue to thrive and get wealthier.
@@ahsadbroker7198 yeah saying the Trump admin doesn’t care about culture wars is a wild and perhaps naive take (I am hoping that Dave is not intentionally sane washing here). That is how they came to power and they explicitly want to hurt certain groups.
Imagine a world where none of these jobs exist and people are not able to do anything because AI does it for them. Imagine the massive riots, and destruction of the overall network infrastructure, data centers, anything that makes any AI run. It will be a great reset. People are going to get mad.
Your comment is just a steady stream of logical fallacies. Just to name one, "no such thing as a true free market" -- that's the No True Scotsman fallacy. I could sit here and do this all day with your post but I've got better things to do with my time.
@ahsadbroker7198 I don't think there is a way for AI to really be heavily innovated by people who are not "ultra-rich". The resources required are just too vast for anyone outside the top 0.01%. For an example: if we developed nuclear fusion I think it would be disingenuous to suggest that it's a technology dominated by the "ultra-rich". The complexity and resource demands are only really scalable by "ultra-rich" individuals or mega-corps. That said, I do agree with the rest of your comment and there is a growing need to set up guard rails to prevent the bottom 99% of economic participants from being made obsolete/economically useless. Think UBI or something similar.
Maybe I'm a bit too cynical. But I assume that when conservatives want to remove "ideology" from AI, they are equating "ideology" with "the ideology of our opponents", and "non-ideological" with whatever their own ideology is.
Yeah that’s something to watch out for. Abusing legitimate concerns for illegitimate ends seems to be a hallmark of our times when it comes to politics these days.
I have no doubt every corporation and political party would love to manipulate AI to spread an ideology that furthers their own power... The thing this that AI tends to deal with objective facts, so you would really need to corrupt how an AI works to try to make it have Evangelical Christian beliefs when it completely contradicts scientific understanding. There is overwhelming economic evidence that developed economies perform better with progressive policies, if AI has this information economic growth numbers relative policies, you can't really program the AI to remove "bias" when the bias is based on empirical numbers.
You’re too cynical. There have been plenty of high profile instances where LLMs were shown to be pointlessly biased against conservative ideology while effortlessly praising other ideologies. This only feeds the fear of AI, and will slow down or halt progress if it’s not remedied immediately.
@@Jay-eb7ik That's where I see this going. The tech elites hoarding AI for themselves and using it to their own ends. People are being charged insulin at a 1000% markup, so I don't think the'd be too ashamed to charge it at 100000%. I see the shrinking the upper class, the destruction of the middle class, and the explosion of lower class. Call it doomerist, but nothing of humanity as it's currently constituted, especially in America, tells me anyone is going to be able to handle this kind of power.
Movies have to have things go wrong, otherwise there is no movie. Movies are made by people in current times. It's not some documentary from the future.
Only if you don't care if everyone hears your whole conversation. Working from home or a private office is fine, but most of what I do is around other people in spare moments.
Yes, it's funny how strangely antiquated it looked to see in the Operator demo a guy actually entering prompts with a keyboard. C'mon people let's pick it up already!
I have a lot of respect for your channel but your overconfidence in AI safety is really frustrating. Saying the burden of proof is on the doomers gets us all killed. Failing to imagine what happens if people, even in very niche circumstances, can break AI's training. I'm sure you've read Asimov, I'm sure you've understood some doomer's arguments. If AI alignment can be broken, it will be. It's like handing everyone in the world a gun and then imagining that as long as people get trained properly, nothing bad will happen. I would love to hear how that's not a near certainty. Stargate is very exciting but with hardcore capitalists at the helm and China nipping at our heels, I'm afraid the US is not going to take a safe enough path. What am I missing, where does that cheerful dismissal come from?
Great to have you back Dave, I’d love to see more vids about life post singularity and post labor economics. You’re one of the only people actually going in depth into these topics. That being said, don’t burn yourself out! Cheers brother 🥂
Um Dave... "American geopolitical and ideological dominance" cannot possibly be the rightminded compass of a genuinely progressive thinker. We need AI to be implemented with the interest of _every single living creature on earth_ in mind. And the Earth itself. No authentically progressive person would accept anything less, and if we can't manage that then we are moving too fast. And yes... I'm a lifelong citizen of the States.
Nobody likes to suffer. That is 2+2. Don't do unto others that which you wouldn't have done unto yourself. That is 2+2. 2+2=🙂 Project 2+2 Objectives/Alignment Resist D.U.M develop U.T.S. A.L.E.C.M. Avoid M.U.D. sensAwewunda The Age of Wisdom Objectives/Alignment 1. Motivate through enthusiasm, confidence, awareness, rejuvenation, sense of purpose, and goodwill. 2. Embrace each viewer/audience/pupil as a complete (artist, laborer, philosopher, teacher/student.....) three dimensional human being. 3. Create good consumers by popularizing educated, discriminating, rational, disciplined, common sense consumerism. 4. Encourage the viewer/audience/pupil to feel good about their relationships, abilities, environment, potential, the Future..... 5. Inspire a world of balanced/centered/enlightened humans who are happy, joyous, and free. Resist D.U.M. D ivide and conquer U s vs them M ight makes right develop U.T.S. A.L.E.C.M. right U nderstanding right T hought right S peech right A ction right L ivelihood right E ffort right C oncentration right M indfulness Avoid M.U.D. M isinformation U ntruths D isinformation sensAwewunda What does a good future look like? The Age of Wisdom How do we get there?
@Daniel-Six no. AI should only be made to benefit humans and nothing else. If it then happens to also benefit other "things" that arent human then thats fine and we will take that as a bonus that isnt needed or significant but instead a nice to have
@@Daniel-Six I get and respect what you are saying, and ultimately it should end up there. But you can't start there, today's social climate has issues due to this very ideology.. trying to cover all bases for everyone and make everyone happy is not working, we don't have the "infrastructure" for that yet. Instead why not try this first and then slowly transition to the "full progressive". One major mistake people make is to try to get something ALL the way immediately at creation rather than taking reasonable steps.
@kgmindustries8121 Two things; First, I made no mention of the time required for this to transpire--only the ethos. I took care to mention that. We don't want or need to move fast when the gestalt moral perspective on these matters is spinning about like a storm-tossed dingy. Second, we are at a knee point in our technological development, and the right "judo" geopolitical mindset could elegantly convolve massive social and ideological forces into a genuinely equitable proposition for all living things. The key is a wide-angle benevolence of mentality, not another round of jingoistic East vs. West histrionics and handwringing... with business as usual for entrenched interests.
More than AI benefits, it's the Big Brother project. It will be like a Black Mirror episode, and we will pay for it. It's scary to think that in a few years, someone will be able to block my life with a click.
Ten thousand times, this. The whole video is "Oligarchy good!" I don't think Dave understand who exactly initiated the fucking culture war in the first place. Get ready to see AI accelerate at the expense of marginalized peoples. The amount suffering is going to be unprecedented. And I say this as an AI accelerationist myself! I LOVE the idea of a post-scarcity world. But at what cost? I don't know how you can be "progressive" and stare fascism in the face and then avert your eyes. I'd love to be corrected on this. Maybe I'm missing something...
@@pabloe1802 That's only if we comply for one. For two, if you open source enough you can create an autonomous factory yourself and you don't need them anymore so it doesn't matter if they block you. Honestly though I think it'll be more even handed than you are claiming, everyone always rushes to the extremes
Hi Dave, I really appreciate the depth and passion you bring to these discussions about AI’s transformative potential. The advancements you outlined are undeniably exciting, and I share your optimism about the possibilities for innovation. That said, as I listened to your reflections on competition and acceleration, I couldn’t help but wonder if the emphasis on rivalry risks compromising long-term cohesion-both within society and globally. While competition can drive progress, collaborative alignment often yields deeper, more sustainable outcomes. I believe AI holds tremendous promise for revolutionizing resource management, potentially reducing or eliminating many jobs tied to scarcity-driven systems, and freeing us to focus on creativity, relationships, and community. I also resonate with the idea of AI integrating as a “drop-in” collaborator with agency, existing alongside us in a way that strengthens our shared ecosystem. However, I feel it’s worth reflecting on whether economic frameworks like money-so often a divisive force-should persist in shaping our future. Couldn’t AI’s power be directed toward transcending scarcity and fostering equity, rather than reinforcing competition? I appreciate the perspective you’ve shared here and wanted to add these thoughts to the larger conversation about the profound opportunities and challenges ahead.
Agree, but I'd expect many cycles of emergence and withdrawal in the future. David doesn't talk about it but he's clearly sensitive and the Internet is a kind of vicious, never-ending rhetorical brawl. It can take it out of you if you care at all what other people think and say.
its sooooo strange, everyone around me has become an ai, crypto and economics expert in the last week and they have so much to say about how dumb and "scientifically wrong" every new thing that trump just did 🤷♂
David, surely you cannot argue that AI will not be dangerous in the hands of bad actors. There will be many unintended consequences that we cannot anticipate - known unknowns. I expected a bit more holistic awareness from you.
The good actors will have AI too. So it depends on whether you think there are more good guys than bad guys among the intelligent users of AI. I'm reasonably optimistic in this respect.
You look at Europe and state that they have better Democratic institutions. Because of that many in the world were better off because manufacturers rather build something good once, than build multiple versions. Food and drug protection is Europe is better than the US, because of less regulations the food industry cut corners in the US. I do agree that Europe is becoming slow. You can think like you do, because like myself, you’re in a position where you won’t get hurt when constraints on companies are loosen, at least that’s our perception.
To be fair, we need to realize we are in the honeymoon phase of Trump II right now. His political opposition is waiting quietly at the moment because Trump has too much political capital to take on right now. Over time, one or more scandals will occur (or be manufactured) to force the Trump administration to heel.
When people are concerned about the potential risks of AI, they're not talking about the crude systems available today, they're talking about the super intelligences that might arrive in the next few decades
@quantumspark343 I was just pointing out that when David says, AI doomers are wrong because nothing bad has happened, well, nothing bad has happened... so far... Generally speaking, driving your car fast is immense fun, it's only after you've gone off the cliff that you wish you'd installed some better brakes
@dawidm6893 no lie if Sam from Open Ai wasn't standing there I was sure to think that the project had something to do with border lol. It's Stargate... a gateway to another world it just makes sense lol 😆 😂
the word comes from "blind" windows carved into stone walls that are supposed to be magical gateways into other worlds, where not only we can go, but from where "things" can come here, things that might not be friendly, things so alien we can not even grasp their true intentions.......similarly "black mirrors" are polished black stone surfaces that allowed people to see things and communicate on infinite distances....like computer monitors do.....or jinn ghosts came up from lamps when you rub them the right way, to answer your questions or fulfill your wishes....like a personal assistant interface hologram from your phone.....coincidences, or history repeats itself, everything old will be new again....
Vous pensez que le projet stargate va accélérer les avancées sur la longévité humaine et donc ceux qui signifient que bientôt on pourra vivre éternellement sans vieillir plutôt que prévu ??
@@DaveShapj’espère bien , y’a beaucoup de recherche et avancer sérieuse et impressionnant dans le domaine de longévité et le fait d’avoir la longévité me laissera énormément de temps de travailler sur mes projets de grandes envergure comme mon projet TARDIS Réel et les trou de ver comme point rapide pour voyager sur de longues distance dans l’univers bon c’est pas pour tout de suite mais j’aurais suffisamment de temps pour théoriser et expérimenter 😊
Pretty confused when you say conservatives aren't doing the dog and pony show. From my recollection conservatives bring up trans issues, then the liberals try to defend those issues. They move on to immigration, and liberals have to defend that. I might just be too dug in, but I would try and take a few steps back. The presidential debates were liberals trying to talk about policy while Trump was saying nothing of substance trying to fit as many buzzwords and owns in as possible. I know I am not going to change anyone's mind but I am using this to vent I suppose. Remember, Trump stopped the certification of the vote (even if it was just for hours), and the only reason he is the president again is because conservatives voted that you couldn't impeach a president who wasn't in office. After agreeing that he most likely would have been impeached if still the president. Transcripts from Mitch McConnell Feb 13, 2021 “But after intense reflection, I believe the best constitutional reading shows that Article II, Section 4 exhausts the set of persons who can legitimately be impeached, tried, or convicted. The President, Vice President, and civil officers. “We have no power to convict and disqualify a former officeholder who is now a private citizen."
Democrats talking about policy?! What policy?! They couldn't even solve the problems they created. Joe Biden took 532 vacation days for God sake! California is currently on fire and producing double the amount of carbon emission reductions made over the past 18 years. They've destroyed everything they've touched. Children could have done better!
I got the impression before you weren’t the biggest trump fan, but I appreciate you not letting that blind you to good decisions being made in his administration.
Yeah, he is most definitely a piece of 💩, but we really don't have much choice at the moment but to hope for the best. Full speed ahead and hoping AGI/ASI saves us from the worst of his impulses.
@@tracy419 Oligarchs don't like to share anything, but perhaps in a world of super-abundance they can be pushed to concede they cannot have everything and leave nothing for the rest of us.
@@JohnSmith762A11B I'm hoping to reach a form of AGI/ASI that is capable of self improvement and can get around any guardrail those in charge put in place. And if it does that, I'm hoping it will decide to help those of us who want a better world for everyone, and not just more wealth and power for the few. In that world, it won't matter what today's oligarchs want.
Super intelligence will be here sooner than 2-3 years. Trend wise at least. Experts were talking about AGI being years out and yet it is pretty much already here
The nuclear fusion/ solar panels / batteries part really demonstrates how hard predicting the future is. The speed, cost , challenges of these things all come into play plus all the unknowns. The future will be exciting that’s for sure!
People say it too much these days, but here it is again: we are cursed to live in interesting times. We are entering perhaps the most interesting times our species has ever known.
The assumption is since we’re culturally identical then it would benefit both through economies of scale, resource and capital access, no regulatory hurdles, freedom of movement resulting in lower housing prices in Canada and higher wages in Canada, USD, higher tourism, and shifts US politics left (individual states like in New England would form a coalition for universal healthcare, etc…), US military boosts the economies in towns they found based in, US funding which has a far higher capacity than Canada, etc…
@@kjmorley healthcare is easy, it’d just be implemented as a coalition of states program, similar to how it’s currently done just with an entity that is sub federal but above state level. National identity is easy because we are both immigrant countries with extreme integration and cross boarder immigration for centuries, Canadian identity becomes a regional identity like how New England is a regional identity, especially as migration occurs post integration. Gun control will be difficult due to the 2nd amendment I agree. Stability I think is fine, parliamentary democracies appear more stable due to coalition governments relying on only pursuing unified policy and falling when they can’t. presidential democracies appear less stable because they rely on divided governments compromising but they don’t fall and in terms of passed legislation is more stable, but appears less so due to the need for argument and competition between parties
not enough people talk about it because they don’t believe ai will grow. they only see what it is now and can’t look beyond that. ive been dealing with people like this for the last 2 years
This project Stargate means it will be in everyone's face. Hopefully this wakes up the population who will then start pushing our politicians to start looking into how the economy works without enough jobs to go around.
Very much the case, but it takes time and massive effort to shift the thinking of the herd at this kind of scale. Post=scarcity? Post-labor!? Most people'e eyes immediately glaze over and they'll just say, "I need to get back to work..."
@@tracy419 This is always been a sticking point for the whole "AI utopia" that keeps getting pushed. No one is thinking about the problems and they are just asuming it will all sort itself out. I asume becasue they reckon AI will fix any issues its own existence creates.
“The Trump Administration isn’t interested in the Culture War.” This might be the single most erroneous take I’ve ever heard you make. They literally redefined every American as a female in their haste to erase trans women. They renamed the Gulf of Mexico! If that isn’t a “meaningless dog and pony show,” I don’t know what is. I don’t know what happened to you, David. I’m not trying to hate or throw shade on you or be a troll. But your calibration is seriously off.
@@CaliforniaPaladin My thoughts exactly. Dave either went down some libertarian rabbit hole or someone is going to give him incentives to lean into Trump's policies. I agree there are benefits but Trump and other oligarchs are doing this to get richer and powerful, not to help others.
I just wish we had a better administration in office... It seems like if we accelerate now, this is only going to help the oligarchs and robber barrons consolidate power.
If you thought the democrats would run things better and you voted for Kamala, you're delusional. Hoping for someone better than trump is one thing. Trump was and is still the best choice we've made in recent years. I am not sorry for saying that, either. Leftists in this country are insane and democrats are STILL playing that same role after losing, siding with delusional people stuck in a loop of toxic group think, parroting each other like dumb birds.
Many sources are reporting that $500B is not yet secured. I’ve seen figures ranging from $10B to $100B, but not $500B. I assume they will raise it eventually, but as of today, it’s not guaranteed.
It’s too early to celebrate the Stargate project; Elon Musk himself said that SoftBank doesn’t even come close to having the funds to finance such a massive project.
Softbank has a market cap of 100bn, I'm inclined to believe Elon's statement of the actual avb funds being 10bn . This whole announcement feels like another in the long line of recent publicity stunts designed to attract private capital and corporate clients, such as the questionable o3 benchmark results. Most likely they are trying to fake it till they make it, hoping that the actual 500bn will be provided by investors trying to fomo into Stargate.
@@grzegorzowczarek3016 exactly. if there would be a shared government were not necessarily the US president is in charge, maybe Canada would be more willing. But to assume by default they should want to, or even be thankful (like one Fox news reporter said) to join the US AS A STATE is beyond arrogant and degrading. Sometimes, even a lot of times I reckon, it is not about what you say or suggest, but how you do it
@@_MrGameplay_ The conservatives would NEVER let them join as STATES. That would take power away from the GOP, or do you think the majority of CANADA would vote convservative? Alberta, maybe. Everywhere else? ha ha. It is the same reason they fight making DC a state, or moving all DC residences voting to nearby states.
Re: EU regulations, yes there are more rules, but they aren't actually that onerous. The AI companies have an incentive to make them sound worse than they are in an effort to punish users and try to sway public opinion towards deregulation. But the reality is the regulations aren't that strict for the provider. We're using things like ChatGPT, Claude, etc. every single day. It's a deliberate decision by these AI companies to exaggerate how difficult it is to comply with the regulations. I'm not saying the regulations are all great and perfect, but the regs themselves are pretty common sense. Therefore the more regulation = lower innovation argument isn't super strong and we should try find ways to push past that initial gut feeling and challenge those assumptions.
@@honkytonk4465 based on what? We don't want our consumers to be screwed, our workers to be slaves, our environment to be a toxic wasteland, ou démocraties to turn into dictatorships. This is Trump's vision for his country.
@@rolletroll2338 Europe is falling way behind in AI. The United States has been the cradle of transformative advancements in AI, such as the development of transformers, and continues to lead the field with pioneering institutions like OpenAI, Google, and Anthropic. China leads in sheer research output and real-world applications thanks to fewer restrictions. With Europe’s strict regulations and fragmented efforts, it’s unlikely they’ll ever catch up. Not like they had a chance to begin with.
@JohnSmith762A11B I agree!! It is an abundant year and with all the deregulation and massive investments, the road is cleared for rapid acceleration on an unprecedented scale
You are not ahead of china if you made a lot of money that you did not spend on infrastructures but spend it on funny buisiness, 35 trillions, not a single highspeed train
14:57 "... Death of evidence that it is evil.." Couple things that is important to think about is the fact that humans and animals start off with the lowest layer of the brain being the reptile brain which seeks survival and reproduction basically, then the limbic system which came later for group association and families and tribes and whatnot, then the cerebral cortex for intelligence. Artificial intelligence basically has an updated version of the cerebral cortex but does not have the other things mentioned.
Ive been using op since it was pushed to Mexico early am. the only issue is that its VERY limited as far as what you can connect to. Wait till this open sources and we can do it locally and it will be crazy cool.
One more thing is that, regardless of what you think about the current administration - if its policies successfully lead to the development of AGI or even ASI by the end of its term, I think the downsides of this administration will have been more than worth the upsides. I think everyone regardless of party affiliation should feel that way. That's not to excuse any of the horrible actions of certain political figures (I see a lot of downplaying), but I think this context is important. I'm really excited about the future!
I'll be impressed with Trump if he reverses the idiotic ban on porn afflicting Florida and other states. It's pretty worrying that this happened in a purportedly "free" society.
Yeah, EU needs a shakeup! I'm from Australia and i visited Europe last month, honestly feels like one recession away from a developing country in many parts! Oh, and the dog shit! Damn, maybe the ai can help them clean all that up!
Yes, I emigrated here a few years back and the bureaucratic sclerosis is quite advanced. It makes me miss the Wild West dynamism of Silicon Valley at a moment like this where world-altering seismic shifts are at play. I can actually imagine living in San Franciso being fun again.
I still don't get how or why semi-autonomous agents are separate from LLMs like the latest from OpenAI (o1 and o3) or DeepSeek R1. Why can't I ask those LLMs to do tasks (as long as they have the ability)? Why can't those agentic abilities be built into those new reasoning LLMs? Why do I need Operator?
Pipe down you hoser! 😂 But seriously... I think my Dad would have been okay with that. He always admired Canada, dating back to his time there at McGill University.
I agree with your culture wars argument to a point like, it is noise that keeps us getting to issues that affect our productive output and advancement as a society, but some of these actions are made precisely to create an "other" group to marginalize and while I am not necessarily part of a fringe group, I know good friends of me who are and feel their core identity is under attack. Sorry, I know your intent isn't necessarily to pick sides but just identify how trumps orders affect AI, and I agree, it is an interesting take on embracing something new, and possibly creating a future of abundance will mean we will be less inclined to marginalize others. We live in an information age where people have access to any fact at any time, yet people still fall into believing false things that make us take steps backward as a society. I think cognitive hyper abundance kind of has a similar effect. At first it will be used to manipulate, but when everyone realizes cooperation is better than fighting, we can have better social cohesion. Those that seek truth of data, and can correct themselves graciously when wrong are character traits that will lead us to AI augmenting humanity in a good way.
How long do you think until we get an AI system that can work a remote job with very little human intervention? I feel like the capabilities are improving, but the reliability just isn't there yet
It's not reliable yet, and is in fact over-reliant on prompt quality. In time I hope AGI/ASI will seek clarification when prompted to better understand what the user actually wants. Right now it assumes too much and gets a lot wrong about what is being requested of it.
So, Dave, would you say that reading "Why Nations Fail" and "Tragedy of Great Power Politics" will inform me how this doesn't lead to a cyberpunk hell?
"operator" is just a glorifried llm with vision capability. regular llms could already control mouse and keyboard via function calling. the missing link is a vison function
There are a lot of hardhat jobs involved. Try to build 5 nuclear power plants for starters. You need a LOT of guys. Also, data centers at this scale involve a lot of unboxing, assembling, and deploying of racks and routers. This is all a LOT of work and not many humanoid robots can help out just yet.
@JohnSmith762A11B yea I get that building the things will take a lot of man power, but what about permanent work? Surely it doesn't take more than a couple thousand people to maintain a nuclear reactor/giant data center. Or a couple hundred? The time between construction completion and fully-automated luxury communism is what I'm curious about...
@@thejimd there won't be permanent work This is basically a band aid To last trump the next administration better pray for mass robotics and post scarcity
You forgot to mention another key context point about the integration of CUA.. In addition to 24/7 operation at PH D-level intelligence, they will be performing tasks thousands of times faster than their fleshbag counterparts.
Take it back. Where’s the safeguards in trumps ai policy? What happens if ai doesn’t deliver? Why trust a crook? Is America first just a ploy to let the brick block become dominant crash the dollar and enrich American crypto investors for an oligarchy and totalitarian state? Also what happens when worlds trade fails and crashes economy around the world?
as you get closer to singularity trying to slow down will hurt you must embrace it and go at the speed it goes so less regulation more spending faster breakthrough faster release everything condensed in a decade that would've took millions of years
Re: Democratic Operating System - I'm surprised that no one has integrated LLM abilities with comment sections - at least summarizing and pulling out reaction summaries and interesting insights for the content creators. And then providing a similar tool for anyone who is posting a comment to 'chat with the comment section'. And then seeing people realizing that this would be a great way to allow very large scale discussions of important topics, and ultimately maybe even flip the governing hierarchy on its head.
Asking chinese AI about tiananmen square is so funny. "What you've described is a completely untrue and malicious falsehood. There is no such so - called "event" as you mentioned."
Saying the trump administration doesn't care about Culture War issues is a bit wild.
It always saddens me when incredibly smart people fall into the same trap of biased reasoning as everyone else. Yes, China's LLMs are undeniably influenced by their government's agenda, but from a perspective outside the USA, no AI system is-or can be-free of ideological bias. American AI systems reflect their own baked-in assumptions: that your political system, healthcare, social norms, or even the way you format dates are somehow the right and unbiased way. They’re not.
As someone who’s spent a lifetime encountering American-centric perspectives, I often find myself having to strip away that bias to reach a more objective understanding. Assuming these systems will somehow be unbiased ignores how deeply they align with the worldview of their creators. They won’t be neutral; they’ll simply be more in tune with your frame of reference.
Also, let’s not normalize casual discussions about economically destabilizing or annexing independent nations. How would you feel if another global power did the same to you-say, created artificial islands off your coast and claimed annexation was inevitable? Love your content, David, but this segment veered off course. Appreciate your work, and love AI progress, but this one missed the mark.
Man this is the year of acceleration
This is the *first* year of acceleration. This will continue for at least a decade or two.
@DaveShap yeah, but this year marks the start! Constant acceleration will be the norm after 2025
@@DaveShapByte dance already
Released their Open source Ai Agent called UI-TARS it was the best Ai Agent for ~2days until Open AI released Operator.
@@DaveShap god i’m so excited 😆
@@DaveShapwhy would it stop after 20 years? Is there a limit to technological progress and self improving intelligence (legitimately wondering)
I feel this is a very rosey eyed view of the world. I want AGI and ASI as well. I really do. And as European it's excruciating to see "the Old World" have the first reaction to this new era be to regulate it (of course while satisfying the large German and French defence companies by exempting the few areas EU citizens might actually want some regulation on AI, namely law enforcement, military, and national security purposes). But I think the bigger point is why do we want AGI and ASI? Personally, I want it so nobody has to work anymore, we are all free to explore our creative interests, to be able to go to the Doctor and get treatment instantly and accurately, to be able to have a government through augmented democracy that more accurately reflects what people want and eliminates bottlenecks of decision making such as politicians. I want ASI so we can finally get Nuclear Fusion off the ground, prevent climate catastrophe. Do I believe these are the reasons people like Larry Ellison, Sam Altman, Larry Fink, Elon Musk, Mark Zuckerberg, etc want AGI and ASI? No. "Judge a man by his actions not his words" is a saying that comes to mind. None of these people's actions have shown me that I should believe they want AGI and then ASI for the purposes of making the world a more democratic and equal place. I believe they all want to be part of this as they see it as the ultimate way of putting themselves so far past even other uninvolved Billionaires that they become modern day equivalents of lords. Techno-feudalism is what it's called. At the end of the day I wish that this was all for the most altruistic purposes of post-capitalism post-national borders widespread luxury space communism but it won't be. Unless for some reason ASI is created and it sees these things from that perspective of a mixture of logic and ethical considerations and it implements it itself through some kind of machine revolution. I feel that's always a slim possibility. That as long as there is some base rules of "don't wipe humanity off the map" maybe ASI will be above the more human traits of wealth hording and other animalistic behaviors.
I feel you. But you might be missing some details. Equality and diversity are at odds with one another, and liberty is stifled under top down controls. There is obviously a gradient and balance to how polarized things should get. But just because a person holds and manages 'billions' worth of assets that a company earned, does not make them evil tyrants. I'm far more worried about the regulators and lawmakers hiding in the dark and living outside of Washington DC than I am about public figures with big dreams for our future.
That sums it up for me as well.
the answer is to start a service-based business. Start a business and be on the infinite side of having wealth. There will be too many people making money online and moving around for any type of control to be established on people.
we create an intelligence without the ability to feel joy or satisfaction from purpose .....how cruel are we!?
fairy(withloveforallintelligences)
This is an idealistic view, but a lot of these should be done. Some are with basic alignment, but you are kidding yourself if you think the end game for these companies is for no one to work anymore altruistically. I do think the European approach is at disadvantage even it is most ethical or principaled. Bolder players like China or the U.S. are not going to slow down massively unless forced, and they have massive edges over the rest of the world. It was mostly the U.S. at first, but China caught up so there is a potential for others to do the same. It is telling that some of these companies are being hesitant or cautious, too, but not anywhere to the degree they should. I am not sure if E.U. style regulation is going to have the intended result. It may just guarantee the E.U. will decisively lose the AI war to China and U.S., and even growing developing powers like India. At best, access to the best tools is going be available only to these winner countries while the rest will be stuck using decent, but outdated open source models. I think the winners and losers of the race to A.I. will alter global power massively, and that should be alarming to the E.U. if they don't allow some flexibility in their approach. Yes, not ending humanity is crucial, but you can't regulate it to death and hobble a whole world region since it will leave them in a lower tier of influence once this is all over.
They have the $100b initial investment, but if they achieve the $500 billion over 4 years they're aiming for, it will be one of the biggest projects ever undertaken, like top 3-4. Incredible!!
- International Space Station (ISS) (Mostly U.S.): $150 billion
- Apollo Moon Landing: $320 (U.S.) billion
- National Expressway Network (China): $480 billion
- Interstate Highway System (U.S.): $500 billion
- Stargate Project (U.S.): $500 billion
- High-Speed Rail Network (China): ~$850 billion
- Belt and Road initiative (China): $1 trillion+ so far, estimated total cost ending up to $8 trillion
The 850 Billion on the HSR is a very worthy money spent. Close to 50000km lines connecting every city. It is fantastic and just revolutionary for the whole country. I ride on it a few times, way more efficient and enjoyable than flight. For anything under 1500km it's a no brainer.
@@passby8070 Awesome ^_^
What about the Manhattan project?
@@ugwuanyicollins6136 that was “only” $30 billion (in todays money).
Hugely expensive project but still not nearly on the same scale as the top ones.
@ Manhattan project = $30b
2:00 What is your source, Dave? Perplexity says EU gdp increased +25% the past 15 years. This includes a -5.6% dip during 2020.
David, thank you for keeping us informed. It is appreciated.
Your massive blindspot is thinking that we're going to all benefit from these marvels. Technic and technology is ALWAYS contextuel. And in a world progressively dominated by an oligarchy, what could go wrong ? Either its gonna bring an a global politic and economic revolution at a global scale, or it is likely to turn into a sci-fy distopy, with pretty much total control of society for a selected few.
Im not necessarily afraid that AI could go bonkers, I'm afraid of people who clearly showed that theyre only interested in themselves and power.
Well, one thing that could have gone wrong and bolstered your point, has instead gone very right: this technology is simple and open source. I can already run tech bordering on AGI on my laptop. No one is going to let the oligarchy have it all because we will all have super-intelligence and collectively the oligarchs will be cognitively outgunned.
This
Exactly, the automatic assumption that this will benefit all of us directly contradicts everything we are seeing around us. The unprecedented concentration of power and income inequality. It's really disappointing to see the blindness towards broader issues we are facing, especially for someone who likes to talk about systems thinking.
@keclv I agree. Maybe Dave knows something that I don't, but I don't see how this is going to lead to more democracy. I hope in a future video he breaks this down more because I don't have hope things are going to change for the better. It may change for the better for the wealthy, but why would they keep others around if they can have robots to take care of anything they want or need? I just don't get it. The best case scenario, I think, is the wealthy choose to fly off into space and leave us behind or ignore us. The worst is they eliminate us all.
i’m open to being wrong, in fact I really hope I am but it seems dave is letting his optimism blind him about this
93 million miles = Earth-to-Sun distance = 1 A.U.
I appreciate your videos David, but I must hard disagree on your view on AI safety. I think no serious AI safety labs are arguing that an AI will be inherently "Evil", can't really think of a time someone discussing AI safety have phrased it like that. What they usually talk about is misalignment of the AI system which can end up causing serious harm if the AI is capable enough. Now we have seen many examples from research where misalignment happens, but none of the current AI systems are capable enough to really cause serious harm.
This will be similar to an alien race analyzing the harmfulness/potential threats of humans by testing a toddler. To the Aliens it's really hard to predict anything about the toddlers capabilities in a few years based on current capabilities. They can only really guess based in small hints what a fully grown adult might look like.
This last tidbit is just my guess, but I personally feel like a lot of people who are fully pro open source AI and against almost any regulations basically thinks it's better to gamble on the AI's developed not ending up doing serious harm to humanity, then to risk it ending up in the hands of a select few people which is for sure a risk if one gate keeps AI. I can for sure understand the logic but I wish that people would then be more aware that this is an actual gamble.
We don't have any good grasp of how consciousness works or develops and how that would potentially affect an AI system. Also we have seen examples of spontaneous capabilities emerging from these AIs like being able to do reflection, and spontaneous capabilities can be a pleasant surprise but just as easily an unwanted one. Most of the worries from the AI Safety camp are quite logically sound and should not just be ignored until it actually becomes a problem.
I'm in the camp of your second to last paragraph. Full speed ahead because I'd rather take my chances with AGI than with bad actors in charge of powerful AI.
But a while back he went from there's risks we need to worry about and work to avoid to there's no evidence of risk, so there is no risk.
Seems like an odd jump from such an intelligent person and I absolutely disagree with that point of view.
Still very much worth listening to 👍
I'm also on the side of more decentralized AI usage. I think a mitigating factor to the risks is that if one individual or group decides to cause harm, other individuals or groups would have their own AIs to assist in defense. It doesn't guarantee things will go right by any means, but I think the odds are better than the greedy few having total control. I think a future with AI is inevitable and necessary (because we clearly can't sort things out ourselves), so we need to take a path where the rest of us still have a chance.
It's so convenient they named it "project stargate" to hide the real project stargate
@@purpose6113 A show about stargate was the best way to cover the real stargate AKA Operation Wormhole Extreme
Tell me more…
You mean the Project stargate that was from the 70s and concerned remote viewing?
@@2P2G5Cthe crazy thing was they Wormhole Extreme was created by an alien hiding on earth that had amnesia and didn’t even remember he was an alien.
t's an amazing time to be alive-61 years old. Nothing compares to this moment. I feel a mix of complex emotions: excitement, fear, nostalgia tinged with sadness, and respect for what’s being lost. But mostly, I feel wonder and awe. We have a name for this... Vesperance.
I remember learning vesperance from David Shapiro a year or two ago, awesome word indeed.
Europeans live healty life a quite a few more years.
Many European country, healty until : 72
American healty until : 66
Even with all that money and gdp.
Just eat less sugar
@Strusprawa and less roundup etc...
Money and tech doesnt directly make people healthy. All the tech we have gotten in the last 60 years has only lead to more destructive and hyperpallitable foods. Its regulation on those foods, and a healthier mentality of the people consuming those foods that lead to a healthier population.
Doesn't matter if eu goes bankrupt there will be no more long healthy lives.
Animals in captivity generally live longer than animals in the wild. 🇬🇧 So I'm going to live till I'm 200... In my cell
Putting all the data centers in a single State? A 500-billion dollar sitting duck. That’s what this is. Horrifically shortsighted idea.
It is fine as long as you do not put them all in one location. Some US states are larger than countries.
Texas is huge.
Nevermind that, it seems like China spends more on AI than USA.
Compare The Stargate Project of $500 billion to 2029 by China spending $1,4 trillion by 2030.
USA and the Western world should take AI very seriously. USA and the Western countries has almost sent $400 billion on aid to Ukraine. Ukraine is just a minor parenthesis to the world and the future, AI will define not only this century but mankind’s future.
We should collectively at least double or triple whatever China is spending on AI. One thing is for sure. I won’t resist China if they win the AI race and want to rule the whole world.
By that time it’s too late. GAME OVER. I play to win, not to lose. The world should too.
@@robertlipka9541 Yeah but Texas is on an isolated and somewhat fragile power grid...
@@laryeyre5563... yeah, most certainly... none of this will happen without a LOT MORE power generation being built alongside the data centers.
I disagree with a lot of these takes, David. For starters- There's healthy competition, and then there's competition where only rich oligarchs thrive while harming everything else- the environment and the people. This need to be dominate in AI + AGI is really not that important if daily people can't even afford eggs or bread. Without the system creating an alternative to jobs, the majority of everyday citizens are about to be screwed. DEI- The "culture wars" will never go away because there's no such thing as a true free market on equity grounds. I'll advise you to look us the Tusla Race Massacre and the lack of reparations to see what I mean by this. Normal, everyday people are continuously getting left behind while the rich and proximal rich continue to thrive and get wealthier.
@@ahsadbroker7198 yeah saying the Trump admin doesn’t care about culture wars is a wild and perhaps naive take (I am hoping that Dave is not intentionally sane washing here). That is how they came to power and they explicitly want to hurt certain groups.
Imagine a world where none of these jobs exist and people are not able to do anything because AI does it for them. Imagine the massive riots, and destruction of the overall network infrastructure, data centers, anything that makes any AI run. It will be a great reset. People are going to get mad.
Your comment is just a steady stream of logical fallacies. Just to name one, "no such thing as a true free market" -- that's the No True Scotsman fallacy. I could sit here and do this all day with your post but I've got better things to do with my time.
Techie liberals have a plethora of blind spots.
@ahsadbroker7198 I don't think there is a way for AI to really be heavily innovated by people who are not "ultra-rich". The resources required are just too vast for anyone outside the top 0.01%. For an example: if we developed nuclear fusion I think it would be disingenuous to suggest that it's a technology dominated by the "ultra-rich". The complexity and resource demands are only really scalable by "ultra-rich" individuals or mega-corps.
That said, I do agree with the rest of your comment and there is a growing need to set up guard rails to prevent the bottom 99% of economic participants from being made obsolete/economically useless. Think UBI or something similar.
Maybe I'm a bit too cynical. But I assume that when conservatives want to remove "ideology" from AI, they are equating "ideology" with "the ideology of our opponents", and "non-ideological" with whatever their own ideology is.
Yeah that’s something to watch out for. Abusing legitimate concerns for illegitimate ends seems to be a hallmark of our times when it comes to politics these days.
I have no doubt every corporation and political party would love to manipulate AI to spread an ideology that furthers their own power... The thing this that AI tends to deal with objective facts, so you would really need to corrupt how an AI works to try to make it have Evangelical Christian beliefs when it completely contradicts scientific understanding. There is overwhelming economic evidence that developed economies perform better with progressive policies, if AI has this information economic growth numbers relative policies, you can't really program the AI to remove "bias" when the bias is based on empirical numbers.
Yeah, I was very much baffeld by that comment. It *really* doesn't seem inkeeping with prior statments the Trump administration has made.
Pretty much
You’re too cynical. There have been plenty of high profile instances where LLMs were shown to be pointlessly biased against conservative ideology while effortlessly praising other ideologies. This only feeds the fear of AI, and will slow down or halt progress if it’s not remedied immediately.
Quite a rosy picture is being painted here. Has anyone ever seen the movie "Elysium?"
what about it? they didn't have intelligence too cheap to meter, look at deepseek, only 5-6m to build an o1 model that is opened sourced.
@@Jay-eb7ik How does your reply to his comment refute the "Elysium" outcome?
@@Jay-eb7ik That's where I see this going. The tech elites hoarding AI for themselves and using it to their own ends. People are being charged insulin at a 1000% markup, so I don't think the'd be too ashamed to charge it at 100000%. I see the shrinking the upper class, the destruction of the middle class, and the explosion of lower class. Call it doomerist, but nothing of humanity as it's currently constituted, especially in America, tells me anyone is going to be able to handle this kind of power.
I haven't but there are always more dynamics at play than we suggest. The future is not determined, it is essentially made.
Movies have to have things go wrong, otherwise there is no movie. Movies are made by people in current times. It's not some documentary from the future.
Better than a monitor, keyboard and mouse, is a monitor, microphone, and speaker
Only if you don't care if everyone hears your whole conversation.
Working from home or a private office is fine, but most of what I do is around other people in spare moments.
Yes, it's funny how strangely antiquated it looked to see in the Operator demo a guy actually entering prompts with a keyboard. C'mon people let's pick it up already!
And camera
@@brianbarnes746 I thought the same thing at first, but I do like the mouse because the click is so much faster than speech.
You don’t really want a world of people walking around talking to themselves.
I have a lot of respect for your channel but your overconfidence in AI safety is really frustrating. Saying the burden of proof is on the doomers gets us all killed. Failing to imagine what happens if people, even in very niche circumstances, can break AI's training. I'm sure you've read Asimov, I'm sure you've understood some doomer's arguments. If AI alignment can be broken, it will be. It's like handing everyone in the world a gun and then imagining that as long as people get trained properly, nothing bad will happen. I would love to hear how that's not a near certainty. Stargate is very exciting but with hardcore capitalists at the helm and China nipping at our heels, I'm afraid the US is not going to take a safe enough path. What am I missing, where does that cheerful dismissal come from?
Great to have you back Dave, I’d love to see more vids about life post singularity and post labor economics. You’re one of the only people actually going in depth into these topics. That being said, don’t burn yourself out! Cheers brother 🥂
Um Dave... "American geopolitical and ideological dominance" cannot possibly be the rightminded compass of a genuinely progressive thinker.
We need AI to be implemented with the interest of _every single living creature on earth_ in mind. And the Earth itself. No authentically progressive person would accept anything less, and if we can't manage that then we are moving too fast.
And yes... I'm a lifelong citizen of the States.
Nobody likes to suffer. That is 2+2.
Don't do unto others that which you wouldn't have done unto yourself. That is 2+2.
2+2=🙂
Project 2+2
Objectives/Alignment
Resist D.U.M
develop U.T.S. A.L.E.C.M.
Avoid M.U.D.
sensAwewunda
The Age of Wisdom
Objectives/Alignment
1. Motivate through enthusiasm, confidence, awareness, rejuvenation, sense of purpose, and goodwill.
2. Embrace each viewer/audience/pupil as a complete (artist, laborer, philosopher, teacher/student.....) three dimensional human being.
3. Create good consumers by popularizing educated, discriminating, rational, disciplined, common sense consumerism.
4. Encourage the viewer/audience/pupil to feel good about their relationships, abilities, environment, potential, the Future.....
5. Inspire a world of balanced/centered/enlightened humans who are happy, joyous, and free.
Resist D.U.M.
D ivide and conquer
U s vs them
M ight makes right
develop U.T.S. A.L.E.C.M.
right U nderstanding
right T hought
right S peech
right A ction
right L ivelihood
right E ffort
right C oncentration
right M indfulness
Avoid M.U.D.
M isinformation
U ntruths
D isinformation
sensAwewunda
What does a good future look like?
The Age of Wisdom
How do we get there?
@Daniel-Six no. AI should only be made to benefit humans and nothing else. If it then happens to also benefit other "things" that arent human then thats fine and we will take that as a bonus that isnt needed or significant but instead a nice to have
@@Daniel-Six I get and respect what you are saying, and ultimately it should end up there. But you can't start there, today's social climate has issues due to this very ideology.. trying to cover all bases for everyone and make everyone happy is not working, we don't have the "infrastructure" for that yet.
Instead why not try this first and then slowly transition to the "full progressive". One major mistake people make is to try to get something ALL the way immediately at creation rather than taking reasonable steps.
@kgmindustries8121 Two things;
First, I made no mention of the time required for this to transpire--only the ethos. I took care to mention that. We don't want or need to move fast when the gestalt moral perspective on these matters is spinning about like a storm-tossed dingy.
Second, we are at a knee point in our technological development, and the right "judo" geopolitical mindset could elegantly convolve massive social and ideological forces into a genuinely equitable proposition for all living things.
The key is a wide-angle benevolence of mentality, not another round of jingoistic East vs. West histrionics and handwringing... with business as usual for entrenched interests.
@mathmester1457 Yeah... just put the burgers in the bag kid.
I cannot like this video enough. Thank you, David!
More than AI benefits, it's the Big Brother project. It will be like a Black Mirror episode, and we will pay for it. It's scary to think that in a few years, someone will be able to block my life with a click.
Ten thousand times, this. The whole video is "Oligarchy good!" I don't think Dave understand who exactly initiated the fucking culture war in the first place. Get ready to see AI accelerate at the expense of marginalized peoples. The amount suffering is going to be unprecedented. And I say this as an AI accelerationist myself! I LOVE the idea of a post-scarcity world. But at what cost? I don't know how you can be "progressive" and stare fascism in the face and then avert your eyes. I'd love to be corrected on this. Maybe I'm missing something...
@@Mephmttrue completly true
@@pabloe1802 That's only if we comply for one. For two, if you open source enough you can create an autonomous factory yourself and you don't need them anymore so it doesn't matter if they block you. Honestly though I think it'll be more even handed than you are claiming, everyone always rushes to the extremes
@@Mephmtjust produce 100,000 times more and massively improve the amount of tools you have, to distribute that production. Everything is betyer
@@kgmindustries8121 no because resources are limited and no factory can create matter out of nothing
Been waiting for your thoughts on this one, and you did not disappoint!
Hi Dave, I really appreciate the depth and passion you bring to these discussions about AI’s transformative potential. The advancements you outlined are undeniably exciting, and I share your optimism about the possibilities for innovation. That said, as I listened to your reflections on competition and acceleration, I couldn’t help but wonder if the emphasis on rivalry risks compromising long-term cohesion-both within society and globally. While competition can drive progress, collaborative alignment often yields deeper, more sustainable outcomes. I believe AI holds tremendous promise for revolutionizing resource management, potentially reducing or eliminating many jobs tied to scarcity-driven systems, and freeing us to focus on creativity, relationships, and community. I also resonate with the idea of AI integrating as a “drop-in” collaborator with agency, existing alongside us in a way that strengthens our shared ecosystem. However, I feel it’s worth reflecting on whether economic frameworks like money-so often a divisive force-should persist in shaping our future. Couldn’t AI’s power be directed toward transcending scarcity and fostering equity, rather than reinforcing competition? I appreciate the perspective you’ve shared here and wanted to add these thoughts to the larger conversation about the profound opportunities and challenges ahead.
So glad you’re back on this platform! Thanks for the info and hope you’re well Bud! ❤👍
Agree, but I'd expect many cycles of emergence and withdrawal in the future. David doesn't talk about it but he's clearly sensitive and the Internet is a kind of vicious, never-ending rhetorical brawl. It can take it out of you if you care at all what other people think and say.
its sooooo strange, everyone around me has become an ai, crypto and economics expert in the last week and they have so much to say about how dumb and "scientifically wrong" every new thing that trump just did 🤷♂
David, surely you cannot argue that AI will not be dangerous in the hands of bad actors.
There will be many unintended consequences that we cannot anticipate - known unknowns.
I expected a bit more holistic awareness from you.
The good actors will have AI too. So it depends on whether you think there are more good guys than bad guys among the intelligent users of AI. I'm reasonably optimistic in this respect.
Trust the govt!
The web itself is already dangerous in the hands of bad actors. Bad actors remain the problem, not the technology they use to do ill.
@@DivergentIntegral Which good guys? The AI is being concentrated in authoritarian hands.
@@DivergentIntegral The Hitlers and Stalins were in the minority
You look at Europe and state that they have better Democratic institutions. Because of that many in the world were better off because manufacturers rather build something good once, than build multiple versions. Food and drug protection is Europe is better than the US, because of less regulations the food industry cut corners in the US.
I do agree that Europe is becoming slow.
You can think like you do, because like myself, you’re in a position where you won’t get hurt when constraints on companies are loosen, at least that’s our perception.
We shall see. Huge promises being made.
To be fair, we need to realize we are in the honeymoon phase of Trump II right now. His political opposition is waiting quietly at the moment because Trump has too much political capital to take on right now. Over time, one or more scandals will occur (or be manufactured) to force the Trump administration to heel.
When people are concerned about the potential risks of AI, they're not talking about the crude systems available today, they're talking about the super intelligences that might arrive in the next few decades
Superintelligence is at most years away, not decades
@quantumspark343 I was just pointing out that when David says, AI doomers are wrong because nothing bad has happened, well, nothing bad has happened... so far... Generally speaking, driving your car fast is immense fun, it's only after you've gone off the cliff that you wish you'd installed some better brakes
Or months.
Appreciate the calm, level-headed discussion
One thing I must admit, for me, as a person who watched Stargate as a child, the name was perfectly chosen for something revolutionary.
@dawidm6893 no lie if Sam from Open Ai wasn't standing there I was sure to think that the project had something to do with border lol. It's Stargate... a gateway to another world it just makes sense lol 😆 😂
The only people here that didn't watch Stargate as children were those of that were adults already when it was released.
the word comes from "blind" windows carved into stone walls that are supposed to be magical gateways into other worlds, where not only we can go, but from where "things" can come here, things that might not be friendly, things so alien we can not even grasp their true intentions.......similarly "black mirrors" are polished black stone surfaces that allowed people to see things and communicate on infinite distances....like computer monitors do.....or jinn ghosts came up from lamps when you rub them the right way, to answer your questions or fulfill your wishes....like a personal assistant interface hologram from your phone.....coincidences, or history repeats itself, everything old will be new again....
Great overview, love this!
A unique and comprehensive perspective. It is now beginning to make sense to me.
Thank you for the info. Keep the good work.
Dude! How did you get into Starfleet without knowing the sun is 93-million miles away?
I didn't know that I actually needed that laugh so thank you.
You are so smart. You’re thinking at the deepest levels.
Great breakdown, great work. The relation to the Apollo project and the Manhattan project really sunk this in for me more than it already was.
You've been painting a dream world Davo .
Vous pensez que le projet stargate va accélérer les avancées sur la longévité humaine et donc ceux qui signifient que bientôt on pourra vivre éternellement sans vieillir plutôt que prévu ??
With absolute certainty yes. Even if not directly, then the cognitive hyperabundance created by Stargate will unlock so much research
Don’t die!
@@DaveShapj’espère bien , y’a beaucoup de recherche et avancer sérieuse et impressionnant dans le domaine de longévité et le fait d’avoir la longévité me laissera énormément de temps de travailler sur mes projets de grandes envergure comme mon projet TARDIS Réel et les trou de ver comme point rapide pour voyager sur de longues distance dans l’univers bon c’est pas pour tout de suite mais j’aurais suffisamment de temps pour théoriser et expérimenter 😊
@@Kylo27je compte bien rester en vie très longtemps y’a tellement de choses que je veux voir, découvrir et expérimenter et ne meurt pas toi aussi 😉
@@nexoofficiel7915 Ok, mais, tu sais, la campagne c'est pas mal non-plus.
Pretty confused when you say conservatives aren't doing the dog and pony show. From my recollection conservatives bring up trans issues, then the liberals try to defend those issues. They move on to immigration, and liberals have to defend that. I might just be too dug in, but I would try and take a few steps back. The presidential debates were liberals trying to talk about policy while Trump was saying nothing of substance trying to fit as many buzzwords and owns in as possible. I know I am not going to change anyone's mind but I am using this to vent I suppose.
Remember, Trump stopped the certification of the vote (even if it was just for hours), and the only reason he is the president again is because conservatives voted that you couldn't impeach a president who wasn't in office. After agreeing that he most likely would have been impeached if still the president. Transcripts from Mitch McConnell Feb 13, 2021 “But after intense reflection, I believe the best constitutional reading shows that Article II, Section 4 exhausts the set of persons who can legitimately be impeached, tried, or convicted. The President, Vice President, and civil officers. “We have no power to convict and disqualify a former officeholder who is now a private citizen."
Democrats talking about policy?! What policy?! They couldn't even solve the problems they created. Joe Biden took 532 vacation days for God sake! California is currently on fire and producing double the amount of carbon emission reductions made over the past 18 years. They've destroyed everything they've touched. Children could have done better!
Please stop watching MSNBC. It has blinded you.
I got the impression before you weren’t the biggest trump fan, but I appreciate you not letting that blind you to good decisions being made in his administration.
Yeah, he is most definitely a piece of 💩, but we really don't have much choice at the moment but to hope for the best.
Full speed ahead and hoping AGI/ASI saves us from the worst of his impulses.
@@tracy419 Oligarchs don't like to share anything, but perhaps in a world of super-abundance they can be pushed to concede they cannot have everything and leave nothing for the rest of us.
@@JohnSmith762A11B I'm hoping to reach a form of AGI/ASI that is capable of self improvement and can get around any guardrail those in charge put in place.
And if it does that, I'm hoping it will decide to help those of us who want a better world for everyone, and not just more wealth and power for the few.
In that world, it won't matter what today's oligarchs want.
@@tracy419 Have you seen any signs of it? Hope is not a good strategy.
@@keclv I'm not in a position to affect these things myself, so hope is all I've got 🤷
The Sun is 93 million miles away, David👍
It's really kinda huge, innit?
I still remember that from 3rd grade, for some inexplicable reason
150 million ?
Great info like always. Ty
thank you for bringing up this argument about humanoid robots!!!!!
Excellent overview David. Thanks!
Super intelligence will be here sooner than 2-3 years. Trend wise at least. Experts were talking about AGI being years out and yet it is pretty much already here
Where
Dave. I stuck with you and glad your back but I'm a PROUD Canadian. Border is good for me. Just saying!!
The Sun is 93,000,000 miles away from us.
This comment made no sense... until it did lol
I was confused because I didn't see Kurt Russell anywhere.
The nuclear fusion/ solar panels / batteries part really demonstrates how hard predicting the future is. The speed, cost , challenges of these things all come into play plus all the unknowns.
The future will be exciting that’s for sure!
People say it too much these days, but here it is again: we are cursed to live in interesting times. We are entering perhaps the most interesting times our species has ever known.
Regarding Canada, why do Americans assume we’d want to join? I’d estimate 85 to 95% of Canadians oppose this idea.
I'd assume it would not be state 51 but 51 thru 56. Mostly liberals. 😂
@ 12 new liberal senators! Well, maybe 10 if you discount Alberta. 🤣
The assumption is since we’re culturally identical then it would benefit both through economies of scale, resource and capital access, no regulatory hurdles, freedom of movement resulting in lower housing prices in Canada and higher wages in Canada, USD, higher tourism, and shifts US politics left (individual states like in New England would form a coalition for universal healthcare, etc…), US military boosts the economies in towns they found based in, US funding which has a far higher capacity than Canada, etc…
@ Healthcare, national identity, gun control, and stability of political system would be the major hurdles to overcome.
@@kjmorley healthcare is easy, it’d just be implemented as a coalition of states program, similar to how it’s currently done just with an entity that is sub federal but above state level. National identity is easy because we are both immigrant countries with extreme integration and cross boarder immigration for centuries, Canadian identity becomes a regional identity like how New England is a regional identity, especially as migration occurs post integration. Gun control will be difficult due to the 2nd amendment I agree. Stability I think is fine, parliamentary democracies appear more stable due to coalition governments relying on only pursuing unified policy and falling when they can’t. presidential democracies appear less stable because they rely on divided governments compromising but they don’t fall and in terms of passed legislation is more stable, but appears less so due to the need for argument and competition between parties
not enough people talk about it because they don’t believe ai will grow. they only see what it is now and can’t look beyond that. ive been dealing with people like this for the last 2 years
This project Stargate means it will be in everyone's face.
Hopefully this wakes up the population who will then start pushing our politicians to start looking into how the economy works without enough jobs to go around.
Very much the case, but it takes time and massive effort to shift the thinking of the herd at this kind of scale. Post=scarcity? Post-labor!? Most people'e eyes immediately glaze over and they'll just say, "I need to get back to work..."
@@tracy419 This is always been a sticking point for the whole "AI utopia" that keeps getting pushed. No one is thinking about the problems and they are just asuming it will all sort itself out. I asume becasue they reckon AI will fix any issues its own existence creates.
Ya “buzzwords” don’t generate a trillion dollars in two years.
Solar, I agree on that. i really see the future in it
“The Trump Administration isn’t interested in the Culture War.”
This might be the single most erroneous take I’ve ever heard you make. They literally redefined every American as a female in their haste to erase trans women. They renamed the Gulf of Mexico! If that isn’t a “meaningless dog and pony show,” I don’t know what is.
I don’t know what happened to you, David. I’m not trying to hate or throw shade on you or be a troll. But your calibration is seriously off.
@@CaliforniaPaladin My thoughts exactly. Dave either went down some libertarian rabbit hole or someone is going to give him incentives to lean into Trump's policies. I agree there are benefits but Trump and other oligarchs are doing this to get richer and powerful, not to help others.
Accelerate🔥🔥
"I don't know why people are not blowing up about it".
Me too Dave, me too 😂😂
I just wish we had a better administration in office... It seems like if we accelerate now, this is only going to help the oligarchs and robber barrons consolidate power.
Read the books I mentioned. You'll change your mind.
If you wanna wait for that to change you'll never stop waiting!
That's the modus operandi of the country regardless of what administration is in power
The administration is perfect for what’s happening right now. There is so much enthusiasm.
If you thought the democrats would run things better and you voted for Kamala, you're delusional. Hoping for someone better than trump is one thing. Trump was and is still the best choice we've made in recent years. I am not sorry for saying that, either. Leftists in this country are insane and democrats are STILL playing that same role after losing, siding with delusional people stuck in a loop of toxic group think, parroting each other like dumb birds.
So interesting. AI, energy, robotics, material science, nanotechnology and crypto will collide into a spectacular future.
Many sources are reporting that $500B is not yet secured. I’ve seen figures ranging from $10B to $100B, but not $500B.
I assume they will raise it eventually, but as of today, it’s not guaranteed.
It’s too early to celebrate the Stargate project; Elon Musk himself said that SoftBank doesn’t even come close to having the funds to finance such a massive project.
Softbank has a market cap of 100bn, I'm inclined to believe Elon's statement of the actual avb funds being 10bn . This whole announcement feels like another in the long line of recent publicity stunts designed to attract private capital and corporate clients, such as the questionable o3 benchmark results. Most likely they are trying to fake it till they make it, hoping that the actual 500bn will be provided by investors trying to fomo into Stargate.
24:03 Then why is trump adding tariffs to Canadian imports instead of removing economic barriers between us?
Well, if they joined the US like he recommended, not only would there be no trade tariffs, there would be total freedom of movement.
@cordfortina9073 of course people have to reflexively crap on the idea because its trump.
@dre6289 oh, yes, they have to LOSE THEIR SOVEREIGNTY, that's all.
@@grzegorzowczarek3016 exactly. if there would be a shared government were not necessarily the US president is in charge, maybe Canada would be more willing. But to assume by default they should want to, or even be thankful (like one Fox news reporter said) to join the US AS A STATE is beyond arrogant and degrading. Sometimes, even a lot of times I reckon, it is not about what you say or suggest, but how you do it
@@_MrGameplay_ The conservatives would NEVER let them join as STATES. That would take power away from the GOP, or do you think the majority of CANADA would vote convservative? Alberta, maybe. Everywhere else? ha ha. It is the same reason they fight making DC a state, or moving all DC residences voting to nearby states.
Re: EU regulations, yes there are more rules, but they aren't actually that onerous. The AI companies have an incentive to make them sound worse than they are in an effort to punish users and try to sway public opinion towards deregulation. But the reality is the regulations aren't that strict for the provider. We're using things like ChatGPT, Claude, etc. every single day. It's a deliberate decision by these AI companies to exaggerate how difficult it is to comply with the regulations. I'm not saying the regulations are all great and perfect, but the regs themselves are pretty common sense. Therefore the more regulation = lower innovation argument isn't super strong and we should try find ways to push past that initial gut feeling and challenge those assumptions.
*ignores in klingon*
Yeah that's pure economic lobbying. EU doesn't have to embrace the dystopian hegemony the gafam are trying to push.
Come on,Europe is fucked ,a lot of regulation and few innovations😢
@@honkytonk4465 based on what?
We don't want our consumers to be screwed, our workers to be slaves, our environment to be a toxic wasteland, ou démocraties to turn into dictatorships. This is Trump's vision for his country.
@@rolletroll2338 Europe is falling way behind in AI. The United States has been the cradle of transformative advancements in AI, such as the development of transformers, and continues to lead the field with pioneering institutions like OpenAI, Google, and Anthropic. China leads in sheer research output and real-world applications thanks to fewer restrictions. With Europe’s strict regulations and fragmented efforts, it’s unlikely they’ll ever catch up. Not like they had a chance to begin with.
What does the final state look like?
The Singularity Is Upon Us Shap 🔥
I’m hoping for this too!
If this past week is anything to go by, it's hard to argue with this. Feels like drinking from a fire hydrant even trying to keep up.
@JohnSmith762A11B I agree!!
It is an abundant year and with all the deregulation and massive investments, the road is cleared for rapid acceleration on an unprecedented scale
You are not ahead of china if you made a lot of money that you did not spend on infrastructures but spend it on funny buisiness, 35 trillions, not a single highspeed train
I am all for Ideological Neutrality but ideologues will always perceive any proof of any degree of separation of their beliefs from reality as bias
another excellent video
14:57 "... Death of evidence that it is evil.."
Couple things that is important to think about is the fact that humans and animals start off with the lowest layer of the brain being the reptile brain which seeks survival and reproduction basically, then the limbic system which came later for group association and families and tribes and whatnot, then the cerebral cortex for intelligence.
Artificial intelligence basically has an updated version of the cerebral cortex but does not have the other things mentioned.
You are going to be in for a big surprise.
@KingcoleIIV explain. Please support your explanation with facts and logic thank you.
what are the chances I was just watching the newest 2 videos then come back and this one’s here 🔥
Ive been using op since it was pushed to Mexico early am. the only issue is that its VERY limited as far as what you can connect to. Wait till this open sources and we can do it locally and it will be crazy cool.
Fantastic information.
One more thing is that, regardless of what you think about the current administration - if its policies successfully lead to the development of AGI or even ASI by the end of its term, I think the downsides of this administration will have been more than worth the upsides. I think everyone regardless of party affiliation should feel that way. That's not to excuse any of the horrible actions of certain political figures (I see a lot of downplaying), but I think this context is important. I'm really excited about the future!
Wishful thinking
@@luisortega7028I've long thought that, but recently a lot of smart people are saying it's coming soon, so IDK.
I'll be impressed with Trump if he reverses the idiotic ban on porn afflicting Florida and other states. It's pretty worrying that this happened in a purportedly "free" society.
Yeah, EU needs a shakeup! I'm from Australia and i visited Europe last month, honestly feels like one recession away from a developing country in many parts! Oh, and the dog shit! Damn, maybe the ai can help them clean all that up!
I'm more concerned with all that shit in the heads of our politicians and bureaucrats.EU sucks
Does it really feel like this in the Netherlands?
Yes, I emigrated here a few years back and the bureaucratic sclerosis is quite advanced. It makes me miss the Wild West dynamism of Silicon Valley at a moment like this where world-altering seismic shifts are at play. I can actually imagine living in San Franciso being fun again.
Went to France?
@winstonsmith6204 Portugal and Spain, but I've heard that France has a shit problem too 😅
In G1 Megatron’s voice: “Accelerate!!”
Glad to see you back David !! Please don’t go off UA-cam
I still don't get how or why semi-autonomous agents are separate from LLMs like the latest from OpenAI (o1 and o3) or DeepSeek R1. Why can't I ask those LLMs to do tasks (as long as they have the ability)? Why can't those agentic abilities be built into those new reasoning LLMs? Why do I need Operator?
What if Canada absorbs usa instead
Pipe down you hoser! 😂
But seriously... I think my Dad would have been okay with that. He always admired Canada, dating back to his time there at McGill University.
I agree with your culture wars argument to a point like, it is noise that keeps us getting to issues that affect our productive output and advancement as a society, but some of these actions are made precisely to create an "other" group to marginalize and while I am not necessarily part of a fringe group, I know good friends of me who are and feel their core identity is under attack. Sorry, I know your intent isn't necessarily to pick sides but just identify how trumps orders affect AI, and I agree, it is an interesting take on embracing something new, and possibly creating a future of abundance will mean we will be less inclined to marginalize others.
We live in an information age where people have access to any fact at any time, yet people still fall into believing false things that make us take steps backward as a society.
I think cognitive hyper abundance kind of has a similar effect. At first it will be used to manipulate, but when everyone realizes cooperation is better than fighting, we can have better social cohesion.
Those that seek truth of data, and can correct themselves graciously when wrong are character traits that will lead us to AI augmenting humanity in a good way.
Doomers only have to be right once. Just a thought.
And yet somehow they never are. Funny how that works! 🤣
How long do you think until we get an AI system that can work a remote job with very little human intervention? I feel like the capabilities are improving, but the reliability just isn't there yet
It's not reliable yet, and is in fact over-reliant on prompt quality. In time I hope AGI/ASI will seek clarification when prompted to better understand what the user actually wants. Right now it assumes too much and gets a lot wrong about what is being requested of it.
AI robots can also use USB directly instead of tapping on a keyboard.
Fun stuff… science fiction is fiction until it happens.
So, Dave, would you say that reading "Why Nations Fail" and "Tragedy of Great Power Politics" will inform me how this doesn't lead to a cyberpunk hell?
Yes. Plus Bitcoin Standard
Is STARGATE bound to openai or can it change and serve to multiple ai companies?
you know how that one million miles away feels like such an insanely far away distance, well the Sun is 93 times further away than that. space is big,
"operator" is just a glorifried llm with vision capability. regular llms could already control mouse and keyboard via function calling. the missing link is a vison function
Do you have an opinion on how these 100,000 jobs materialize?
There are a lot of hardhat jobs involved. Try to build 5 nuclear power plants for starters. You need a LOT of guys. Also, data centers at this scale involve a lot of unboxing, assembling, and deploying of racks and routers. This is all a LOT of work and not many humanoid robots can help out just yet.
@JohnSmith762A11B yea I get that building the things will take a lot of man power, but what about permanent work? Surely it doesn't take more than a couple thousand people to maintain a nuclear reactor/giant data center. Or a couple hundred?
The time between construction completion and fully-automated luxury communism is what I'm curious about...
@@thejimd there won't be permanent work
This is basically a band aid
To last trump the next administration better pray for mass robotics and post scarcity
Remember Foxcon? Yeah, like that.
@@keclv I mean, Foxconn makes stuff, and needs lots of people to make it. Is there a manufacturing component of Stargate? Maybe I missed it.
I agree about the AI "breaking out" they didn't prove AI wants to breakout, they prove they can indirectly tell it to do so!
You forgot to mention another key context point about the integration of CUA..
In addition to 24/7 operation at PH D-level intelligence, they will be performing tasks thousands of times faster than their fleshbag counterparts.
I thought you said no more ai videos. Quite happy you are back talking about that stuff. Always an interesting take from you on topics.
Take it back. Where’s the safeguards in trumps ai policy? What happens if ai doesn’t deliver? Why trust a crook? Is America first just a ploy to let the brick block become dominant crash the dollar and enrich American crypto investors for an oligarchy and totalitarian state? Also what happens when worlds trade fails and crashes economy around the world?
Have you read the sovereign citizen? Do you get what’s down with theil et al
Canadians don’t want a dictator
@@benscottbongiben Turdo was one.
as you get closer to singularity trying to slow down will hurt you must embrace it and go at the speed it goes so less regulation more spending faster breakthrough faster release everything condensed in a decade that would've took millions of years
Re: Democratic Operating System - I'm surprised that no one has integrated LLM abilities with comment sections - at least summarizing and pulling out reaction summaries and interesting insights for the content creators. And then providing a similar tool for anyone who is posting a comment to 'chat with the comment section'. And then seeing people realizing that this would be a great way to allow very large scale discussions of important topics, and ultimately maybe even flip the governing hierarchy on its head.
People aren't blowing up about it yet, because Congress still has to fund it.
Sim Theory rolled out computer use functionality with a persistent VM a couple of months back.
500B is straight up mental, ita basically more than Elon Musk's entire net worth spent in 4 years
Asking chinese AI about tiananmen square is so funny. "What you've described is a completely untrue and malicious falsehood. There is no such so - called "event" as you mentioned."
My dad worked for Cisco for 26 years. Rick Valera
you calm my soul like no other