China and The Future of Technology

Поділитися
Вставка
  • Опубліковано 11 чер 2024
  • This video discusses the future of technological growth, and why China is on the forefront of the evolutionary shift in modern world development; from the West to the East. The reality is that while the USA is still ahead in some economical categories there are proverbial winds of change coming that can be seen through the eyes of a statician. This video is not intended to predict the future, but rather to look at recent historical data and draw a reasonably educated guess of where the fourth industrial revolution may take place. This video is solely representative of my own interpretation(s) on statistical data, and absolutely not intended to offend people of any nationality or race. As an American in the technology industry I have had to put aside any personal bias towards or against my own country - this was done in order to analyze the data from an impartial point of reference in order to give the viewer the most accurate information possible.
    All data was collected from third party official sources and authorities on the subject matter.
  • Наука та технологія

КОМЕНТАРІ • 56

  • @CERAC...
    @CERAC... 3 роки тому +13

    In many ways it's a pensive expose on the current status of the U.S. when viewing the contrast between the two nations. One is on the decline, still basking in past accomplishments, while the other is indicative of the future, representing transformation, strength and renewal.

  • @axxessmundi
    @axxessmundi 3 роки тому +4

    Awesomeness!! Please create a part 2!!

    • @JoshChristiane
      @JoshChristiane  3 роки тому

      Part 2 might likely be more related to the future of other countries. Singapore perhaps? I'll make another eventually. :) Thanks for watching!

    • @axxessmundi
      @axxessmundi 3 роки тому +1

      @@JoshChristiane ASEAN maybe? Thank you very much. Subscribed!!

    • @JoshChristiane
      @JoshChristiane  3 роки тому +1

      Good idea. I should look into that, just cover the whole region and the best information about the growth of it all. Or make a series and break it up into many videos, on each ASEAN country.

  • @garrysandhu4197
    @garrysandhu4197 3 роки тому +7

    Very Informative video. Being an Indian I would say that even my own country startups are bought by Chinese companies buying the 51% of shares and if not bought then they still try to accquire the rising startups by investing more and more into them.

    • @JoshChristiane
      @JoshChristiane  3 роки тому +5

      Thanks for watching and commenting. India is definitely a power-house that's growing as well, it would be fun to make a video about India one day.

  • @annives
    @annives 3 роки тому +5

    This is very thought provoking. Kind of scary to think of a heavily communist country becoming the world's superpower and wealthiest nation. But you can't deny their growth and steadfast progress. Thanks for the video - can't wait to see more content!

    • @JoshChristiane
      @JoshChristiane  3 роки тому +3

      Thank you for watching!!

    • @ash9280
      @ash9280 3 роки тому +10

      You're viewing PRC through Western lens. The Chinese view the state fundamentally different from the West. To the west, is merely a legal entity that you swear your allegiance to. And, to the Chinese mind, the state is different. To their state is like an essentially like an extension of their family. In the West, political ideology is more rooted in individualism whereas in China, political thought is more rooted in conformity and social harmony. Putting the needs of the whole before the individuals. Chinese don't see their system as evil ''authoritarianism'' but a system that allows the governing of 1.4 billion to be effective and rising their standard of living. After all, being ruled by a heavy handed centralized government was the norm for over 2000 years in China. It might be hard to believe, but CCP are ''The'' Chinese people.

    • @fdja001
      @fdja001 3 роки тому +2

      China is a Socialist with Chinese characteristic. A transition from true Communism. Otherwise it can't grow to what it becomes now. They have adapted and learnt from their failure in the system and improve it. If I'm not mistaken, China used to make life for small businesses and startups harder due to corruption but they have managed to eradicate this corruption if not completely.

    • @ash9280
      @ash9280 3 роки тому +2

      @@JoshChristiane ash.harvard.edu/files/ash/files/final_policy_brief_7.6.2020.pdf
      Public survey of the Chinese conducted by Harvard.

    • @JoshChristiane
      @JoshChristiane  3 роки тому +1

      Great information! I like seeing the general discussion about the topic as I love to study about other countries.

  • @havencat9337
    @havencat9337 3 місяці тому +3

    make a video now, 3 years later

  • @hunglikehuang
    @hunglikehuang 3 місяці тому +1

    Moore's law stagnated when Intel had issues going beyond 14nm. But TSMC picked up the slack and silicon progress has been continuing, and now projected to go into the angstrom level. China surprised us when they created 7nm chips. But going beyond that requires EUV lithography and it will be a major hurdle for them to develop that independently.

    • @JoshChristiane
      @JoshChristiane  3 місяці тому

      Agreed. Moore's law was never going to go on forever. Transistors can only get so small until subatomic particles (specifically electrons) can no longer consistently be passed from valence to valence. Most agree that's somewhere around 5nm. So we can't just keep doubling the amount on a board forever. I'm sure you've noticed that every time a new more powerful graphics card comes out in recent years, they just keep getting bigger. For a while they kept getting smaller just like phones did at a time, but now everything is getting massive again. In order for companies to continue to make claims of greater power they need larger chips and/or larger cooling solutions for higher clocking speeds. There are efficiencies still being made in hardware/software, and those won't stop of course, but the days of doubling processing power every 2 years are longggg gone. I just wish they'd invest more energy in ternary systems, it seems like it was a good idea abandoned too early.

  • @vuongho5587
    @vuongho5587 2 роки тому +2

    The video sound is pretty good, beyond my imagination

    • @JoshChristiane
      @JoshChristiane  2 роки тому +2

      Wow thanks I'm glad you noticed, :) I use a very high-end preamp, microphone and outboard AD/DA converters for the best quality possible.

  • @arjenramirez8062
    @arjenramirez8062 Місяць тому +1

    The problem in manyfold. The driving key is youth. They will drive innovation but towards what future? We haven't been able to develop a sense of wisdom such that will allow us to control a tide that carries us rather than chartering our own path as a species. I'm optimistic for humanity. There is no coincidence in China and Russia's uprising. Tech transfer had been taken place for decades ago. So a change in mindset towards a cooperative effort has to occur in the public sphere as well. But we have to access higher educational levels to engage in reality in a more complex way. Toyota is certainly leading the way. They are now going DTC.

  • @elimarc3891
    @elimarc3891 3 роки тому +3

    Incredible video. Too bad Mandarin is so incredibly hard to learn.

    • @JoshChristiane
      @JoshChristiane  3 роки тому +2

      Oh thank you, I appreciate it. Actually, I've been learning Mandarin for about half a year now and I've found it much easier than other Oriental Asian languages (such as Japanese and South Korean). Duolingo has a pretty decent course for learning the basics.

  • @Ello927
    @Ello927 4 місяці тому +2

    3:10 thinking about how people in developing nations spend a lot on say shipping charges to get the best tech. Maybe someday the west will be paying those shipping charges

    • @JoshChristiane
      @JoshChristiane  4 місяці тому +1

      That's a good point, actually. Something people rarely think about. Transport is so expensive in proportion to many people's salaries around the world.

  • @flackoverso
    @flackoverso 3 роки тому +2

    nice video

  • @ash9280
    @ash9280 3 роки тому +12

    Come on, HK is a part of China. Legally, it is written into the constitution of HK . While there is a massive widespread of the central government(regardless of it is for good reasons or not) Independence is not supported by the majority of people in HK. Look up any article that talks about it.

    • @JoshChristiane
      @JoshChristiane  3 роки тому +7

      I don’t disagree with you. But that statement would offend many people in Hong Kong who don’t want to be included so I just left them out of the conversation for now.

    • @ash9280
      @ash9280 3 роки тому +5

      @@JoshChristiane I get you. Technically, Taiwan is a part of ''China' too. But not in the sense it is part of the current PRC in anyway. In the sense, it is a basically a rump state of a defunct Chinese state that no longer rules China. The Republic of China(1912 to 1949). It is part of ''a China'' that no longer exists . That aside, it is pretty much a defacto independent country.

    • @JoshChristiane
      @JoshChristiane  3 роки тому +5

      You are absolutely correct. The Republic of China and Hong Kong will only be separated for a time though in my opinion. Eventually just like the Soviet era of satellite countries everything will combine in the mainland. For better or worse I do expect it.

    • @thearchitect5632
      @thearchitect5632 3 роки тому +4

      @@JoshChristiane Hong Kong is a done deal, as well as Macau. the SAR designation will only last until 2047 for HK and 2049 for Macau. The new National Security Law in HK will only ensure there's no more "hiccups" when 2047 hits. Taiwan aka ROC will be more tricky. It is possible that China's economy will become so large one day that Taiwan's economy will be "softly" integrated into China's, not by choice but by simple forces of economics (there's already 1 million people from taiwan that lives and works in Mainland China and this trend will only accelerate, w/ taiwan suffering from neg. population growth, they are set to lose 30% of their current population over the next 50 years). But the most likely scenario for an actual end of the civil war would be China will build a military so large and technologically advanced over the next 50 years that Taiwan won't be able to hold on Chinese version of "D-Day".

    • @JoshChristiane
      @JoshChristiane  3 роки тому +5

      I totally agree. As far as I’m concerned China is too powerful for HK to ever attempt a ploy at independence. And frankly Taiwan will turn into the same situation eventually as well. That however wasn’t the point of my video, I was just saying that even if you don’t include those and all politics aside - China is getting insanely powerful.

  • @TonyZmex
    @TonyZmex 3 роки тому +2

    Human Rights flaws like Guantanamo right?

    • @JoshChristiane
      @JoshChristiane  3 роки тому +4

      The U.S. is home to some of the biggest/worst human rights violations in the world, especially if you look back to WWII and what the allies did to parts of Europe when it was unnecessary. Not to mention what the U.S. has done to the Middle East over the last three decades, we've killed millions of innocents there. The United States is certainly no beacon of human rights support, but that doesn't diminish the human rights violations in China. BOTH have done bad and have a chequered past.

    • @hollowgonzalo4329
      @hollowgonzalo4329 4 місяці тому +2

      @JoshChristiane
      Another thing that's funny to me is when people criticise the labor conditions in China or other developing nations while completely ignoring that every Westren nation went through the exact same process when they began to be industrialized.
      Child labor was rife and workers rights and compensation was scant.
      It's just the way things are when you're on the way up but people from nations that have been sitting at the top for many decades now inaproprately apply their first world standards to countries which are behind (sometimes very much so) but trying their best to achieve them.

  • @deathless3518
    @deathless3518 3 роки тому +2

    Hong Kong IS a part of China. It’s an SAR. Taiwan on the other hand is not because it was created by the split during the Chinese Civil War. It may decide to join the mainland in the future but most likely not

    • @JoshChristiane
      @JoshChristiane  3 роки тому +3

      Though I do entirely agree with you, there are political factions within Hong Kong who would violently protest that notion. The point I was simply making was to only discuss the mainland assuming HK and Taiwan are entirely separate.

    • @hollowgonzalo4329
      @hollowgonzalo4329 4 місяці тому +2

      @deathless3518
      Technically to my knowledge Taiwan in it's modern form was more or less created by America after the civil war in which they supported the nationalists started going very badly.
      They provided an island they received from Japan to the nationalists so that it could serve as a kind of immobile aircraft carrier/military base that they could exert pressure on the mainland from.
      Not to mention that it prevents the Chinese navy from making any significant strides beyond the first island chain during war time.

  • @wilsonbotlero2363
    @wilsonbotlero2363 3 місяці тому

    Well, this video didnt age well.

    • @JoshChristiane
      @JoshChristiane  3 місяці тому +3

      Chinese economy outperformed the US by many metrics in 2023. And is on track to outperform the US and much of Europe again in 2024 (by some metrics like PPP and GPD growth). While they do have some current economic woes, what country doesn't right now? While I don't want to blindly defend any country, I think this video has aged incredibly well.

    • @havencat9337
      @havencat9337 3 місяці тому +1

      you talked about patents in your video, well...i know in China registering a patent with a company its very efficient and on top of that there is gov help if your patent its in the field that they deem essential.@@JoshChristiane