I took a Cruel Pact at stage 2-1 so I could get a Prismatic Ticket to shurkou's house. The Infernal Contract turned my Tiniest Titan into an Impenetrable Bulwark and I used my Final Reserves to Level Up. I had a Phreaky Friday but in the end this was all a Cursed Crown as I went dead last. I am insane.
Brotherman I was going to prison FOR FREE? after I hit my wife with double trouble with my best friend. She then filed for infernal contract, and I thought I had wellness trust. Turns out my hedge fund was not found and I ate mustard to keep myself alive. I went dead last
Nah, see the thing is, Shurkou doesn't have a 10% chance for Blitzcrank with every roll. He has 10% for a 4-cost. That 10% is then divided equally on all remaining 4-costs that aren't in play, on bench, or in someone else's shop. So when only 3 Blitzcranks are left in the pool and there's like 10 other 4-costs that still have all 10 copies left in the pool, it's extremely unlikely to find them. Yes, even with Shurkou taking 5 4-cost units onto his bench.
@pvshka he rolled 221 times looking for 2 blitzcranks, even if it's 0.5% chance to get a blitz with the remaining 4 cost pools the math doesn't add up
@@ConReese I did the math. There's 13 4-costs. The bag size is 10. That's 130 4-cost units. Subtract those in play, the opponents have none, he has 7 Blitzcranks. That's 123 units remaining in the pool. 3/123 is 2.4%, now divide that with the starting 10% chance for a 4-cost per roll and multiply by 5 slots, he has approximately 1,2% chance to find a the 8th Blitz on each roll. Which means the chance of not finding one is 98,8% (really makes you look at it differently). Apply the statistical loss streak formula (98,8%)^221 and you get that the chance of not finding a single Blitz was 6,64%. So yes, rather unlucky, seeing as he had a 93,36% chance to find the eight Blitz in those 221 rolls. Let's repeat the process for the 9th Blitz. If we're generous, he found the eight one on the first roll, which means 220 rolls remaining. The chance to find the 9th blitz with 220 rolls was 83,65%. The total chance to find Blitz 3 in 221 rolls was 78,09%. So yeah, while we're being a bit generous with the calculations here, brotherman still got super unlucky. Mustard.
I am neither a statistician nor an expert in how tft shop rng works, but here is an attempt at quantifying the probability of Shurkou not hitting Blitz 3: I think I heard somewhere that the rarity of the unit in each slot is calculated first and at level 7 the 4 cost % is 10%. The total pool of 4 costs is 12 units * 10 copies per unit = 120 minus 7 for the 7 blitz he already has is 113. Let's round down to 110 to account for him sometimes having 4 costs on his bench and other 4 costs appearing in shop(not sure if thats how it works). So, the chance of a 4 cost being blitz is 3/110. There are 5 units per shop, but lets say there are 4.75 to account for every 4th shop having 1 less possibility of a blitz for the headliner. Therefore, the probability of each reroll having a blitz in it is: (0.1)(3/110)(4.75) = 0.01295 ~= 1.3% Someone else said 221 rolls, so the probability of not finding an 8th blitz is (1-0.01295)^221 = 0.056 = 5.6% to not find an 8th blitz. Then, I couldnt figure out how to calculate the probability of not finding a 9th bc when you find the 8th the chance goes down so i just plugged shit into chatgpt and got this: there is approximately a 50.13% chance of the event not happening twice in 221 trials.
Not considering HoJ, at 15:00 mordekaiser had 7 stacks and 177 AP. At 24:17 he had 17 stacks and 187 AP. So I'm pretty sure it's +1 AP. Morde's ability gives him +4 AP when he kills an enemy until the end of the round, that's why he gained more than +1 while fighting.
In yesterday's video, Brotherman went "Shurkrazy" and had an Emotional Connection with Scuttle Puddle. Then it became a Hologram in his Cluttered Mind. It was INSANE.
the rolling makes sense cause the last enemy had no four costs at all so they were all in the pool >_< edit: looking at the post game stats basically no one had any four costs at any point in the game lmao damn
Wouldn’t it have been so much smarter to go hedge fund instead which gives 40 gold then sit at 100 gold for 3 rounds which would give 30 gold interest plus win steak bonus, you’d make much more money than infernal contract gave and you’d be able to still go level 8 and actually hit the blitz
I did some math beacuse not finding one of the last three blitzcranks in 221 rolls seemed crazy, but he was actually not unlucky to not find a blitz. It was the expected outcome because of the high amount of 4-cost units left in the pool (enemies barely bought any) This is the tricky shit online casinos and lootboxes live for. Lol.
I don't think it's easier to find Blitzcranks than finding 3 Kayns on level 7 (When you have 7 blitzcranks in your possession ) Yes it's a 10% chance for a 4 cost vs 1% chance for a 5 cost, but nobody's holding any 5 cost, and the particular 4 cost you're rolling for at 10% chance, there's just too few of them in the pool to find them on 7 (I feel like) Although yes that was very unlucky to find none in the last few turns, rolling 100 gold with ticket - but I believe 3 starring it is extremely hard on 7, based on the multiplication of rarity
Why not Hedge Fund? 50 Gold less then Infernal Contract. With 10 Gold Interest that’s literally 3 Fights brotherman Than going Lvl.8 easy 3 Star Blitz it would’ve been insane
After watching this guy roll over 200 times to not see even ONE blitzcrank, I seriously think the shop odds are rigged sometimes to prevent you from hitting units.
Brotherman that shit funny to watch, game subtrakted a whole years salary just to make you cry a lil on the inside (infernal contract useless in my opinion)
I took a Cruel Pact at stage 2-1 so I could get a Prismatic Ticket to shurkou's house. The Infernal Contract turned my Tiniest Titan into an Impenetrable Bulwark and I used my Final Reserves to Level Up. I had a Phreaky Friday but in the end this was all a Cursed Crown as I went dead last. I am insane.
Brotherman I was going to prison FOR FREE? after I hit my wife with double trouble with my best friend. She then filed for infernal contract, and I thought I had wellness trust. Turns out my hedge fund was not found and I ate mustard to keep myself alive. I went dead last
You are insane
@@VeyVoxDEEESERVED
U might need a break from watching brotherman, brotherman
No fucking way shurkou compilations strikes again
From 19:05 brotherman rolls 221 times without seeing a single blitz
yeah that’s insane. especially since he found like 2 kayns and 2 illaois before any other blitzs
This game is the best
it seems balanced to me brotherman
@@markdaniel1226 the fact about 5 yorics at level 7 is insane
They should have a feature like you can't not get one unit for that many shops
that guy had to have hit a 3 blitz shop and locked it the whole game
Nah, see the thing is, Shurkou doesn't have a 10% chance for Blitzcrank with every roll. He has 10% for a 4-cost. That 10% is then divided equally on all remaining 4-costs that aren't in play, on bench, or in someone else's shop. So when only 3 Blitzcranks are left in the pool and there's like 10 other 4-costs that still have all 10 copies left in the pool, it's extremely unlikely to find them. Yes, even with Shurkou taking 5 4-cost units onto his bench.
@@pvshkatrue but it was funny that he also found 2 yoricks while rolling down at the 1% while having a 2 star as well
@pvshka he rolled 221 times looking for 2 blitzcranks, even if it's 0.5% chance to get a blitz with the remaining 4 cost pools the math doesn't add up
@@ConReese I did the math. There's 13 4-costs. The bag size is 10. That's 130 4-cost units. Subtract those in play, the opponents have none, he has 7 Blitzcranks. That's 123 units remaining in the pool. 3/123 is 2.4%, now divide that with the starting 10% chance for a 4-cost per roll and multiply by 5 slots, he has approximately 1,2% chance to find a the 8th Blitz on each roll. Which means the chance of not finding one is 98,8% (really makes you look at it differently). Apply the statistical loss streak formula (98,8%)^221 and you get that the chance of not finding a single Blitz was 6,64%. So yes, rather unlucky, seeing as he had a 93,36% chance to find the eight Blitz in those 221 rolls. Let's repeat the process for the 9th Blitz. If we're generous, he found the eight one on the first roll, which means 220 rolls remaining. The chance to find the 9th blitz with 220 rolls was 83,65%. The total chance to find Blitz 3 in 221 rolls was 78,09%. So yeah, while we're being a bit generous with the calculations here, brotherman still got super unlucky. Mustard.
I found fentanyl at 2-1 miles from my home. Then, I hit Ascension and couldnt move from the sidewalk. Im insane
Did you took going long?
He took rolling for days
You're going deadlast brotherman
I am neither a statistician nor an expert in how tft shop rng works, but here is an attempt at quantifying the probability of Shurkou not hitting Blitz 3:
I think I heard somewhere that the rarity of the unit in each slot is calculated first and at level 7 the 4 cost % is 10%. The total pool of 4 costs is 12 units * 10 copies per unit = 120 minus 7 for the 7 blitz he already has is 113. Let's round down to 110 to account for him sometimes having 4 costs on his bench and other 4 costs appearing in shop(not sure if thats how it works). So, the chance of a 4 cost being blitz is 3/110. There are 5 units per shop, but lets say there are 4.75 to account for every 4th shop having 1 less possibility of a blitz for the headliner.
Therefore, the probability of each reroll having a blitz in it is: (0.1)(3/110)(4.75) = 0.01295 ~= 1.3%
Someone else said 221 rolls, so the probability of not finding an 8th blitz is (1-0.01295)^221 = 0.056 = 5.6% to not find an 8th blitz. Then, I couldnt figure out how to calculate the probability of not finding a 9th bc when you find the 8th the chance goes down so i just plugged shit into chatgpt and got this: there is approximately a 50.13% chance of the event not happening twice in 221 trials.
brotherman a genius
There must be a some sort of bug there with blitzcrank. He rolled like 200 golds and hit nothing.
Its isnt there is less then a 1% chans for him to hit 1 blitz if u do the math
@@spinkigaasiaten5482sounds about right, when you account for all the other 4-costs that still have alll 10 units in the pool.
yeah surely, pool of 4 costs has barely any blitz
@@spinkigaasiaten5482
He rolled 442 gold
@@zuzuku8152 he rolled 221 times but about half of it was free.
Not considering HoJ, at 15:00 mordekaiser had 7 stacks and 177 AP. At 24:17 he had 17 stacks and 187 AP. So I'm pretty sure it's +1 AP.
Morde's ability gives him +4 AP when he kills an enemy until the end of the round, that's why he gained more than +1 while fighting.
i put 9 hotdogs on my mustard and had to fight my family to the death. I won. now they call me glizzy gulper. im insane.
In yesterday's video, Brotherman went "Shurkrazy" and had an Emotional Connection with Scuttle Puddle. Then it became a Hologram in his Cluttered Mind. It was INSANE.
2:25 Jhin wet dream
level 5
i lost my job yesterday, it was insane, i'm going dead last brotherman
the rolling makes sense cause the last enemy had no four costs at all so they were all in the pool >_<
edit: looking at the post game stats basically no one had any four costs at any point in the game lmao damn
Wouldn’t it have been so much smarter to go hedge fund instead which gives 40 gold then sit at 100 gold for 3 rounds which would give 30 gold interest plus win steak bonus, you’d make much more money than infernal contract gave and you’d be able to still go level 8 and actually hit the blitz
Yeah I honestly think Hedge Fund was the play, but I'm still unsure if he'd hit Blitz anyway.
brotherman keeps going deadlast like a freaking baus
riot edging brother man with those 2 blitz
I did some math beacuse not finding one of the last three blitzcranks in 221 rolls seemed crazy, but he was actually not unlucky to not find a blitz. It was the expected outcome because of the high amount of 4-cost units left in the pool (enemies barely bought any) This is the tricky shit online casinos and lootboxes live for. Lol.
absolutely algorithmic video brotherman
have u got mustard on your desk brotherman?
I don't think it's easier to find Blitzcranks than finding 3 Kayns on level 7 (When you have 7 blitzcranks in your possession )
Yes it's a 10% chance for a 4 cost vs 1% chance for a 5 cost, but nobody's holding any 5 cost, and the particular 4 cost you're rolling for at 10% chance, there's just too few of them in the pool to find them on 7 (I feel like)
Although yes that was very unlucky to find none in the last few turns, rolling 100 gold with ticket - but I believe 3 starring it is extremely hard on 7, based on the multiplication of rarity
brothermans german girlfriends left
brotherman is still rolling for blitz 3
the 3 star blitz was the friends we made all along
-20HP @2-3 That's alot of damage.😅
Blitz just went on vacation, gg brotherman.
I rolled a bajillion gold and brotherman wouldn't tease me with another guy. So i put a rod on the girl. It was INSANE.
brotherman having the time of his life on a smurf account
insane brotherman
Im shurkrazy brotherman
Brotherman this smurf content is BASED
If brotherman bought 2 stars of other 4 costs he would have hit so much earlier
brotherman
Why is brotherman uploading a normal game on his smurf account?
Because that the only way to experiment with different comps without tanking like 5000 LP
Brotherman you can be cruel on my pact anytime you want you know what I mean
Why not Hedge Fund? 50 Gold less then Infernal Contract. With 10 Gold Interest that’s literally 3 Fights brotherman
Than going Lvl.8 easy 3 Star Blitz it would’ve been insane
After watching this guy roll over 200 times to not see even ONE blitzcrank, I seriously think the shop odds are rigged sometimes to prevent you from hitting units.
Not rly the chance for him to just hit one is less then 1%
Algorithmic comment. I only like mustard on sausages baked over campfire or bbq.
Brotherboy wasted a prismatic augment and still went 1?
Brotherman! Fake mr100, perfect game maby, but its a perfect crule packt
Whats the point? He used apostrophe lol.
blitz this game was just like my father fr fr
wow!
Tossing 3-2 quiana had my cringing an organ out
I BEAT THE GERMAN BOT ON GETTING HERE FIRST
Brotherman that shit funny to watch, game subtrakted a whole years salary just to make you cry a lil on the inside (infernal contract useless in my opinion)
Can we send this to riot and demand an explanation
Smurfko has worse chances to hit 3 star Blitz than shurkou 😂
If you had tinniest titan you could actually get Mr. 100
Not going hedgefund is kinda unbased ngl
Well.... Technically, brother man, you didn't get Mr. 100
That's why it's in the quotation marks
Tbh you shouldnt spoiler Things like Mr 100 etc. In the title
You would get more views if you didnt upload every single game you play.