If you're looking to take charge or your investment journey, come check out www.unrivaledinvesting.com. Thank you for watching! Please Note: Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac are extremely complex situations. In my video I mentioned that Fannie Mae has paid out ~$119bn to the U.S. Treasury, but in fact that # was the amount the Treasury put in to help finance their operations during the Great Financial Crisis. Subsequently, the U.S. has received an estimated $300+ billion combined from Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. Wow!
I have recently purchased a membership and I can’t log on for some reason, and I can’t reset my password either. Can you please support, do you have a support email I can contact?
Daniel hi. Happy New Year! I'm interested in subscribing on your services but I wanted to ask you 1-2 questions first. How can I contact you directly? (email or message)
I just switched up my Roth IRA to 50% SCHD, 25% SCHX, 25% SCHG, and my Roth 401k is 70% vanguard S&P 500 index, 20% vanguard growth index, and 10% vanguard international index. Seeking best possible ways to grow $350k into $1m+ before retirement in 3 years.
Agreed, I'm in line with having an advisor oversee my day-to-day investing cos, my job doesn't permit me the time to analyze stocks myself. Thankfully, my portfolio has 5X in barely 4 years, summing up nearly $1m as of today.
I take guidance from an advisor Rebecca Lynne Buie To be honest, I almost didn't buy the idea of letting someone handle growing my finance, but so glad I did.
He’s been talking about it for a while though. I heard Bill Ackman talk about it few years back. I also heard Donald Trump favored toward unshackling from government as well. Last time it came in front of Supreme Court a year or two ago was rejected. I’m thinking government wouldn’t want to let go this cash cow. I partly agree with you that he will not wait until it comes close to fruition but one could play for some since he’s on it. 😉
Fannie and Freddie are due diligence stocks for sure. No, the bottom line of this is this is not a complex situation at all. Ackman's average buy for Fannie Mae was something like $2.29 in 2013 of 115 million of the 1.2 billion shares in anticipation of the companies being released from the conservatorship they were placed in in 2008. Trump began the process of release at the end of his first term and it is expected that he intends to release them early in his next term. So the play here is simply how much of the company will the current common shareholders end up with upon release. That's it. Ackman expects the current shares to be worth $31-34 upon release. Maybe. But it's selling at about $5/share currently (Jan 13th) for a reason so this is obviously not a slam dunk. Ackman's share price is based on the Government's exercise of its warrants to buy 79.99% of the company and the Junior Preferred shareholders being paid their annual $2B or so dividend as they were before the conservatorship. Therefore, the current common shareholders would end up with 20% of the company and the current common shareholder's stock would be worth north of $31. What this video doesn't tell you is the reason the the current share price. There are simply a lot of other pigs at the trough that may (probably, in my opinion) also end up some - and maybe all, of the remaining 20% that Ackman expects to get. Fannie has about $19B in outstanding preferred shares (junior preferred shares). There's a good chance that, as part of the recap, these shares will be converted into common shares - and the junior preferred shareholders could get as much as 10% (half of Ackman's anticipated shares) of the company. That's the good news as the common shares would still have significant value ($15-17?). The bad news is that the Government also has Senior Preferred shares - which, if fully exercised, could wipe out all of the common shares and perhaps some or all of the Juniors and give the Government all, or mostly all of the common shares. That's the risk here.
I compare bill ackman's tweet to a short seller firm who is already short producing an article why it is a bad company. So yeah I personally dont believe in the freddie and fannie story with his tweet lol. Wouldn't surprise me if he pumps and dumps with his market manipulation.
Hi Daniel. Found a stock you might be interested in: Kits eyewear. Doing about 100M in revenue at a 180M valuation, growing 35% yoy, already profitable. Eyewear brand with full vertical integration (make their own glasses) and have a great brand (4,7 on trustpilot with 35k reviews). Management own over 70% of the business and the founders had a similar eyewear business which they sold at over 400M - founded this cause they felt they sold too early. The growth could be faster but to me everything else screams unrivaled. Like a baby HIMS. Cheers from Finland!
Correction at 10:40. The net worth sweep didn't start until 2012 when, coincidentally, the companies started making a profit again. That net worth sweep ended in 2021 and shareholders were able to recoup $612 million from the housing agency due to the 2008 agreement being unilaterally changed.
A couple of corrections to the correction. The Net Worth Sweep was suspended (not ended yet) on September 30, 2019. Also, the shareholders have not recouped anything - yet. The Government may or may not appeal.
Is there a reason why FMCC and FNMA don’t show up on Bill Ackman’s 13F filings on Dataroma? Also they’re public already right? Would they come out of conservatorship through issuance of new stock?
Does anyone know if Ackman owns Preferred shares or Common shares in FNMA. Steven Mnuchin couldn't get it released the 1st time around what would be different this time. If they get released from conservatorship would FNMA trash all the current common shares and do a new IPO. Also, can they get this done before Mid Term elections.
Common. This stock play is all about the Government's senior preferred. If they don't convert the Seniors to common stock Ackman can buy a new car company (not just a new car). If they convert the seniors, he is going back to washing dishes at Red Lobster.
I use Interactive Brokers and they do allow OTC. Interactive Brokers Link: www.interactivebrokers.com/mkt/?src=unrivaledNPY2&url=%2Fen%2Findex.php%3Ff%3D1338
I’m not sure about Fannie and Freddie - they've been stagnant for years. Could Trump’s second term really unlock all this potential, or is it just wishful thinking? 🤷♂
Ackman owns them, no wonder he will try to pump them up by saying they will 10x by next year. If you look at his fund, it is severely lagging this year while S&P500 is up 30% in 2024. He is getting nervous, I am assuming his investors are also getting nervous and pulling money out of his fund. So he is resorting to this sort of tactic.
I don’t trust Bill Ackman. He’s a market manipulator and I lost all respect for him when he tried to drive the market down further during Covid on CNBC when he was already shorting the market.
Interesting video, and not the usual youtube fluff. Ackman's comments have moved the market in a short period of time. I suspect it was a calculating move. If it dips again, and it will, may be a good speculative bet...but a lot of things need to play out and it is a long-term bet. The opportunity costs may outweigh the potential gain.
If you're looking to take charge or your investment journey, come check out www.unrivaledinvesting.com. Thank you for watching!
Please Note: Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac are extremely complex situations. In my video I mentioned that Fannie Mae has paid out ~$119bn to the U.S. Treasury, but in fact that # was the amount the Treasury put in to help finance their operations during the Great Financial Crisis. Subsequently, the U.S. has received an estimated $300+ billion combined from Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. Wow!
I have recently purchased a membership and I can’t log on for some reason, and I can’t reset my password either. Can you please support, do you have a support email I can contact?
@@moustafayounes1771 Done!
Daniel hi. Happy New Year! I'm interested in subscribing on your services but I wanted to ask you 1-2 questions first. How can I contact you directly? (email or message)
how did you do in 24?
I just switched up my Roth IRA to 50% SCHD, 25% SCHX, 25% SCHG, and my Roth 401k is 70% vanguard S&P 500 index, 20% vanguard growth index, and 10% vanguard international index. Seeking best possible ways to grow $350k into $1m+ before retirement in 3 years.
consider financial advisory so you don’t keep switching it up... those sound like great picks anyways, not bad for $350k.
Agreed, I'm in line with having an advisor oversee my day-to-day investing cos, my job doesn't permit me the time to analyze stocks myself. Thankfully, my portfolio has 5X in barely 4 years, summing up nearly $1m as of today.
this is huge! would you mind revealing info of your advisor here please? in dire need of portfolio rebalancing
I take guidance from an advisor Rebecca Lynne Buie To be honest, I almost didn't buy the idea of letting someone handle growing my finance, but so glad I did.
I looked up her name online and found her page. I emailed and made an appointment to talk with her. Thanks for the tip
I agree It is suspicious that Bill Ackman would make any announcement about a stock.. They love to unload on retail buyers
He’s been talking about it for a while though. I heard Bill Ackman talk about it few years back. I also heard Donald Trump favored toward unshackling from government as well. Last time it came in front of Supreme Court a year or two ago was rejected. I’m thinking government wouldn’t want to let go this cash cow. I partly agree with you that he will not wait until it comes close to fruition but one could play for some since he’s on it. 😉
Fannie and Freddie are due diligence stocks for sure. No, the bottom line of this is this is not a complex situation at all. Ackman's average buy for Fannie Mae was something like $2.29 in 2013 of 115 million of the 1.2 billion shares in anticipation of the companies being released from the conservatorship they were placed in in 2008. Trump began the process of release at the end of his first term and it is expected that he intends to release them early in his next term. So the play here is simply how much of the company will the current common shareholders end up with upon release. That's it. Ackman expects the current shares to be worth $31-34 upon release. Maybe. But it's selling at about $5/share currently (Jan 13th) for a reason so this is obviously not a slam dunk. Ackman's share price is based on the Government's exercise of its warrants to buy 79.99% of the company and the Junior Preferred shareholders being paid their annual $2B or so dividend as they were before the conservatorship. Therefore, the current common shareholders would end up with 20% of the company and the current common shareholder's stock would be worth north of $31.
What this video doesn't tell you is the reason the the current share price. There are simply a lot of other pigs at the trough that may (probably, in my opinion) also end up some - and maybe all, of the remaining 20% that Ackman expects to get. Fannie has about $19B in outstanding preferred shares (junior preferred shares). There's a good chance that, as part of the recap, these shares will be converted into common shares - and the junior preferred shareholders could get as much as 10% (half of Ackman's anticipated shares) of the company. That's the good news as the common shares would still have significant value ($15-17?). The bad news is that the Government also has Senior Preferred shares - which, if fully exercised, could wipe out all of the common shares and perhaps some or all of the Juniors and give the Government all, or mostly all of the common shares. That's the risk here.
Thanks!
I compare bill ackman's tweet to a short seller firm who is already short producing an article why it is a bad company. So yeah I personally dont believe in the freddie and fannie story with his tweet lol. Wouldn't surprise me if he pumps and dumps with his market manipulation.
Hi Daniel. Found a stock you might be interested in: Kits eyewear. Doing about 100M in revenue at a 180M valuation, growing 35% yoy, already profitable. Eyewear brand with full vertical integration (make their own glasses) and have a great brand (4,7 on trustpilot with 35k reviews). Management own over 70% of the business and the founders had a similar eyewear business which they sold at over 400M - founded this cause they felt they sold too early. The growth could be faster but to me everything else screams unrivaled. Like a baby HIMS. Cheers from Finland!
Correction at 10:40. The net worth sweep didn't start until 2012 when, coincidentally, the companies started making a profit again. That net worth sweep ended in 2021 and shareholders were able to recoup $612 million from the housing agency due to the 2008 agreement being unilaterally changed.
A couple of corrections to the correction. The Net Worth Sweep was suspended (not ended yet) on September 30, 2019. Also, the shareholders have not recouped anything - yet. The Government may or may not appeal.
Is there a reason why FMCC and FNMA don’t show up on Bill Ackman’s 13F filings on Dataroma?
Also they’re public already right? Would they come out of conservatorship through issuance of new stock?
@Unrivaled Investing. Curious to hear your thoughts!
They are OTC and don't require to be disclosed with the SEC
I’m extremely glad I bought some 3 months ago. I sold a small amount but kept enough to make a huge difference in my portfolio.
Sounds like the BIG SHORT ‼️
This is why I LOVE this channel
great idea. thanks for the video
Where do most people invest in these stocks? Most of the stocks mentioned on this channel are not on Robinhood.
📈: WHICH BROKERAGE DO I USE?
► Interactive Brokers Link: www.interactivebrokers.com/mkt/?src=unrivaledNPY2&url=%2Fen%2Findex.php%3Ff%3D1338
Webull has it
4 years ago, Bill also mentioned in interviews that Fannie Mae snd Freddie Mac will 10x within the next 1-2 years… Thus, I remain quite sceptical… 😉
Does anyone know if Ackman owns Preferred shares or Common shares in FNMA.
Steven Mnuchin couldn't get it released the 1st time around what would be different this time.
If they get released from conservatorship would FNMA trash all the current common shares and do a new IPO.
Also, can they get this done before Mid Term elections.
Common. This stock play is all about the Government's senior preferred. If they don't convert the Seniors to common stock Ackman can buy a new car company (not just a new car). If they convert the seniors, he is going back to washing dishes at Red Lobster.
There's still time to get in it, boys!
FMCC 🎉 🎊
2 weeks later both are up huge.
Netflix?
sounds a bit sus, given that the default risk has reached higher these days
Hmm my broker doesn't allow otc
Charles Schwab
I use Interactive Brokers and they do allow OTC.
Interactive Brokers Link: www.interactivebrokers.com/mkt/?src=unrivaledNPY2&url=%2Fen%2Findex.php%3Ff%3D1338
Farmer Mac ($AGM) is better risk-reward
Don't get doxxed ! Ask Ackman about that. Maybe if Billy cries about his grandpa again this trade will work faster.
I’m not sure about Fannie and Freddie - they've been stagnant for years. Could Trump’s second term really unlock all this potential, or is it just wishful thinking? 🤷♂
Bill Ackman knew Trump wanted to privatize both ...
I will wait and see if members of congress start buying.
They trade on OTC, they won't be reported even if congress members are buying.
Ackman owns them, no wonder he will try to pump them up by saying they will 10x by next year. If you look at his fund, it is severely lagging this year while S&P500 is up 30% in 2024. He is getting nervous, I am assuming his investors are also getting nervous and pulling money out of his fund. So he is resorting to this sort of tactic.
He was saying the same thing during Trump's first reign. The price rose to $4. Nothing. No help from Trump.
I don’t trust Bill Ackman. He’s a market manipulator and I lost all respect for him when he tried to drive the market down further during Covid on CNBC when he was already shorting the market.
I don't like Bill Ackman, everytime people talk about him, it's about his fails.
As soon as the stocks are up 10X, now is the time to buy😅
Interesting video, and not the usual youtube fluff. Ackman's comments have moved the market in a short period of time. I suspect it was a calculating move. If it dips again, and it will, may be a good speculative bet...but a lot of things need to play out and it is a long-term bet. The opportunity costs may outweigh the potential gain.
Great video, thanks!
Is the idea of writing it with a crayon from Peter Lynch’s Beating the Street?
I think so! Thanks for watching and calling out.
Interesting as with Trump could very well remove it from conservatorship.
Now that’s an unrivaled idea and reporting. Ok Daniel 🧩🏦🤑
Thank you!
Why do billionaires have ugly personalities? 😮