How much the Bank of Canada will cut in 2024

Поділитися
Вставка
  • Опубліковано 22 тра 2024
  • Dawn Desjardins, senior economist at Deloitte Canada, talks with Financial Post's Larysa Harapyn about what the latest inflation data means to the Bank of Canada and interest rates.

КОМЕНТАРІ • 86

  • @hersdera
    @hersdera Місяць тому +116

    I see the rising interest rate as a very big problem, as more investors will definitely pull out more money from the Stock market. This might have worked when I was still invest-ing with a couple thousand dollars, but it is more difficult now to decide whether to pull out more than $365k from my port-folio. I know some inves-tors still make that despite the strong bear market. In wish I could pull that feat

    • @jones9-
      @jones9- Місяць тому +2

      I think the whole thing about holding stocks for long term will always apply. So I think you should get a quality broker who is able to analyze and pick stocks that will do well in the long term, else you will be in a long bear ride.

    • @KarenLavia
      @KarenLavia Місяць тому +1

      You have a very valid point, I started investing on my own and for a long time, the market was really ripping me off. I decided to hire a broker, even though I was skeptical at first, and I beat the market by more than 9%. I thought it was a fluke until it happened two years in a row, and so I’ve been sticking to investing via an analyst.

    • @Hectorkante
      @Hectorkante Місяць тому +1

      This sound interesting. I’m not really one to use pro analysts, but I guess it would not hurt to try one. My portfolio is in the red waters right now

    • @KarenLavia
      @KarenLavia Місяць тому

      My CFA ’Melissa Terri Swayne’ , a renowned figure in her line of work. I recommend researching her credentials further. She has many years of experience and is a valuable resource for anyone looking to navigate the financial market.

    • @EddyAgnes-vy4kp
      @EddyAgnes-vy4kp Місяць тому

      Thank you for this tip. It was easy to find your coach. Did my due diligence on her before scheduling a phone call with her. She seems proficient considering her resume.

  • @Jbird469
    @Jbird469 Місяць тому +48

    It seems everyone is still relying too heavily on the charts now. Imho, when the ETF's stepped into Crypto it changed the game. The Bitcoin Baby has been born and will grow up fast. The Crypto Market now has a rubber stamp of approval. Wall Street is in the game now and It will become the store of value we have been talking about. The rules are already changing. We would have normally had a corrective retrace by now, yet Bitcoin has been steadily rising. The name of the game is getting out with profit, but when exactly to get out this Super Cycle is going to be a tricky one. It's not about guessing the market's next move; it's about playing it smart and steady...managed to grow a nest egg of around 3.4Bitcoin to a decent 18Bitcoin in the space of a few months... I'm especially grateful to Linda Wilburn, whose deep expertise and traditional trading acumen have been invaluable in this challenging, ever-evolving financial landscape.

    • @redeyesband
      @redeyesband Місяць тому

      Trading with an expert is the best strategy for beginners and busy investor s who have little or no time to monitor their trades.

  • @zomgoose
    @zomgoose Місяць тому +6

    Never Trust a Banker

  • @truthteller6743
    @truthteller6743 Місяць тому +10

    Rates will not be going down. US Debt needs to be renewed and many are no longer buying. They will be raising rates. Truth hurts.

    • @WizardHarry69
      @WizardHarry69 Місяць тому

      God I hope this is true

    • @EvansBoy1992
      @EvansBoy1992 Місяць тому

      I agree. They lie to us so the market doesn't freak out too fast, otherwise they end up with problems.

    • @gagandhaliwal1453
      @gagandhaliwal1453 Місяць тому

      You and the 11 morons who liked your post have no understanding how economics work. Rates are coming down.

  • @kevinn1158
    @kevinn1158 Місяць тому +7

    The UST2Y is pushing 4.9% and rising and she thinks the BOC will cut with rents and real estate ready to explode? Yah, I don't think so. And I don't see 3 cuts this yr at all. That would light a fire under inflation again.

    • @MrCote-xz3cd
      @MrCote-xz3cd Місяць тому

      Nothing will stop the housing bubble not even an interest rate à 15%. Immigrations is just to high.

  • @user-lb8bg6kj9m
    @user-lb8bg6kj9m Місяць тому +33

    Inflation is 10% at a minimum.
    We need to get rid of central banking which is destroying the real economy.
    The market should set interest rates, not some clueless guy sitting in an ivory tower trying to run the economy like a Soviet central planner.

    • @1JO_M
      @1JO_M Місяць тому

      Yep, the central banking cartel RUN by a couple mean families!

    • @sherylsauder5579
      @sherylsauder5579 Місяць тому

      Anyone who buys things knows politicians and the central bank lie about the inflation rate. Everyone swimming in debt is begging for rate cuts but then will be crying when inflation increases....

  • @SteveK-bk1lo
    @SteveK-bk1lo Місяць тому +4

    If Rent went up 8% and it is the lion share of spending, then how do we say Inflation is under 3.0% ?

    • @gamerstv2444
      @gamerstv2444 Місяць тому

      Inflation is month to month. Rent has stabilized in recent months. Even went down in Toronto

    • @mrnice9922
      @mrnice9922 Місяць тому

      Intrest portion in Mortgages are doubled and central banks wants 2% inflation.
      Someone is bad at math

    • @SpencerBurns-jq8lj
      @SpencerBurns-jq8lj Місяць тому

      Excellent question.

  • @rightersbloc
    @rightersbloc Місяць тому +26

    She doesn't look like she believes what she's saying...

    • @geraldsilva3550
      @geraldsilva3550 Місяць тому +5

      Why is that none of these experts and BoC never saw the inflation creeping up.

    • @maggielo1133
      @maggielo1133 Місяць тому +1

      I see she wants to laugh. 😂

  • @goldguilder9554
    @goldguilder9554 Місяць тому +2

    We need to pivot to a yield curve control rather than interest rate targeting.

    • @EvansBoy1992
      @EvansBoy1992 Місяць тому

      Hell no. The banks needs to stop buying bonds if anything.

  • @courtneybrown8155
    @courtneybrown8155 Місяць тому +3

    I don't understand why people need rates cut. The interest rate is not high. The price of things is too high. Not Interest rate

    • @MrCote-xz3cd
      @MrCote-xz3cd Місяць тому

      Wrong, interest on a mortage of a new home represent a bigger part of your salary compare in the 80s. Money just have lost value, which is normal, interest are to high.

    • @shawn576
      @shawn576 Місяць тому

      @@MrCote-xz3cd But the cost of housing being too high is exactly why higher rates are needed. It causes real estate prices to crash. You can't afford a $1M mortgage at 7%, so the bank won't lend you that much, which means the seller can't sell it for that much.
      Houses were cheap as shit in 1980 because the mortgage rate was 15%. Nobody could borrow $100k at that rate, so nobody could sell a house for $100k.

    • @Choimasterflex
      @Choimasterflex Місяць тому

      ​@shawn576 imagine if $1mil houses today crashes to $100k... because some random reason BoC decides to increase rate. That would only benefit the top 1% wealthy as they don't need mortgage. They'll probably just swoop in, buy all off cash, and hold property to resell or rent later. Can't see how either way would benefit working class :(

    • @shawn576
      @shawn576 Місяць тому

      @@Choimasterflex High interest rates massively benefit the working class because it means down payment for a house is actually possible. 20% down on $100k is only $20k. I'm a pleb electrician and even I save more than that every year. When a house is $1M, it takes a decade to save a down payment. People buy a first home when they are 40 and then we wonder why the fertility rate is so incredibly low.

  • @KneZor
    @KneZor Місяць тому +1

    Will it cut? Amazing how much air, this rate cut debate, sucked out... My UA-cam feed is drying up :-(

  • @billyt3130
    @billyt3130 Місяць тому +1

    Economy is still strong, there is no need for cuts and there won't be

    • @shawn576
      @shawn576 Місяць тому +3

      Strong? The economy is fucked beyond belief. We've all seen the videos of lines around the block to apply for minimum wage jobs.

  • @babelfishdude
    @babelfishdude Місяць тому +1

    Punitive tariffs everywhere. Which means prices going up for everything. Rates will stay steady or rise.

  • @Truthseeker1-uq6wc
    @Truthseeker1-uq6wc Місяць тому +6

    Mortgage interest?? That’s perfectly CAUSED by the bank of Canada

  • @nu4chune
    @nu4chune Місяць тому +1

    Her voice mannerisms and speech style reminds me of our glorious deputy minister. And for that reason im out barbera

  • @milishjoseph8928
    @milishjoseph8928 Місяць тому

    Why they are cutting when economy is strong

  • @edmondlai8299
    @edmondlai8299 Місяць тому

    As long as the geopolitical situation remains tense, maybe a quarter point coming.

  • @CanDoTax-hd5qy
    @CanDoTax-hd5qy Місяць тому +4

    0% cuts. The BoC will keep rates the same or move them higher because they are all inept.

  • @danesplen2677
    @danesplen2677 Місяць тому +6

    It’s not rocket science if you up interest rates landlords have to increase rents to cover their mortgage, lower rates = lower rents

    • @legacyturbo8485
      @legacyturbo8485 Місяць тому +1

      That’s a given .!!!

    • @legacyturbo8485
      @legacyturbo8485 Місяць тому +2

      @@kalebb7170not true .!!! Immigration is causing a lot of this demand in rental and purchasing. Before this castreau government bringing in all these immigrants we had lower rates and we didn’t see rents and housing prices skyrocket because the demand was much lower .!!

    • @kalebb7170
      @kalebb7170 Місяць тому

      @@legacyturbo8485 genius, the biggest price increases were during the pandemic when immigration was essentially zero.
      Also, 2 guys looking vaguely similar in one picture doesn't make them father and son. Otherwise I have some crazy info on the relations up between Leonardo Dicaprio and Jack Nicholson.

    • @HardKnocks-pi7pc
      @HardKnocks-pi7pc Місяць тому

      Not institutional well heeled landlords. If you need a mortgage for more than 40 percent of a properties value you shouldnt be a landlord. Leave it to the big boys and go back to work and focus on your job.

    • @WizardHarry69
      @WizardHarry69 Місяць тому

      Get a real job leech

  • @mrnice9922
    @mrnice9922 Місяць тому

    1%

  • @gamerstv2444
    @gamerstv2444 Місяць тому +1

    125 points

  • @melkert81
    @melkert81 29 днів тому

    Mortgage rates need to level out around 4 for 5 years, not this 6.5 crap

  • @ajithantony5674
    @ajithantony5674 Місяць тому +3

    No cuts

  • @user-vi8ci2bi6b
    @user-vi8ci2bi6b Місяць тому +4

    So called experts say that "we can cut before the US".
    With the loonie currently lower than anyone wants, with further decline expected. I don't see how we could cut first. We will have to wait for some signal that the US is heading for definate recession before we could take that chance.
    I only see pauses at each meeting until then.

    • @MrCote-xz3cd
      @MrCote-xz3cd Місяць тому

      There is a lot of room, loonies already worth around 0,50$

    • @user-vi8ci2bi6b
      @user-vi8ci2bi6b Місяць тому

      Currently .73
      businesses that rely on imports will start to fold under .70
      Groceries and unemployment to the moon

    • @shawn576
      @shawn576 Місяць тому

      Keep in mind that rich people are not affected by a weak loonie. A weaker loonie boosts exports because it effectively cuts the wages of all people who get paid in Canadian dollars. They get paid in US dollars for the products being sold, but the workers are paid in Canadian dollars.

    • @user-vi8ci2bi6b
      @user-vi8ci2bi6b Місяць тому

      We are far from being an exporting giant.
      Logs and a few other things maybe

    • @shawn576
      @shawn576 Місяць тому

      @@user-vi8ci2bi6b Canada is the 9th largest exporter in the world. It's pretty impressive considering we're only about 0.5% of the global population.

  • @ronlewis2707
    @ronlewis2707 Місяць тому +2

    All these millionaires are fucking us but good

    • @Doug-zl8nb
      @Doug-zl8nb Місяць тому

      You got that right and the government screwing everybody except the rich

  • @dirtlump
    @dirtlump Місяць тому +2

    Not happening !
    And just how many U.S. Federal Reserve cuts do you see in 2024 concurrent to those .75 Bps of BoC rate cuts ? because if the U.S. Fed doesn't move all those BoC cuts will do is make things even more expensive as our Loonie Tanks !
    Nice to see Groceries coming down..... but what Groceries ?
    I've never seen our local Grocery stores so empty. No matter Safeway, Superstore, SavOn.... nothing but empty shelves with signs blaming 'supply chain' issues ?

    • @user-vi8ci2bi6b
      @user-vi8ci2bi6b Місяць тому

      Very true.
      At the onset of the hikes it was said that inflation wasn't going anywhere until the supply chain issues were fixed.
      They are not fixed.

  • @user-py4un2ss4e
    @user-py4un2ss4e Місяць тому

    0%

  • @shawn576
    @shawn576 Місяць тому

    We are so fucked. We either hold rates and see massive deflationary collapse in real estate or we cut rates and our currency plunges. If you truly believe BOC will cut rates before the fed cuts rates, you should be swapping to USD right now and buying short term US treasuries.

    • @Doug-zl8nb
      @Doug-zl8nb Місяць тому

      Canada has been destroyed forever

  • @DA-pt1em
    @DA-pt1em Місяць тому +1

    Where are the grocery stores where prices have gone down? Lol she must be living in the Liberal fantasy world

  • @maggielo1133
    @maggielo1133 Місяць тому +2

    How do they calculate that 2.5% ? All the necessity including gas and food are still high . Clothing shouldn’t be included . No one need to buy clothes regularly 😂 I have a coworker she put all her paychecks on renting . We see her has no lunch . This is unacceptable and ridiculous . And you guys came out and talk the price has went down ? I see only one reason for that . To tell us that the policy is heading to the right direction and the decision was smart 😂😂😂

    • @MrCote-xz3cd
      @MrCote-xz3cd Місяць тому

      Price didnt went down, price just stopped to increase compare to the last 12 months.

  • @debbielewisfehr9328
    @debbielewisfehr9328 Місяць тому

    Manufactured inflation.

  • @jonh537
    @jonh537 Місяць тому +1

    None, they will drag this on because we keep printing money

    • @Doug-zl8nb
      @Doug-zl8nb Місяць тому +1

      Canada is in big trouble

    • @AmanSS890
      @AmanSS890 Місяць тому

      They keep printing money like crazy . When Covid happend they printed money like crazy let people take loans and buy house and get stuck with a 30
      Year mortgage. The joke is on us. Money in the sense is worthless they just keep printing money and pushing up the cost of everything

  • @parthppatel28
    @parthppatel28 Місяць тому

    Lol she's doesn't know her stuff. I think the max we have will be 2-25 basis cuts spaced in between. That's it!

    • @shawn576
      @shawn576 Місяць тому +1

      I think you'd be surprised how quickly rates can be cut, but only if the fed moves first. If the fed cuts back to 1% or whatever, this gives the green light for Canada, Australia, etc to also cut to 1%. Pay close attention to what the fed is doing.

  • @alienspace3960
    @alienspace3960 Місяць тому +1

    inflation is not going down stop lying

  • @ronlewis2707
    @ronlewis2707 Місяць тому +1

    Trump must come into power when
    Pierre takes power as well things will change for us to the better

  • @leyladerysavi5620
    @leyladerysavi5620 Місяць тому

    Your guest only talking as may be and not sure or as survey what they said in 2 months all her saying not need experts to say. Normal human living in Canada knows those basic thoug.t. Please dont waist our time if they don’t have knowledge more than average people knows. When you bring expert means they should know more , she just talk on safe side. Choose next time right people for interview. Thank you. Sorry don’t take it personal either ones.