Fed Cutting Rates. Stock Crash or Boom?

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  • Опубліковано 12 вер 2024
  • The Fed has signaled a clear intention to start cutting interest rates in September. Will this lead to a stock market crash like what happened in 2001 and 2008? Which assets and stocks will benefit the most from lower rates? Find out in this video.
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КОМЕНТАРІ • 156

  • @kingbond2933
    @kingbond2933 19 днів тому +6

    No one can predict the future, especially the stock market! Most important is u do yr homework about what u buy, when to take profit, cut yr losses, when to hedge or do a cover call or cover put……..

  • @sharon1972isr
    @sharon1972isr 20 днів тому +20

    A very comprehensive lesson, thank you very much Adam for your time.

  • @bensgoodeats1493
    @bensgoodeats1493 20 днів тому +9

    Rate cut benefit US construction stocks like BLDR, DHI, PHM, LEN, CAT

  • @StratCatStrut1974
    @StratCatStrut1974 18 днів тому +4

    When you know your stuff, And I do mean knowing everything about the market how it lives and breathes reacts and responds along with being a well disciplined trader. And only then, is it safe to take a stroll down Wall Street and wake up the next day with money in your pockets and not just lint and you've lost your shirt as well... People that just throw money and hope for the best, eventually realize they are in a shark tank my friend... Adam your such a great teacher and reflection of mastering what you do and you can be successful...Im a trader of just a couple years now and I'm busting my ass everyday taking in everything I can and learning about how to be good at trading... Soo soo much to learn but your videos input and analogies of the market have been priceless. Learn soo much from you. Thank You. "In Adam We Trust" ✌️

  • @WestonStruzzi
    @WestonStruzzi 16 днів тому +1

    The great thing about investing in the S&P 500 is that if a company starts to falter, become unprofitable, and lose market value, it gets removed and replaced by a stronger company-all without you having to lift a finger.

  • @danlevanon
    @danlevanon 20 днів тому +6

    Thanks for the quick reference to the effects of yesterday's Fed statement in Jackson Hole. As your long-time watcher and as a long-term investor, I hold Lululemon shares, which publishes its results for the second quarter this week on Thursday. From analyzing the candlesticks on the graph as I did, I see a continuation of the decline even though Lulu's business environment is showing signs of recovery from the low prices their shares reached. Can you analyze it as you see it? Thank you so much🙏

  • @jeffsantiago3464
    @jeffsantiago3464 16 днів тому +3

    From $10K to $45K that's the minimum range of profit return every week I thinks it's not a bad one for me, now I have enough to pay bills and take care of my family.

  • @zhengjs3463
    @zhengjs3463 19 днів тому +3

    hi adam , which sg Reit are of good investment quality? pls share with us. thks

  • @Don_Gorgan
    @Don_Gorgan 20 днів тому +5

    Before watching this video, I say shares will go up because fewer people will hold money in bonds and in the money marke funds, and buy shares

    • @ianscherger6587
      @ianscherger6587 18 днів тому

      Probably yes, unfortunately the market is going to be so over valued by measurement of P/E and TotalMarketCap/GDP.

  • @gregfields011
    @gregfields011 19 днів тому +4

    Earnings don't drive stocks. Liquidity does.

    • @WTSHIT
      @WTSHIT 17 днів тому

      You damn right!!! Many people forgotten, This Rally was Fuel by Low tax, Cheap money in EU,Japan & US, now left Japan with Cheap money which may not be cheap anymore, there is a reason why Warren Buffett sold, because Up coming Tax Hike.

  • @thealchemistinsearch
    @thealchemistinsearch 19 днів тому +2

    US job numbers is a redflag. I am 50% cash vs 30% usual. Earnings will be revised Q1 2025 onwards to the downside

  • @riccardoruocco9906
    @riccardoruocco9906 20 днів тому +4

    Building a cash position to buy valuable businesses. Volatility will be certain

  • @starlight3592
    @starlight3592 20 днів тому +5

    very well informative. Thanks Adam

  • @ashishpatil101
    @ashishpatil101 20 днів тому +5

    You should change your cursor arrow to something bigger that is much easily visible on the screen. Great content as always btw.

  • @Zakiotaibi
    @Zakiotaibi 20 днів тому +4

    Thanx Adam
    Brilliant as always
    1. A worry of recession is still there ( inverted yield curve almost zero !! )
    2. Markets to celebrate cut rates should rebound first ..as Fed anticipated cut rates too late
    3. In a week time GDP to be released showing positive but less than expected
    4 . I personally prefer to catch leg up after correction
    All luck to all

  • @dryden28
    @dryden28 20 днів тому +13

    Market is alot more sensative and reactive than 2008 and 2001, I believe we are getting the soft landing that has been talked about for the past 2 years.

  • @victorc8028
    @victorc8028 20 днів тому +4

    Thank you Adam, you're awesome!

  • @Jørgensen79
    @Jørgensen79 19 днів тому +1

    I came across your channel through this video-case studies are incredibly valuable, and I'm eager to see more in the future! Building wealth involves establishing routines, like consistently setting aside funds at regular intervals for smart investments.

    • @LagrandAvetisian
      @LagrandAvetisian 17 днів тому

      You're correct. I think the smartest way to go is to spread out your investments. By putting your money into different asset classes like bonds, real estate, and stocks from other countries, you can lower the risk if one part of the market goes bad.

  • @ansonkwan4508
    @ansonkwan4508 20 днів тому +2

    As always, great stuff Adam!!

  • @kne2323
    @kne2323 19 днів тому +1

    Agree that the market was already crashing in the previous 2 instances. Not worried this time. Everyone I know (little fish) are holding back until rates are cut then they’ll spend. Unfortunately (just my opinion) the market these days is being driven by whales and not little fish like us. Whales do what they want and their actions often make no sense. Takeaway: if it drops, it’ll recover fairly quickly. If it doesn’t drop, all good. Patience always wins. Good luck everyone!
    Excellent video!

  • @erichong6782
    @erichong6782 19 днів тому +2

    Great video...plenty of wisdom 👍👍

  • @lomo8660
    @lomo8660 19 днів тому +1

    It seems we are running into the next bubble. This time AI bubble. How to prepare?

  • @miamiboating
    @miamiboating 5 днів тому

    Thanks! Great Video!

  • @starlight3592
    @starlight3592 20 днів тому +5

    ❤ my mentor , long live my king

  • @marcelsnip4222
    @marcelsnip4222 19 днів тому +1

    Highly informative, thank you.

  • @Yatra-kj3zq
    @Yatra-kj3zq 20 днів тому +2

    Great video. Thank you Adam.

  • @EducationalChannel-qm5sy
    @EducationalChannel-qm5sy 19 днів тому

    Adam - Always like your analysis. At 13.07 minutes of your video you speak about EPS . What if scenario if corporate tax brackets are changed after the election. As you had said in previous videos, markets are leading indicators, if corporate tax brackets are revised to previous levels (news in air :corporate tax rate to 28% from 21%) and there might be effect in markets ?)
    Just wrote in Chat GPT - and this is what it says.
    Here's how an increase in corporate tax rates from 21% to 28% would impact EPS:
    Higher Tax Expense: With a higher tax rate, the company's tax expense increases. For example, if a company had a pre-tax income of $100 million, at a 21% tax rate, the tax expense would be $21 million, leaving $79 million in net income. At a 28% tax rate, the tax expense would rise to $28 million, leaving $72 million in net income.
    Reduced Net Income: Since net income is calculated after taxes, an increase in tax expense reduces net income. A lower net income means less earnings available for distribution to shareholders.
    Lower EPS: As net income decreases, EPS will also decrease, assuming the number of shares outstanding remains the same. This is because EPS is essentially the portion of a company’s profit allocated to each outstanding share...
    I am bullish too, but this is worrying me.

  • @SanisaI
    @SanisaI 19 днів тому +1

    8:10 Good explanations..👍.. This time, Market will crash due to AI.. it is quite sure..

  • @Deniz-Alberta
    @Deniz-Alberta 20 днів тому +2

    Thanks for the update, Adam! 🎉😊

  • @RickWatson-xu6gw
    @RickWatson-xu6gw 19 днів тому +1

    Some experts think rate cuts could boost certain industries, while others warn it might increase inflation concerns. I'm reviewing my $600K portfolio allocations and I'm curious about strategies to respond to these potential sector impacts.

  • @theblinddragon8306
    @theblinddragon8306 20 днів тому +2

    Thank you Adam😊

  • @sofiyaemelyanova9833
    @sofiyaemelyanova9833 12 днів тому

    Simply the best trader of 2023. Thanks for the lessons.

  • @muhammadkabir3033
    @muhammadkabir3033 20 днів тому +3

    Thank you Sir

  • @ilhamkerim6674
    @ilhamkerim6674 20 днів тому +1

    Thank you so much for sharing your insights.

  • @nathadagathire
    @nathadagathire 18 днів тому

    Used to think investors lose out amid crash, meanwhile some make profits. I also thought folks went out of business during the great depression, but some went into business. Bottom line, there's always depression for some while others amass wealth gains.

  • @iantan8242
    @iantan8242 20 днів тому +4

    My king 🤝

  • @jojos8888
    @jojos8888 19 днів тому

    Thanks for the good video. Would you share with us what you think are the top 5-6 quality Singapore REITS?

  • @scottliou599
    @scottliou599 20 днів тому

    Good and thorough insights!
    Is DBS a dividend stock?
    Thanks in advance.

  • @manish749
    @manish749 19 днів тому

    Sir for Indian market...what is the ETF name of reit?? So that we can take advantage of reit?

  • @johnm7421
    @johnm7421 19 днів тому

    Thank you Adam! Always appreciate your contents!

  • @truthwillalwaysprevail
    @truthwillalwaysprevail 19 днів тому +1

    Isn't the market already priced in the Fed rate cut? If so then shouldn't the market pull back rather than going up?

  • @shahidmehmood2049
    @shahidmehmood2049 20 днів тому +1

    very well explained...thank you for your time

  • @urmilpatel6244
    @urmilpatel6244 19 днів тому

    Very easy and perfect Info. as always, Thanks a lot.

  • @Danpron109
    @Danpron109 13 днів тому +1

    With markets experiencing significant volatility, inflation on the rise, and the Federal Reserve implementing substantial interest rate hikes, treasury yields are climbing rapidly. This has resulted to lot of losses for portfolios this quarter. I'm currently at a crossroads, considering whether to liquidate my $125k bond and stock portfolio. In this market conditions, I’m seeking guidance on how to navigate this uncertainty and potentially capitalize on the situation.

    • @Donaldsmith109
      @Donaldsmith109 13 днів тому

      I agree, just because the market presents opportunities doesn't mean we should rush in headfirst. For this reason, we should look for appropriate market analysis or guidance or, alternatively, seek advice from certified market strategists.

    • @gracegomez109
      @gracegomez109 13 днів тому

      If you lack knowledge about market investing tactics, get advice from a financial counselor.

  • @hl.4896
    @hl.4896 20 днів тому +1

    Thanks for ur explanation Adam

  • @googlytrader
    @googlytrader 20 днів тому +1

    Great reminder on these unloved stocks!

  • @Ken_M_M
    @Ken_M_M 19 днів тому +1

    I can confirm from the US. I just bought a toilet from Lowe’s yesterday.

  • @mindfulnvest
    @mindfulnvest 20 днів тому +3

    Your videos are so valuable to me. Thank you so much!

  • @sirlootalot1118
    @sirlootalot1118 20 днів тому +1

    Very helpful, thank you so much !

  • @1roxtube
    @1roxtube 19 днів тому

    Just curious why you use synthetic on bond etfs and not other stocks as much?

  • @MaryBarbara7Z
    @MaryBarbara7Z 14 днів тому +1

    Its worse here, our economy is like a flailing fish, fighting for its life. The normal state of the U.S. economy is actually very bad. Because of this it goes into convulsive spasms fighting to grow any way it can out of desperation. Tricks, gimmicks, rule changes try to stimulate the economy and prevent it from falling but they only bring temporary relief to people since, when you factor in inflation we are declining.

  • @realmlee8803
    @realmlee8803 19 днів тому +1

    Companies earning is not a true indication when they retrenched huge size of their employees....mkt will crash this coming rate cut

  • @vanhuang6333
    @vanhuang6333 19 днів тому

    Good video as usual, Adam. Thank you.

  • @mast_mast_music
    @mast_mast_music 19 днів тому +1

    A very nice video. I love it.

  • @funfactwithme
    @funfactwithme 19 днів тому

    I’m learning a lot❤ Thanks for the lesson Adam 🎉

  • @sns1804
    @sns1804 10 днів тому

    I like it most when you recommend a particular stock and how you trade it.

  • @jamanstock
    @jamanstock 17 днів тому +1

    sir you are so intelligent person . Thanks you sir 🥰🥰🥰🥰🥰🥰🥰🥰🥰🥰🥰🥰🥰🥰🥰🥰🥰🥰🥰🥰🥰🥰

  • @GTRrocker84
    @GTRrocker84 17 днів тому

    I’m hoping the first fed rate cut is a sell the news event. Market rallied this year specifically speculating on the fed cutting rates.

  • @riccardoruocco9906
    @riccardoruocco9906 18 днів тому

    Amazing as always. Thanks a lot Adam

  • @EntertainMeNow
    @EntertainMeNow 20 днів тому

    Adam I remember in the past you bought SLB, it looks at attractive price at the moment, I cant remember why you exited it in the past?

  • @ongboonsing434
    @ongboonsing434 20 днів тому +1

    Time to buy for sure

  • @AbcBakery
    @AbcBakery 16 днів тому

    Loading up more TLT long position!

  • @ethanf.6848
    @ethanf.6848 15 днів тому

    Isn't the credit spread too low to justify the corporate bond ETF?

  • @miguelteran-raful2718
    @miguelteran-raful2718 2 дні тому

    I wonder how IWM etf will react to rate cuts

  • @ernestogjeckeln4107
    @ernestogjeckeln4107 19 днів тому

    Good summary. Thank you!👏👍

  • @petronipetroni6841
    @petronipetroni6841 19 днів тому

    I think the car was a great comparison for your thesis. I just pictured a train. 👍

    • @andis9076
      @andis9076 19 днів тому

      I picture a tanker, titanic or cruise ship due to the lag and size.

  • @williamskanbar
    @williamskanbar 19 днів тому +1

    Given the heightened volatility in the stock market, I’ve just committed $80,000 to ETFs and individual stocks, hoping to benefit from the ongoing S&P 500 decline. What are some accurate forecasts for the market ahead? I’d love to chat about it.

  • @crystalplat4772
    @crystalplat4772 18 днів тому +1

    Was it the economy going so hot or was it all of the free money being printed and dispersed to everyone and huge government spending all super inflationary.

  • @stang3299
    @stang3299 19 днів тому +2

    Always appreciate your content.
    Thank you Master Adam.

  • @dt0229
    @dt0229 19 днів тому

    Retails industry has been hit the past few years by high interest, will they rebound as well like Nike, Lululemon?

  • @d-sto687
    @d-sto687 17 днів тому

    I buy realty, amt, dlr, cci and ohi. evrything is up big. buying near the lows. Also buying JNJ for around 140 USD think this stock alone 185 USD worth.

  • @user-pf4kr5re8v
    @user-pf4kr5re8v 20 днів тому +1

    Very educative

  • @cactuarking4138
    @cactuarking4138 19 днів тому +2

    Adam is a market pimp.

  • @HarmeetSingh-jo3sg
    @HarmeetSingh-jo3sg 20 днів тому +1

    Hey Adam, could you one where you compare semi stocks like NVDA, AMD, ARM, AVGO, QCOM? I'm especially intrigued by ARM but would like know your thoughts.. Thanks!

  • @lawrencelim8324
    @lawrencelim8324 20 днів тому +1

    Thanks for the insight

  • @CC-kl4nh
    @CC-kl4nh 17 днів тому

    Adam Khoo is my guru.

  • @swagic8452
    @swagic8452 19 днів тому +1

    I liquidated my entire portfolio on Friday into cash after have all my money invested in 100% equities for past 7 years. I made a HUGE profit but it was still I was a tough decision to liquidate my entire portfolio when market is rising. I am not an economist but my intuition tells me the market should not be this high. Companies are closing and having massive layoffs. Bankruptcies, foreclosures, credit card default are at an all time high. Consumers are traveling less, eating out less and not buying luxury items like new cars etc which means less profits for companies which should drive stock prices down but they keep rising. I am 62 disabled man and can not take a chance and lose 20% of my savings due to a market crash. The good thing is I am able to buy the dip now that I have all cash. I like what this man discussed about which sectors benefit from rate cuts. I am still so confused at moment as to where to invest my money. Am I better off putting my money in bonds or CDs that are paying 5% at the moment. And advice would be appreciated.

    • @kne2323
      @kne2323 19 днів тому

      At 62, a 5% CD would be hard to pass up - all things considered. Good luck!

  • @goico6223
    @goico6223 19 днів тому

    why would treasury bond prices increase as interest rates decrease? idk why

  • @alexandrual2782
    @alexandrual2782 20 днів тому +1

    When everyone talks about the recession, hold your horses. Stay focused and don't panic.

  • @stevenly5895
    @stevenly5895 19 днів тому +1

    This past 4 years inflation is not the economy growing too fast because of the printing money too much.

  • @Tipping-Point88
    @Tipping-Point88 19 днів тому

    Some experts believe that rate cuts could benefit specific industries, while others caution that it might heighten inflation worries. I'm assessing my $600K portfolio allocations and would like to explore strategies to address these possible sector effects.

  • @edwardyong457
    @edwardyong457 17 днів тому

    Wah today Tech stock bloodbath, thank god sold all right before the dip. 😂

  • @Action_Clips_CODM
    @Action_Clips_CODM 19 днів тому

    TMF is 3x leveraged of TLT. I’m in TMF booya

  • @malasmalas1010
    @malasmalas1010 17 днів тому

    Can you please make a video on market reaction and investment opportunities if Volcano erupts in Italy? 🤑🤑🤑🤑🤑🤑

  • @ivanxyz1
    @ivanxyz1 19 днів тому

    Makes total sense.

  • @mamzellilooo
    @mamzellilooo 19 днів тому +2

    Thanks for the continuous update! I am super excited about how I got retired earning more income, pay my bills and stop depending on the government. My family are happy once again and I can now afford anything for my family even with my Retirement. consistently earning $25k weekly, has been life changing after so much struggles.

  • @quantum7401
    @quantum7401 19 днів тому

    ❤ Adam Khoo

  • @yanatomlbb6949
    @yanatomlbb6949 19 днів тому

    Thank you shifu~

  • @chyaila
    @chyaila 20 днів тому +35

    While I agree with Adam that upcoming rate cuts are not going to cause any market crash, his perma-bull attitude is not right. USA debt/default will be a huge problem sometime during our lifetimes and all Adam's theories about market always goes up bla bla... will go down the drain leaving everybody poor. However we still have many years to reach there.

    • @MyTYP
      @MyTYP 19 днів тому +3

      @chyaila
      Good

    • @Xgeneralll
      @Xgeneralll 19 днів тому +4

      Thank god you exist , you’re the alpha in the markets so bulls continue to compound and make money 😂😂😂. Keep doing you boo

    • @strongstrengthtv
      @strongstrengthtv 19 днів тому

      The congress only care about their personal portfolios.. they are genius in investing..

    • @snakeeyes9461
      @snakeeyes9461 19 днів тому +7

      But perma bull has been better than perma bear, statistically. Are you stupidly blind 😂😂

    • @rally_chronicles
      @rally_chronicles 19 днів тому

      Ok

  • @cherie2174
    @cherie2174 9 годин тому

    After rate cut, stock market crash

  • @PhuongLe-wo3ry
    @PhuongLe-wo3ry 17 днів тому

    BOOOOOM.....BANGGGG 4 TECH STOCKS

  • @dareadams2669
    @dareadams2669 19 днів тому

    I’m in need of $100K before the year ends for my rent. How is everyone else securing this kind of money?

  • @Eggfriedrice0x
    @Eggfriedrice0x 18 днів тому

    I only hold on to good quality top tier memecoin with super dope funny memes ..will I make it?

  • @SaadonAksah
    @SaadonAksah 19 днів тому

    Nice!

  • @NormanGhali
    @NormanGhali 18 днів тому

    Thank you for this information. I'm just happy with the way my portfolio is going this year. My wife and I sold our house in Florida to move to Texas. I invested some of the money from the sale in the stock market. The portfolio is up 300k this week. I guess she knows the investment is making profit, but we've never really spoken openly about it. It's one of the best choices I made.

  • @lohti6399
    @lohti6399 19 днів тому

    When they cut rate, USD will go weaker and weaker till recession happens. Let us see which sector is unlucky this time.

    • @andis9076
      @andis9076 19 днів тому

      Sector that do a lot of import abd export. What is that?

  • @jasonreviews
    @jasonreviews 19 днів тому

    it's going up. its really depends if the rich boys decided to sell everything

  • @avb530
    @avb530 20 днів тому

    what will happen to gold?

    • @andis9076
      @andis9076 19 днів тому

      As dollar weaken, gold go up

  • @saitejeshwarreddy3598
    @saitejeshwarreddy3598 15 днів тому

    Anyone from India ❤

  • @JaskanFactor
    @JaskanFactor 20 днів тому +2

    if prices fall after rate cuts, must mean insiders already bought the rumour and sold the news.