Do you think HDB prices would end on a higher note this year? Share your thoughts! Store - stackedhomes.com/store/?.com&BsDr1WShnGk Website - www.stackedhomes.com/?.com&BsDr1WShnGk Instagram- instagram.com/stackedhomes Facebook - facebook.com/stackedhomes TikTok - www.tiktok.com/@stacked.homes
I am pretty sure hdb resale will be up while condos probably will tread water. reason is simply that the latest cooling measures were actually just for pte properties. hdb resale not affected. only crazy hdb resale buyers who love to pay 2.6% interest (hdb loan) instead of 1.6% (bank loan) will be affected
Biggest elephant in the property room is the current inflationary narrative & the risk of higher global interest rates. I was very surprised that not many people are taking this seriously. Singaporeans' intrinsic love for property should not ignore this great impending threat! The last high inflationary period was over 50 years ago when US interest rates hit 21% (yes, 21%) in June 1981. Most current & potential home buyers wouldn't have any memories nor any clues of that period in history. That 1980s inflationary period ended quickly because the US, the rest of the developed world weren't as indebted as the present day situation. Imagined if this inflationary situation were to persist for a longer time than usual. How many SG "property frogs" would be boiled alive & be well-cooked by then?
Interesting! This would be a topic on sub-sale transactions. We recently covered it! stackedhomes.com/editorial/3-1-million-profit-in-3-years-heres-how-condo-sub-sales-have-been-performing/
As we know, more often than not home prices will increase over the long term. Predictions understandably always point to only one direction. Hardly anyone predicted the downturn in 2014-2016, or 2008. Hardly people mention about how important is interest to property prices. The mortgage rates in Singapore are insanely low, lower than those of the zero rate country like the US and the UK. When cash yields are close to nothing the pathetic 2-3% property yields are eye catching to so many. Those are not even net yields.
Higher developer absd will make the new launch price more reasonable, not higher. if developer put very high launch price they won't be able to sell all units in 5 years
Perhaps smaller too considering how they would still need to maintain their profit margin while making the overall price realistic to cater to their target audience!
We think it would continue to go up considering the limited supply of landed homes. The 55% TDSR does not affect the wealthy as much. Hardly anyone pushes the 60% when it comes to borrowing for a home.
this ABSD is going to backfire lesser and lesser people are going to buy 2nd homes soon we are going to see shortages in the rental market as result rental is going to climb faster than cost of living is going to increase. Eventually Singaporeans are going to get impact
It's hard to say, but considering the new cooling measures did not affect a lot of first-time homebuyers who are likely to consider the OCR if they're just starting out in the property market, it should be less affected than others.
You say it like we CHOSE to stay single. We are here today because of our housing policies (thanks MBT) and lack of support system for having kids. So no, we didn't have a choice at all.
Hey Owen! I think it's hard to say that being single is not a choice, while there are factors that could make it difficult to be a parent, a lot of it boils down to expectations. Kids can be expensive, so sacrifices have to be made in having them - the question is whether that sacrifice is worth it which still comes down to a choice.
Do you think HDB prices would end on a higher note this year? Share your thoughts!
Store - stackedhomes.com/store/?.com&BsDr1WShnGk
Website - www.stackedhomes.com/?.com&BsDr1WShnGk
Instagram- instagram.com/stackedhomes
Facebook - facebook.com/stackedhomes
TikTok - www.tiktok.com/@stacked.homes
No idea, cause don know if there will be more sisters of omicron coming, and not sure if WFH can stop at the end of the year....haha...
I am pretty sure hdb resale will be up while condos probably will tread water.
reason is simply that the latest cooling measures were actually just for pte properties. hdb resale not affected. only crazy hdb resale buyers who love to pay 2.6% interest (hdb loan) instead of 1.6% (bank loan) will be affected
probably not like 2021, likelihood of number of million dollar flats down from the highs of 261 transactions. Under 200 perhaps
😊
Nice and simple explanation that informs and educates laymen. Well done.
Thank you!
Biggest elephant in the property room is the current inflationary narrative & the risk of higher global interest rates. I was very surprised that not many people are taking this seriously.
Singaporeans' intrinsic love for property should not ignore this great impending threat! The last high inflationary period was over 50 years ago when US interest rates hit 21% (yes, 21%) in June 1981.
Most current & potential home buyers wouldn't have any memories nor any clues of that period in history. That 1980s inflationary period ended quickly because the US, the rest of the developed world weren't as indebted as the present day situation.
Imagined if this inflationary situation were to persist for a longer time than usual.
How many SG "property frogs" would be boiled alive & be well-cooked by then?
Curious about selling condos before top, would be great if you could cover that topic!
Interesting! This would be a topic on sub-sale transactions. We recently covered it! stackedhomes.com/editorial/3-1-million-profit-in-3-years-heres-how-condo-sub-sales-have-been-performing/
Thank you for explaining such niche topics so well! :)
Glad it was helpful!!
As we know, more often than not home prices will increase over the long term. Predictions understandably always point to only one direction. Hardly anyone predicted the downturn in 2014-2016, or 2008. Hardly people mention about how important is interest to property prices. The mortgage rates in Singapore are insanely low, lower than those of the zero rate country like the US and the UK. When cash yields are close to nothing the pathetic 2-3% property yields are eye catching to so many. Those are not even net yields.
Higher developer absd will make the new launch price more reasonable, not higher. if developer put very high launch price they won't be able to sell all units in 5 years
Perhaps smaller too considering how they would still need to maintain their profit margin while making the overall price realistic to cater to their target audience!
This should be the top out year ...many buyers will be bagholders for at least 10 years as the cycle is turning ...high debt slow growth scenario.
Thanks for sharing your thoughts!
Possible to share more about the different types of bank loans? SORA etc?
Hey Kate! Yes, we've done an article on that before here: stackedhomes.com/editorial/hdb-sibor-home-loan/ however we'll update one on SORA!
Do you think landed prices will continue to increase or may moderate because of the 55% tdsr?
We think it would continue to go up considering the limited supply of landed homes. The 55% TDSR does not affect the wealthy as much. Hardly anyone pushes the 60% when it comes to borrowing for a home.
Agree that the big winners are landlords. All my landlords have enjoyed more than 20% increase in their renewal, even one up to 37%!
Thanks for sharing!
this ABSD is going to backfire
lesser and lesser people are going to buy 2nd homes
soon we are going to see shortages in the rental market
as result rental is going to climb faster than cost of living is going to increase. Eventually Singaporeans are going to get impact
no home to call home is sad
Do you forsee resale condo prices in ocr will keep increasing?.
It's hard to say, but considering the new cooling measures did not affect a lot of first-time homebuyers who are likely to consider the OCR if they're just starting out in the property market, it should be less affected than others.
You say it like we CHOSE to stay single. We are here today because of our housing policies (thanks MBT) and lack of support system for having kids. So no, we didn't have a choice at all.
Hey Owen! I think it's hard to say that being single is not a choice, while there are factors that could make it difficult to be a parent, a lot of it boils down to expectations. Kids can be expensive, so sacrifices have to be made in having them - the question is whether that sacrifice is worth it which still comes down to a choice.
Must disclose Chinese drywall