Why Japan Needs a US Alliance (Joining AUKUS) || Peter Zeihan
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- Опубліковано 7 тра 2024
- The Japanese have looked into their crystal ball and figured out that a close relationship with the Americans is the only way forward. Before Japan is welcomed in with open arms, they'll have to prove their worth...
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i'll be honest, as an american i am fully supportive of becoming closer friends with japan
Yeah me too! Their honorable people, honest and hard working which all of us can learn from.. 😊
Me too, but there are other considerations involved than feelings of good will
im cautious becuase they were absolutely diabolical in ww2
@@jmcw9632those people have passed and the current people, at least for now, have been pacified by the last 80 years of defensive policies.
Your admission of honesty in this case indicates that it might be a novel experience for you ;-)
G'day from Australia to all our friends in Japan 🇦🇺🤝🇯🇵
G'day from the US mate. 🇦🇺 🇺🇸 🤝
@@h3llrazah420
And to you friend 🇦🇺🤝🇺🇸
@FishandHunt got much respect for aussies. Even spent time with an aussie woman who visited me from your country. She lives close to Melbourne. She got to experience snow for the first time when she was here with me this past January 👍😂
@@h3llrazah420
Oh ok. We have snow here in the state of NSW and also in Victoria.
@FishandHunt yea she never seen it though so it was nice to see her reaction too it lol.
Turning the Pacific into a giant lake with partners on all sides is a straight upside move for both Japan and America.
Making Japan a member of the defense inner circle should be a priority.
Means destabilizing the pacific??
Slava TOYOTA 🗾
Does that mean, creating a NATO of the PAcific? I have more faith in Japan than that of Peter does, Japan also does a lot of exercises with and has SAILED under US flag navy outside of its waters. Id put my money on Japan over China in readiness. They have modern equipment, they are well trained and they know how to use it.
@@DK-ev9dgIt would be stabilizing the Pacific. And it would be even better if France joined since they have a big stake in the Pacific.
100% agree. As an American, my opinion is that Japan needs to be moved up quickly to be an equally trusted ally. Not only is their geography of utmost importance, the Japanese have skill and know-how that will be extremely valuable to the alliance.
Japan is the best. Everybody loves Japan. Love from Finland.
I like many Japanese, but I don't like Japan.
Because of their lingual and cultural isolation, they have a really hard time understanding and cooperating with others.
Japanese are some of the hardest to effectively communicate with unless you deeply invest in learning their language and customs.
@@rogerwilco2 Actually there is truth in it but. The very best approach to the Japanese is foremost to be humble and honest and to show respect for the customs and to be open for new things. And when they visit in the West give them a hand and help them around and you have long lasting connection.
I think what you will never hear from a Japanese businesses are lies over products like Elon Musk does is to pump stock prices. It's a deep cultural difference.
And as a European I have my BS detector on high sensitivity when I deal with US people or companies. Treatment of employees like Musk does it or Wal-Mart is deeply off putting for European s so we see a company as ethical corrupted.
@@abelgerliI just moved back to Europe after 9 year working in Japan. I disagree with almost every part of your comment
@@owenmorris9306 Ok with which part in particular ? Or with every point ? I just wanted to compare it with respect to a current US business culture. So I that was my viewpoint.
No, everyone likes Japan. Everyone loves Finland! And welcome to NATO. We Americans like to see actual contributors, not just freeloaders. And it would be rude to forget to thank Putin for all he has done...
Seriously, I was joking at first, but Japan is VERY patriarchal. And hardly anyone speaks a second language---You don't see Japanese comments in the internet comment section. Japan needs more Netizens. Maybe they are in the karaoke or photography sections?
We (🇦🇺) would be so lucky to have Japan added to AUKUS.
Only question being what to call it… JAUKUS? AUJKUS? AUKJUS? AJUKAS?
USUKJA!
@@cdg03That’s actually awesome 🙌 You could get hired no probs
actually I was thinking AUKUSJAN OR AUKUSJAP
NAUKUS (Nipon)
JUkaus. Almost sounds like "Jew House."
Definitely a coincidence
We need Japan just as much as they need us. We tamed the fighting spirit, now we must bring it out again in force, for our benefit and benefit of the pacific as a whole
You'd be playing with fire doing that.
@@patricksmyth7845 militarism in general is playing with fire. it's a lot better to have this shit figured out and above board ahead of time. less likely for some oppurtunistic psycho to seize power and theres going to be PLENTY of that coming up.
if the long term play is pretty much "lock down the western hemisphere and focus on the pacific rim if anything else" then having a strong DEFENSIVE (big keyword there) alliance is going to do wonders to keep the shit off our shoes when the outside world starts melting down into it
Japan is not a tap that you can just turn on and off, willy-nilly.
Eh. Japan doesn’t even have enough military age people to be an effective fighting force in open war. Rather it’s the physical area the islands inhabit that are important. Japan as a fighting nation is done, that was ended last century and they are absolutely not on a recovery path to what they were. They don’t have enough people. If Japan went to open war, they risk loosing most of the Japanese people. Sad but true.
@@jacarandaizationconsidering todays demographics this isn’t really true.
In reality, the lack of Japanese combat experience has minimal importance. Our (U.S.) experience over the last 20 years was not large-scale combat operations, especially within our Navy and Air Force. Well-designed exercises with the Americans, Brits, and Aussies will close the capabilities gap relatively quickly. I'm an Army guy and we lost a generation of experience in Cold War-like combat preparations. Everyone is scrambling to reorient our capabilities due to the war in Ukraine and the Russian threat.
I mean you always have to consider the opposition as well... which not to underestimate them or anything, but ... a brief scanning of wikipedia says their last successful naval battle may have been in 1683 vs rebels (ironically) based in Taiwan. Even when they bought "modern" (at the time) ships made in Europe, they got trounced by pretty much every actual navy they encountered thereafter. I was going to say they had zero effective experience, but this is more like a negative number due to a handicap for morale reasons.
I don't have a problem to expand NATO to Japan, South Korea, Thailand, Phillipines as well as Australia and New Zealand.
Actually the democracies must stand to together. Best wishes from Europe.
The Southeast Asian countries or ASEAN will have a a major problem with that since it will increase tension in that part of the world while they are currently trying to build their countries up.
@@hitthedeck4115 Nobody needs thus right now. The problem is the CCPs nationalism which they use to manipulate their citizen and they try to bully the region. You can't always be nice sometime You have to stand up together against a bully. No CCP and we wouldn't have a problem. But the Taiwanese should then teach the mainland Chinese people how a real Chinese democracy can work, after showing the results of the big leap backwards of Mao and Xi. That resulted in moral decline and corruption in society. The victims of the CCP always where their citizens.
Of course you don’t since you won’t be fighting the war nor paying for it. Hopefully, you are not one of the those tiny Eastern European / Baltic states that scream a lot but contribute almost nothing to NATO.
Who asked in Asia for a NATO?
US has bilateral relationships with countries. The only reliable allies that we have are Japan and Australia. Australia really doesn’t have huge navy and really depends upon on us for their security. Philippines is useless as a military partner and has flipped flopped with Duarte being pro-China and the sone of the dictator Marcos Jr a “US ally”. The next guy might be pro-China while the guy before Duarte was pro-American. I doubt that our navy has forgotten how we were kicked out of Subic Bay in early nineties. Philippines at most is a distraction like the Italian front in world war 2 to distract the Nazis as we invaded them from France.
You don’t have to agree with everything from Kishore Mahbubani but he has been right that even in SCS, the East Asian states will find a way to cooperate when America is encouraging war against China. We are a one and done navy as we literally have no excess shipbuilding capacity if our fleet is sunk in an East Asian war. Nearly 50% of the world shipbuilding capacity is in China while number 2 is Korea with number 3 being Japan. Together these countries are 94% of the world capacity when it comes to shipbuilding and that was two years ago. China’s shipbuilding program has only accelerated so it might be 95 or 96% between the three countries.
China will blockade South Korea and sink American ships so it is a non-starter for us to have shipbuilding facilities there. Japan is a possibility but they are still very close to China and can be blockaded like we did to them in World War 2. China can also use proxies to flare up trouble spots in Middle East and Europe to tie down our navy. Probably half of our navy is serving as Israeli coast guard at this point without any Chinese support of Hamas. China has more ships to spare and less area to cover in Asia unlike us. The reason that we won against Japan was that we had overcapacity in the US shipyards and Japan even failed to take out our ship repair facilities in Hawaii. Of courses, our ships had better firefighting capabilities once they were hit compared to Japanese carriers but there is something to the fact that we were able to put 6000 ships of all sizes to sea in the war. Japan just couldn’t sink enough of our navy after Pearl Harbor.
Definitely couldn't be France, there was that small problem with the acronym.
Ha ha, you mean the acronym would then be FAUKUS? 😊
😂😂
I don't think JAUKUS is very flattering either 😂😂
France hosted Xi JinPing 🇨🇳🌏🤯
@@canchero724 How about using Nippon? Nippon, UK, US?
Maybe not the best either.
as an american i think high of japan
Slava Yakuza 🦾
Biden doesn't lol
@@robbycook4298 Does Biden do much thinking? I thought he generally just meandered around and mumbled some unrelated things.
@@LoganChristianson I mean calling all Japanese people Xenophobic was definitely something…something Peter is coping with, he does not want to address lol
@@robbycook4298Biden never said that you are lying
We stand with 🇯🇵/ 🇺🇸
Nothing like uniting the anglosphere, and Japan.
I would love more South Korean integration as well, though they have a very real and pressing threat to focus on directly on their own border.
We really need to stand together against the threat of various dictators!!
.
Biden?
Biden is a dictator
@@ralphemerson497 actually it's Obama on his third term.
@@ralphemerson497 Are you really this stupid? Or you just trying to be edgy?
@@george6252facts lol
i think bringing in the Japanese would be a great way to square up the pacific alliance. however all the points peter talked about would need to be shored up. however as things currently stand make no mistake japan is an ally and all joining this alliance would do is make them even more of a top tier ally.
The Japanese are the type of people who will step up and do whatever it takes. This is their culture and it's a really good one.
The Japanese have some of the most advanced, most quiet submarines, like the Soryu class. The first indigenous Taiwanese sub was built with Japan's technical assistance. Scaling this up to the allies could be something to consider. AIP attack subs are probably faster to build then the nuclear powered ones, they're smaller and can operate in the shallow waters on the Taiwan strait, the Japanese, Philippine, Indonesian archipelagos..
Japan's defence spending was stuck at less than 1% of GDP since 1961, but in recent years it's grown to 1.6% (as of April 2024) and will increase to 2% by 2027. Whilst many European states and Canada hem and haw, the Japanese act.
BTW, it's interesting that AUKUS excludes Canada because it brings nothing to the table except stories from the '40s.
Canada needs to get rid of the Blackface Prime Minister.
Canada were not involved because they were not party to the initial discussions. Australia's Chief of Navy was tasked to approach his UK counterpart about the possibility of acquiring nuclear powered submarines. The US became involved because the technology the UK uses is derived from the US and could not be given to Australia without the approval of the US. The whole concept including Australia buying American subs before building its own in partnership came from there. Canada were never in the loop.
19 European Nato members spend at least 2% in 2024. Combined Europe spends 380 billion dollars on defense this year. That is more than China, and about the same as China and Russia together. Europe will keep increasing spending every year with quite alot as well. So this narrative that many European nations don´t spend enough is not really accurate anymore. Europe is already strong militarily, but will be a force to be reckon with in the coming years. 600 million people, and higher combined GDP than the US, China etc. With increased defense spending they could possibly project alot more power in the world. Russia and Trump might´ve have awaken a sleeping giant.
@@comedyriff5231 Gosh, if they had only had children instead of subsidizing an easy life for the current generation, and kept working toward energy independence instead of becoming addicted to cheap Russian energy for the last 30 years, they might actually become a force to be reckoned with. Simply dumping money into defense won't make up for the lack of people, skills and energy needed. Don't get me wrong, I am happy that Europe has finally decided to make meaningful contributions to their own self defense .... but 2% was always supposed to be the baseline .... the MINIMUM. The Russians have been actively invading other countries for all but about 2 years of the last 32, and never stopped subverting neighboring governments after the fall of the Soviet Union .... and just NOW Europe is waking up ?
Canada was only bad ass when they were British. Sad what the little guys have became up there.
Japan: bringing the Gundams to AUKUS. ❤
Slava SAMURAI 🗾 Heroyam Yakuza 🦾
America "Ok here are the plans for the nuclear subs, are you guys working on anything"
Japan with a flying fighting robot, "We have a small project we are developing."
One thing I know from being a long time, VERY happy Toyota owner is that if the Japanese set out to become good at cyber warfare, they will soon be one of the best! I also think that the US learned in WWII that they NEVER want to go against Japan again so we already have agreement there. By the way, the Aussies remember fighting them in New Guinea and the tales of the Kokoda Trail are etched in their collective memories as well as the Brits in Burma.
The US learned to not go against a country they nuked? The fire bombs wiped out whole city's to the point they had to save two just for nukes...
I'm really getting tired of so many people being obsessed with jews and sand wars which have almost no implication for the US or the world at large, while the biggest war in Europe since 1945 is still ragin on and a lot of things are happening in the Indo-pacific. Thank you Peter for putting geopolitics into perspective. You are an anchor in times of insanity.
I agree that the West has an obsession with Israel/"Palestine".
in my opinion, Israel should do whatever it wants. I don't care.
the insane and ridiculous pressure leftist media has for Israel while completely ignoring the crimes against humanity Syria, Yemen, Iran, Pakistan have made makes my blood boil.
Israel is not heaven on earth but at the same time, if I had a difficult decision to make and was forced to take a side, I would side with Israel over any Islamic country in the Middle East.
Correct. The War in Ukraine is vastly more consequential than the Hamas-IDF conflict. Besides which, why should Europeans apologize for prioritizing a European conflict and the refugees associated with that conflict? You can bet your bottom dollar that the Saudis have prioritized the conflict in the Yemen. It's only natural, when you think about it.
@@jacarandaization If it was just another war in Yemen, Sudan, Libya or whatever, people wouldn't care. No jews, no news. In the meantime, Ukraine is losing ground but the neo-marxists have another stranger to scream at in Columbia.
@@jacarandaization Agree. Even other wars in the Middle East, such as Sudan, Yemen, Syria and Libya get almost no attention. No Jews, no news, apparently.
Agree. Even other wars in that region, including Yemen, Sudan, Syria and Libya get almost no attention. No juice, no news.
What an educational way to get your exercise and enjoy beautiful scenery. Always great to hear from you.
My son heads to Japan for his naval assignment soon. I already see lots of joint naval exercises on large scale occurring. He is excited and we are for sure heading there to visit after he gets time to square away everything on his professional side….
Hi I’m Johnny Knoxville. Welcome to JAUKUS!!
That's hilarious man. I legit laughed out loud.
Brilliant
We ❤️ you Japan 🇺🇸
Good topic!
Thank you
Thanks!
Japan's desire to join AUKUS might be realized, but it's not as paramount to the security of the Asia-Pacific / Indo-Pacific region as other factors. Higher on the list would be that the US consider joining the CPTPP, so as to assure allies and friendly member states that, when it comes to cozying up to the United States, there's something in it for them in addition to military security. In other words, a trade relationship.
Ironically, it seems the now horribly named CPTPP (thanks Canada) was a US success story, and it would be in the US' economic interests to reverse its decision to walk away.
A robust exchange program between our Navys would be a good start.
japan the homies
Slava TOYOTA 🗾
Biden turned his back on Japan.
Interesting topic. Id like to hear more about that alliance
Not that the hard right Japanese government is set too lose the elections for the second time in history (a lot of the current governments party have all been close with a cult which the ppl hate) so a lot of the deals done over the last several decades are likely to be looked at again and possibly undone.
The left just won three seats over the last few days even… sad to see such basic minimal coverage
If this means we can get more tonkotsu ramen in Aus, I'm all for this.
Great content! Well said, as usual.
Ignored that Japan has elections soon and it’s likely the left will win for the second time ever… meaning the hard right capitalist government would be out of power… so a lot of deals would be reorganised regarding itself and it’s trading partners and neighbours… sad to see him ignore this just as the left won three seats from the hard right party.
Really interesting.
I am all for Japan - as well as South Korea - more deeply integrating with Europe and N. America as partners in security. Both of those nations have impressive ship-building operations as well that I hope we may be able to leverage because our shipbuilding operations need to get it's shit together as fast as possible.
I remember those nights in Roppongi in the late 80's quite fondly.
Japan is an amazing partner and will continue to be an amazing strategic partner that will be willing to train to any level that’s required.
On US/Japan military cooperation, The co-development of the The RIM-161 Standard Missile 3 with Japan. I'm not sure of the extent of the cooperation, but it is public knowledge that Japan was involved in early testing and manufacturing of SM3 Block IIA.
This was 20 years ago, so hopefully it has changed, but I remember being in the Army and doing a cultural exchange visit in Japan. The Japanese Army did a demonstration of their tactics, and I remember being shock as they all lined up and basically did a World War 1 style trench charge on a position. Like you said, they need real experience. Hopefully they gotten it since then.
BONZAI!
They've gotten a lot better over the last few years. But I definitely got to see your point in person.
And since 90’s countries like Australia pivoted from Japan to China … as did other countries, and that elevated China to where it is today and now its economy is so intertwined with the West that it’s become challenging
Interesting analysis
This relationship is good for both!
Hunh? The phenomenon of Japan moving out their production to lower cost centers in Thailand, Singapore, Malaysia, etc is widely known as “hollowing out” (Kudoka in Japanese). Further the US heavily influenced Japan’s decision to maintain only a defensive force so it’s only logical that we need to provide extraordinary defense support. And now that China has gone rogue, aligning with Russia and Iran, and Japan has Russia to the northwest and China to the southwest, their defense calculus has changed dramatically. Their decision is logical and timely, and greatly suits our evolving security interests in the pacific.
Japan is an island chain with few resources with a large hostile neighbor. Not hard to figure out what they need.
Yes Japan was historically very hostile to China with horror movie atrocities ,but times off colonial Japan are gone,now they are colonie
Sounds like Trump made quite a few good deals when he was in office.
He was also considered either a complete moron or an easy mark by the rest of the international community.
You do realize trump went ahead with the deals that Obama had lined up already? They weren’t original…. It was continuation of preexisting federal policy. Be a little more aware.
Yes but Peter has trump derangement syndrome.
@FishandHunt they say that yet he was the first to publicly call out Germany for all their putin empowering trade and was the first to try and sell Ukraine weapons, something the democrats denied at the time.
Trump practiced a continuation of preexisting Federal policy maintained by Obama. The pacific pivot was started in Obama’s administration. Trump did nothing that wasn’t already in the works.
Peter is certainly a hiker that hikes a lot.
I feel winded just watching you speed hike and talk at the same time. Keep on being a beast. 😂
Since the announcement of "Pillar II" of AUKUS, there has been persistent speculation that Japan will eventually join the partnership; American Ambassador to Japan Rahm Emanuel wrote that Japan was "about to become the first additional Pillar II partner" in The Wall Street Journal on 3 April 2024. On 7 April 2024, the Financial Times reported that AUKUS defence ministers will announce on 8 April 2024 that they will launch talks related to the expansion of Pillar II of the alliance. While many officials in the US government advocate the inclusion of Japan in AUKUS, notably Deputy Secretary of State Kurt Campbell, there has been push back for months from the UK and Australia partly in order to focus on ironing out existing complications in AUKUS, however primarily over concerns that Japan lacks the security systems required to protect highly sensitive information. - Wiki.
In Iraq and Afghanistan, of all the "Allies" of the "Coalition" in those campaigns, only the countries that spoke English were worth the logistics they consumed. When you called for help - you sent it to the US/UK/AUS, period.
Getting to know some of the legal fallout of the Aukus deal, it's pretty interesting.
I guess we'll need to be checking TikTok for those nuclear submarine plans! Love the video, Peter! 💖💖
"30 years ago japan suffered from a debt crisis and demographic bomb"
Man why does that sound eerily familiar.
No clue if china has a debt problem but their economy has basically functioned like 70s to 80s japan
Living their dream: I drive a Japanese car, built in America. I work for a Japanese multinational, writing software for the American health care market. I play a Japanese piano, but it’s built in Indonesia.
I’d say Japan is more intertwined with the US economically than anyone else, the need to be allowed in AUKUS. It shows we are dedicated to them and in turn they will be dedicated to us
I dig the glasses man.
Sounds good.
Peter please talk about the housing market and interest rates 😬
as a Japanese-American I would say that Japan and America have so much vested interests that it is just natural for them to be allies at this point going forward in the world
Pretty pumped for JAUKUS
I consider Japan to be a good friend and Ally and trust them about as much as any other Ally, and probably more than most of them. We should invite them into our thing and encourage them to keep building their military. I think the old culture is completely gone and this is not the same country we went to war against. I think they are also very competent people with a good work ethic. I think if they get attacked that they will fight hard and bravely just like they did back in the day. They are the type of people who are inclined to step up and do what needs to be done. Being warriors is still in their DNA, they now just want to avoid being assholes, which is good.
The United States have actually been pushing Japan to build up their military for years now. If we have to fight someone in that part of the world, I think we all know exactly who it will be, and it ain't Japan.
So JAUKUS?
Lol I like it
MOBILE SUIT JAUKUS
Janzus would be better
Better than USAUUK
In that case, better Japan than France or we'd all be fauked.
I saw Japanese military personnel in Iraq doing construction. 03-05 timeframe. It was the equivalent of the USN Seabees
Watch this again, but with captions on.
Hi Peter, can you do a session on the north west passage through Canada and the effect it’s having on the participants ranging from Russia to the US. Even China is trying to bull its way in.
At first I thought Peter had his hair braided into corn rows and I was so excited
Wouldn't what Peter says about hacking regarding a nuclear sub have held for Japanese F-16s and F-35s? If so, 🤨?
Sir the Philippines is included in that talks. Can you allot an episode regarding the Philippine U.S. alliance. Thank you
How does this tie in with the next gen fighter project being developed by UK/Japan/Italy?
Doesn't. Australia is all in on F-35 and obviously US won't be interested in a foreign fighter.
It'll tie in at network and information integration levels. But essentially it allows allies to preserve domestic weapons design and production.
F35 has stung a lot of countries on integration of domestic systems and has left a bitter taste for key allies.
@@WorksOnMyComputer F-35 is current gen
Don't know much about the J/Euro program other than it exists, but I have to wonder how serious they can be about it. Japan is the most committed F35 country after the US itself. IIRC the only, or one of the only countries to get their own domestic F35 assembly line, and they're in for a fleet of almost 150 (I don't know the timeframe, that might still be a few years out probably). How much money is going to be left over for other fighter programs after that I wonder?
@@83917Michael GCAP is a UK Italian and Japanese program. UK is the only Tier 1 partner on JSF and Italian has the European assembly and checkout line. These along with Japan be the states with the deepest involvement in JSF.
But each needs more than a F16 come Harrier successor.
All have much longer range endurance requirements for Fighter and Strike missions against peer adversaries.
Hopefully Toyota keeps building cars in Japan. They are better made there.
Historically, the top three plants in initial quality/lowest defect rate globally were...
1) Tahara, JP (Lexus/Toyota)
2) Cambridge, ON, CAN (Lexus/Toyota)
3) Oshawa, ON, CAN (GM), specifically Oshawa 2 Buick/Chev line.
That 2M mile Accord in the Honda Museum was also assembled in Ohio, proof that some of the finest manufacturing occurs right here.
@@briandreggors9178 I can’t speak for Honda. Maybe they are built well in Ohio. I had one but it was Canadian made.
Canadians build a good product, not sure if it is as good as Japanese but historically excellent. In my experience though with specifically Toyota, ones made in the U.S. aren’t as good as Japanese, Canada, etc.
@@thomas735 A lot of Nissan and Mitsubishi products were made in Japan. 'nuff said.
@@briandreggors9178 those are the ones that tend not to have issues.
Camry is made here that is sold here.
When predicting Military Strategy and future happenings should not the impact of drones be taken into consideration? The answer is a resounding "YES!"
Lol peters thumbnail picture be like “isn’t it obvious?”
The Japanese are good allies. Give them a roll tell them what you want from them.
That society is all in. They are innovative and disciplined engineers. Define their rolls. Show them how to train up their military. Get them going with a air and sea drone naval carrier
So its "6" eyes now instead of 5?
Can you explain why Canada was left out of the AUKUS coalition and what it would have to do to be admitted?
The U.S. is not about to let anything, repeat anything, happen to Japan. Unlike for the Ukraine, most of the American citizenry has grown up with a highly respectful, noble relationship with the Japanese, one that rivals our relationship with England. The Japanese were fierce fighters, formidable opponents throughout WWII, and no one should doubt their ability to quickly ‘get up to speed’ if their homeland comes under attack.
I think you are being waaaay optimistic about the USA's will or ability to defend Japan in a Pacific War.
Look at how the USA is top toeing like a ballarina around Russia scared out of it's mind about escalation.
If somehow China was able to launch an invasion of Japan and NK with SK and both countries (who are nuclear armed and capable of striking anywhere in the pacific near instantly) declared that any American involvement would escalate a nuclear risk.
"The U.S. is not about to let anything, repeat anything, happen to Japan" The USA is not taking ANY (repeat) ANY Nuclear armed nation to war unless the USA is attacked first. If Japan was attacked by China and Nuclear threats were credible the USA would walk away and leave the Japanese to there fate.
Ditto Taiwan, Ditto South Korea. The USA is only interested in preventing a war by being there but if it turns hot the USA will find a very quick way out of the situation especially against a peer force and ESPECIALLY against a nuclear nation.
I pray we don't but i imagine we will see for ourselves in the next few years.
USA won't be able to wipe its butt even if a Civil War breaks out.
@@Flintlockon Of course this teaches every country that once they get nukes they can simply do whatever they want without fear of intervention.
The US is hollowed out. I doubt the US can even sustain a war after one or two battles.
@@John3.36bot
So don't expect Admiral Yamamoto out there. Not at first anyway.
Wasn't it snowing there last week?
I'm *sure* that Japan joining AUKUS will happen! As Peter said, it's just a matter of time and getting those issues sorted out.
Japan would be a *hugely valuable* addition to AUKUS! I'd also love to see the Philippines, Taiwan, and South Korea join as well.
Basically a "West Pacific NATO". Having all of those countries in an alliance would make it *super-powerful!*
Japanese armed forces have NO recent armed conflict experience.
Time to live in the city
As Habitual Line Crosser says, "don't touch the boats!"
4th problem it doesn't fit easily in the acronym
I remember in the '70s and '80s. Japanese goods were looked down upon. There was also distrust. With so many ww2 veterans still alive. 4 decades later. Few if any ww2 veterans are still alive. Japanese quality is now on par or superior to the world as a whole. Frankly, I want to go to Japan on a shopping spree. They keep all the good things to themselves!😊
AU is biggest risk in APAC for US not JP, JP can and will adjust - for reasons you stated - AU is jumping of a ledge (political and economic ledge).
And respect oh my god
See? Economically sane. Sweet Jesus.
It is interesting from an information standpoint, as part of the AUKUS arrangements both the UK and especially Australia are having to overhaul their systems as to the protection of classified material and the channels through which it might be disseminated. I would imagine this would be especially true of Japan as well.
Japan would only be party to PIllar 2 of the agreement which is entirely separate from the nuclear submarine aspect. Still this involves things the Japanese could excel in including hypersonics and quantum computing. Not only would the Japanese be able to secure their own information networks that way, but theoretically be able to hack everyone else who is not using such systems.
Australia, UK and the US have decades of experience exchanging secret information through the Five Eyes arrangement in their respective security establishments. They will have to step things up in terms of technology transfer security into their respective defence industrial bases and academia.
Japan doesn't even start from the Five Eyes base, and has traditionally not even been a defence exporter, so doesn't even have that experience of working with others while protecting secrets.
I have a friend who lived and worked in Japan for nearly 10 years theorize that the Japanese looking down on their military is the flip side to the USA's 'thank you for your service' attitude. During and after Vietnam Americans treated the returning soldiers badly for fighting in an unpopular war, but eventually the society realized that it wasn't the soldiers' fault. Japan has had a very real fear that the militarism that once plagued them would return, so they compensate by belittling the military instead of putting it up on a pedestal like it used to be.
JAUKUS has a ring to it.
あなたが私たちを必要とする以上に、私たちはあなたを必要としています、日本様
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We will add samurai mechs to the cool dude alliance.
I've been seeing aukus commercials on tv
I have long said that if you can combine American individualism in its best way (Japanese heroic virtue), and Japanese concern for collective society in ITS best way, the country which could muster that would find its citizens welcome in every civilized country (and possibly even Russia).
US is more than happy to team with Japan!
Im always waiting for a Bear to come out
I'm kind of surprised that they call it ACK-CUSS in the US, we pronounce it AWK-USS here.
who doesnt
I never have that kind of impression from sdf, the kind of joining because you can't do anything else.
🙏
Respect
Hey, they play pretty good baseball. So Ok.
A lot of US service members hold a grudge against Japan for not participating in GWOT.
Japan has a lot of rules and they don’t like changing them. If they didn’t have all the foreign forces pushing the envelope and displaying current tactics, they’d be a fish out of the water.
Regarding getting some military experience for Japan, I'm sure Israel will take some Japanese troops and in return can help them up their game in cyber or other tech that Israel does soooo well. Japan could also offer citizenship to palestinians needing to relocate, but doubt Japan would go for that at any price. Not even fellow Muslim Arab nations will take them.
0:15 Dude, it's Kishida, c'mon.