The Economic Collapse That is Coming for Everyone...Except This One Country
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- Опубліковано 1 жов 2024
- This is a chart of the record high credit card debt.
This is a chart of the soaring, adjusted real estate prices in the united states.
And This is a chart showing the rapid increase in the price of consumer goods.
At one point or another, you have probably heard someone talk about one of these charts or topics. And how they point to a bleak future for the world economy.
But there is one thing that no one is talking about, that leaves all of these other economic problems in the dust.
In fact, this chart may be the scariest economic signal, that we have ever seen, and yet no one is paying attention to it.
This little line right here shows with almost certainty, that the global economy as we know it, may be coming to an end, and there isn’t anything we can do about it.
When you think about things that are correlated with humanity, you probably think of something like our ability to adapt, maybe our pollution, maybe our architecture, or maybe something else.
But one thing that might be correlated with humanity, more than anything else, is growth.
Whether its growth of our intelligence, technology, or productivity, humanity for thousands of years has had a general upward trajectory for many important things in relation to our society.
But there is one thing that nearly always grows, no matter what. One thing that has grown through every world war, every pandemic, every golden era, and every dark age, is also something that we based our modern economy off of today.
And that thing, is our population. During world war 1 and 2, despite losing tens of millions of people worldwide, the global population still grew during that decade.
In fact, going back throughout all of human history, there’s only a handful of events that caused a temporary global population decline.
One was the Mongolian conquest in the 1200s, which may have killed upward of 10% of the world population.
The black plague in the 1300s decreased the world population by about 25%.
The crisis of the third century in the roman empire, which was a combination of a plague, hyperinflation, weather events, and foreign invasions, caused a rapid population decline in large cities like alexandria.
And at the same time that this was going on in rome, the crisis of the three kingdoms in China resulted in one of the sharpest population declines in recorded history. The three kingdoms war saw estimates of china losing potentially 60% of its population during the third century.
However, there was one population decline that no one talks about. One that lasted for thousands of years. And was not caused by a war, natural disaster, or pandemic. This population decline came from something different.
It came from a new technology, and the birth of a new economy. You see, humans up until about 12,000 years ago, were still hunters and gatherers. We would go out into the wilderness looking to eat pretty much anything whether it was plants or animals.
But then, something changed. You see, someone in syria came up with an idea that would change humanity. Instead of going out and looking for food from plants, why dont we try to grow our own, right by our village? And so, that one person planted rye, waited for it to grow, and then, voila. The domestication of plants was discovered by humanity.
Now, you might assume that this technology would have been good for humanity, as it allowed humans to have a consistent food supply, and therefore, would lead to humans being able to reproduce more and grow the human population. But thats not what happened. In fact, it may have been somewhat detrimental to humans for thousands of years.
You see, immediately after humans learned how to domesticate plants, life expectancy decreased, infant mortality rose, and the average human height decreased by nearly 4 inches. Along those lines, humans began developing new diseases like iron deficiency anemia, osteoporosis, and obesity. This was largely because humans transitioned to a new type of economy and lifestyle where there were only a few types of plants available to eat. So, it decreased the diversity of our food, in order to increase the overall supply of food, while also allowing humans to become sedentary for the first time in history.
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Hey everyone. So I had to leave a ton of stuff out of this video. From Egypt/Sudans Dam, to some political revolutions, and a handful of other things. The video was getting too long though. But what do you think of population decline? Will it continue, or balance itself out? What are your thoughts on egypt?
You could always make a few followups with the left out content... 😉
The Solution is simple in these advanced economies ban abortion and contraceptives.
Peter zeihan been saying population for years
I kinda assume it will balance itself out at about 2 billion for the Earth and that efforts to terraform other planets and moons will eventually happen once better power sources are created. Maybe a Dyson Sphere or solar array will be made at some point as well.
@@genomedia44 Yoo hoo
Sell your house
Sell your stocks
And then Buy Bitcoin now before it's too late
The continuously changing economic conditions in our society have made it necessary for people to find additional sources of income, thus I am looking at the stock market to fuel my retirement goal of $3m, my only concern is the recent market crash.
Every crash/collapse brings with it an equivalent market chance if you are early informed and equipped, I've seen folks amass wealth amid economy crisis, and even pull it off easily in favorable conditions. That should be the least of your concern. Also explore the option of working with a CFA to reduce greatly your chances of loss.
You're right, I and a few Neighbors in Bel Air Area work with an Investment Adviser who prefers we DCA across other prospective sectors instead of a lump sum purchase. As a result, my portfolio has recorded significant improvement even during the most unfavorable market season.
I'm intrigued by this. I've searched for investment advisers online but it's kind of hard to get in touch with one. Okay if I ask you for a recommendation??
'Sharon Ann Meny' is the licensed advisor I use. Just research the name. You’d find necessary details to work with a correspondence to set up an appointment
Thank you for the recommendation. I'll send her an email, and I hope I'm able to reach her.
A number of the most eminent market experts have been expressing their views on the severity of the impending economic downturn and the extent to which equities might plummet. This is because the economy is heading towards a recession and inflation is persistently above the Federal Reserve's 2% target. As I'm aiming to create a portfolio worth no less than $850,000 before I turn 65, I would appreciate any advice on potential investments.
There are many other interesting stocks in many industries that you might follow. You don't have to act on every forecast, so I'll suggest that you work with a financial advisor who can help you choose the best times to purchase and sell the shares or ETFs you want to acquire.
I've been in touch with a financial advisor ever since I started my business. Knowing today's culture The challenge is knowing when to purchase or sell when investing in trending stocks, which is pretty simple. On my portfolio, which has grown over $900k in a little over a year, my adviser chooses entry and exit orders.
Mind if I ask you recommend this particular professional you use their service? i have quite a lot of marketing problems.
‘’Aileen Gertrude Tippy’’ is her name. She is regarded as a genius in her area and works for Empower Financial Services. She’s quite known in her field, look-her up.
Thanks a lot for this suggestion. I needed this myself, I looked her up, and I have sent her an email. I hope she gets back to me soon.
Some economists have projected that both the U.S. and parts of Europe could slip into a recession for a portion of 2023. A global recession, defined as a contraction in annual global per capita income, is more rare because China and emerging markets often grow faster than more developed economies. Essentially the world economy is considered to be in recession if economic growth falls behind population growth.
Emotionally-charged decisions to sell off large quantities of stocks or other investments now lock in your losses, removing any chance for future growth.
A 2022 Northwestern Mutual study found that 75% of U.S. adults admit their financial planning needs improvement. However, only 29% of Americans work with a financial advisor.
@@hunter-bourke21 Very correct; the bear market has contributed significantly to the growth of my investment. I was able to quickly increase my portfolio from $180K to $572K. Essentially, I was just doing as my financial advisor instructed. You're good to go as long as you get competent assistance.
@@edward.abraham Would it be okay if I asked you to recommend this specific advisor or company that you used their services? Seems you've figured it all out.
@@rebecca_burns14 Big Credits to “Julia Ann Finnicum” she has a web presence, so you can simply search for, there are some others but it might be difficult to get them, but Julia has been a good guide through the year.
Every day we encounter novel challenges that have become the new standard. Although we previously perceived it as a crisis, we now acknowledge it as the new normal and must adapt accordingly. Given the current economic difficulties that the country is experiencing in 2023, how can we enhance our earnings during this period of adjustment? I cannot let my $680,000 savings vanish after putting in so much effort to accumulate them.
It is advisable to steer clear of cons that appear improbable. Seeking guidance from a fiduciary advisor can be helpful as they are highly skilled in their field and can provide tailored advice based on an individual's risk appetite. While there may be unscrupulous individuals, there are also remarkable ones with a positive track record.
How can I reach this adviser of yours? because I'm seeking for a more effective investment approach on my savings
My advisor is Margaret Johnson Arndt; I found her on a CNBC interview where she was featured and reached out to her afterwards. she has since provided entry and exit points on the securities I focus on. I basically follow her trade pattern and haven’t regretted doing so
@nicolasbenson009 this whole conversation is an AI generated ad for this "financial advisor" I'm almost sure of it. Conversation seems super off
@Formancandoas well as BRAND NEW accounts with pictures of old white men hahah. This text is AI generated and used to promote whatever scammer there mentioning. Nice try
To my understanding this just proves how much we need an edged as an investors because playing the market like everyone else just isn’t good enough. I’ve been quite ensured about investing in this current market and at the same time I feel it’s the best time to get started on the market, what are your thoughts?
That’s true , I’ve been getting assisted by ‘Laurel Dell Sroufe’ for almost a year now , I started out less than $200k and I’m just $19,000 short of half a million in profits.
@crystalcassandra5597 - How can I reach out to this coach? Because I’m seeking for a more effective investment approach how good is this person at portfolio diversification, particularly with regards to digital assets?
I am being advised by Laurel Dell Sroufe , an experienced financial professional. If you're interested, you can easily find more information about her as she has accumulated years of expertise in the financial market.
thank you for this tip , I must say laurel, appears to be quite knowledgeable. After coming across her online page, I thoroughly went through her resume, and I must say, it was quite impressive. I reached out to her, and I have booked a session with her.
📌Do what everybody else is doing if you are okay with only having what everybody else has.Information that will pay you everyday, you've got to stop saving all your money.
Venture into investing some, if you really want financial stability.
Choose to grow and elevate your mind by studying audios, videos, attending conferences that will give you the edge!
Exactly, money is always eager and ready to work for anyone who is ready to employ it. That is why it’s nice to start up an investment now. I have researched about this bitcoin and I found it profitable.
@@thiagosilvano7859 I have been researching all this while for a digital asset investment and I found bitcoin to be the most profiting of them all , I’m definitely bouncing on the opportunity, thank you so much.
I understand the fact that tomorrow isn't promised to anyone, but investing today is a hard thing to do because i have no idea of how and where to invest in these?
@@antoniomehrez9524 In situations like this,I always recommend to people on getting guidance at least from someone that understands price action and all that while you strive on improving yourself by watching videos and learning fundamental analysis.
I’ve been thinking of investing in cryptocurrency for long term, I’ve set asides $350k to invest but along the line,I usually get cold feet, maybe because I have no idea what I’m doing,
I'm 45 years old, have a $300,000 portfolio, and hope to retire at the age of 60. My target is to raise $2 million USD. I see traders making thousands of dollars every week, so I know it's possible. All that is required is to do it correctly.
@@roryperalta3407 I completely concur with you. I've been looking for financial advisors who can manage a $200,000 portfolio. Any suggestions?
@@samanthaesteraherrera4847 I have two portfolios worth similar amount and they are both handled by Claudia Frade Ferreira. She is quite an expertise in her field, Look her up
@@roryperalta3407 You are welcome
It will evaporate like vapor in just one recession
For every trader who makes, there is a trader who loses
"nobody can predict the future, least of all economics."-
Alexis de Toqueville did a great job
Alois irlmaier got out of jail by doing so
You may not have noticed inflation in years past, But 8%+ inflation over the past year should've taught you that the cost of living increases every year (home prices, rent, groceries, plane tickets, home repairs, etc.) Only way to beat inflation is by investing your money
The worst part about this recession is that consumers are racking up credit card debt. In April alone, credit card debt went up 20% while rates have doubled in a year. Inflation is so high that consumers are literally taking debt for basic life necessities. Collapse is near.
Inflation is gradually going to become part of us and due to that fact any money you keep in cash or in a low-interest account declines in value each year. Investing is the only way to make your money grow and unless you have an exceptionally high income, investing is the only way most people will ever have enough money to retire.
@@selenajack2036 How can i get started when it comes to investing and passive income?
@@adenmall7596 Personally I work with ‘’ELEANOR ANNETTE ECKHAUS’’ a pro who sets asset allocation that fits my tolerance and risk capacity, invstment horizon, present and future goals. My portfolio have accrued gains of about $130k
Thank you. i just found her webpage and left her a message.
Isn't Egypt running out of water, that's probably gonna put a damper on their mega city in the desert.
They are building de salination plants
Utopia
@@zaynhafezboyle Impossible to have all the needed water with just desalination plants. Currently the biggest desalination plant in the world treats roughly 6.24 millions of liters daily. They would need 27 of them just for enabling the population to drink, wash and have sewage. But then they would also need to have waaaaaay more treated water for agriculture, and for industrial processes. On top of that, desalination plants are hard and expensive to operate, since they rely on membrane to filter what is dissolved in waters (such as salt), and membrane tend to foul quickly and they need to be replaced.
To answer your question they only plan to make enough to supply 10% of the country. Also Egypt locally make membrane filters, it's one of the largest exporters in the world
@@zaynhafezboyle it's much more sustainable that way. They should focus on treating wastewater with more efficient technologies than membranes...
No way. It takes more than just having an authoritarian government. You need a hardworking, naturally intelligent and culturally honest population. Not many countries have that.
What’s a naturally intelligent population? I’m not accusing you of anything but this sounds like you’re suggesting that regional genetics decide your intelligence?
@@Th1sIsMyLegacy you don’t think they are naturally intelligent? They don’t need a lot of teaching and yet can figure out so many things and make them work.
as an Egyptian .This is very weird for me because the country now is run by the worst government in Egypt modern history ... corruption is insane and Economy is failing. There is absolutely no human rights or democracy.
Probably. Because. You are muslim brother u ybn Al was5@
@@user-or1rm1ol3q he is one
@@thehind8861 one what?
@@user-or1rm1ol3q Probably because you are christian brother
@@eatinsomtin9984 no Iam apostate
Egypt imports most of it's food, so when the West goes, so do they, unless they start growing a LOT more food. This goes for most African countries to a lesser extant, and sadly many African countries' "leaders" have used hunger as their primary weapon many times in the past. All of that said, after a generation of Malthusian-esque population corrections to meet whatever the then-current food supply will allow, I could see some countries in Africa ending up ok in the long run, IF they are willing to set aside their cultural & political differences for a common goal of survival, but that is a giant-sized IF.
If the west callapses they still produce the food. The Egyptian currency will become stronger compared to the euro so they will enjoy more cheap food.
How come Africa doesn't produce enough food for itself? The continent isn't that densely populated. 128/sq mi for Africa vs 96/sq mi for the US. Yeah, about 1/3 of that is desert, but a decent chunk of the American west is arid too. And the US is generally only able to grow crops for 1/2 the year (May to October) whereas Africa is mostly frost free year round.
I will say, Egypt is overcrowded. But South and Central Africa seem fairly lightly populated.
Our president is just a big dictator but he built 3 super big project to grow the agriculture that in 2030 egypt won't need to import anything, I hope this happen becouse the country's economy is falling apart.
Egypt should become a superpower? They totally depend on wheat import to feed their people and Ethiopia can block the Nile whenever they want. Egypt wouldn't survive economic sanctions for more than 3 months.
No Ethiopia can't block the nile whenever they want the dam is 20 km away from Sudanese borders and Egypt is much stronger than Ethiopia
Bro not trynna be rude if you are ethiopian. But ethiopia cant really do anything to Egypt 😂. Egypt is a much stronger country and could just bomb ethiopia
Egypt can block Ethiopia from existing
Boi egypt can block ethiopia as a whole from existing 💀
Ah yes, more sub-par UA-cam economics. Flashing charts, music, and big claims; not to mention sophisticated arguments that end in “mankind is going extinct and maybe robots will rule the Earth” - much more entertaining than its net intellectual worth.
Haha yea, this was the worst macro economics/ geopolitical video.
My greatest concern is how to recover from all these economic and global troubles and stay afloat especially with the political power tussle going on in US.
The FED knows. They aren't committed to attacking inflation. They are going to continue to inflate, stocks and commodities will continue to go up with everything else. You can't just sit on cash waiting for a crash, get your money working for you, start buying in slowly and then gradually increase the pace of buying as the prices continue to drop.
In my opinion, now is not the moment to rely on hearsay. Every individual, regardless of their level of experience as an investor, requires guidance at some stage.
It's often true that people underestimate the importance of financial advisors until they feel the negative effects of emotional decision-making. I remember a few summers ago, after a tough divorce, when I needed a boost for my struggling business. I researched and found a licensed advisor who diligently helped grow my reserves despite inflation. Consequently, my reserves increased from $275k to around $850k.
*@kristenpierce8661* Please tell me how can I connect to your advisor. My funds are being murdered by inflation, therefore I'm looking for a more profitable investing strategy to put them to work.
Do your homework and choose one that has strategies to help your portfolio grow consistently and steadily. ‘’Mary Onita Wier” is responsible for the success of my portfolio, and I believe she possesses the qualifications and expertise to meet your goals.
What happen to the arctic trade route? Scammer!
Humans are great and terrible at the same time
Egypt doesn't have very good geography though. I have a hard time seeing how Egypt can support a massive population. There's already 100.000.000 people there. In a desert. And they'll be screwed if something happens to the Nile. Or if they can't import enough food. I think the US will still be the most prosperous country at the end of this century. Great geography and plenty of land. Not without really big challenges though, but all of them can be overcome. But Africa is certainly going to pass a lot of the rest of the world. I think Africa for sure has the greatest potential compared to all other continents.
Don't worry. Once we link the Congo. River to the Nile. Egypt will be green land
@@user-or1rm1ol3q Whatever.
Better hurry. While there still is a Nile.
@@user-or1rm1ol3q That's one massive infrastructure project!
Ethiopia can turn off Egypts water
USA will probably incorporate Canada (geography, lots of resources) and Mexico (young and growing population), this combination is by far the best i can see in year 2100.
Africa is NOT having a sustainable growth(neither economically, nor politically), and as soon as globalization ends, we will see a horrible things happening there, resulting in collapse.
Whats the point of Economic growth if it relies on population growth? Why are Economist obsessed with the size of economy and GDP? India has a much larger economy than Switzerland due to its population, but swiss citizens enjoy much higher quality of life.
Ye, Japan hasn't had much growth, but they haven't had the constant crashes or recessions either. Is that really worse?
Japan's economic is really not good
@@이주영-h5j9n Would it be better with skyrocketing inflation and going from recession to recession like the west?
So are we going to see some super high tech pyramids in the future?
We are doing it now
egypt is a ridiculous candidate for a superpower, the new capital they are building is a sign of weakness, they are running away from their own overpopulated cities. a playground for the military elites. they will never prosper in it
Anti-aging and gene-editing will change the game. In the future people will live a lot longer, still be vital into their 60s and 70s, and have cybernetic enhancements. That sounds like science fiction today, but so did a mobile computer in your pocket back in 1997 - 10 years later the iPhone came out
In the future people will work 24, 7 forever.
Thats for the elite. All sounds great, not for pleebs. Billions for Ukraine, nothing for Ohio or snap or vets. Usa third world now.
@@Tethloach1 that's why McDonalds is testing a restaurant that employs zero people.
checkout that Harvard discovery with the Yamanaka factors. Rolls back the clock on any cell. pretty much found the fountain of youth... shits gonna get real interesting. your 60s/70s example might be 600/700 soon
People are living less than 80 years ... 20 years ago, the average life was 85. The average has been getting shorter ... not longer.
The historical take in this video is nonsense …EgyptIan civilisation peaked more than 10,000 years ago and sustained itself until as recently as 1500 years ago. 5000 years my a** 😂
You know there's a really good argument that instead of us domesticating plants like wheat, they domesticated us instead, as humans have a lot of the traits that domestic animals show in regards to our relationship with crops.
I heard that Nietzsche said that we are the most domesticated animal on earth, based on our trained behavior, etc. When you look at it from this perspective, it's really true.
I also think it's unavoidable that the general population is viewed in aggregate by those making decisions for us, and indeed we have been "domesticated" in a number of ways.
A good example of this might be the prison system. Consider how, over time, the justice and prison system filters aggressive and volatile people out of the population. Less of those types of people procreate, which is unintentionally, selective breeding (in a good way, I would say).
I believe there are way more correlations of humans being domesticated like animals than we generally think there are, and it's not all bad.
Very interesting topic.
Haha, very interesting!
Can you elaborate as to how and why?
Instead of cows being farmed for milk, its us humans who are part of the tax farm, we are being farmed for our earned moneys by the government of the world
Egypt re-emerges after 5000 years to become the global superpower once again 😂
Who says God doesn't have a sense of humor
Egypt's going to be made great again!
@@coolman6139
Make Egypt Great Again!
@@totallyahuman.2955 mega lol
Egypt was never a global superpower. It was definitely a regional superpower back than though.
lets see how long egypt lasts without getting sanctioned and couped like libya as soon as they become an economic competitor with certain foreign nations
The next video: Kosovo, Bhutan and Burundi secretely rule the world!!!!
A superpower is not how big your population is (it still must be a decent size), but how technological, economic and military poweress in projected beyond your shores (in that you have dominant global influence). In this way, for example, India is a very populous country, but it is not a superpower.
I believe that the global population downturn will happen (globally about the mid century) and then accelerate for a century. This means that we have a decade or so left for standard growth economic models, which will get more and more useless later. Sustainable economics then comes with a different caveat; how to get more with less. This means that increasing mechanization may fill some of the gaps, but people will still have to work for 40 or 50 years of their lives on average. Lower birthrates and more frugality. Not an exciting venture,
The currency of Egypt has collapsed and people can't even buy food.
I know the video was focused around egypt but you could have also included some of many insane inventions and innovations that other pre bronze age civilizations made. Only 3 civilizations are known as pre bronze age ones. The Mesopotamian, Indian and Egyptian. Of these only tge Indian one is still thriving and growing very well. Egyptians and Mesopotamians were driven to extinction by muslim conquests. Ancient Indian civilization invented alot of things like metalurgy, advanced city planning, world's first port, world's first toilets, advanced underground drainage systems, maths, astronomy, medecine, domestication of different animals, etc etc etc. The ancient Mesopotamia also invented ton of stuff like agriculture of many plants for first time, maths, astronomy, many construction techniques, etc, etc etc. Also, you didn't mention that population is expected to rise again after 2100s.
0:13: 📉 The global economy may be coming to an end, as indicated by an overlooked economic signal.
4:55: 🌾 The domestication of plants in the Neolithic period led to a decrease in life expectancy, infant mortality, and average human height, as well as the development of new diseases, but it also increased the overall food supply.
8:31: 🌍 Many countries with declining populations are actually experiencing slight increases due to immigration.
12:41: 🌍 By the year 2100, countries like Nigeria, Pakistan, Congo, Ethiopia, Angola, and Tanzania are projected to have a growing population and potential economic development.
16:32: 📈 Egypt is implementing an economic plan to become a major cultural and financial hub in Africa, with legal and tax reforms to attract foreign businesses.
Recap by Tammy AI
Hi there. I would love to see the sources for your stats and corroboration for your conclusions.
Sorry but your video was very click bate. I’m not saying making content is easy but this is more La La land. Your next video should be on NEOM and how they plan to build a skyscraper that is a gazillion miles long and how Saudi Arabia will become the next super power / Dubai / Singapore.
7:17 No that's NOT CORRECT. Population growth is only one side of the coin, productivity growth is the other. While population grow may soon stop, productivity growth will only accelerate even faster as technological advancement continues unabated.
This video is a very good example of a very bad idea to base economic models in population growth ALONE. Sorry, I am not on board with you with this.
Aside from that, Egypt is one of the most critically vulnerable nations of the world today in face of climate change. Their survival literally depends on one single river system, the Nile. The humongous amount of population in a thin strip of land cannot be supported if the Nile collapses. They should know that they cannot afford to sustain that kind of population growth while largely depending on only one resource.
What if the last high population areas of DRC, Tanzania and possibly Ethiopia with a bunch of others become a new nation. The East African Federation? A number of these future EAF constituent nations may well rise above our present expectations.
Yeah sure you will
Expect that developed countries will continue attracting immigrants, even if the world as a whole is shrinking.
This is nicely demonstrated in former communist countries in Europe. They all have sub-replacement birth rates and yet they are still losing population to west European countries.
What will most probably happen in the next 50 years is that EU as a whole will continue attracting immigrants. These new immigrants will come from Africa, Asia, middle east and south America - even if this means that population in emigration nations will dry out.
As for Egypt, they are suffering from lack of water. They cannot feed the population they have today and the situation is about to get worse because of the dam in Ethiopia. I expect them to be one of the countries to lose population.
You and other have it backward. Farming started as an act of desperation. People who have a plentiful supply of wild plants and animals don't farm. Same logic applies to fish farming. We first had to catch most of the easily caught wild fish before it made sense to put in the effort of starting and developing fish farms. As the wild fish numbers decline the fish farms become more profitable. As we get better at farming we eventually produce more food than we could ever get from the wild. But the window between when we are forced to start farming and when farming is perfected will mean declines in food consumption.
How is it that India does not even exist in this commentary. Why ? The western person's obsession with ancient Egyptian civilization always ignores the equally ancient Indian civilization and this video is evidence of that.
And China another ancient civilization.
The ancient Egyptian civilization ceased to exist when they became an Islamic country. This commentary ignores that fact also. India is the only ancient civilization that still lives ! Yet it does not exist in this video. All other regions and countries have been mentioned.
It's just too shocking that India gets no mention at all.
Losing with statistics… just take income per capita per nation, and problem solved! No immigration needed either! Demography, is much more important, esp ratio productive vsn on productive, like pensionado’s…
Losing with statistics… just take income per capita per nation, and problem solved! No immigration needed either! Demography, is much more important, esp ratio productive vsn on productive, like pensionado’s…
This is crazy. Egypt is already under huge strains because they get so much wheat from Ukraine ...which is struggling with agricultural output due to war. Do not agree w this video at all.
Faulty assumptions. Population growth alone does not make a growing economy. The population needs to produce more (larger pie), not cut the existing pie into smaller parts.
"Make it easy to do buisness"? - i guess the narrator never bribed the local police while importing cigarettes and tuna cans...
Nigeria is the only country in Africa that can produce all of its own food and the inputs (fertilizer and machinery) that go into that food production. Even if Egypt turned all its farmland into food production it still can't grow enough to feed its people today let alone in the future. As the world deglobalizes Egypt is actually in the worst position amongst African countries. Nigeria has already over taken Egypt as the largest economy in Africa. There is absolutely no way Egypt becomes more influential than Nigeria in the coming decades.
Nigeria is a lifetime away from competing with world powers.
This is video is like a fragment of every speech Peter Zeihan has given every other day for the last few years.
Yeah, just like Peter… only. The future he predicted for Egypt was not that rosy. They have twice as many people as they can feed and the Ukraine war will cut them off from most of their wheat. They may be the best candidates for a famine.
Also, I don’t understand how Canada grows now that they’ve cut off home purchases for foreigners for 2 years. Not everyone wants to live in an apartment. Just having the most people will not make a nation successful, you need people in their 20s & 30s who are productive.
because hes right
Hey jack - long timer here. I have really missed your regular content. Just hoping you are doing great and I appreciate you sharing your content. Tyler in NC
How should these African countries feed their growing population? They can't do it today!
From NY times: The investment bank Goldman Sachs recently estimated that Egypt needed a $15 billion bailout from the International Monetary Fund to fend off its creditors. Although the financing for the new projects remains opaque, they are funded in part by Chinese capital as well as high-interest bonds that will be costly for Egypt to repay in coming years. Urban planners say Mr. el-Sisi would do better to fix his broken cities than to build new ones. The cheapest apartment runs to $80,000, once construction was completed. “None of this is for us,” said Mr. Mahmood, gesturing first to the marble-fronted buildings, then to a billboard bearing Mr. el-Sisi’s image: “It’s for him.”
Basing a whole channel on predicting apocalyptic doom will scare some and get you some subscribers and viewers, but it’s a completely losing strategy in the end😂😂😂😂😂
if you think the europeans and americans are gonna let these countries become superpowers than ur kidding yourselves
You keep predicting economic collapse. Keep doing it. Eventually you will be correct.
Looking that far into the past is silly, there's no concrete evidence of anything that you've said.
This video has to be sponsored by the Egyptian government right? Terribly floored theory.
Whole lot of drivel
*****
"Go forth & be fruitful" Now I understand why my grandparents said We did our Duty (13 kids)
Sorry, this headline makes me not even want to waste my time watching the video.
Egypt can't even feed itself without importing grain from Ukraine and Russia. And their water is threatened by Ethiopia building dams.
That's not a superpower. That's a nation with intractable vulnerabilities.
We have are becoming self sufficient. Read about the new delta an toshka u dummy
@@user-or1rm1ol3q The more I read, the less I'm impressed with Egypt. The government is building a new capital city unnecessarily, with the only goal being that it is out of reach of the protesters. Once that is done, Egypt will sink back into dictatorship, and from there on out, protests won't do anything to change the mind of those in power. Dictatorships have a low ceiling when it comes to how much of a superepower they can be.
@@Berkana building 39 new city not just the new capital
Danggg why all the comments hating on egypt???
Africans and Middle Easterners have historical enmity with Egypt. Don't care, they are funny😂
Life expectency probally dropped because people could get more kids. As hunters/gatherers you can take care for like 1-2 kids for the first 12-14 years. But as farmers you can get like 10 but well...not all 10 will survive the first few years.
I would think that people generally have more kids when the are optimistic of their future. One of the biggest problems today is that we're being sold the message that the world's future looks bleak. If it isn't climate change alarmism it's food shortages and economic uncertainty. Its not very inspiring to say the least and over time almost becomes a self fulfilling prophecy. There are some religions however that encourage people to have children, Islam for example. Regardless of how distraught the world is, their faith will hold more sway over their decisions. Will be interesting to see how the world is going to develope.
Studies show that less children are born when people have full healthy wealthy lives. Time to explore and have hobbies.
@@markluxton3402 You make a good point there. A lot of people in poorer countries seem to have more kids than people in wealthier countries.
@@markluxton3402 Yeah, Also it's highly dependent on women empowerment. I don't believe any single country will left isolated in the future. At most some countries will start having declining population a little late. Once one generation of women are educated and empowered it's almost impossible to convince the future generations to become a baby making factory.
Make Love not war
The world is Under populated anyways Make Love stay safe and abundance ❤️💫🙏🏽🌈🤩
Sir. With due respect , you need to study more and get your facts correct.
Hello HYPERINFLATION America 😄
Don't forget that Egypt has a massive issue to deal with besides the economic and will severely curb its ability to attract foreign investment: terrorist activities and the aspirations of the Muslim Brotherhood. It wouldn't take much for Egypt to become another Libya.
All of those rebel groups fall or fade when their exterior funding is removed which happens when their usefulness ends. None of them are organic. Follow the money if you want to know who controls them.
The. Muslims brotherhood have been wiped in Egypt
Things you're talking about are long gone, my friend.
@@user-or1rm1ol3q the muslim brotherhood are in every institution of the egyptian state.
Wasn't Egypt suffering under shortage of grains?
Great video by the way very informative:
Problem We’re facing is Greed all they money Wines up in a few pockets .This I guess is the nature of the beast can’t have it all let’s be thankful what we do have and come to green solutions.Mother Earth can only take so much.
You need a lot more than just lots of people for an economy to have healthy growth. You need a good culture (work ethic, honesty, education, common language, common values, lack of strife, etc.). Then you need a good geography (protection from enemies, ports, rivers, arable land, water, mineral resources, energy, etc.).
i see what he means egypt generates $19.1 million a day from the suez canal ports it means no matter what the global economy are egypt would continuously make money off of ships crossing from europe to asia or parts of africa
on top of their significant discoveries of natural gas egypt is well positioned to survive but not to grow
Belgorod city (founded 1596), Belgorod region, Southwestern Russia, population: 394.174 (agglomeration 719.500, ethnic Russians 94.4%, Ukrainians 2,8%, migrants from former republics of USSR 0.5-1%.
World History, *Belgorod Anti-Nomad Defense Line* of Forts a closed 6 military roads against a robbery raids of Tatar-Turkish cavalry to Moscow and Russia: 70 Forts (3 Fort-Monasteries), 800 km, 17 century. Capital of Defense Line is Belgorod (White) Fort-Monastery. Belgorod Territorial Regiment 22,400 soldiers.
Belgorod city, Russia. *The Horizon of the Future is Human Capital:* free education - new kindergartens, schools, colleges, universities; free medicine - new clinics, perinatal center; new housing, organic foods, traditional family. Belgorod city - Your Home, Family, Defender, Future! /watch?v=1OURhGlsuVQ
Belgorod, Victory park, *Cossack military song (19 century):* "My military road to Turkish land" /watch?v=adtwShTJ3T0
Belgorod County, *Wedding short clip, Fort-Monastery "New Jerusalem",* Belgorod Anti-Nomad Defense Line, Eurasian forest steppe. /watch?v=epx9KSy7Dus
Belgorod, *Muravsky military road* is the Main military road of nomads for robbery raids to Moscow. *Orthodox Cathedral of St Sophia* for stop raids - *The Triumph of Orthodoxy* in the Eurasian Forest Steppe, 17 century. /watch?v=duoyLLI1vqU
Belgorod County, White Hill (Chalk), Chorus of Palace of Culture *"Belgorod Energo Mash Factory", Theodora Folk - Heaven above the Water* (I m pray to my Russia). Pavlo Posad Folk costumes (Moscow) and Folk Costumes of ethnic groups (slavic) living in Belgorod region: Russian, Ukrainian, Polish, Bulgarian, Belarusian. /watch?v=lN6qrEBhAL0
@@lornariveral7313 declining global economy means less ships through the Suez, continuously generating less and less money as global trade shrinks
@@thisisammunition hell nah it means more oil being traded to secure their energy industries and also foods it means the port will be busier
I doubt countries mentioned in video will really become superpowers(most likely will be factories with cheap workforce). As for population decline I think there will be shift of dominance from liberalism/socialism towards some form of traditionalism(and there will be rural communities with ultra high birth rates that will support declining urban population; cities will continue to grow more and more gedonistic and birth rates there would continue plummeting to zero, but with modern advancements relatively small rural population will support them on relatively high level). And probably western countries will be first to experience this drastic change.
as an egyptian i would say that the main reason of population decline in other reigmes is because of the propaganda of individualism and hedonism... Which is not popular in Egypt and most Islamic countries.. because it is against islam... islam urges the formation of families.... despite this we are not in our best conditions , but we will rise oneday in sha Allah
Don't agree with this video at all .. Egypt got nothing special than other countries don't have.
We do. We are going to become the most rich country in the world
Egypt doesn't stand a chance. They'll run out of water before their new capital city is fully occupied. lol (this is a half-joke)
Also, were we hunter/gatherers? Or did we have a highly advanced agriculture system that collapsed? We destroy vast swaths of natural habitat to grow limited food. I don't think our form of agriculture is the desirable form.
You're assuming that rich countries with low fertility won't just poach people from poor ones. India has a population density of over 450 people per km2, which means it could lose a billion people and still have a population density higher than that of China. Also - most Egyptian families like the idea of Sharia Law and practice female genital mutilation. There are multiple videos on UA-cam about how the new capital is a white elephant, and Cairo really looks like urban hell if you see aerial photos. Most of the capable people move to Dubai and other such magnets for talented Arabs.
It's difficult to get a man to understand something when his salary depends on him not understanding it
No mention about india shameful incomplete
Maybe population decline was a problem 6000 years ago, but I think that education is more important then birth rate today.
Having enormous amounts of children and not having enough food to feed them is a different kind of problem.
In Africa every 10 years there is a big crop fail, caused by climate cycle, that will get worse with climate change. Where are the gouvernements that will make provisions and avoid needles starvation?
China grew out of its extreme poverty in the late 20th century till today by exporting to other nations that were still growing and were already rich. Nigeria will not have that opportunity, as much of the world will, as the video suggests, be in both economic and population decline. Also, the Chinese culture has inherent advantages I won't get into but I suspect most people understand, advantages that Nigeria or Congo or even Egypt don't share.
Actually the Chinese population is growing. There are now around two billion Chinese worldwide.
@@medeliworld True but irrelevant, because few Chinese emigrate from China anymore, and China's population has begun its long-term decline. Apparently India now boasts the world's largest population.
"Chinese culture has inherent advantages"?
Pray tell, what?
(Yes, you didn't want to get into it, nevertheless....)
@@ArmageddonIsHere Yes. Why do you think Chinese civilization is the only remaining continuous civilization in the world. Moreover there are two billion Chinese throughout the world, more than the next ten ethnic groups combined.
There are more Chinatown than any other ethnic districts in the world.
Chinese civilization is like the blood type O. It's compatible with almost all civilization. The same can't be said with civilization based on religion.
@@ArmageddonIsHere I think most people are well aware that Chinese, and other Asian immigrants, do exceptionally well in North America. Most people also accept there is a strong cultural component at root. Noticing that is considered racist in some quarters; I have no interest in verbal dueling with people who hold such opinions.
I don't believe that this analysis is correct. Sure, population may decline, but automation, AI and new innovations in the paradigms of society and economy may allow us to organize society in a better way. Is the current population increase sustainable? I don't think so. We are damaging the world that we live in. We need to live more sustainably. Perhaps artificial intelligence and expert systems will allow us to do that.
the more population become educated and developed the less is fertiliti in it, higher educated females dont wont family until ther 30-is,and then if they finde desirable partner they usualy have 1 or 2 max,its patern in every developed country, plus high housing prices which discurage people,so even if countrys described as in good position like egypt or nigeria,if they reach good developmant index they will start to decline also.
excellent.. 🙂 Voila
from here 🇪🇬
First?
I love how this guy makes projections out to 2100 and yet hasn't even considered the possibility that a dramatic change could happen where people want to have more children. If there is a universal basic income and machines are doing most of the work did it not even occur to you that this increased freedom could result in humans having more children??
What an inconclusive and in parts even incoherent drivel! There are for quite a time steadily increasing tensions over the amount of water that may come to Egypt by the Nile. And as in the allegedly glorious times of her past Egypt‘s potential prosperity today totally depends on the Nile. I.e. today and in the foreseeable future Ethiopia can switch off any prosperous future of Egypt any moment at will
All the countries you listed import huge amounts of food from the west and others nations to keep their population fed. Additionally, most of these countries have seen their population grow extremely fast in the last few decades and none of these nations have participated in the development of the modern world, meaning that they do not have the technological, infrastructural or political requirements to become a world power or even a stable nation. All these countries have massive sociological & political issues and a very low skilled workforce, which does not invite someone to be hopeful about their future. Finally, almost all of these countries are highly exposed to water scarcity and extreme climate change catastrophes, whether it is drought, cyclones or rising sea levels on their biggest cities. It is therefore very unlikely that any of these countries will actually become a superpower or even a successfull countryin the future, unless they address all these issues and focus on solving these. I will add as well, that some countries with declining or stable populations have been highly successfull in the last decades despite their population shrinking, such as Russia, Japan, Germany or smaller ones like Czech Republic or Poland which have seen their standards of living and development levels skyrocket since the 1990s.
Also, in a very technological focus world, population does not equal success or power. If that was true countries like actually Egypt, India, Indonesia or others would already be highly powerful countries, which they are not really.
To finish, some other countries which do have a highly skilled workforce, stable political conditions as well as high technological advancements are more likely to be or become more powerful and successful in the future, I am thinking of western ones (Australia, Brazil, France, Canada) and developing ones or Asian nations (South Korea, Turkey, Iran, Mexico).
That is my analysis based on what I know and researched. Feel free to add some information, countradict my analysis and bring up some more information, data and opinions. Always great to discuss.
One problem the global warming ?
There seem to be a couple of assumptions that aren't true. One is that more economic power is better than less economic power. The other is that decline of population is somehow bad? Yeah, it's bad if everyone stops breeding at once, but if it's gradual then it's totally manageable. One person with technology (even without reliance on electricity) can sustain at least 3-4 people. But we have a lot of tech to not have to work hard at all.
The only reason that we may need to have steady growth of population is to expand beyond Earth, in case aliens expand faster and wipe us out like European colonized wiped out Native Americans. Then again, that's only assuming we should care about having humanity be alive forever and conquer the universe.
i thought the world economy was built around the human population staying the same. also wouldnt a lower population mean more resources for the few that exist? such as clean water, food, land, and😮 energy? also creating machines and robots to replace the younger work force and help the elderly. sounds dystopian, but it is a solution to keep the food, clean water, sewage, and energy supply. a humans purpose is to work to survive, which means hunting, gathering, and farming. why not make non-sentient robot to do the worm while the population declines, and as it declines sharper we will need less robots. hopefully converting many urban and suburban areas back to nature
Baltic states were declining for 30 years. In fact, we're one of the fastest shrinking places on Earth. Despite that, for the past 30 years we were also one of the fastest economically growing places in Europe. So, tying economic growth to population isn't really a working idea.
Pure fantasy, but entertaining...
My favourite completely irregular UA-camr.
Lies , damn lies , and statistics !
Immigration may help other countries, but the united states doesn't have an immigration problem. They have an invasion problem that has left them open to incursion by a 900 percent increase in chinese male fighting age nationals crossing the southern border, and invasions from the sudan, and parts of africa coming through mexico. Not to mention the cost in human suffering that comes from having a border in name only.
Sounds like a Ponzi scheme
🫅🏾 The new king is awake now est 94 👨🏾🎓 climate changes for a very very very very long time my friends and family’s 🤩😍🥰🗽
As a responsible American man, I'm ready to breed as many good lookin young women as possible!
The Egyptian economy is in no way robust, as around 24% of its current GDP is based on fossil fuels and mineral extraction. If alternative fuels become more ubiquitous (which they will), and buying power for rare earth minerals diminishes with economic downturn (which is likely), the Egyptian economy will be reeling. Around 15% of their economy is based on tourism, which is also an extremely unreliable industry in times of economic trouble. That's around 40% of their economy that will shrink drastically or possibly even disappear in the next 50 years! Sorry man but I have to strongly disagree with you here
You have some of the same conclusions as Peter Zeihan, whom you may have seen on UA-cam. For very fundamental reasons, population decline is not stopping. As populations become urbanized, you need (and can afford) less very expensive children. There are major areas, like China and Eastern Europe, where there are not enough 20 somethings to rebuild the population, and the living conditions so bad having children is difficult. China is doomed because of the former 1 Child Policy, plus now you have their disasterous economic problems - including their discouragement of foreign investment. The US has always had a large draw for immigrants, so even though the birthrate is down, overall population is up. Mexico has good demographics. I have not heard of Egypt doing well. However, I would imagine that would require tourism to build back up again. In fact, there are predictions that countries will start fighting for immigrants to come in, as compared to the current trend to keep immigrants out. What this will do for homogenous populations that have a distinct culture I am not sure. Japan, France, Han China, Islam, are not known as very welcoming to culturally different people. This will require a fundamental shift in attitudes as to what constitutes a Japanese or Vietnamese or Saudi Arabian or German or Danish. Not everyone will be willing to redefine themselves that fundamentally. Fortunately for the US, we have always been a hodgepodge of nationalities, so minimal change is required. But declining populations is a global trend that is not slowing down.
A fall in population creates cheaper prices. This makes it cheaper to have kids.
So populations will once again increase.
A nice theory......but it doesn't wash with the account of human nature.
Humans are the only specie that exist in an environment for which nature failed to provide it with the necessary genes to survive by instinct.
The instinct of humans are those of their arboreal ancestors. The reproductive rate of the arboreal human ancestors was 1.2 to 1.3. The relative safety of life in arborea supported this rate if reproduction.
When our human ancestors were suddenly displaced by nature (ice age) to an existence in the terrestrial environment, the strive and stress experienced by our hominoid ancestors to secure their survival in the terrestrial environment caused the reproductive rate to increase significantly.
However, once humans emerged from the period of the Hunt, and they engaged in animal husbandry and agriculture, their lives were much more secure, As human life on terra firma started to reach the level of security of the existence in arborea, the birthrate declined to approach that of the human arboreal ancestors.
Furthermore, AI cannot compete with the spiritual nature of humans. It can kill it, but it cannot compete with it.
What is the spiritual nature of humans.....??? It is the ability to generate micro voltages of positive electromagnetic energy through the electric potential that exists between the human brain and the human heart.
What is electromagnetic energy....??? It is the basis of the universe, it is truth, it is love, in other words, it is GOD.
Trouble starts when humans generate negative micro voltages of electromagnetic energy. It ultimately leads to death. It reduces humans to the most stable matter in accordance with Einstein's Theory of Relativity E=mc2.
The most stable matter on Earth is Carbon which according to the periodic table has six protons, six electrons and six neutrons.
"666" isn't that the sign of the devil.......??? Interesting....!!!
This future projection is absolutely useless as it leaves many important factors out of the equation e.g. Egypt impot more than 60% of their food, so how a country can get sustainable growth in population when everybody else is not doing well. Do you really thing other countries will feed the Egiptian population before feeding the own population? The water is also an issue in Egypt. Do you ever heard about modern sustainable economics without growing in population? Look at Japan. This video is just another try to make a headline by telling some scary story.