Germany Economy Shutdown, China falling Apart ,Putin, Energy & More | Peter Zeihan Full Interview
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- Опубліковано 23 кві 2024
- Discover key insights into the global economic landscape in this illuminating interview with geopolitical strategist Peter Zeihan. Uncover the far-reaching effects of Germany's economy shutdown and its implications for global trade and supply chains. Gain a deeper understanding of the internal challenges confronting China and how they impact its stability and growth prospects. Zeihan's expertise provides clarity on Putin's geopolitical maneuvers and their broader implications for global politics. Additionally, explore the evolving energy dynamics and their significance in shaping geopolitical landscapes. Don't miss out on this opportunity to stay informed about the shifting dynamics shaping our world today. Tune in now for essential perspectives on pressing global issues.
Peter zeihan full interview 2024 part -1
special thanks to @ZeihanonGeopolitics
presentation at SFN
#peterzeihan #europe #china
This is from 2022.
So no more BMWs? 🤔😆
@@joeynumbers33You headed out to the dealership to get one?
@@AaronMCanada nah, but he said in 2 years you wouldn’t be able to find one at dealerships anymore. It’s 2 years now.
He also said there was likely to be a world wide famine in 24 months in addition to China’s demographics being wiped out in a 3-6 month span from the delta/omicron variant at the time. Oh and what about neon running out and having a technology crisis/shortage??? Never occurred. Much of his predictions are wildly inaccurate.
@@Lets_go_Duke still fun to listen to, just take his predictions with a hand full of salt.
Why is the sky always falling with this guy?
because it sells.
sky is falling for china and russia for sure
Cuz it sells. Optimism is for the elderly, and they don't watch this guy, and they don't have any money anyway... The young hip despair-o types buy the rap.
To be fair, it was. Humany just managed to adapt and fix the problems much faster than he thought.
Because the sky is always falling. You do understand your place in existence, right? Do you feel like you got everything under control right now? Have you _ever_ felt like you were in control? Just saying.
Peter is very entertaining and he gets the essence of the big picture/issue right but he exaggerates a lot. He goes for the extreme interpretation but frequently in reality only something middling happens.
no, he is lying. He is painting his picture but not based on the facts.
BASF is still in germany and producing big time.
Same for all others.
Have you seen his predictions: NEON would cause trouble in 2 years - but that presentation has been recorded in 2022 and nothing has happened.
If you want to believe in lies take his word believe in Trump.
I remember when the neon ran out, and everything went all steampunk analog. You remember that too, right? My analog cell phone is wild, I'm dialing this comment on it now.
This is from years ago just after the full war started and they've expanded neon production in Texas significantly.
What are you talking about? We all started 3d printing our cpus years ago (a prediction from his first book if I recall correctly).
It's actually really interesting to think that if one's bold predictions don't come about, you can always just make more and the old ones won't get the air time.
Good on him for taking a punt, very entertaining.
I’m 95% with you. Fuck Peter, a CIA spokesman for freaking us all out. Peter vs tucker.
That said I love both of them. There is a 5% chance that peters freak was what the cia needed to get an alternate solution going.
Thank god Peter and everyone has been wrong. Humans fix everything, until we kill everything. Post slavers/industrialization, humans matter little and we tend to kill everyone.
@@Kenneth_James but Peter lied like he always does in his german details which are wrong. We are still alive, we pay the oil and gas prices and WE FEED 1 MILLION UKRAINIAN REFUGGEES
appartments free, healthcare free, education for the children and yound adults = universities free, clothes, groceries
but the ukrainian males are cowards hiding here and not willing to learn the language nor willing to work cause they say they can live better without. They are even struggling with out alphabet.
Read into the massive effort the industry took to manage the shortfall. It's actually amazing how they managed to dodge that bullet. That was not a sure thing at all.
It's interesting to consider that *because* Peter described all these problems in detail to so many 1000s of people who are in business, manufacturing, and trade, as a result these problems were compensated for and we mostly don't see the worst scenarios occur.
Peter Zeihan is my favorite comedian.
This guy is a doom salesman but no one looks back at his predictions to see how wrong he was. Geopolitics and economics is way more dynamic than he understands
He’s wrong a LOT… but he stretches his word to sound smart.
Such as, give example?
He’s an entertainer, maybe that’s his brand. I think he’s only wrong in his timeline for the events. There are some very big cracks in the international trade system.
I don’t disagree with you in that he is a doomsday prognosticator when it comes to material available for the public, however he is almost always directionally correct and wrong on the size of the impact. That alone does have value in terms of risk assessment and threat planning for the dozens and dozens of countries where he is a paid consultant. Also, he is paid by US states and other countries to define opportunities in terms which industries they should move into based upon their natural resources, proximity to markets, and the threats facing other countries that are in these industries today.
WE ARE
I like Peter, and he points out a lot of potential issues. But he certainly is a doomsayer. Nothing collapses quite as fast as he seems to think.
Resilience in the systems makes it take much longer for collapse. i agree. Just look at Germany in 1944. The country was in ruins, yet they managed the biggest war production in 1944. The allies never knocked out German production. It was the constant destruction of rail systems that took them down. And Russia is dependent on rail. So Ukraine should target oil and rail as their main focus.
No issues with chips because of neon in 2024.
Oil price was $82 on average in these two years. Never mind $180 Peter was afraid of.
German manufacturing is still here. Chinese manufacturing is still here.
No famine came in 2023 or 2024 so far.
don't forget the absence of COVID related massive deaths in China...
Get this man a drink!
This is out of date ! Over 2 years old
That's ok, we are still waiting for his 12 month predictions to pan out
@@davidsuzukiispolpot Seems he was correct about the famine. Doesn't get any press though.
@@OsmiumSaint Perhaps I missed it because of the lack of press as you mention. To give me a hint where to search, where are the current famines?
It is also interesting that even though we haven't been hearing about the lack of nitrogen fertilizers to be available because of the war, certain Western governments have waged a war on fertilizer (Canada, Netherlands, Germany) to compound the war on fuel and our food just keeps getting more expensive. I was recently in Philippines and Vietnam but did not see any signs of food shortages there, just the price hikes that we have seen around the world since the engineered shutdowns and war on energy.
@@davidsuzukiispolpot Google Sudan Famine. But its more than that. The coup plague in Africa isn't all foreign interference. Etc.
This didn't age well. The world did not end. Europe specially Germany now is not as dependence on Russia energy as they did before which is good. Russia kind of gave Europe a gift as they were a single point of failure. Even if Russia ends the war and trade restarts with Russia; they will never be able to get the leverage they had against the EU.
Hey Peter, after 2 years, would you mind turning those maps over to the side for the audience...? Thanks Bud 😊
I was going to make this comment; don’t know why this counter intuitive orientation has not been modified after two years
@@thekatocat He uses that arrangement so he can show them side by side. There is no room for another arrangement.
Old news being regurgitated by this channel.
Unfortunately we here in Germany still have cellphones and cars as of 03/2024. It doesn't appear all the tech makes the world any better, nor does it improve Zeihan's oracle.
This clealy an old video and I don't think it's aged well
This is labeled as a recent lecture but this is an old presentation.
what a personality can explain complexities so well
And so wrong
26:07 in September 2022 PZ predicted “multi-continental famine that will start in the third quarter of next year.”
That would have been about 6 months ago.
Any word on if that prediction came true?
Yes it came true. I'm in California and I'm starving to death right now, everyone is.
Yet whenever I work contracts in California all I see are overweight, methed out homeless people. Famine my ass.
No one is starving in California, not even the overweight, methed out homeless population.
Peter has since said the famine was delayed because countries had a fertilizer stockpile, combined with record amounts of rainfall producing larger than expected yields.
@@TheOhioCountryboy Peter also said oil was going to be 180$ a barrel, that neon would run out and we have to decide what every day essentials we are willing to live with or without, that BMW’s would no longer be in production, etc etc. Face it kid, the man is a quack.
So this presentation is two years old. And none of that happened. But you guys are still hailing that guy as a guru? Okay ... FEAR SELLS.
This is pretty much the same presentation he's been giving for 2 years. That's actually kind of concerning.
It’s a 2022 presentation. When you think about it, not much has changed in the areas he’s talking about.
Russia is still under sanctions. Demographics are still advancing at their glacial pace.
PZ,
Please tell us more about your presentation at “Langley”.
I’m very interested in how that audience reacted, and if you feel a path forward (at least a straw man outline) was developed?
Best
This video is at least 2 years old at the 11 minute mark the speaker talks about an issue of the Nordstrom pipeline that was blown up two years ago. But the speaker says it was blown up two months ago. I gave this video a thumbs down gladly!
Zeihan isn't as much of a one note troll as the critics may say, but he sure as heck is tits deep in alarmist presentations to drum up attention and, I assume business.
BTW, his note about bulk movement is spot on. Read stories about the highway linking St. Petersburg and Moscow... Except it doesn't anymore...
I'd be happy for cars to got back to analog. The tech in them makes them a pain
Interesting
He's wrong a lot, but it doesn't matter, he makes you think really differently which is very useful...
Peter has made the term “Geopolitical” the cliche of the decade. I was just getting used to “resilience”.
And I have watched each presentation that was released on UA-cam.
2 years later the sky has not fallen yet. Zeihan is always putting China down but the CCCP seems to keep going.
No China is in a horrible position. Their factories are running at 60% capacity, margins are less than 1%, unemployment is over 20%, the entire real estate market is in default. You might not see it on the outside, but China is in complete collapse on the inside.
This was from 2 years ago. Are we to presume that none of this happened because people heated his warnings and got to work?
Ok ,but do we have any good news to look forward to?
Yeah, the fact that this video is from 2 years ago and nearly everything he predicted didn't happen...
say no to war
Audio volume recorded is too low.
All these years of economic and logistics training in Civ games is beginning to seem insufficient.
I like Peter, but things are so black and white with Peter. One example is it's been a year now, and I see no problem with neon availability. Germany has not collapsed. Sometimes, his presentation seems to be a cult of personality. That said, I like and respect him.
Question: Why do you hate Canada? What did we do to you?
Copy/paste from
“Nanotechnology researchers, based at Deakin University's Institute for Frontier Materials, claim to have found a super-efficient way to mechanochemically trap and hold gases in powders, with potentially enormous and wide-ranging industrial implications.
Mechanochemistry is a relatively recently coined term, referring to chemical reactions that are triggered by mechanical forces as opposed to heat, light, or electric potential differences. In this case, the mechanical force is supplied by ball milling - a low-energy grinding process in which a cylinder containing steel balls is rotated such that the balls roll up the side, then drop back down again, crushing and rolling over the material inside.”
Please fix the maps.
😅 You lost me when you said you're sober....... One thing I learned in life never listen to an alcoholic😊
Presentation is from November 2022
I got my bucket of salt instead of popcorn :D
So much drama... 2 years on from this presentation and none of the disasters that he prophetically foresaw have eventuated... drama gets clicks
Wars have consequences. Shouldn't start if you can't see it through the end.
2022
How old is this talk, ?...
August 2022
If you want real geo politics find Sarah C.M Paine. She is a professor at the Naval War College. Get schooled. She is fascinating.
A great pestilence lay over the land and in the distance were rumors of war.
This guy could not have been more wrong if his name were Wrong W. Wrongson, and he lived in Wrongsville, Wrongsuri, United States of Wrong.
January came and gone and no $180 oil. Shame on BEC finance for offering old stuff
Lucky for his track record, China isn't telling how many they lost to COVID.
How did we solve the neon issue?
As usual capitalism and efficient market pricing solves most problems...
Starts off with a flex? Cmon Peter….
0:39: 🗺️ Analysis of Russian population density, climate, and economic maps compared to Nebraska.
4:15: ⚙️ Global impact of Russian actions on semiconductor production and supply chain.
7:42: ⚠️ Risks of disrupting oil flows in ports along high seas routes due to tensions with Russia.
11:32: 💥 German manufacturing model collapsing due to energy supply disruption and relocation to US.
15:44: 💥 Chinese regime's struggle with ineffective vaccines and potential catastrophic consequences.
19:44: ⚠️ Oil and gas investments facing uncertain future due to financial and environmental concerns.
23:20: ⚡ Shift in natural gas production in the United States leading to price changes and reduced impact of weather events.
27:53: 📉 Global food shortages looming due to disruptions in crop production and fertilizer flows, triggering potential famine.
32:11: 💰 Impacts of Baby Boomers' Demographic Change on US Economy
Tammy AI: Get video info faster & better
Bought a Mercedes every time he said itll be their last. I own 142 so far.
There is no way that Xi didn’t know that Putin was going to invade Ukraine.
NOT 5 DAYS OLD
This is very old doc
Peter makes mostly two mistakes talking about Russia: No, Russia does not feel insecure; Russia has never veen invaded that many times.
How does this guy get so wrong about just about everything and still get a sold out event every time .
Same stuff, rehashed all over again
Actually he made this presentation in 2022. This site just reposted old material
There are Donald Trump negatives but being or even wishing he was Xi isn’t one of them.
Thank god he’s never right.
What a mis-prediction
*Old Clip, Old news!*
too many failures in this scene 👎
bro is literally just yapping. slop content.
So many people seem so blind and easy to manipulate. These presentations are a real crappy business.
Only two years later (presentation of 2022) many of his predictions already reveal false.
His necktie is great though.
This didnt age well
According to Peter CHINA IS FALLING APART. THE CHINESE GDP 2024 Q1 5.3% AND THE U.S IS AT 1.6%. ACCORDING THE U.S IS DOING GREAT AND CHINA IS COLLAPSING. AND LETS TAKE ALOOK 2023 GDP. CHINA 5.2% THE U.S 2.4%. BUT ACCORDING TO PETER THE U.S ECONOMY IS THE GREATEST ON EARTH.
Absolutely shocked this video was surfaced on UA-cam because everything that comes from this man’s mouth is wildly inaccurate. In fact, this video completely soils his reputation as trustworthy and reliable. Unless you really enjoy fantasy and delusion, watching his videos are futile.
Could be tthat's why theres interest in the older videos, because people wanted to revisit it 2 years later and see what folk have to say, also how the presenter and audience handles revisiting prior presentations. Who doesn't enjoy fantasy/delusion?
@@testtest-jx3om Touché for the video resurfacing. It’s hilarious to see that every prediction this charlatan has made was inaccurate. Talk about being exposed and having your professional reputation eviscerated. Whenever I see this clown pop up on UA-cam it will make me laugh.
Speaking of fantasy and delusion, the boys at Langley must feel like they were victims of Shutter Island.
bec finance is a disgrace
This guys photo is in the dictionary next to "grifter"
Laugh at yourself,
Put yourself BELOW the crowd…
(Your human.)
EFFECTIVE public speaking tactic. 😌👌
ANY book this guy reads off,
Is even MORE awesome. 🤣👏
“The End of the World is Just the Beginning.”
- Peter Zeihan, Audible
He’s following the propaganda.
Zeihan is like George Carlin. He's entertaining, appears to know what he's talking about, and he's clueless.
what has he been wrong about?
They're not even close. Carlin is spot on and he was a genius. Did this guy ever get anything mildly right?
Lack of credibility!
Peter Zeihan does these presentations by volume, MANY times every year, as he said at the beginning. WHY IS IT THAT NONE OF THESE CHANNELS CAN SEEM TO PLAY A CURRENT ONE??? I always give a thumb down to these idiots. Everybody should do the same, to maybe make these yo-yos catch up and stop putting out click bait OLD clips!
I am not amused because nothing here is real. The pronunciation of his English does not match the level of English theatre. The economy in each country is complex and cannot be presented in a short video. So all the results here are fake.
All the immigrants are supposed to add to the work force and will be renting whenever the government stops paying for their housing. Lord knows how long they will allow this to continue. They will have to change America into Immigrasha soon.
Fonseca would appear to be the best of what's on offer that is 'likely' to arrive - though why is the net cast on the 'usual suspects' the lack of thinking outside the box is horrendous. We have to think ourselves out of our constrictions - if the fans can do it why can't the board? Answer = our board have a 'Volvo Safety' approach that sacrifices performance for league status. Advancing the club to the next level means being brave & taking risks they are not capable of calibrating. THE PROBLEM IS THE BOARD! NObody really thought driving a Volvo estate 244 was sexy! It got you from a to b Safety & kept its resale value. It isn't good enough to 'pimp our ride' with a few sexy players, we demand genuine planned progress. We need to get lucky- l don't think our board have it in them. Yet again we're on a wing & a prayer. COYI we are one ❤ even with a myopic board who we must be held to account. What's it going to take for us to get proactive if not militant?!?
8
rubbish
well, there has been no global famine, and most of the doom items he talked about have not happened. prices have gone up certainly, but nothing catastrophic
I mean, when your attention span is that short, sure. Many of his calls are "within the decade" and so on.
Honestly, I hope you’re right. I guess we will find out.
Ukraine is able to ship out grain thanks to their drones destroying Russian warships. EU provides transportation of grain to the world market
Ukraine is able to get more wheat out than predicted, and several countries have been able to step up and fill some of the voids in fertilizer production. Hopefully, the global readjustments aren't just postponing an inevitability. The line between everything being fine and everything falling apart is pretty fine when we talk about food security.
I usually take Peters words as the natural outcome if everything is following the status quo. If any effort is done to try and improve things we get further away from his predictions.
The guy who knows everything 😂😂😂😂
This is an unbelievable amount of nonsense.
This is what talking shit looks like.
This guy talks nonsense all the time. Russia is transporting oil all over the world. If he pays attention the world is moving on without US. Likes to talk as if he knows anything and he is always wrong
Yeah, these predictions did not age well, did they?
Hogwash
REPOOOOOOOSTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTT
It’s 2 years old info and the world should have collapsed by now. Still standing Peter. Also did not appreciate your arrogant comment about Canada. I’m guessing that you were just trying to be funny and entertaining at the expense of a nation of very good decent people.
Worst presentation ever
Charlatan 😂
I dislike your "military" attitude, as if everything's a battleground, a very American understanding of low intelligence paranoia.
He doesn't know where is left side .....
Well history tells us that Germany will go with Russia and China!
Then what?
End of Anglosphere pre-eminence.
@@pikachus5m166 WW3
@@pikachus5m166 Actually the way the world is evolving it’s likely to prop up the Anglosphere dominance for another 50 years. To me it looks like a race to the bottom with China, Russia and Europe leading the US towards irrelevance.
Charlatan 😂