Pakistan's Economic Comeback? Reserves Increasing, Bull Run in Stock Market, Low Inflation or a Lie
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- Опубліковано 10 лют 2025
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Today’s Stories:
00:22 - Pakistan's Stock Market Surges
01:03 - Decoding the Inflation Puzzle
03:35 - Winners and Losers in the Inflation Game
7:15 - Interest Rates, Reserves, and Remittances
10:13 - Pakistan's Stock Market Harsh Reality
13:13 - World Bank Warning
16:12 - Debt Distress Cycle
18:57 - The Blame Game: Politics vs. Economics
20:39 - Hope for the Future?
21:31 - Outro
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#muzamilhasan #stockmarket #inflationinpakistan #pakistandebt #ChalKiaRahaHai
When rich feel comfortable and convenient it is called economic comeback
Sir it is comeback ghar baithay bageer business ke nokri see ni pta chalta comback kia hota ha chezon ko bary level par dekhna parta ha not shareef family and not imran can do it. It is looking posible only because of a stable Govt for some time.
Just imagine if this remain stable jo bhe power me ho ak dusry se larny ke bjaye mulk ke lia kam karen to its possible warna collapse door ni agar ye Govt bhe ise trah utari gai jis trah Imran ki utari gai thi
Nokri walay hi income tax dete hain
Youthiyas want Pakistan to bankrupt. Insha Allah uou will bankrupt yourself before Pakistan does.
@TALHAAYAN-hh4ut Elections hou chukay PTI nein jo seats win ki hein woh unko dou and let Imran Khan go on.........Current Government elected tou hei hi nahein isliye shabaz must go home.
@@alhabtoormotors4221 Bhai..Agar sarmayadaar ko aasaaniyan di jaein tou jo loag uskay paas nokri kareingay woh income tax deingay aur yoon maujan e maujan.Sarmaya daar kamaye ga tou Pakistan aayega na ? Aur sarmaya daar aayega tou nokri milay gi aur yoon income tax bhi..In my opinion Pakistan ko chahiye keh sarmaya daar ko free of tx ki fascility day....
Sir mainay tou hamesha say kaha hai... keep emotions away from your personal investments and you will make a lot of money for yourself and eventually uplift people around you and directly contribute to nation's productivity :)
Soo true..
If 100,000 people end up investing in KSE as a result of all your videos, imagine what that will do..!
Wali bhai I just asked the following question from Muzamil. It will be great if you can also cast some light on it. Thanks!
Question: Can you make a video on how safe are Pakistani banks in terms of sovereign default situation? They have a lot of money invested in government bonds, thus are very vulnerable in case of a sovereign default. How should a person in this situation safeguard their savings?
Nice to see you here❤
Your shirt is like Pakistan's economy. Going zigzag sideways.
xD
Prices are still 300% high. Sugar was 40/kg now 140. Petrol was 65 now 255. Electric was 3/ unit now 27.
Stock market is not reflection of good economy
Wo kam ni hongi mehgai ki raftar kam hui ha
He's patwari don't pay attention
It was 1 paisa in 1947. Best economy ever.
KID
Ya app chuut3ye ho yaa pakey youthiyee ho.
Love the series, I was always thinking why no one is pakistan is doing this or at least doing this correctly to summarize global news into a daily video.
Bro in pakistan people think different and overseas pakistani think differently
Bhai jazbaat apni jagaah magr N league wale hamesha mulk ki economy boost krte hain aur development krte hain.
Yes artificial boost and artificial development! They have ruled for over 30 years this unfortunate country. Results are obvious: No gas, No electricity, No worth while hospital, no educational institutions, No judiciary and finally Army reduced to the level of Punjab Police! ... Rupee value in the gutter, Unemployment random at 30 percent, poverty line UpTo 55 percent And we are on ventilators as per their own minister and we have done great development 😮😢 21 gun salute to the wisdom of noon League for feeling happy by begging from the whole world for just 1 bn $ !!
@@maqboolalvi5353 bhai logical baat karo to batao PTI ne qarze nahi liye? aap parho jaa kr aur comparison karo dono k tenure ka
@@jkarchitects5442Akhir nikly na patwari. 😂 IPPs Pakistan Ka sab sa bara issue ha aur ye issue PMLN ki development na he banaya.
@@jkarchitects5442go compare it then 😂 pti time mei tou highest reserves lowest current account deficit hoyei in 17 years
@@maqboolalvi5353 30 سال کا جھوٹ نہ بولیں
1990 کی دہائی میں اڑھائی اڑھائی سال کے 2 دور
2013 سے 2017 تک 4 سال ٹوٹل 9 سال بنتے ہیں ،
ہاں فتنہ خان کے بعد 2 سال مزید تو 11 ہوگئے
I'm running an IT business and i knew how difficult is to setup things like renting a space also other expenses from own pocket then a good backup for few months for sustaining it, so my point is that there is a lot of potential in IT sector but no incentive from govt , means we did business with our own money which we saved and then again paying taxes to govt too so point is that govt has to incentive IT sector like tax free zones, startups funding so people will do it on their own coz services based export economy will save Pakistan, there are very less investment with huge outcome.
Bro there are different type of people mind creative or doomed examples Dawlance electronic but now it's sold to beko turkey 🇹🇷 I was shocked why running company sold completely in 2016 now whatever we buy from them we pay in rupee they convert to usd and take to turkey same as daraz and they are many things heartbreaking this is only tip of iceberg
They don't have confidence on pakistan and people they are greedy hungry and selfish
How much Tax do you pay on Software Export?
@jawadahmad9965 idk my finance guy and partner handles it i see sometimes but its very less coz we are doing majority work from usa and we have LLC too, so we only transfer that amount which we required for expenses otherwise we will transfer money direct from usa wallets to personal bank accounts and show invoicea of usa company.
@@abdullahrajput7059 There is 1%WHTax on Software Export and 0.25%WH Tax if you have Pakistan Software Export Board License.
I admit that internet speed makes problem for software companies.
What kind of incentives you required from Government.
In retail peanut 14oo kg, bikes cd70 150 k , tomato 200 kg onion 200 kg potato 150 kg chicken 500 to 700 kg , third class Bata , service shoes 5000 to 12oo , shirts 3000 to 8000 winter jersies jackets 5000 to 10000 . How inflation decreased .
It's the inflation rate. The rate at with inflation was growing. Don't mix it with deflation. Let's say the inflation was inflating at an alarming rate and now that has been shrinken down to a stable percent. That's how it is.
Videos poori nai dekhte kya ... ? Jab basic samjh nai to comment q krte ho bhai
Inflation kam hone se matlab hai k MEHNGAYE KY SHARAH ME KAMMI iska ye mtlab nahe hai k MEHNGAYE KHTAM HUI HAI
(DEFLATION ka mtlab hota hai mehngaye ka kam hona)
Ap Video poori dekh lety phir comment krty to acha hota
What about wheat 2800 per mond and chicken 400rs/kg isn't it decrease in prices?
2017 MKT CAP 84 billion USD
KSE 100 index 41000
2024 MKT CAP 45 billion USd
KSE 100 index 100000
Now plz compare whether we are progressing or going backward?????
According to reports from 2017, the market capitalization of the KSE-100 Index was around $84 billion USD when the index hit its peak of over 53,000 points.
This large difference compared to the current market cap of approximately $40 billion USD today highlights the impact of both market growth during that period and the significant depreciation of the Pakistani Rupee since 2017. The KSE-100 index's dollar value in 2017 was far greater due to a stronger exchange rate, which was around 104 PKR to 1 USD at the time.
According to my understanding, the market capitalization is $49 billion. Would you please tell me how you arrived at $45 billion?
@yasirjaved6139 According to reports from 2017, the market capitalization of the KSE-100 Index was around $84 billion USD when the index hit its peak of over 53,000 points.
This large difference compared to the current market cap of approximately $40 billion USD today highlights the impact of both market growth during that period and the significant depreciation of the Pakistani Rupee since 2017. The KSE-100 index's dollar value in 2017 was far greater due to a stronger exchange rate, which was around 104 PKR to 1 USD at the time.
@@AR-fr8br I am talking about today's market cap....today's market cap is 49 B USD
@@yasirjaved6139 Can you explain, how did you come up with this figure?
Good job with facts
I'm ecconomy student..i disagree with you bcz these temporary steps will ultimately lead us to bad years ahead...
I'm a CA student too and I think these baby steps will be beneficial in future.. let's hope for the best
@@adaazainab5414same here i also think people are too critical btw I'm also doing CA
Lol😂 how??
@@adaazainab5414Same i am a CA student as well and this seems like a good indication for our economy. A slow but a steady documented approach
@@adaazainab5414 are you?
9:48 leader from Rawalpindi 💀
informative, Thanks Muzammil
The internet is still disturbed in Karachi. May we get rid of establishment soon
Thank you for keeping us informed. 🙏
Thanks for sharing detail insight on the overall economic situation.. More importantly, its was a complete unbiased analysis, not agenda driven like many others are currently doing. ❤
Average Pakistani was already poor having barely any disposable income. Now their real income is almost 60% less than a couple of years ago thanks to the inflation, dollar price increase and severe import bans. Pakistani public has already defaulted thats why inflation numbers seem to be lower because there isn't any substantial demand left in the market.
Rising unemployment, deindustrialization, foreign divestments and absurd energy costs are just killing the people's economy. Stock exchange is nothing more than the casino for a few people and it isn't connected to the real world productivity and industrial outputs.
Kudos to you muzamil bhai, this 10 mint video has will have impact on peoples mind in future
So much knowledge u have compiled in this short video
I'm a PTI supporter but I agree with PMLN policies and we need political stability
👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍
Patwari or gandi nasal ma koi farak nahe done same hai by the way sorry to say
Oh jaahil aadmi they are not elected government they stole the election
Keep up the good work, I appreciate your economic series.
Good Job. well explained...
Brilliant.....Psychologically speaking,Imran Khan,s Comming back into power will boost the economy in a way that nobody can immagin.I am doing small business in Denmark,Sweden and Germany since 1970,Pakistani businesmen are holding Millions and Millions of EUROS keh yaar MURSHAD houga tou Pakistan mein invest kareingay,CHORON kay zamanein mein nahein kionkeh Shareefs and Zardaris are well know for their direct LOOT.
🤡 most intelligent youtya 🤓
Jab mulk ka PM tha to itna qarza kese charh gya. Us wqt invest kyn nahi kia?
@@zainfarooq5248 He did his best but taangein becharay ki tou pehlay dinsay hi khenchna shuroo hou gaye thay and there was Covid aur phir time bhi thora thaa.MURSHAD must have atleast 10 years to put the train of Pakistan on the track Inshallah.
Im always following global politics and i think you are doing a great job summarizing and fitting pakistan in this perspective. Bravo
اکانومی بہتر نہیں ہوئی بلکہ خراب ہو چکی ہے
بہتری صرف اسی صورت میں ممکن ہے کہ سرکار اپنے اخراجات کم کرے۔
The country economy is the same like our home economy
lol
Opened UA-cam to watch something while eating. Saw Muzammil's new video (46 sec ago), clicked to watch without even a second thought.
Exactly 🎉
Us! 😂
I think it is important to clarify to the people commenting blindly that the inflation "rate" has gone down meaning the rate at which prices will increase will be a hell of a lot slower than what it would have been at the previous rate. Remember when your dukan wala tells you after increasing prices everyday "sir mehangai hogai hae"? Well he will say it a lot less since his prices will remain stable for longer periods. Which is also very good!
Half a loaf is better than no bread! it's baby step, not a bad thing. InshAllah, We will make better step in the future if positive support each others not emotional biases.
Very logical analysis..
I had made this comment on your channel last year that it is the best time to invest in karachi stock market as the economy has hit rock bottom and any incremental positive change will be good for the market, I am happy that I hv been proved right, love from India ❤❤
What would be the effect of prevailing and future situation of economy on the real state which is in bad shape….so what is the best investment nowadays ? Mutuals ,equities prices real state ?
Muzamil can you make a video on how safe are Pakistani banks in terms of sovereign default situation? They have a lot of money invested in government bonds, thus are very vulnerable in case of a sovereign default. How should a person in this situation safeguard their savings?
Calm down kid, pakistan aint going default
@@Zayn._gnx bhikaristan doomed forever😂😂😂😂😂😂
Market outlook remains positive. Excepted to reach 150k by June 2025 at least. Since p/e is still under 6.
First time you're speaking truth. Sounds very unusual 😅
How’s Afghanistan doing with zero debt? Pls unpack that sometime.
Muzammil sir , can you please make a video which can reflect on how an undeveloped country has more potential for growth as compared to western developed countries , even in these worse conditions pakistan still grows at an avg 5% every year . Most western countries can only reach 2% at most . If our country is kept stable and progressive I see our growth no less than 10% and if projected in 10 20 years we will cross 1 trillion mark and put ourselves ahead of many asian countries . Thanks!
So it's proven again, only PMLN can make this country progress
LoL😂
😂😂😂By building sugar mils and exporting sugar by avoiding taxes. Patwari logic
@@farhanplays2047 no by decreasing the inflation rate to record low, highest ever stock market, development and projects. Not just by yapping like khan sanp 😆
@@Romlolxd are you really a fool?
Even though we are at CA surplus but that gets cancelled out due to highest debt servicing ever and we go back to net negative. No new investments coming in the country to offset that debt. And business confidence is at an all time low. Large Scale Manufacturing is down and so is employment. These measures you mentioned are good but they are for a stagnant economy and there are no long term plans on moving to a growing economy. I’m afraid with the current policies we will now move to a stagnant and bust economy instead of the previous boom and bust. As you said that same policy was adopted by PTI but it was coupled with promoting local industries and foreign investments which is absent from the current one.
I think the current account is calculated after adjusting debt payments of the month too
@@m.ahmedalisadiqy7591 debt payments are offset through roll overs from China and Saudia
I have no hope with the PTI government but I have huge hope with the current government
A true badboo dar patwari 😂
No. I and my friends also agree. We are going to short the stock market. Thank you Nawaz for this chance. We are going to be making truck loads of money. Bubble, bubble, bubble.
Mera portfolio bohat profit mei hai during this rally, but alas at the expense of my country. I rather prefer my country would improve instead of my portfolio.
Same
Chal jhooti
Love, love your presentation. Greetings from Los Angeles.
Great work bhai
Make video on how pakistan can adapt crypto currency to stabalise economy as well.
Sir, stock market is not relevant in the real economy
Cleansing my ears from the useless political noise by listening to Muzammil.
❤❤❤❤great analysis muzammil bhai
This is the worst economy. Farmers having small lands are unable to buy cloths and shoes for their families. They are unable to afford good education and health services.
Good efforts by government but without political stability country can't run....
just have to keep the political instability in jail for longer.
@@ehhh623so the man fighting for your political rights is the cause of political instability. Doesn’t your own bullcrap baffles you 😂
There is no govt it’s all military’s decision who listen to isnotreal or us at the end of the day. Patwaris are the only ones in the world who like military rule and their businesses with fake terrorism controlled by military
😂😂😂@@ehhh623
@@ehhh623😂😂😂just have to bring bald{nawaz takla,s} political stability,s looted money from Swiss bank to pakistan
Yar you are doing great bhai❤❤❤
Interesting information
The US dollar being stuck at 278 is now the longest I've seen it stand in recent times which is a positive sign, although I think it has little to with the Government's efforts and more to do with the boycott of most imported products in response to the genocide in Gaza.
It is all artificially controlled. If it is allowed to float freely iy will be over 600
Mind-blowing information muzamil 🙌🏻
Aik bat batain 2 saal bad jo debt ki position ki waja say halat hon gay to hum ko is waqat konsay measures lany chahiye as an individual??????
Heartiest congratulations to Pakistan from Bangladesh.
Pakistan debt is 77 % of gdp lower than India, but ability to pay it is lower
61 percent ha brother latest.
Muzzamil good analysis. Can you please share the source of these numbers so that we can keep an eye on it in future. Thanks
Objective analysis will lose views but gain trust. Thumbs up for being bold.
Great informative video!
Keep it up!
The dollar value of the KSE-100 Index has decreased from 409.09 USD in 2017 to about 377 USD in 2024 due to PKR depreciation.
Thank God We Have some prople like yo in Pakistan!!
Keep it up, So much Informative And mind shaping.
Like dekho Suno Jano ,big socho etc. Those editing is very great
Fiscal consolidation is good for country. It must be aligned with increased exports and reduced energy prices.
oh finally ppl got to know what is supremacy of pmln ...not everyone has experience n abilities ..it all shows in the end through the progress..
Basically you got bought off by the lumber 1 and PDM govt 😂
😂😂 You're so confused mentally😂😂😂😂
KHUDA KHAIR AB TO AAPKE
PODCAST SAY DOODH AUR SHEHED KEE NEHREN BEHNEE SHROO HO GAEE HAIN
*LOOKS LIKE SOMEONE IS DICTATING YOU*
GOOD LUCK
PMLN no doubt always boosted economy. Corruption level is always lowest in their government. Indicater is transparency international. In PTI government, corruption was going up with each passing year starting from 2018. In 2023, it started reversing back.
In PMKN government from 2014 to 2028, Pakistan got the best ranking in 15 years.
Tf pmln hide rankings of corruption during pti tenure a lot of corruption scandals of previous years opened which lead to decrease in the rank duh 😂
reading the wrong Pak history books bro?
@@ismailmasood13noonistudies probably 😂
😂😂😂
Excellent analysis
مزمل صاحب آپ اپنے ویلاگ میں انگلش کے الفاظ کم سے کم استعمال کریں خصوصی طور پر اکنامکس کے اصطلاحات تا کہ عام آدمی بھی سمجھ سکے۔
19:33 yaar ya sorry to say progress app democracy may nai kr sakty app ko ek powerful qaid chaya koi 20 30 years k lia hr do saal teen saal ya pach saal may hakumaty change ho jati hy koi faydha nai
Sir u spoke about emerging productive sectors as winners in economy: the freelancers and exporters.
What about ordinary salaried class who bore the brunt of this inflation inferno in these years? What avenues should they seek to increase their income? Will the policymakers tend to alleviate suffering of this vulnerable class?
either move abroad, or learn skills that you can sell online
harder to learn skills are usually good to earn more.
if both are not feasilble start looking into establishing a bussiness.
@@muhammadfaizanulhaq3757what about investing in real state for a passive income ?is it a good investment ? And by moving abroad means immigration ?
@@Ringu14i am not sure about real estate, And for moving abroad yes i mean immigration.
Mind blowing Great knowledge ❤👍
Very unbiased anaysis. I havnt expected this from you.
Mola Salamat rakhay Murshad apko
Oil reached to 590 per litre. 1 litre milk is 370.
I can share many things like where is the effect?
Inflation is decreasing not deflation. That means prices are stable. If deflation grows then prices will decrease.
Spoken like a true badboodar patwari 😂@@KamranKhan-t1v7k
@@KamranKhan-t1v7k and deflation isn't a good sign for economy
@@adaazainab5414 yeah it isn't, we gotta be more patient with our economy.
@@adaazainab5414you need deflation if you want relief
How many new companies and startup started in Pakistan ?
Muzz bhai, rule of law and economy is deeply intertwined. If one thinks that one can take one factor and neglect other factor then any economic growth obtained during such period will be short lived. Musharaff era is a prime example.
If both factors are balanced, then such a growth is sustainable in long term. Look at China for this or even Afg. Our number foreign investor China feels more safe in Afg than being in pak.
Bhot behtar ho raha hai sub kuch
Only one region coz mr pm SS doing good in every field and his government policies working nicely that's it.
21:29 Sentiment is that the prices are stabilizing. Although, the recent political developments have too much of a harm, and the upcoming potential 'Civil nafarmani movement' could make things even worse.
The power sector definitely needs a lot of work. After regulating export/import, I feel this the next biggest thing we need to tackle.
Civil nafarmani movement ?? PTI ki ab koi b movement mushkil hi chalni
@raheelaaslam Pta nhi bhai. Mein to tng aa gya hun dono side'on say
Inflation low because of low buying power of the consumer, demand is low now, nothing to do with policies.
Muzammil>>>>>sallallahu alaihi wassalam (in terms of my respect)
sense hai. no more corruption. Pakistan will rise. Bachon wali museebaton sey bachay pareeshaan hotay hain. We are a matured nation which is 76 years old. This is the same country that has rumours about the presence of Allah kay wali. I bet he is behind all this. To conclude, Pakistan would definitely rise against all odds. Just look at the brains that these Pakistani people have, MashaAllah. I still believe that there is a lot of room for impeovement. We need new leaders. Not khapar siasatdaans. If this is Imran Khans end, then it will also be nun leagues end as well. NO more!
This is called bubble which they have created let's see when this will bust
Calm down kid your leader aint comin out
3:10 nahi wo sasti nahi karte prices aram se piche la kar zorr se agy lekar jaty hain 😂
Things may be stable but seems temporary. Without structural reforms and an increase in the tax base, things will turn very quickly. FBR ness serious reforms. Expenses need to be curtailed. The export sectors for future growth to be identified and necessary incentives need to be in place. PSE increase is due to establishments' unfounded belief that stock market is a true reflection of economic prosperity. With no capital expenditure by the mfg industry, sustainable economic growth looks like a pipe dream.
Muzamil! I’d like to add here that the bull run witnessed at the PSX is due to 11000 new investor accounts opened in October/ November. It happened because the government has started taxing the Real Estate market heavily, people are diversifying from real estate to Capital markets. Subsequently, i request you to mention that the growth or decline in the Capital markets does not translate in the growth of the GDP. We need to be export oriented. Cheers!
Junaid Farooqui here.
So in this situation should we invest in real state or not ?
@@Ringu14 my 2 cents are: if you are in immediate need of a residential property (an apartment or a house) that’s something different. But if you are thinking of investing in real estate in the hopes that it will appreciate anticipating an YoY 20% then I would suggest you wait and let the market settle for less. Buy on dip. Invest in mutual funds (income category) instead.
@ hasn’t it already taken the dip am talking about the real state
@ it has! I would prudently see it getting stable on the lower side and then make a move. Because you see, the PSX is still rallying. That means the money is still moving there.
Since he was allowed back pakistan he is polishing company's shoes
Stock Market Markers indicate how the rich are getting richer.. not how poor are suffering..
How shiny are your apples now!!???
نہیں بھائی مہنگائی بہت بڑھ رہی ہے
Future economy of Pakistan solely depends on continuing and further strengthening current policies.
We can't grow until political parties stop building their political interests at the cost of country's economy.
Stop subsidizing businesses.
Build sustainable revenues with spreading direct taxation net.
Focus on productivity and exports.
Attract FDI that would generate long-term growth and industrialization. And stop FDI in areas that would result in taking Dollars out of the country.
Let the market keep deciding the dollar value of PKR .
Ask importers to bring in their own dollar to import goods and services .
Stop smuggling and incentivizing manufacturing through subsidies. Discouraging nonproductive no wealth generating trading activities like real estate.
Bring Black money out of personal hidden coffers
Neither of any sides has any logical and prescribed economic solution for Pakistani economy. While due to the mass lack of economic awareness they always play with the people’s sentiments. I don’t see and expect any documented logically sane economic solution from either sides of political class in any time soon but hope to see the senses prevail soon!
Sir wsy aik bat karvi gazur but such ha k Economic boost hamesha Pmln ki government le kr ati ha like we saw in 2015 to 2018 and now.
Exactly
In Pakistan farmers are always in struggle
Well done sir. But sir keep Ukraine in mind and as a farmer, I suggest people store wheat as possible. Bcz potato crop replace wheat area like Vehari mailsi bahawalnagar burewala wheat belt is replace by vegetables and potato crop. Their will be chapa and raids on farmer in next wheat season.
Wheat ki prices kam hoye hai.
Lol bro ek naan karachi main abhi bhi 20 pkr hai. Kiya kami aye hai?
Lahore me 25 ka
Long Live Pakistan 💙🤎🩵🩷💚🧡
in debt , yes
@ismailmasood13 😂
@@ismailmasood13😂😂😂
A balanced analysis
Koi mehngai kam nai hwi .. I came from Qatar after 1 year and I have heard these news everyday on tv when I was in Qatar but when came here it is totally wrong .. the whole electronic and now social media is also barking on inflation without knowing ground realities … inflation are at highest peak
Fair value of psx is because of the strict policies introduced by IMF this time , you missed this point. So atm no major corruption is happening as imf is keeping an strict eye on pakistan economic and govt policies .
info was good.. add visuals
No doubt pak has potential.
But politics ruined pak brutaly.