What is the Prophet Model

Поділитися
Вставка
  • Опубліковано 5 вер 2024
  • In 2018, Facebook released its time series algorithm - prophet. But what is the prophet algorithm? Let's find out... in under 5 minutes!

КОМЕНТАРІ • 24

  • @MyMy-tv7fd
    @MyMy-tv7fd 2 роки тому +6

    strangely good, I wish all model explanations were like this

    • @zedor1553
      @zedor1553 2 місяці тому +1

      strangely good, i feel you

  • @baharl2981
    @baharl2981 5 місяців тому +1

    wow, you can't begin to understand how easy you explained everything I needed to know
    THANK YOU !

  • @alisavictory2969
    @alisavictory2969 2 місяці тому

    Great and concise! Very engaging especially with the witty titles! Thank you for sharing :)

  • @EngineeringChampion
    @EngineeringChampion 2 роки тому +1

    Aric, I've watched all your videos in this series. I love the fact that you talk fast and move on. You give a chance to my brain to think about another chess game. Thank you!

  • @alexei.domorev
    @alexei.domorev Рік тому +1

    Brilliant and concise explanation! Aric, please keep them coming. ;)

  • @josephtolentino1900
    @josephtolentino1900 2 роки тому +2

    Short but concise 😊

  • @jacobmoore8734
    @jacobmoore8734 2 роки тому +4

    Fourier: "for" - "ee" - "ay"

    • @pipertripp
      @pipertripp 5 місяців тому

      Not to be confused with Furries, which is a completely different beast.

  • @pipertripp
    @pipertripp 5 місяців тому

    I like the Fourier series idea. That is clever.

  • @user-qr8uy3gg1w
    @user-qr8uy3gg1w Місяць тому

    so is it possible to read out the algebraic form of the fitted linear model out explicitly?:) If not, is there another approach where this is possible?

    • @AricLaBarr
      @AricLaBarr  Місяць тому

      It definitely is possible! The more complicated the model (more knots, more fourier terms, more holidays) the more complicated the equation is.
      y = beta0 + TREND + FOURIER + HOLIDAY
      TREND = piecewise linear regression on trend. That could be a simple as beta1*time (no knots) or more complicated with knots
      FOURIER = beta term multiplied by each of the fourier terms described in the video
      HOLIDAY = beta term multiplied by dummy variable where it is a 1 for the holiday and 0 otherwise

  • @wesamalsohle5384
    @wesamalsohle5384 6 місяців тому +1

    could you give me the link for your presentation please, thanks for your time.

    • @AricLaBarr
      @AricLaBarr  5 місяців тому

      Sorry, but there is no link for the presentation!

  • @rokaskarabevicius
    @rokaskarabevicius 2 роки тому

    Excellent videos, can't wait for more.

  • @happyoblap
    @happyoblap Рік тому +1

    Holy fuck...what an amazing video

  • @hogrideeeeer
    @hogrideeeeer 2 роки тому +1

    Hi Aric, could you make a video on VAR modelling?

    • @AricLaBarr
      @AricLaBarr  2 роки тому

      That is definitely on the upcoming list!

  • @levi2732
    @levi2732 2 роки тому

    whait we use trigonometry in inferential statistics? that's awesome

  • @reyes09071962
    @reyes09071962 5 місяців тому

    Four-YAE

  • @hahahNo197
    @hahahNo197 9 місяців тому

    Lesseon algoritma prophet

  • @diysumit
    @diysumit 2 роки тому

    111th viewer