4IR - 003 - Jobs, Incentives, Risks
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- Опубліковано 28 вер 2024
- www.skool.com/...
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AI is more than welcome to have every job I ever had.
It can have all of mine too....except for one. But that's ONLY one. :)
That's good, cuz upcoming AGI and humanoid robots will soon be able to DO every job you've ever had. 😅
same
Can’t have mine 🫨🧠
@@MikeWoot65 Just a friendly reminder that in America (and many other nations) national taxes in no way, shape or form, pay for national spending. All national spending is the creation of new dollars. Your national tax payments are destroyed (in an accounting sense) when they hit the IRS. The US national govt has zero need to "borrow" money or levy taxes to fund national spending. The US national debt is in reality not a debt at all. It is in reality our national private surplus. Please learn MMT to get a correct understanding of how US fiscal operations actually work.
David I think you do really well with long form discussions with other knowledgeable people, I hope to see more of this in the future
Drunk as hell, and listening....I'll try again tomorrow
Over
Bro you need to get rid of that alcoholic addiction
@@FinanceWageSlave After I kick the crack cocaine.
Thank you for having me on!
Enjoyed the conversation. Thanks for sharing! Would have liked a link to his youtube channel and the guest's name in the title. Cheers!
Prices on essential services (housing, food, energy, healthcare, education, etc) can drop to zero thanks to automation and AI. We just need to regain control enough of the land and materials from the neofeudal landlord cartels. Into a new postcapitalist commons. Private and/or democratized public sectors.
UBI is great, but needs to be paired with lowered rent caps, or else price-gouging will continue to just decimate people's spending power. UBA... Universal Basic Access/Assets seems even more ideal.
Eg. Decentralized mutual aid and crowdfunding networks. Rent and mortgage strikes, bulk debt (eg mortgage) buyouts. Community land trusts and their bylaws can be customized to prohibit rent and resale, and ensure ecological stewardship, and also potentially paired with DAOs. Bots, fabrication tools, community spaces, and systems can be shared in local/global modular gifting/sharing/replication networks.
You guys should do this again. Great podcast!
Wonderful, thank you!
Great chemistry; this was really interesting!
the idea about the prefrontal cortex was super interesting!!
I work as a delivery guy and I wonder when will my job be automated. I'm guessing next 10 years.
This is a good crossover for me. Maybe do a round 2 👏🏻
This was a fantastic conversation! I hope you guys will join forced again.
Anyone else get the sense that the folks sounding alarms about a.i. the most are those with the most to lose? Same people who can't put forward a coherent argument for returning to office?
Am I taking crazy pills?
I see a bunch of billionaires playin some kinda king of the mountain while everyone around me is still tryin to get rich by "focusing "on their careers.
Heads firmly planted in drying concrete talkin about passive income streams. what the hell man
I think the opposite is true. Those promoting accelerationism and the rapid development of AI (the techno-optimists) are those who have already obtained a privileged status in society by way of technological development. These are the Sam Altmans, the Mark Andreesens, etc. They are rich because of tech, therefore they inherently think that tech improves the lives of everyone. Those who are skeptical of AI are often those who have more experience with the groups of people who have not benefited from tech advancement, or are at least aware of the fact that tech advancement does not inherently improve the lives of all people.
@@Steve-xh3by Fair enough, I'm sure there's plenty of evidence for the Executive Types attempting to push their agenda' for a.i. into the broader public space. But they seem to be playing both sides.
I find a proportionate evidence of their push for "safety" through legislative measures (king of the mountain).
Unfortunately, I'd also argue the broader public's got almost no influence with almost all our skin in the game.
the stock market is having trouble figuring AI out today
This is such a fascinating exploration of AI's evolution and impact! I love the diverse perspectives you both bring - Dave, your deep industry knowledge, and Dylan, your fresh enthusiasm and unique journey. Curious to hear more about your thoughts!
Really insightful. Listening to this while i work and they both move pretty fast so it's a little tricky to digest it all. But good stuff. That makes me wonder... On a human level these two are in the top umpteenth percentile in their knowledge and ability to communicate on this subject. But will AI and it's limitless advancement reach places where it communicates so quickly and efficiently that it surpasses our human ability to continue comprehending it? Like if I play this podcast for my toddler he might be able to pick out a single word or two that may mean something to him and the rest is beyond his comprehension. Is that our future - are we going to be the toddlers in the room?
AI will need us to survive.
reading people's dreams??? what did I miss??
quick question, is it pointless to try and teach myself python these days? I have no experience coding or computer science but i am wildly fascinated by this technology and i want to somehow become a part of it no matter how small.
I think it depends on your capacity, how fast you learn, it will be useless in a few years time.
Hmm, if you want insanely well build driving infrastructure go to the Netherlands
End game transportation is underground tunnels.
The power incentive is a big problem and it's probably by design
@33:00 How likely is someone going to work toward big change if they cansee it happening? The idea has the be within reach, and that is the cornerstone to USA. The dream can be real mentality motovates ppl more than $. What the point of $ if it can't buy change? The influx of ppl with this intention, begins competition and creates a need for improvement and everyone levels up. Nearly everywhere else, only a select group have this opportunity and they know it, which eliminates true necessity and thereby real competition. This is why monopoly's are not permitted (, save for IMF, Fed Reserve, etc.) to foster change where governments want change.
Will UBI actually work, long term tho?
Argumentative, it's been said that on avg we already live much better than say 100 years ago. I don't necessarily agree with the statement, but others do. If we take 100 year ago as the absolute benchmark, then 1. People living in those same conditions should have no additional complaints, because their situation hasn't changed; 2. Ppl of today, livong in today's standards but are in the 'without' camp shouldn't complain because they have it so much better than those living at the -100 yr level.
Those who are enriched by today's standards have no complaints because they have it all. They have it all primarily because they provide economic value beyond the average. Economic value affects everyone, and I have no problem with the above.
The problem I have is when it is done at the expense of others. Getting ahead, while simultaneously holding others back. Playing by the current rules, but keeping others in an outdated rule set. Esp, when it doesn't have to work this way, or rather esp when someone has successfully added value without holding others back (eg. Musk).
With this in mind, UBI is a potential answer for today, but about in 100 yrs time? Or in generations time? If history is any indication, the relative gap will become larger over time, and ppl will begin to complain.
Necessity provides the drive for change.
In the past those compalint would be heard because ppl were needed enmass to produce. Going forward that is less likely, and so the complaints will be less likely to be acted on.
In short, UBI is a bandaid. Which is fine, if the entire monetary system is revamped before the bandaid falls off.
Again, human nature is to inherently be held back by memory, so real absolute change is a low probability.
@@MikeWoot65 The advent of Ai and robotics combined will drop the prices of nearly everything to comparatively neglible prices. I think to the extent that it will be fit to the amount of UBI granted, being a ~fixed % of a monthly stipend.
Augmentation: Technologies often augment human work instead of replacing it entirely. AI can handle mundane, data-heavy tasks, freeing humans for higher-level decision-making and creativity.
New job creation: Just as technology disrupted past industries, it will also create entirely new roles and sectors we can't yet fully imagine.
The world's oldest job is still the most secure until Atlas is shaking its gearbox on main street after dark.
Hey - just wanted to give some constructive feedback. As a long time follower and as someone who always looked forward to your new videos, this channel is starting to get very confusing. Webinars, podcasts, no more videos of you talking about AI breaking news, I'm starting to not watch/listen to the videos anymore. Just wanted to give you a total friendly heads up that the past few weeks I've been confused by the uploads. 1 hr 25 min is too long when I don't really understand the format and you don't provide timestamps or a description. I think it might be better if there was a different channel for podcasts and webinars maybe? Otherwise just maybe the channel isn't for me anymore.
I believe the new uploads were all previously paid content that was exclusive to members, but they voted to release it free to everyone, so he has been dropping older stuff while also continuing the webinars that were only for paid subscribers.
@@shodowhawk got it, thanks for the context
@dylan_curious Great job!
Seems im the 7th here
I think it is exceptionally naive to think that it is a good idea to share AI models with rival nations. The first nation that gains ASI, wins. Fulls stop. The CERN model will fail as the other rival nations will immediately defect. And they will have no reason not to when the prize of ASI is that great. While cooperation allows both to win. If we dont defect, we hand the world to those who would seek to be your masters.
I think it is exceptionally naive to think humanity could/would/should successfully centralize ASI and, moreover, mitigate any detrimental consequences of ASI coming on to the scene by doing so (especially when we dont even understand what makes ourselves sentient/sophont). A lot of nations are also essentially insolvent so working to centralize the development of ASI among them when they cant even balance a budget seems even more naive. The concept of money in itself is being forced towards decentralization despite them trying to prevent it so how are they going to ensure the same thing doesnt happen with ASI? Are they going to prevent ASIs (...note the obvious plurality...) from developing more ASI?
Also,....define "we"...
@@TW0man4RMY we = Western centric leaders in ai development. There are two leaders in ai right now, the US by a large margin and China. And you don't need to be preventing it. You just need to be first and have enough lead time to allow exponential growth outpace anyone chasing you.
My point is, it is in their interests to defect away from regulatory rules and decentralization if they are not competing as a great power. If they are developing to maintain dominance domestically there may be some token effort to regulate and decentralize as it doesn't hurt them and stifles foreign development.
Either way I think it is foolish to "come together" with Nations and cultures who would use it against us.
@@Steve-br7oc Ok, I see now. Fair enough. 👍
Man really needs to learn how to cut an hour and a half down to 5 minute bulletpoints. Doesn’t care about his audiences time
Do you know what a podcast is?
lol bro don’t disrespect this format, if it’s not for you take the transcript and prompt Claude
Please don't neglect the huge amount of public money Elon Musk received to build SpaceX..
I think AI will end religion..
Hope is never a good plan .
Beautiful podcast, David. Loved your guest, too. Trying to see the forest through the trees. 🏞
We are all one 🌎 one speck of dust ripping through space chasing the Sun ☀️
If only we already knew what the ants already do...🐜🐜🐜🐜🐜🐜 What AI God's are yet to come...🤖
✌️ 🤟 🖖
I wonder how AI could make construction site workers life easier in near future.. maybe some device to talk with the AI and it could calculate and estimate alot of the work..?
TLDR:
Automated systems without AI can and do already improve some aspects of construction.
The scaffolding for automation exists but AI won’t become more useful until it can take reliable independent action in apps (like auto cad). The next step after is robots and drones that can do the necessary physical work on site.
A lot of engineering firms (civil and related) are using drone scans to do surveys. If we can get a pretty good auto generated cad (which I think happens as soon general ais can act independently in apps and produce good outputs -
There will be a billionaire individual company, but immediately after that there will be a billionaire AI and then a billion $1aire AIs and those AI will compete through natural selection to serve customers, the people, and we have a post scarcity society.
🎉
Instead of fearing complete replacement, it's wise to focus on understanding how AI will change the nature of work and prepare by developing skills that complement, rather than compete with, our robot counterparts.
If you understand the pace of AI, in a very short time, we won’t be needed.
@@jeffkilgore6320 Absolutely. With how fast AI develops, it's definitely smart to keep up and adapt.
Dave, it's midnight EST. Go to bed. :)
t's understandable that concerns about job displacement due to AI can seem exaggerated, especially when compared to historical technological advancements like cranes. Yet, it's crucial to recognize that AI's impact on the job market is more nuanced. While it may eliminate some roles, it also creates new opportunities and enhances productivity in various sectors.
Your suggestion for individuals to adapt and learn about AI is spot on. Embracing AI technology and understanding its potential can empower individuals to thrive in a rapidly evolving job market. Additionally, your emphasis on education and spreading awareness about AI among younger generations is vital. By preparing them early, we can ensure they are equipped with the skills and knowledge needed to navigate the AI-driven future.
It's great to see your proactive approach to this issue, even if coding isn't your forte. There are countless ways to contribute to the AI field, whether through education, advocacy, or utilizing AI tools in your work. Ultimately, by embracing AI and leveraging its capabilities, we can propel humanity forward and create a more innovative and inclusive future.
I still would like to explore the meme relationship overlapping nodes as these should nodes should also join together and give you the saliency node network. Plz more free time 😮
Re: Aliens: If they show up, I wouldn't worry about it that much at all. Not just for the reasons you mulled over, Dave, but also because even if they aren't particularly enlightened or benovolent, there's nothing we have or Earth has that they would want that they couldn't get easier in millions of other places without the hassle of dealing with humans.
Dexterity and Adaptability: Robots often excel at repetitive, precise tasks in controlled environments. Human dexterity and our ability to adapt to new situations remain unmatched in many areas.
Complex Reasoning and Judgment: AI can struggle with nuanced decision-making, especially when ethics, social understanding, or common sense are involved.
Cost and Practicality: Advanced AI-powered robots can be expensive to develop and deploy. In some cases, human labor remains more cost-effective or practical.
30:41 I totally agree with Dylan here, people always forget that you don't actually need incentive to do something. if someone is curious enough or passionate enough about something they will do it because they enjoy it.