Oscar Best Actress Predictions 2019: Pete Hammond, Anne Thompson & Tom O'Neil
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- Опубліковано 28 сер 2024
- Can Lady Gaga really win the Oscar for "A Star Is Born"? Will Glenn Close ("The Wife") get skunked for an historic seventh time? Will Olivia Colman ("The Favourite") go lead or supporting? Watch famous Oscar experts Pete Hammond (Deadline Hollywood), Anne Thompson (Indiewire) and Tom O'Neil (Gold Derby).
Video produced by David Janove and Andrew Merrill
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These three should be in a sitcom.
Lmao! Omg yes-- they seem to have history together (first time watcher here lol)
Dojo Buff
They’d be fighting all the time
my predictions:
1. Lady Gaga
2. Olivia Colman
3 Glenn Close
4. Melissa McCarthy
5. Yalitza Aparicio
it should go to Glenn Close but will go to Lady Gaga.
Viola davis and toni collette are other options.
Jamie Lee Curtis can also be nominated.
@@Alchemist1330 it won't go to Gaga.
I agree with this list, but after the Globe and SAG nominations have come out, I think Emily Blunt gets in there instead of Yalitza Aparicio.
It’s funny how Anne Thompson says critics won’t vote for Gaga, yet they are the ones praising her performance.
Tom: I think...
*Anne interrupts him *
*Pete interrupts Anne *
*all three talk at the same time *
Zlatko Joha They were so fucking irritating l almost stopped watching.
Very, very annoying
Viola Davis and Toni Collette too! Plus KiKi Layne (Beale Street). It's a crazy competitive category this year.
I think you all forget something really important. The Oscars have been trying for the last 5 years to reinvent their image and be more audience friendly. More recently with the launch of Best Popular Film that didnt work out well. Now they want to find something else. Some will say ' Black Panther ' winning Best Picture is the way to go. But the Academy, will never decline from its tradional hardcore judging system even if they so desire a change. But who is the solution? Lady Gaga. Not only she is the pop culture phenomenon that draws millions of viewers and conversations but she also has the support of critics and box office. Im calling it; this is Lady Gaga's year.
Tell to to Cher, how bad her oscar to this day, contrary to popular believe, it will get hurt The Academy if they don't give to Glenn Close this time
George S Gaga hasn't been extremely popular since 2011-2012 as a music artist, her last few albums were huge commercial disappointments and she's only had a couple of hits since 2011 but ASIB is a comeback for her
Ivo Stoyanov yes but her popularity declined big time compared to 2008-2011. Her tour ticket sales were also quite bad
@@samosler4009 That is actually untrue. She didnt have those huge albums after 2012 but she still sold millions of records and all of her tours were sold out in minutes. She even performed to various huge stadiums on her last tour.
If she wins, it's because of the strength of her performance
Deserving one is Glenn Close..
everyone talks over Anne and she's the only one who has been right every other year
Anne is fantastic! However, she went out on a limb and predicted Laurie Metcalf last year, even though Allison Janney won everything leading up to the Oscars. But still, Anne Thompson is so smart and articulate, and I love listening to her.
Most of the people in the comments probably haven’t even watched other performances by leading actress as usual. People are also forgetting that “A star a born” is a remake of a remake. Even though Gaga’s acting was “great” Oscars will go with originality & blown away performances like Glenn Close.
Olivia Coleman should win for her performance in The Favourite. I'd love to see her fellow nominees be Lady Gaga, Glenn Close, Melissa McCarthy, and Toni Collette.
We’ve all been waiting for this one.
I guess not Toni Collette, though I don’t know what more you can mathematically ask an actress to do... 😤
Toni Colette- "Hereditary"
Olivia Coleman- "The Favourite"
Viola Davis- "Widows"
Lady Gaga- "A Star Is Born"
Melissa McCarthy- "Can You Ever Forgive Me?"
Toni Colette for Hereditary
This is GLENN CLOSE'S OSCAR!
My predictions
1) Glenn Close (should win/will win)
2) Lady Gaga
3) Melissa McCarthy
4) Nicol Kidman
5) ...
Glenn Close will win!!!! She is a long overdue!
The nominees will be Lady Gaga, Melissa McCarthy, Olivia Colman and Yalitza Aparicio
I really think that Gaga will win, she did such an amazing performance👏🏻
Marty - Amen 🙏
Wishful thinking: Glose as Leading and Colman as Supporting
I feel like this will be a year of surprising nominees. From what I've seen so far, Elsie Fischer in Eighth Grade, Charlize Theron in Tully and Toni Colette in Hereditary are my picks.
Oz Lee i agree with you
Oz Lee Elsie Fischer wasn’t that good
This is Glenn Close's year.
1. Glenn Close
2. Lady Gaga
3. Keira Knightley
4. Yalitza Aparicio
5. Melissa McCarthy
As a Lady Gaga fan who is also rational & level headed, I predict she will be nominated but not win. I suspect Glenn Close will win.
My predictions:
1. Olivia Colman - The Favourite
2. Nicole Kidman - Destroyer
3. Toni Colette - Hereditary
4. Melisa McCarthy - Can You Ever Forgive Me?
5. Lady Gaga - A Star Is Born
Dont Forget:
Viola Davis - Widows
Carey Mulligan - Wildlife
Glen Close - The Wife
And soon to see:
Amy Adams - Vice
Saoirse Ronan - Mary Queen Scots
Honestly Gaga or Toni Collette better win but I'm ROOOOOOTING for Gaga
TONI
FUCKING
COLLETTE
YES!!!!!!!!!!!!
All these people going ape shit over all these other actresses. I’m sorry, I would put my life on the line that NOT ONE of those actresses put up a performance this year that remotely comes close to Toni Collette. Hands down the best actor (male or female) this year!! That performance left me stunned and stuck with me for DAYS!
THANK YOU FOR SAYING HER NAME!!! FINALLY
Nicolas Rioux that dinner scene alone.
@@roygarcia9059 absolutely
Glenn Close will win. No question. She will not lose to another singer.
Toni Collette!!!!!
You guys need to focus. Or at least the host. Everyone is all over the place.
If Gaga wins the Oscar, it's because she rocked it. Not because it's a move to save the Oscars, but it's because she really gave the most transcendent performance of the year
Gaga as Actress and Colman as Supporting 🤞🏻
Anthony Hopkins era secundario y lo ganó como principal
I really don't enjoy listening to these critics talking over eachother - couldn't they find some better ones ? And yes Glenn Closes year !
I saw Cher in Moonstruck, while she had some good moments there were some awkward acting moments too I was wonderstruck by how she defeated Glenn Close's superb performance in Fatal Attraction. That was outrageous. And this year I can see Gaga winning over Close this year, Close's movie The Wife is deteriorating her chances.
Bob Garrett, I haven't watched the movie but I have checked reviews from different film critics and some scrutinized reviews say that overall its a charming performance but yes like you said her best acting moments are when she sings, the other non singing dramatic scenes lack, but some say its also because parts of her character is underwritten.
Edit:But that still doesn't matter becauseOscar's Best Actress awards don't necessarily go to the person who gave the best acting performance of the year.
If Emma stone won for a recorded singing and dancing perf , despite the heavier good dramatic performances of the year (Isabelle Huppert as a rape victim seeking revenge and Ruth Negga in Loving) I can see Oscars awarding Gaga. My personal choice would be Melissa Mc Carthy.
To this day, Cher osar one of the worst winner ever, The Academy better make sure that Gaga performances are oscar caliber or don't give it to her, cause it will just pop star oscar popularity contest, and you know how bad Cher's oscar to this day
I want Gaga to win not because of the popularity factor, but because her performance transcends beyond you know, skill. It's very timely and relevant. I cannot say it is rare, but it is not that often that commercial and critical STUPENDOUSLY agree on the strength of someone's performance. With the new generations of movie patrons becoming younger and more money-conscious, it's performances like that of Gaga's that balances the commercial and critical dynamics of the industry. I love Colman's performance (based in the trailer) but I cannot say I can bring all of my friends and my partner to watch it. I can say though that me and my girls and my sister can watch A Star is Born for 73 times LOL! My point is yes, Gaga's performance is undeniably strong and transcendent, but what it has that the others seem to lack (I have not seen them, so feel free to say this is kinda biased) is again, timeliness. Do Colman, Close, or Aparicio echo the general film aesthetic of the times? Maybe yes, maybe partly. But does Gaga echo it? FULLY. It's a performance that tugs strings of viewers from 14 to 75. I have seen it thrice, and it just becomes more exciting to watch again because you see people of different generations in a single theater all agreeing that her performance is one that is universally affective. You just damn well know it and you are sure of it
#Glenn Close Best Actress
olivia colman
This is a tough one. I currently have Lady Gaga in first place only because the Academy loves it when people who aren't full time actors come along and give a great performance. Cher and Jennifer Hudson are examples.
But Glenn Close really is overdue (should've won for Fatal Attraction in my opinion), and I'm tempted to switch her to first on my GoldDerby for Lead Actress because of that narrative. However, the reason I don't have her in first place for now is because The Wife isn't going to get nominated for anything else in my opinion. It's a good but not great movie. That really hurt Willem Dafoe last year, him being the sole nominee of his movie. The buzz for her is there, but it's not as strong as Julianne Moore in Still Alice where everyone said she was a lock to win from the moment that movie premiered at TIFF. This year, all acting categories are up for debate.
As far as Olivia Colman, it's very possible. I currently have her in third place in Lead Actress. But I'm inclined to agree with Tom and Pete that if she's nominated for Supporting Actress, she'll most likely win (I'm currently predicting Claire Foy in that category for reasons I'll discuss another time). However, this is why I think it's an uphill battle for her if she's put into Lead Actress. Lady Gaga is taking the Golden Globe Best Actress in a Comedy/Musical without a doubt, in my opinion. It'll be A Star is Born night at the Golden Globes, very similar to the night La La Land had there, but of course I don't think it'll be a clean sweep. I think it'll take Best Film Comedy/Musical, Best Actor in a Comedy/Musical (Bradley Cooper), and Best Actress in a Comedy/Musical (Lady Gaga). ALMOST, no one makes a comeback and wins an Oscar after losing the Comedy/Musical Golden Globe in an acting category. Frances McDormand in Fargo is one of those exceptions. So that's the major thing I feel works against Olivia Colman for Lead Actress.
Did you read my full post?
I get what you're saying that Cher had paid her dues before she actually won the Oscar, and this is Gaga's first film role. Who are you predicting at the moment Mr. Garrett?
Ivo Stoyanov I’m aware of Cher being nominated for Silkwood four years before she won for Moonstruck. I think Best Actress is tight right now. And I’ve seen both A Star is Born and The Wife.
Ivo Stoyanov I do agree with you that Bradley Cooper is the front runner right now. He’s definitely more likely to win an acting Oscar than Lady Gaga. I think he probably easily wins the Golden Globe in the Comedy/Musical category. Christian Bale I see is now competing in the Comedy/Musical field. But I don’t think Hollywood is ready to reward someone for playing a man they truly dispise. Could be wrong, but I think it’s Cooper’s.
@@jackmahanes4591 unfortunately , gaga didnt win globe, glenn didnt win oscar , and bradley didnt even got nominated for oscar... this was a strange year.. olivia should have won supporting actress and glenn leading actress..
Olivia Coleman. Don't argue with me.
Yalitza Aparício the best!
THIS IS NOT IN DEPTH ENOUGH. This needed to be atleast 20 minutes of thorough discussion and conclusion!
It's 3 months out from the nominations and all the movies haven't even premiered. Pretty sure you'll get a whole more between now and then.
It is sealed already! Glenn Close will be the next Academy Award winner for Best Actress for The Wife! A memorable performance as Joan Castleman. Can't wait for 2019
I love hearing three voices talk all at once for 9 minutes
Glenn Close! Glenn Close! Glenn Close!!! And Glenn Closeee!!!
My Predictions:
1) Glenn Close (The Wife)
2) Toni Colette (Hereditary)
3) Nicole Kidman (Destroyer)
4) Lady Gaga (A Star Is Born)
5) Olivia Colman (The Favourite)
KissMyAsthma Glenn Close is losing steam by the minute. Nobody saw the movie, and nobody’s talking about her anymore
This would be a dream line up...amazing!
That line up is very white. I think Viola will get her name on there, maybe at the expense of Glen or Nicole.
Paul C Widows looks like a more commercial movie and plus it looks like an ensemble piece (would Viola Davis stand out from her peers?). Those 2 things could hurt her chances.
Perhaps, But after the so white controversy a few years back, I can't see an all white list of nominees any more, and Viola seems to be the Woman of Colour with the most prominent role this year. Plus the film is by Steve McQueen, and the academy loves him
Lead actress- Olivia Coleman
Glenn Close!
Glenn Close obviously
Obviously Olivia
It's a pretty tough competition this year. My favorite performance is Yalitza Aparicio and Olivia Colman, but I think either Glenn Close or Lady Gaga will win. Honestly Glenn Close should just get it as a career Oscar like they did with Julianne Moore, Kate Winslet and Leo.
Toni Collette created one of the most devastating portrayals of grief I’ve ever seen on film. The fact that they don’t even talk about her really hurts their credibility.
The Wife is not that great as a film. Why, The Blind Side, The Iron Lady and Still Alice were?
Enrico Vendrametto Applause!!!!!
JackSam90 I don't get WB. They've been hyping ASIB as a masterpiece - but they're not for biggest projects like Fantastic Beasts 2 or Aquaman, which have such bigger bidgets. And giving an Oscar to Gaga will most likely be remembered as a faux, a là Gwyneth. Her first role. Was she good? Well, she's tried. I mean, her forehead doesn't move at all!
Hereditary. Hereditary. Hereditary.
I want Gaga to win not because of the popularity factor, but because her performance transcends beyond you know, skill. It's very timely and relevant. I cannot say it is rare, but it is not that often that commercial and critical STUPENDOUSLY agree on the strength of someone's performance. With the new generations of movie patrons becoming younger and more money-conscious, it's performances like that of Gaga's that balances the commercial and critical dynamics of the industry. I love Colman's performance (based in the trailer) but I cannot say I can bring all of my friends and my partner to watch it. I can say though that me and my girls and my sister can watch A Star is Born for 73 times LOL! My point is yes, Gaga's performance is undeniably strong and transcendent, but what it has that the others seem to lack (I have not seen them, so feel free to say this is kinda biased) is again, timeliness. Do Colman, Close, or Aparicio echo the general film aesthetic of the times? Maybe yes, maybe partly. But does Gaga echo it? FULLY. It's a performance that tugs strings of viewers from 14 to 75. I have seen it thrice, and it just becomes more exciting to watch again because you see people of different generations in a single theater all agreeing that her performance is one that is universally affective. You just damn well know it and you are sure of it
Best Performances:
1.) Toni Colette (Hereditary)
2.) Lady Gaga (A Star is Born)
I wish more people saw "the rider". It really deserves an acting nom, a directing nom, and maybe best picture nom.
TONI Collette?!?!?
toni collette. the academy should recognize hereditary. period.
We can make predictions now, but anybody saying anyone deserves the oscar at this point isn't being objective. If you haven't seen all the performances then you can't say a particular nominee deserves it. Gaga was fantastic but I haven't seen what she's up against, so I can't say if she should win
My predictions will be:
1. Lady Gaga (A Star Is Born)
2. Glenn Close (The Wife)
3. Melissa McCarthy (Can You Ever Forgive Me?)
4. Olivia Colman (The Favourite)
5. Emily Blunt (Mary Poppins Returns)
My list is a wishful one but one can dream
In no particular order:
Yalitza Aparicio (she has my heart, and she carries this film on her shoulders)
Sakura Ando (if you haven't seen Shoplifters, please do, she was this amazing scene at the station where I started crying; incredible)
Lady Gaga (it's beautiful to see this performer grow, and she has proven herself an actor)
Olivia Coleman (who is the best out of the trio in her film, she steals the scene from Oscar winners Stone and Weisz, although I thought she would be in supporting rather than lead)
And those are the ones I have seen so I can't judge Viola Davis, Melissa McCarthy, Joanna Kulig or Glenn Close-- but I hear they are all wonderful. IF I HAD TO CHOOSE A WINNER, I would go for Aparicio's subtle and beautiful performance.
ALSO, a huge mention to Toni Collette who is phenomenal but we know the Academy will snub her
Yalitza aparacio she is the winner
I can't wait to see Gaga winning this category and best original song!
LADY GAGA ❤ BEST ACTRESS 💙
Pues no!Glenn Close o Olivia Colman
Melissa McCarthy and Carey Mulligan are the two most deserving actresses right now
I have a soft spot for Melissa Mccarthy
Glenn Close has been nominated 6 times, one "OF" the greatest ever actresses, been in Hollywood for 38 years, and has worked her ass off for decades and never won...Blasphemous. I thought she had like 2 Oscar's by now. I'm shocked, Well she deserves a Oscar, she is legend now.
Rami Malek DESERVES to win!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! His portrayal of Freddie Mercury was spot on. EXTRAORDINARY performance.
Nicole Kidman is the dark horse, in my opinion. She's on a roll and everything I read about her in that film is BADASS!!
She does have two worthy films this year; in Boy Erased she has two lines that got people clapping for her at Telluride
Toni Collette not even mentioned?? Talk about critics circles boosting people
Yaritza aparicio the best
Tom and Pete; Please stop interrupting Ann. It is very arrogant of the two of you. She has a voice in this too!
Gold derby has always been leaning to Gaga and a Star is Born. But now the hype has faded. They have underestimated Glenn Close especially Anne. But now they all are in Glenn Close bandwagon after Globes put things right. She deserves to win because she is amazing in the Wife, not the overdue narratives
Oh god, I'm torn between Colman and McCarthy, I love them both
I was impressed with Gaga in ASIB. And I was not a Lady Gaga fan before I watched the film. But the academy voters will probably not vote for her because she isn’t an established actress. Maybe the whole lady gaga popstar mystique will be in voters’ minds? Colman should really be supporting, strange the studio will be campaigning for her in the lead actress category. Also they really love Roma. I will have to watch it.
Team Dream They should gave the award to the best performance of the year. Former nominations or experience in acting shouldn’t count. I think The Wife was a good movie, but not a great one. Glenn doesn’t have an Oscar and voters might think it’s her time now and Lady Gaga can wait...But sincerely, Gaga gave the most transcendent performance of the year!
I just have a gut feeling Gaga has it in the bag for Best Actress and Best Original Song.
Really wanted to hear their opinion on Viola Davis, I think her or Yalitza gets in.
Also it probably won't get nominated but it would be cool to see Mary Elizabeth Winstead get nominated for All About Nina. She's incredible in that!
Bradley Cooper did an amazing job by... taking the makeup off of Lady Gaga.
That's your argument?
She's a popular singer and she plays a woman who becomes a popular singer.
I'm down with her winning, but give me a reason she deserves more than a nomination. Give me a reason she wins and Glenn Close doesn't.
Because although she played a popular singer, Gaga played someone who became a popular singer that is absolutely NOTHING like her in real life. Some might argue that, her playing such a different personality in her own career path is actually even more impressive....that she didn't "fall in" to what she is naturally familiar with. She made a completely different person in the music industry believable. There was a point in the film where I genuinely had to stop and remind myself that I was watching Lady Gaga.
She took direction extremely well. She is one of the most respected and highly acclaimed musical icons of all time and she re-made herself enough to a point that audiences even from the high brow critic's seats to the the middle-American cheap seats not only love her, but believe that someone who was once wearing a meat dress, avante garde stilletos, and gawked extremist post-modern Andy Warhol art talk, was a relatable, shy, humble working girl that didn't know at all really how to handle fame, addiction, and her own insecurities.
Context: When Gaga boomed in 2009, nothing could stop her, she handled every interview, red carpet, music video, and she was intimidating and a runaway success based on her ability to control her own creativity, get people changing the conversation, and totally change the music industry to benefit her. She was 21. One of her most famous quotes is, "If you ever are wondering whether to get married or go for the job, remember this: Your career will never wake up one morning and tell you it doesn't love you anymore."
In A Star is Born, Ally is a 30-something year old girl who has no clue where to start and has completely given up on herself. She takes care of her father. By the time she is getting fame (by way of meeting a man that gets it for her), she is battling how to deal with fame, let's her executives control her for the fame, while trying to micro-manage her true love's footsteps, who happens to be an addict. She literally would put her career on the line for her love. She literally has let men affect her life her entire life and has no idea how to deal with the trauma of that. By the end of the film, after the pivotal moment near the end, it literally takes a death for her to finally make an independent move: dye her hair back before performing live after her husband's death, finally beginning to understand just how out of control she was the entire time. It can be assumed she learned from this, but...we never really get to know. It's still very possible she let the chaos of it all damage her to a point of no return or even being jaded.
Lady Gaga and Ally couldn't be anymore different.
Sounds like two different people.
That's acting.
Shane G They should gave the award to the best performance of the year. Former nominations shouldn’t count. The Wife was a good movie, but not a great one. Lady Gaga gave the most transcendent performance of the year!
a tie - maybe - between Close and Gaga
So are we just going to ignore Carey Mulligan in Wildlife? She's INCREDIBLE in that!
Even though I know Nicole Kidman had the least screen time of the three women in The Hours, I understand why she was placed as a lead because her character appears to have a greater impact on the overall story. Her scenes aren't as subtle, they're dominated by her presence so you easily forget she's less in the film compared to Meryl Streep and Julianne Moore.
Really surprised that no one mentioned Emily Blunt for Mary Poppins.
The underestimation on behalf of Tom O’Neill is...baffling. He really is close minded.
Does Claire Got in First Man get categorized for best actress or supporting actress?
@@jamesf2885 It's hard to tell sometimes since she's the main actress in the movie but yes now that I think about it, Gosling is the only actor playing a lead character in the movie.
I think you're right. It's not hard to be smarter than you three. Without mention to Emma Thompson in The Children's Act?
TONI!!!! COLLETTE!!!!!
What about Joanna Kulig in Cold War ????????????????
I hope the academy don't make the same mistakes, like awarding Pop Star for the sake of popularity, we know how bad Cher's Oscar to this day, if they want to give it to Lada Gaga, because she deserved with her performances
Borneo Coolpad They should gave the award to the best performance of the year. Lady Gaga gave the most transcendent performance of the year!
This being the third year in a row where the Lead Actress race is the most competitive and crowded, I think the Oscars should go the Emmy route and expand the shortlist to 6 nominees. Hell, the only thing I'm sure of is that Viola Davis won't win but will be nominated. First, the reception for 'Widows' has been ecstatic, second, she's Viola Davis, third, of course, she is the highest profile actress of colour this season . I'd love for Saoirse to be nominated so she can break the record of youngest 4-time nominee (and youngest fifth-time nominee playing Jo March in 'Little Women' next year). People are still forgetting about Emily Blunt as Mary Poppins, a movie that Disney has so much faith in, they shafted 'Solo' so it would thrive during the Holidays.
1. Nicole Kidman
2. Lady Gaga
Nicole Kidman will surprise everyone when critics noms and Golden Globes start. She's the one to lose to. Her performance is out of this world in Destroyer. She carried the movie, transformative and brave performance the Academy love to reward. Watch out !!
If the academy Is honest yalitzia has to win and dat's all
Oscars for Cooper and GaGa
Yalitza for the win
EMMA THOMPSON!!! she was fantastic in the Children Act. Gaga might have been good, but it’s too soon for a nomination for her. Golden Globe but not an Oscar. And give Glenn Close an Oscar already! Geez.
Toni Collette for Hereditary. I heard about Glenn Close for The Wife. I've seen every A Star is Born, Lady Gaga is great but not oscar worthy (I would put her 6th or 7th place)
Toni Collette so deserves the Oscar win , she delivers an amazing performance
The fabulous Glenn Close deserves the Oscar
Gaga, Collette, or Kidman.
Funny how Tom' O Neil says Saoirse sweeps up every year (though its just 2016,2018) yet he still could not pronounce Saoirse Ronan, its not pronounced Sursay, its Sursha according to her.
Yas anne
Why is no one mentioning Toni Collette?