Satellite Imagery of 4 Russian Air Bases: 3 Tu-160 Bombers Being Repaired & Vulnerable to Attack

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  • Опубліковано 15 лис 2024
  • Satellite imagery of Belayaskoye, Belaya, Engels-2 and Savasleika air bases show what aircraft are based there. Three Tu-160 bombers are undergoing repairs at Savasleika air base. Possibly vulnerable to a drone attack.
    Sanath Link
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КОМЕНТАРІ • 147

  • @pandoraalberts5267
    @pandoraalberts5267 Місяць тому +123

    You are hereby awarded the Tonsil of Valour Medal for fearlessly pronouncing impossible Russian names.

  • @viennaweiss8470
    @viennaweiss8470 Місяць тому +193

    "A base too far"
    Sympathetic Mongolians might have a different opinion about that.

    • @karenrobertsdottir4101
      @karenrobertsdottir4101 Місяць тому

      Even from Ukraine, all of Russia is technically reachable. But they do require a number of specific design characteristics to get extreme ranges, including lightweight high-aspect-ratio wings and potentially even droppable (ideally conformal) fuel tanks. Can't just strap a bomb inside a Cessna and attach a guidance kit ;) But from what I've seen of Ukraine's recent domestic drone work, I think they're more than capable of it. Palyanytsya for example makes extensive use of composites (looks like a CF body and fibreglass wings). And the GPS+INS kit should have no trouble getting a GPS signal in the remote Russian wilderness far away from jamming infrastructure, to reset its INS guidance.

  • @ravndrup
    @ravndrup Місяць тому +33

    Great report Suchomimus

  • @szaboaz
    @szaboaz Місяць тому +93

    What if anti-war Russians have small drones nearby the airfields. A small charge, even a Molotov-cocktail can do sigificant damage if precisely targeted. Remember when a drone landed on that AWACS a while ago?

    • @foamer443
      @foamer443 Місяць тому +27

      On that note, if UKR could hit an airbase with their thermite drones, especially if they were able to develop the ability to turn the supply on and off during the "bomb run", so as to not waste the load, I believe this would be a method to greatly enhance the reduction of ORC air power.

    • @mike_oe
      @mike_oe Місяць тому

      Far too few anti-war Ruzzians around. They are all brainwashed or brain dead...

  • @jannarkiewicz633
    @jannarkiewicz633 Місяць тому +51

    Listening on a flight from Manila to San Francisco. This is the first time UA-cam has worked on the in flight WIFI. Congrats, Jack... I clicked on your video first. My best to Muffin and your train set.

  • @golokavrndavana
    @golokavrndavana Місяць тому +36

    Yes, interesting analysis again.
    Very nice.

    • @suchomimus9921
      @suchomimus9921  Місяць тому +11

      Glad you think so!

    • @golokavrndavana
      @golokavrndavana Місяць тому

      @@suchomimus9921 : Well yes,
      it's watchable.
      And it's worth a thought.
      There are some deep meanings to this analysis..
      And the visuals are also interesting.
      Це має сенс.

    • @MarkLaw-xy9vf
      @MarkLaw-xy9vf Місяць тому +2

      Ikr

  • @geoff9759
    @geoff9759 Місяць тому +5

    You know these airbases are inadequately defended when there are no tyres on the aircraft. Excellent work as always, thanks.

  • @davidfell9083
    @davidfell9083 Місяць тому +4

    Thanks for that Mr Sucho Keep well

  • @DarkestAlice
    @DarkestAlice Місяць тому +16

    Thank you, Suchomimus, very interesting, indeed, methinks.
    🇺🇦 Перемоги та миру всім українцям! 🇺🇦

  • @barbaramassey3787
    @barbaramassey3787 Місяць тому +15

    Thanks. 😊😊😊😊

    • @golokavrndavana
      @golokavrndavana Місяць тому

      @@barbaramassey3787 : What do you think about this?

  • @shawnr771
    @shawnr771 Місяць тому

    Thank you for the update.

  • @seadrifter8975
    @seadrifter8975 Місяць тому +15

    Technical update today good stuff

  • @alandevries7170
    @alandevries7170 Місяць тому +3

    Thanks for the update.

  • @LRRPFco52
    @LRRPFco52 Місяць тому +8

    Tu-160 is the Soviet copy of the US B-1A. They hated the idea of B-1As, which were supposed to replace all B-52s in USAF SAC service.

  • @cristo6007
    @cristo6007 Місяць тому +153

    You know your channel is doing well when real people start commenting before the porn bots 😂

    • @hardtackbeans9790
      @hardtackbeans9790 Місяць тому +15

      Working girls are slow on the up-take. They used to be hear 3 minutes of the video posting.

    • @cristo6007
      @cristo6007 Місяць тому +16

      @@hardtackbeans9790 must've been a long night

    • @virtual2152
      @virtual2152 Місяць тому +11

      @@cristo6007 Ridden hard and put away wet. We're talking about horses, aren't we?

    • @cristo6007
      @cristo6007 Місяць тому +3

      @@virtual2152 that's what the Tik Tok Brigade says about Russians 😅

    • @dagger6467
      @dagger6467 Місяць тому +13

      Wait? Theres porn bots?

  • @chrisfox3161
    @chrisfox3161 Місяць тому +18

    The one in bits could be a "Christmas Tree" . An older perhaps knackered old jet that is being used as a source of spares.

    • @bluskytoo
      @bluskytoo Місяць тому

      in the USAF we called that a Can-Bird

    • @sqeeye3102
      @sqeeye3102 Місяць тому

      @@bluskytoo I guess I'll be the guy that asks. Is that like, a reference to something?
      I'm imagining some guy tasked with an impossible timetable and looking over at the half eaten jet thinking "Can do.."

    • @bluskytoo
      @bluskytoo Місяць тому

      @@sqeeye3102 The Can is short for Cannibalized. The Can-bird is used for parts.

  • @mytube001
    @mytube001 Місяць тому +16

    If only they could get one of the new thermite drones to those bases. Imagine a thermite rain along the entire flightline! Wrong type of drone for those distances though.

  • @highendservicesbarrieont8347
    @highendservicesbarrieont8347 Місяць тому +41

    👍🏻👍🏻🇨🇦🙏🏻🙏🏻🙏🏻🇺🇦

  • @anadin0612
    @anadin0612 Місяць тому

    Thank you good sir. Always interesting to know what may be.

  • @mikestewart4752
    @mikestewart4752 Місяць тому +31

    3:33 Going to make his buddy Xi Poo awfully nervous!!!

  • @soyyo85
    @soyyo85 Місяць тому +20

    Слава Україні та її воінам...

  • @ContinentalFan
    @ContinentalFan Місяць тому +19

    "Shut upppp" -Homer Simputin

  • @glonntalexpress2433
    @glonntalexpress2433 Місяць тому +11

    The Ty-134s in Kazan are more likely to be the IL-62s. Recognizable by the 4 engines and the invisible landing gear nacelles on the wings, which a Ty-134 would have to have.

  • @Hovercraftltd
    @Hovercraftltd Місяць тому +46

    Likely Ukraine has 'special aviation operations' in hand for all these bases. Interesting to consider Russian 'AWAKS' no longer fly at all near Ukraine, is it to save the last ones or were those shot down the last ones .... Could we soon see the last ones of others?

    • @markevans2294
      @markevans2294 Місяць тому +2

      Ukraine also attacked the Beriev facility, in Rostov Oblast, where the A-50 was maintained.

    • @braveworld2707
      @braveworld2707 Місяць тому +1

      Ukraine expended a lot of the Palianytsia drones in those three attacks, *100* alone against Toropets alone. I guess they will have to rebuild their stocks again which takes time.

  • @jameskennedy6207
    @jameskennedy6207 Місяць тому +4

    Russia can move planes fine but they cannot move maintenance facilities, tools, test eqpt, repair parts, records inside the facilities. That would be a big loss as well.

  • @jaysonpida5379
    @jaysonpida5379 Місяць тому +45

    Taking a risk aren't ya?
    I mean hasn't putin threatened to nuke anyone looking at satellite photos (among other things)...
    LOL.

    • @chrismitchell4622
      @chrismitchell4622 Місяць тому +6

      Putin's threat against UK is a ship full of fertilizer just like his nuclear threats full of it 🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣!

    • @ErikNielsendk
      @ErikNielsendk Місяць тому

      @@chrismitchell4622 Worst part is that a lot of numbnuts will believe his empty threats. or worse will sacrifice resistense because they belive his promise of a green line of attack. No he wants to be the new Nero.

    • @Koorvkungen
      @Koorvkungen Місяць тому +1

      @@chrismitchell4622 Yes, the ship Ruby filled with
      Ammonium nitrate.

  • @hannisateur
    @hannisateur Місяць тому +6

    Keyword for entry: Rocket drone addon range extender

  • @doublebackagain4311
    @doublebackagain4311 Місяць тому +20

    J-U-I-C-Y

  • @chriscampbell2327
    @chriscampbell2327 Місяць тому +25

    What would be interesting if Ukraine could rig these drones to drop the thermite on the aircraft like the quad drones do on Russian trench positions.

    • @braveworld2707
      @braveworld2707 Місяць тому

      There was video of a drone that had a payload that exploded down like a cluster munition. That would mess up the upper surface of an aircraft's wing a bit. Drag is not your friend even if no internal damage was done so skins would need replaced.

  • @nvelsen1975
    @nvelsen1975 Місяць тому +2

    1950: "We've worked for years using our intel apparatus of hundreds of people, and one of our operatives reports two months ago that he saw a bomber"
    2024: "Hey, random UA-cam guy here. A week ago they had two bombers on this base. Do you want exact coordinates too?"

  • @AnthonyLoconte-u6w
    @AnthonyLoconte-u6w Місяць тому +29

    Can anyone do one of these videos on The Russian ammo dumps and missile storage areas that remain inside Russia? We know Ukraine hit three of them recently but what others are sitting wide open on satellite imagery and are in range?

    • @fablewalls
      @fablewalls Місяць тому +3

      You wouldn't want that info freely broadcast - seems the Russian top brass aren't aware they have ammo dumps out in the open and we don't want them to know until they have gone up in smoke.

    • @AnthonyLoconte-u6w
      @AnthonyLoconte-u6w Місяць тому

      @@fablewalls I have zero pity for Russia. Leave those people alone. Return Ukranian kids and go back to the 1991 borders and stay there.

    • @AnthonyLoconte-u6w
      @AnthonyLoconte-u6w Місяць тому +2

      @@fablewalls Think tank storage complex for Ukraine

  • @gawkthimm6030
    @gawkthimm6030 Місяць тому +33

    I wonder if there has been any relevant analysis of Russians overall pilot losses during the war, I think thats a much more critical factor than aircraft frames...

    • @hermelnderhans
      @hermelnderhans Місяць тому +3

      They have 17 tu 160 no new will be build. So im not your opinion in this case

    • @gawkthimm6030
      @gawkthimm6030 Місяць тому +10

      @@hermelnderhans but how many pilots with experience do they have for them

    • @splashscreen92
      @splashscreen92 Місяць тому

      if you don't have aircraft how can you fight a modern war? of course they are critical. you think Russia just has an endless supply of western chips ready to build more? you talk as if they are not sanctioned and can easily get decent parts. the only people giving them equipment are the people who don't win wars.

    • @Callsign_Spartacus_37Fox
      @Callsign_Spartacus_37Fox Місяць тому +8

      You are correct, pilots are much more important than the airframes. This is why most NATO anti aircraft weapons are biased to target the cockpit of an aircraft. Russia has lost about 15% of its total fixed wing fleet. That includes fighters, bombers, radar, and cargo/transport. But the pilot losses are just a fraction of that, as only about 1/3 of shoot downs result in the death, capture, or serious wounding of the pilot. So that means about 5% of of their pilots are no longer flying. That sound like a small number, but when you take into consideration that those loses are from Russias’s best trained pilots, includes specialty pilots for the IL-22 command & control and the A-50 long range radar, and that it takes 18-24 months to train a competent pilot (during peace time), that 5% suddenly becomes an issue for Russia that is impacting the war. But it’s their rotary wing fleet that is even worse off…
      While training a helicopter pilot, in general, is quicker and easier than training aircraft pilots, the war in Ukraine is forcing helicopter pilots to require more advanced and harder training. The average helicopter pilot is not trained to fly within feet of the terrain at high speeds, because it’s seen as su*c*de on the modern battlefield. But in Ukraine the helicopter pilots are forced to fly that way because of all the air defense systems. And that’s a skill that requires a lot of training. And helicopters are taking even more loses than aircraft…so they need to train more men for a longer period of time. And both rotary and fixed wing fleets are suffering from a lack of competent and willing people to train.

    • @splashscreen92
      @splashscreen92 Місяць тому

      if you don't have aircraft how can you fight a modern war? of course they are critical. you think they just have an endless supply of western chips ready to build more? you write as if they are not sanctioned and can easily get decent parts. the only people giving them equipment are the people who don't win wars.

  • @philipmetcalfe4736
    @philipmetcalfe4736 Місяць тому +8

    dooouuugggghhhhh!!!!...thought it was a hit on the airfield...drat...double drat...and even triple drat!!!!!!

  • @paulyoung4422
    @paulyoung4422 Місяць тому +7

    Shopping list.

  • @gregknipe8772
    @gregknipe8772 Місяць тому

    thank you

  • @drostropod9794
    @drostropod9794 Місяць тому +4

    The on the top may be a "ramp queen" meaning a derelict plane that's used for parts, or simply rotting into the asphalt.

  • @MKD-fe5vf
    @MKD-fe5vf Місяць тому +4

    This is a location which needs some well trained Ukrainian russian speaking sabatours to visit. They could visit both sites.

  • @u2bear377
    @u2bear377 Місяць тому +14

    These in magenta aren't Tu-134.
    Tupolev airliners have main landing gear nacelles on the trailing edges of their wings.
    These are Ilyushin Il-62 most likely.

  • @josedonizetidores5091
    @josedonizetidores5091 Місяць тому +10

    🇺🇦🇺🇦🇺🇦🇺🇦🇺🇦🇺🇦🇺🇦💪

  • @hardtackbeans9790
    @hardtackbeans9790 Місяць тому +7

    That base at 4000km is safe . . . For now.

  • @chrossphyre
    @chrossphyre Місяць тому +2

    Imagine what Ukraine could do to a flight line if they found a way to transport and operate a thermite drone over these airfields.

  • @BobAbc0815
    @BobAbc0815 Місяць тому +1

    Using the Jet Stream might help to increase the Range of the Drones, it's a One Way Mission after all.

  • @Tom-Lahaye
    @Tom-Lahaye Місяць тому

    Interesting to see the movement of bombers to safer airfields as Engels is well under risk. There is another airfield in the city of Nizjni Novgorod with the difficult name Ispytatel'nyy which houses more Mig-31 and a bit to the left a large ammo dump is visible which makes a nice opportunity for another huge mushroom cloud.
    The first airfield in the video is Borisoglebskoye Airfield in Kazan by the way, and the image is the current one on Google maps which is already several month old. Several Tu-22M3 carrying what seems to be desert camo from a mission in the past, probably Syria?

  • @W1se0ldg33zer
    @W1se0ldg33zer Місяць тому +1

    The Tu-160 is variable wing, variable air intake and supersonic. Which means these are very very expensive to maintain. They're huge piles of junk - they have a hard time keeping most of them air worthy. The only thing they're good at is taking off from a distance and launching cruise missiles. But I can guarantee these are costing them a fortune to fly.

  • @janwitts2688
    @janwitts2688 Місяць тому +5

    Russia have maybe 3 or 4 blackjack available on any given day.. with a surge of perhaps 6..

  • @sjv6598
    @sjv6598 Місяць тому

    Much appreciated, much insights, excellent appreciated as always from you 🫶🏻🙂👌🏻

  • @fredfred2363
    @fredfred2363 Місяць тому +6

    Do the Russian fighter bombers have air to air refuelling available?
    How many of their airbourne tanker take downs would it take to stop long distance sorties?

  • @tedantares2751
    @tedantares2751 Місяць тому +5

    It's not an airbase - there is Gorbunov aviation plant in Borisoblebskoye near Kazan (do not confuse with Borisoglebsk airbase in Voronezh region) where those Tu-160 and Tu-22M are built

  • @chrismichael6048
    @chrismichael6048 Місяць тому

    Longer distance from Ukraine means longer flight hours, increase wear & tear, increase pilots/air-crews fatigue, less sorties.

  • @PeterLorimer-ji5ut
    @PeterLorimer-ji5ut Місяць тому

    ... all of those TU-160 Pterodactyls just sitting there ...

  • @sirsmeal3192
    @sirsmeal3192 Місяць тому +7

    Jack, the Russian "y" is pronounced as "oo" as in moon. Ty-122 would be Tupolev 122.

  • @7screamingdizzbusters
    @7screamingdizzbusters Місяць тому +27

    😂🎉

  • @realscience948
    @realscience948 Місяць тому +1

    Not a secret anymore

  • @mebymyself2816
    @mebymyself2816 Місяць тому +4

    I wonder it it would be practical and feasible for a larger drone to carry a couple of these jet powered drones that Ukraine makes under the wing or fuselage on a basic rail so that approaching the target range of these jet powered drones they could be started and accelerated away from the main drone which could act as the signal ship and follow at a more leisurely pace to turn up like a bad penny after the first units have hit and caused mayhem the mother drone for want of a better name would then arrive as they are trying to sort the damage out and cause further mayhem.

  • @wwfeatherston
    @wwfeatherston Місяць тому +1

    Big drone dropping a payload of thermite drones, while acting as a data relay...

  • @ProfessorBidoof
    @ProfessorBidoof Місяць тому +3

    your number on the tu-160's is a bit high if you ask me from what i've seen.

  • @lorenzocasadei8426
    @lorenzocasadei8426 Місяць тому

    Let us hope that the Ukrainians know this data!

  • @markevans2294
    @markevans2294 Місяць тому

    Interestingly Russia bought 11 Tu-160 bombers from Ukraine and the Tu-134 was made in Kharkiv.

  • @mryouben
    @mryouben Місяць тому

    Tx

  • @armchairwanderer1287
    @armchairwanderer1287 Місяць тому

    👍😊🇺🇦🇺🇦

  • @leemiguel3437
    @leemiguel3437 Місяць тому

    Sorry, that bit at the end. A BMW is being installed? 🤦🏻‍♂️

  • @Zif-the-Old-Herring
    @Zif-the-Old-Herring Місяць тому

    The aerial image is just the current Google Maps satellite view. Not so up to date.

  • @edthebumblingfool
    @edthebumblingfool Місяць тому

    why cant Russia keep planes in Hangers are they stuck in the 1950s?

  • @TheShepherdsChapelChannel
    @TheShepherdsChapelChannel Місяць тому

    what about the army on Belarus border.

  • @timmommens901
    @timmommens901 Місяць тому

    🇺🇦🇺🇦🇺🇦✌✌✌✌🇺🇦🇺🇦🇺🇦

  • @timmommens901
    @timmommens901 Місяць тому

    🇺🇦🇺🇦🇺🇦🇺🇦✌✌🇺🇦🇺🇦🇺🇦🇺🇦

  • @leswatson
    @leswatson Місяць тому

    So how are their Airbuses, in what appear to be in working order, when sanctions are supposed to be in place. I can't believe they have sufficient scabbed parts from unairworthy airframes.

    • @AC-jk8wq
      @AC-jk8wq Місяць тому

      Very expensive parts getting bought and smuggled out…
      Hard to run an airline with normal spare parts….
      Impossible to fly airbus or Boeing planes with a safe outcome using a dodgy spare parts program…
      Sanctions actually work, in strange ways…
      😃

    • @Clyde__Frog
      @Clyde__Frog Місяць тому

      Reverese engineering? A stockpile of spares in storage? Smuggling? I swear people underestimate Russia too much...

  • @VladoK_404
    @VladoK_404 Місяць тому +4

    If they are not decoys, what they are waiting for?

  • @Zoomerland
    @Zoomerland Місяць тому

    KAR

  • @williamrosier5558
    @williamrosier5558 Місяць тому

    Mean while Joe says No!

  • @kmarks97236
    @kmarks97236 Місяць тому

    It is a tangle uniform not two. It’s a sierra uniform not soo.

  • @brittbarlow6111
    @brittbarlow6111 Місяць тому

    🤪🤛🇺🇦🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣

  • @Jimmy-ye3wg
    @Jimmy-ye3wg Місяць тому

    Recent Russian hypersonic missile strikes have all but wiped out the majority of Ukraines F-16 fleet in a series of coordinated and intelligence led missile strikes.💥💥 many Western support specialists and pilot trainers were among the Casualties.

    • @yellow1pl
      @yellow1pl Місяць тому +6

      wow, you don't say...! and then what? tell us more! ruski troll as we all know here is always the bestest source of information! go on.... i need more samples to train my AI.

    • @virtual2152
      @virtual2152 Місяць тому +8

      Collect your 5 rubbles for today.

    • @stormkhan4250
      @stormkhan4250 Місяць тому +3

      A 4 month old account...troll bit farm account? 😂🤣😆

    • @Pesky_Anon
      @Pesky_Anon Місяць тому +2

      "Russian hypersonic missile strikes ... wiped out ... Ukraines F-16 fleet in a series of coordinated ... missile strikes". Let me guess, all of these F-16 were hidden inside children's hospitals and that's why there's no footage of these destroyed F-16's?

    • @ItsJoKeZ
      @ItsJoKeZ Місяць тому

      if the last part were true you wouldn't be able to type ruskie.

  • @orlandor7825
    @orlandor7825 Місяць тому

    Talk about the 5 Vulnerable F-16s destroyed at the airbase yesterday🤡🤡

    • @Pesky_Anon
      @Pesky_Anon Місяць тому +2

      You forgot to mention the 5 Zelensky's that were sitting in those "5 Vulnerable F-16s", and that it was Putin himself who destroyed all of them single-handedly while shouting URAAA.
      You might wanna take those 2 emojis you used and put them next to your username, they would fit perfectly there.

    • @Clyde__Frog
      @Clyde__Frog Місяць тому

      Ive still not seen any evidence of this, just pictures of smoke from a distance. Bit like the s-400 strike the other day, no concrete evidence

  • @PraetorUA
    @PraetorUA Місяць тому +3

    @Suchomimus I'd like to contact you regarding a fundraiser for our unit? How do I do that?

  • @-FALKOR
    @-FALKOR Місяць тому +23

    🇺🇸🇺🇦❤🤍‬‬‬💙💛🌹🇮🇱🤍💙‬‬‬

  • @colingriffiths3091
    @colingriffiths3091 Місяць тому

    If it wasn't for NATO's help Ukraine couldn't hit a barn door. If they were stood next to it. By help software and hardware for missiles and drones. Plus satillite capability which Ukraine doesn't have NATO does. Him at the end shouldn't be allowed back into the UK. Hes a threat to national security. Hust like those that went and fought for ISIS. Another thing he disrespects my family name by backing Nazis. My geeat uncle fought and died in WW2 so i could live without fear of the Nazi ideology. Rhose who support the nazi that live here inthe west. Ahould br ashamed if themselves. As mine and their families foufht for what we have today. You disrespect their name's. This war isnt sur to Putin invading. Its due to Boris Johnson going and hijacking the peace treaty that Russia and Ukraine had before Johnson went and hijacked them. Plus were a lor closer to nuclear war than we have ever been. I lived through the cold war. Ut was a scary time. Its more scarier now than then. Were 90 seconds to midnight the closest we've ever been. Thermo nuclear war is nothing compared to Hiroshima and Nagasaki. Those were atomic weapons still destructive weapons over few km thermo nuclear weapons destructive power is tens of km.

    • @AssassinAgent
      @AssassinAgent Місяць тому +3

      Put down the vodka bottle for a long while Boris/Vladimir/Sergei/etc and you mihht finally understand putler is modern day Hitler.

    • @leifvejby8023
      @leifvejby8023 Місяць тому

      Maybe the ruzzian nazis should stop annoying Ukraine.

    • @TheStargoose
      @TheStargoose Місяць тому

      Putin’s expansionist playbook has been similar to Hitler’s in many ways. Crush domestic dissent, murder political opponents, ‘rescue’ co-lingual populations from ‘persecution’. And break treaties and international law with impunity. Then roll the tanks. Ukraine said not with us you don’t. Just like Britain said in 1939.

    • @nic.h
      @nic.h Місяць тому +7

      BS. There you go summed it up shorter for you.

    • @EEX97623
      @EEX97623 Місяць тому +2

      😂

  • @tims7250
    @tims7250 Місяць тому +2

    Hmmm, not many bases have been successful 🤔 Might they be the most heavily defended = if broken is the weakest link...🛁

    • @tims7250
      @tims7250 Місяць тому

      There's something else recent too, unexplained fires on manufacturing targets deep within. Could it by a new deep strike agreement as there's been no reports showing impact or cause explanation although aftermath footage is definitely appearing on feeds for the last 2-3 weeks 🇺🇦