Exploring Bayes' Rule in 5 Levels of Complexity

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  • Опубліковано 28 лис 2024

КОМЕНТАРІ • 26

  • @DrSeanGroathouse
    @DrSeanGroathouse  4 місяці тому +7

    To try everything Brilliant has to offer-free-for a full 30 days, visit brilliant.org/DrSean . You’ll also get 20% off an annual premium subscription.

  • @j-rey-
    @j-rey- 4 місяці тому +26

    I studied math in college, and I can say, without a doubt, that probability is the most counterintuitive branch of math I have personally experienced, and maybe the most counterintuitive in general. It is no surprise that the average person doesn't understand it at all.

  • @keipfar
    @keipfar 4 місяці тому +8

    This is one of the cleanest explanations of Bayes rule I have ever seen.

  • @jasperdavdson
    @jasperdavdson 3 місяці тому +1

    So glad the algorithm let me come and learn something from you again before I take statistics

  • @avaraportti1873
    @avaraportti1873 4 місяці тому +12

    Conditional probability is both the hardest and the most important concept in probability

  • @diribigal
    @diribigal 4 місяці тому +21

    My secret is that I've never understood the difference between being a Frequentist and being a Bayesian. When I read a description of what *either* group believes, I just think "yeah, that sounds reasonable".

  • @valentinussofa4135
    @valentinussofa4135 4 місяці тому +1

    I love math. Thanks to UA-cam algorithm. Finally, I found this precious learning channel.

  • @davidcollins6976
    @davidcollins6976 4 місяці тому +5

    I've taught statistics at University. This is a great educational video.

  • @Ny0s
    @Ny0s Місяць тому

    This was very helpful, thank you!

  • @JorgeTorresH
    @JorgeTorresH 21 день тому

    I think that a great case for Bayesian statistics is the fields of astronomy and astrophysics, where sampling can be tricky, especially for objects like planets and black holes.

  • @karraguer
    @karraguer 4 місяці тому

    Very cool. Examples related to information theory and communications are also very clear.

  • @RSLT
    @RSLT 4 місяці тому +6

    Wow, this a fantastic video on bayes' rule ❤

  • @intrepiddt
    @intrepiddt 4 місяці тому

    What a great explanation! Thank you for creating such content.

  • @j-rey-
    @j-rey- 4 місяці тому +2

    I wanted to bring up this video again that I would love your perspective on. Numberphile did a cool video about 1 + 2 + 3 + ... = -1/12 that makes it seem like it has practical applications, and isn't just a mathematical curiosity. Some of their steps are pretty dubious in my opinion, namely the part where they introduce a cos(n/N) just after the 10 minute mark, so you may be able to shed some light on it. The video is called "Does -1/12 Protect Us From Infinity? - Numberphile"

    • @freshrockpapa-e7799
      @freshrockpapa-e7799 4 місяці тому +2

      Why do you think it's dubious the way they added the partial sums? All they did is multiply each term by something that is equal to 1 as N goes to infinity (notice that cos(n/N) is 1, since n is constant and N goes to infinity and cos(0)=1), so there's nothing weird or wrong about that. If you could elaborate on your doubt I may be able to explain it better

  • @raileite5994
    @raileite5994 4 місяці тому

    Amazing video, reminded me of important concepts while also deepening my knowledge, in a fast, direct and practical way.
    Congratulations on the continuous sponsor from Brilliant.

  • @TRex-fu7bt
    @TRex-fu7bt 4 місяці тому +1

    My favorite application of Bayes is running the inference engine in reverse. That is, fitting a model and using it to simulate new data.

  • @boredomgotmehere
    @boredomgotmehere 4 місяці тому +1

    “I love Venn Diagrams”- KH

  • @Pedritox0953
    @Pedritox0953 4 місяці тому

    Great video!

  • @arroxas
    @arroxas 25 днів тому

    hi, thank you. very well explained! i hope i can learn from that calmness when explaining math. 😅

  • @hdrevolution123
    @hdrevolution123 4 місяці тому +1

    You're one of the most intelligent UA-camrs I've ever seen

  • @SuryaBudimansyah
    @SuryaBudimansyah 4 місяці тому +4

    Statistics is my main weakness of mathematics, so I'll just leave a like

  • @gustavoalejandromorletavil426
    @gustavoalejandromorletavil426 4 місяці тому

    Polymer distributions wpuld be my favorito application of Bayes' theorem

  • @HloBruh
    @HloBruh Місяць тому

    So I was messing with complex numbers and Euler's formula and I came across this:
    e^2πi = e^(πi)2 = cos(2π) + isin(2π) = 1 + i(0) = 1
    So e^2πi = 1 so 2π1 = ln(1) but ln(1) = 0 so 2πi = 0 BUT HOW???