Glory to Ukraine!Ukraine is a sovereign nation and member of the UN since 1945. Its independence was formally recognized by Russia in 1991. The Ukrainian people have their own distinct language, culture, and history dating back over a millennium!
Forgive me for my insolence on a subject where I am an absolute novice, but I think the West's focus on China alone may be somewhat ineffectual, because it is too strong to change course over a short period of time (4 years). Where it might be effectual is a focus on India and its relationship with Russia. India is a weak democracy with many more fault-lines than China. Its affection for Russia dates back to a romantic view that Russia has a "Fabian-type", quasi socialist, relationship with India, which goes back to Nehru. This relationship is entirely unrequited and one-way. Russia doesn't give a stiff for India. Put the pressure on India and for once stop romanticising about just what a wonderful country it is - it isn't a wonderful country and it doesn't give a fig about Ukraine.
No excuse needed, I find your comment and knowledge more relevant than most "specialist". Historical patterns, culture and psychology is grossly underrated in geopolitics. I believe most happenings in this war could have been predicted and dodged just by looking at historical patterns and Russian culture. What we see is history repeating itself. NO lessons are learned. Without knowing the history and nature of Russia/India relationships, I'm inclined to deem your statement very relevant. To draw a conclusion, the best strategy for the west is to tighten bonds with India to untether them from Russia. After all, the great divide here is democracy/autocracy.
You don't need more sanctions on Russia. You eed to put pressure on the European countries that have companies that are still supplying Russia with material to produce weapons. The west must pressure countries still trading wiyh Russia.
Lubin does not understand that Trump's sanctions could bring Russia to its knees. If Trump were to stop Russia's shadow fleet it would almost bring their petroleum exports to a standstill. To concentrate on tariffs merely reflects his bias and dislike for Trump. Lubin is an amateur at analysis of geopolitics.
Exactly my thought. Ukraine hardly needs any more military support. Now it's all about pushing Russia over the edge with current tactics: Ukraine hits production, the west tightens sanctions. Russia WILL fall, and that will default Ukraine's borders to 1991.
MAGAs Dear Leader is lazy, nescient, a coward, serial liar, and obsequious footboy to the Russian dictator. The footboy would betray Ukraine for a hotel in Moscow and the ex-KGB agent knows it. Trump will kowtow to the man he admires.
Trump is actually fairly predictable if you view him as an ordinary real estate broker. The pattern is 1) Show NO interest (even though you are) 2) Create confusion (the other bidders are diverted) 3) Downtalk the value (lower expectation from seller) 4) Threaten (other bidders become uneasy, the seller is wedged between the feeling of the commoditys low value and accepting bad terms). 5) Act (buy the property)
Currently, Russia is the most sanctioned country in human history and is doing better than 3 years ago, unlike the West, which managed to commit economic suicide thanks to its anti-Russian sanctions.
You forgot that Trump also slipped in the addition of other countries as well in the potential sanctions package. Pretty much the same thing that you ask for re hard currency. Add the oil price forced down.
Thanks for the forecast! I have a quick question: I have a SafePal wallet with USDT, and I have the seed phrase. (mistake turkey blossom warfare blade until bachelor fall squeeze today flee guitar). What's the best way to send them to Binance?
This guy needs to expand a somewhat narrow UK biased perspective. His comments on Nabulina has some causality off target. Russia is not a normal country turned into a war economy. There is no "growth" in the Russian economy, just a massive reallocation of resources that will come back to bite a collapsing Russian economy even more once these resources dry up and a cease fire with returning soldiers makes the economy shift again.
This guest speaks as though trump is a student of political history and fully grasps an understanding of the nuances of the Nixon China policy. This man did not understand the difference between political asylum and an insane asylum during the summer campaign. Normalizing or projecting this kind of expertise on a man who said that Haitian immigrants were eating the pets of local people in Ohio is appalling and dangerous. If you make a wild assertion you need hard evidence to support it.
What strong support. We've heard grand words before but actual support was minimal, not even miliitary uniforms. The Indians are making them now and boots.
They don't have a positive outlook though. "Now the slowdown between '24 and '25 reflects in part the fact that the Russian economy is running hot. It is a war economy. There is a lot of public spending going to financing a war effort, and that is fueling inflation in Russia. And we've seen inflation going up. It's inflation in '24 is 8.3 percent. But in fact, if you look at the sequential inflation, it's even higher than that. Above 9 percent. And as a result, the Central Bank of Russia has stepped in and hiked interest rates quite strongly. Interest rates are at 21 percent. And that, of course, is going to weigh in, weigh down on activity going forward. And this is why we have a growth rate at 1.4 percent"
There aren't IMF detectives who investigate economies, they take Rosstat at face value and parrot their stats. Also any 'growth' Russia has experienced is because of high military spending, Ukraine has had even more growth than Russia, next you'll tell me how well their economy is doing.
@@matsmcmats Literally, the only people overly concerned with talking about Russia´s economy - is The Collective West. And they´ve been doing this since 2023. Why? Because´s that´s all they got left to cling onto - that and the other fallacy that Russia have lost 1 million men. 😂
A Russian friend of mine says her mother and aunty back in Russia arnt feeling any financial difficulties. She said they don't really notice much difference at all. My friend is wondering when the sanctions will start to hit. Looks like the central bank has worked very hard to minimise obvious disruption
Agreed...despite the Russian government's actions to "insulate" the economy, inflation in Russia is real, particularly food prices. To believe that the average Russian isn't noticing the obvious negative impacts is at best naive and at worst propaganda.
@@russellspeed1693No Claire is actually a Russian Propaganda bot full of sh*t. Inflation in Russia is close to 30% on all major grocery staples. And the federal interest rate in Russia is 21% which means mortgages are actually around 28-30%! Many Russians are losing there homes as they cannot afford to pay their mortgage anymore as they initially bought when interest on debt was much lower.
British and its allies placed 25,000 sanctions on Russia and the Russia economy grew by 3.1 percent in 2024 whilst British economy went down the drain.. 😂😂😂
Always amusing to listen to Western "experts" about "dilemmas" faced by Putin/Russia. If you are experts, why don't you look at your own economies? The Russian economy is doing fine unlike British, American, French economies, well, Germany did away with their economy, so RIP.
We are doing pretty fine, go cry about not affording butter elsewhere. Even if average german is poorer now, the average german lives way better than average russian. Same with Uk, French. US is doing fine
Glory to Ukraine!Ukraine is a sovereign nation and member of the UN since 1945. Its independence was formally recognized by Russia in 1991. The Ukrainian people have their own distinct language, culture, and history dating back over a millennium!
It’s too late for dilemma. War or peace, Russian economy is going to crash anyway.
Wow! This is great analysis. This guy is smart!!
Thank you, David Lubin! Sober & informed. More please.
Glory to Ukraine!
Russia must gain nothing from this.
P. dilemma is stairs or the window.
Vltor Orban must be very confused now as well as many right wing Europeans
EU have a lot of planning to do with what will happen when Putin suddenly disappear and the crazy russian elite is still there in power.
His dilemma is, where do I hide in Cuba or Venezuela?
Putin have a lot of friends and children everywhere. Just move!
China.
@ like every Russian he wants warm waters near the beach. They love Miami, the Riviera, the Costa del Sol
❤Ukraine ❤
The oil price is the solution.
Yes, that's why President Biden put a cap on the price of Russian oil to $60.00 per barrel.
In long term not in short
I think trump said what he said because his MAGA people would get it.
Great content
Forgive me for my insolence on a subject where I am an absolute novice, but I think the West's focus on China alone may be somewhat ineffectual, because it is too strong to change course over a short period of time (4 years). Where it might be effectual is a focus on India and its relationship with Russia. India is a weak democracy with many more fault-lines than China. Its affection for Russia dates back to a romantic view that Russia has a "Fabian-type", quasi socialist, relationship with India, which goes back to Nehru. This relationship is entirely unrequited and one-way. Russia doesn't give a stiff for India. Put the pressure on India and for once stop romanticising about just what a wonderful country it is - it isn't a wonderful country and it doesn't give a fig about Ukraine.
No excuse needed, I find your comment and knowledge more relevant than most "specialist". Historical patterns, culture and psychology is grossly underrated in geopolitics. I believe most happenings in this war could have been predicted and dodged just by looking at historical patterns and Russian culture. What we see is history repeating itself. NO lessons are learned. Without knowing the history and nature of Russia/India relationships, I'm inclined to deem your statement very relevant.
To draw a conclusion, the best strategy for the west is to tighten bonds with India to untether them from Russia. After all, the great divide here is democracy/autocracy.
@@fredrikh9299 You got it right!
India will throw RuZZia under the bus but It is no good idea to force India to do so.
You don't need more sanctions on Russia. You eed to put pressure on the European countries that have companies that are still supplying Russia with material to produce weapons.
The west must pressure countries still trading wiyh Russia.
Lubin does not understand that Trump's sanctions could bring Russia to its knees. If Trump were to stop Russia's shadow fleet it would almost bring their petroleum exports to a standstill. To concentrate on tariffs merely reflects his bias and dislike for Trump. Lubin is an amateur at analysis of geopolitics.
Exactly my thought. Ukraine hardly needs any more military support. Now it's all about pushing Russia over the edge with current tactics: Ukraine hits production, the west tightens sanctions. Russia WILL fall, and that will default Ukraine's borders to 1991.
MAGAs Dear Leader is lazy, nescient, a coward, serial liar, and obsequious footboy to the Russian dictator. The footboy would betray Ukraine for a hotel in Moscow and the ex-KGB agent knows it. Trump will kowtow to the man he admires.
In other words, Trump is a bag of bluffs and hot air. All a show!
Trump is actually fairly predictable if you view him as an ordinary real estate broker. The pattern is 1) Show NO interest (even though you are) 2) Create confusion (the other bidders are diverted) 3) Downtalk the value (lower expectation from seller) 4) Threaten (other bidders become uneasy, the seller is wedged between the feeling of the commoditys low value and accepting bad terms). 5) Act (buy the property)
@@fredrikh9299 Precisely! very good analysis.
Tell the Islamic State that. Oh, that's right, you can't. Trump destroyed that.
Yes, but Trump makes these threats for is domestic audience ..
Indirect sanctions I think is his target.......re-read the statement
Currently, Russia is the most sanctioned country in human history and is doing better than 3 years ago, unlike the West, which managed to commit economic suicide thanks to its anti-Russian sanctions.
The sanctions are not direct trade, but stopping the shadow fleet, closing its banking, stopping the 3rd country trade in strategic good (chips, etc.)
sounds promising
You forgot that Trump also slipped in the addition of other countries as well in the potential sanctions package.
Pretty much the same thing that you ask for re hard currency.
Add the oil price forced down.
This guy is wrong.Sanctions. . Trump mentioned other nations, ie, India and China. He referred to secondary sanctions.
Can pressure be placed on India to reduce or stop the importation of shadow fleet oil?
Thanks for the forecast! I have a quick question: I have a SafePal wallet with USDT, and I have the seed phrase. (mistake turkey blossom warfare blade until bachelor fall squeeze today flee guitar). What's the best way to send them to Binance?
He hurt Putin's feelings. That's what it was.😢
This guy needs to expand a somewhat narrow UK biased perspective.
His comments on Nabulina has some causality off target. Russia is not a normal country turned into a war economy.
There is no "growth" in the Russian economy, just a massive reallocation of resources that will come back to bite a collapsing Russian economy even more once these resources dry up and a cease fire with returning soldiers makes the economy shift again.
U.S. sanctions on Russia?
What products do the two countries trade?
secondary sanctions, which Trump mentioned.
They can undermine and sanction the sale of russian oil and natural gas (LNG).
By get it, you mean not smart enough to know the facts.
& up next it’s ‘Chatham House’
😂🤣😂🤦🏽♂️🥴🤡
how long until tHe tiMEs gets someone in from The Pilgrims Society ???
This poor guy is so nervous, he can hardly speak, I can sense his stess level from South East Asia
And?
He isn’t nervous at all? He’s thinking about what he’s saying. It isn’t a script. He’s highly intelligent.
potus he's boringly predictable
No mention of US impacting lowering Oil price.drill baby drill..
Putin's deadly sin is jealousy
This guest speaks as though trump is a student of political history and fully grasps an understanding of the nuances of the Nixon China policy. This man did not understand the difference between political asylum and an insane asylum during the summer campaign. Normalizing or projecting this kind of expertise on a man who said that Haitian immigrants were eating the pets of local people in Ohio is appalling and dangerous. If you make a wild assertion you need hard evidence to support it.
Dave is letting rip on nonsense that he must know is untrue, but why.
trying to apply logic to what Trump is doing/thinking is rather hilarious
The guest spent ages saying nothing knew.
With the strong support from China, Russia won't give a dame to trump's threats
😂😂So how is China going to solve Putins sky high Inflation. 😂😂
China cannot afford sanctions.
@gregshiller7179 Watching Russia becoming increasingly reliant on North Korea, must rally impress China.
What strong support. We've heard grand words before but actual support was minimal, not even miliitary uniforms. The Indians are making them now and boots.
Dames
SPECULATORS GAMBLERS LIERS ARE EXPERTS 😂😂😂
Funny how this channel concentrated on destroying Russia while when snow comes whole country stop. You really guys think Putin is watching this bs?😂
Interesting perspective, potato joe.
Meanwhile, back in the world of realty, let´s see what the IMF think say about the outlook of Russia´s econony in 2025....
Oh. 🤭
They don't have a positive outlook though. "Now the slowdown between '24 and '25 reflects in part the fact that the Russian economy is running hot. It is a war economy. There is a lot of public spending going to financing a war effort, and that is fueling inflation in Russia. And we've seen inflation going up. It's inflation in '24 is 8.3 percent.
But in fact, if you look at the sequential inflation, it's even higher than that. Above 9 percent. And as a result, the Central Bank of Russia has stepped in and hiked interest rates quite strongly. Interest rates are at 21 percent. And that, of course, is going to weigh in, weigh down on activity going forward. And this is why we have a growth rate at 1.4 percent"
A nation with high spending on war and long term negative outlook.
There aren't IMF detectives who investigate economies, they take Rosstat at face value and parrot their stats. Also any 'growth' Russia has experienced is because of high military spending, Ukraine has had even more growth than Russia, next you'll tell me how well their economy is doing.
@@matsmcmats Literally, the only people overly concerned with talking about Russia´s economy - is The Collective West.
And they´ve been doing this since 2023.
Why?
Because´s that´s all they got left to cling onto - that and the other fallacy that Russia have lost 1 million men.
😂
A Russian friend of mine says her mother and aunty back in Russia arnt feeling any financial difficulties. She said they don't really notice much difference at all. My friend is wondering when the sanctions will start to hit.
Looks like the central bank has worked very hard to minimise obvious disruption
Correct. The only people they are sanctioning is themselves. That's how you know Dave is a fraud.
They are being less than truthful. High food prices are well documented.
You have a Russian accent. Are you sure it wasn't a friend of a friend's second cousin's neighbor's great, great , great grandmother?
Agreed...despite the Russian government's actions to "insulate" the economy, inflation in Russia is real, particularly food prices. To believe that the average Russian isn't noticing the obvious negative impacts is at best naive and at worst propaganda.
@@russellspeed1693No Claire is actually a Russian Propaganda bot full of sh*t. Inflation in Russia is close to 30% on all major grocery staples. And the federal interest rate in Russia is 21% which means mortgages are actually around 28-30%! Many Russians are losing there homes as they cannot afford to pay their mortgage anymore as they initially bought when interest on debt was much lower.
British and its allies placed 25,000 sanctions on Russia and the Russia economy grew by 3.1 percent in 2024 whilst British economy went down the drain.. 😂😂😂
Spending silly money on the military isn't real growth.
War spending isn't sustainable. But maybe you actually think that an interest rate of 21 % and 9 % inflation are signs of a strong economy? 😂😂😂
Ukraine got bombed and obliterated and it's growing even faster than Russia.
It is almost like you never heard of the broken window fallacy lol
@matsmcmats : Inflations is not 9%, that is just the official ruzzian number, i.e. made up. In reality it is much higher.
@@WHS_reviews i was being generous i guess
Always amusing to listen to Western "experts" about "dilemmas" faced by Putin/Russia. If you are experts, why don't you look at your own economies? The Russian economy is doing fine unlike British, American, French economies, well, Germany did away with their economy, so RIP.
Nonsense
Either way Russia is in trouble especially when the war stops
@@sylvianorah1367 Yes, that's what I said, all "expertise" from these "experts" is just a big pile of nonsense.
We are doing pretty fine, go cry about not affording butter elsewhere. Even if average german is poorer now, the average german lives way better than average russian. Same with Uk, French.
US is doing fine
@@John316OBrian-cm4fj Can you explain why?
Putin surely has had enough of his “Special Operation” and it’s only just begun AGAIN! 😂
🕺🏻🌬️🌬️🌬️🌬️🌬️😩