"Fearful around 91k" - That makes me so god damn bullish. Imagine going back 2 years ago and telling people there will be fear in the markets when bitcoin is at 91k.
@@trublu3483 It sure did, during the last bear market, which went from btc 2021 max at almost $69K, down to below $16K, almost exactly 2 years ago. At least that's what I think he meant.
Everybody was calling for a 22%-32% pullback and it never happened and everybody on UA-cam is telling everyone to sell. We should be doing the opposite of the herd.
I've been waiting until 3 specific UA-camrs all start saying "expecting more downside" and like clockwork that has marked the daily or weekly cycle low, it's insane how bad these guys are at calling markets but good if you use them to make contrarian trades
I think it's your algorithm bubble. find a few legit realistic channels and watch only them. there's alot of trash out there. Also remember: NOBODY can predict what's going to happen next. We can only look at history + charts
I think a lot of people are expecting giant pullbacks as that happened in previous cycles. But with ETFs at play this cycle, surely you need to expect BTC to not drop so aggressively anymore?
I think selling BTC now would be insane. I believe the true peak price should arrive, as it always has done so-far, about 1 month short of 4 years since the last peak price (which was in November 2021), so most likely in October 2025. Sure, you can follow the Pi cycle indicator, or CBBI, or whatever else you fancy, but ultimately, all BTC peaks so-far have followed the halving cycle - 3.9 years.
If the market had its own mind, I'd say that it's been trying to shake out as many people as it could in this 100k chop zone of fear-of-the-top we've been in for almost 2 months. Just weeks ago there were 300-500k targets, now they are 120k or calling for bear market, crazy how can sentiment change so much in such a short time. OPINION: I think we'll go to around 130k, sentiment will switch again, 500k targets will be back, people who sell now will perhaps buy back in due to fomo, and we'll go even higher. I think the top will be just shy of 200k, it doesn't seem many people have this target in mind rights now. It's a middle ground between the conservative 120k targets and overblown 500k targets.
Very hard to call right now. But 150k to 250k would be my guess at the moment. And there will be at least one big correction. Question is: Do we get this correction now or later? And will it be quick or slow? If it's slow, it could be another opportunity for Altcoins to gain market share.
@@sem3113 I really don't know, where this 115-120k number comes from. This would be so untypical for Bitcoin. Keep in mind the last bullrun ended early because of the FTX debacle. It would have gone higher otherwise.
A 180k top makes the most sense, so I agree. In every bull market BTCs top was at a key Fibonacci level, the current FIB levels are 178,000 and 555,000 lol. So 180k is my target, maybe with a wick up to 190k then a final weekly close around 180
Thanks for sharing your insights! Bitcoin recently hit new highs, currently around $99,000, signaling strong upward momentum that could mean exciting opportunities for investors. This growth phase shows Bitcoin’s resilience and potential for further gains. Growing a portfolio from 3.2 BTC to 26.4 BTC amid these market dynamics is impressive. At the forefront of this evolution is Kerrie Farrell, whose expertise in crypto and traditional trading has proven invaluable for navigating today’s market..
Investing with an expert is the best strategy for beginners and busy investors, as most failures and losses in investment usually happen when you invest without proper guidance. I'm speaking from experience.
Kerrie is very sound in analysis and her service delivery is top notch. I am so grateful to her for her assistance which has made me a much better and profiting trader..
Thank you for keeping your views optimistic. Your voice and speech is very calming so I can listen and relax with your in the background as I try to fall asleep.
Personally I think btc will hit a new ath in 2025. My top is around 150k. And when ethereum is making it's run and getting close to it's ath than alts will runn like crazy
I think we have had our pullback from our all time high, down to 91.5k. I don’t see how we can tackle the low $80,000, high 70 range like you claimed. There is so much momentum ahead for Bitcoin in the year 2025, just based on historical halving periods, the trump administration soon to take office, existing ETF’s, and Michael Saylor continuously claiming more and more bitcoin. The rally we had in November during elections was simply based on the fact that trump won. Imagine when he is ACTUALLY in office.
Fun fact: It took bitcoin 121 weeks to reach it's 2017 cycle top from it's 2015 bottom. It took bitcoin 122 weeks to reach it's (real) 2021 cycle top in april from it's previous bottom. 122 weeks from our current bottom is mid march 2025. I don't believe in these kind of statistics but tbh it wouldn't surprise me if it turned out this way...
Along this theme, if you check how much BTC grew from the bottom of previous cycle to top of current one 2d cycle: 45k% 3d cycle: 9.4k% 4th cycle: 2k% 5th cycle: ? (Should be ~500%) But we are already 500% up.
Thanks for the calm analysis. It’s a tough week ahead with serious macro data, it could be the catalyst for a proper reset . Well will see the reactions and strength of these narratives soon
Welcome back, mate! Hope you had a good festive season. But my outlook for 2025 is bearish. Markets will take a beating if rate-cut optimism fades. And tariffs will start a global trade war. Tariffs will not just stay between US and other countries but will also escalate to other countries imposing tariffs on other countries. In this light, the data coming out this week and next will cause major moves in the market. If rate-cut optimism increases, markets rally. If it fades, markets fall. So, it is all on incoming data at this point. And I also anticipate many more black swans in 2025 as the election is over.
I hear your argument and I can definitely rationalize it. The problem is it goes against the entire history of BTC. So I guess I wonder with such a big claim, what's your big evidence to support it? I didn't notice any huge catalyst other than TA to support your thesis. We also have the most crypto friendly environment in the history of crypto! There's never been more money looking into and flowing into crypto as a whole. We have more bullish signals than I ever remember, I've been interested in BTC since 2013 and bought in mid 2017. (Biggest mistake ever NOT buying in 2014) So overall I think we're going to be able to hold hands and sell the top, or close to it, together in Q4 2025! Haha
I agree with you, but what is this “We can all hold hands and sell the top” narrative. If you’ve been in crypto you should know that’s not how it works. Its a ruthless market
So will we just have 4 year cycles forever and hold hands and sell in Q4 every post halving year and buy in Q4 every bear market year? I have a hard time believing that there won’t be surprises and Bitcoin will always do what it’s done before 🫡
Have you heard anything about the Ethereum options on the ETFs? Those were supposed to be approved in December and nothing happened. There was no rejection and there was no approval at least not that I have come across in any material online. The SEC somehow just ignored the go date
Please don't pay any attention to anyone on social media and do what you're doing right now for as long as you can. This is your recipe to success. Absolutely amazing analysis and great insights. Organized, opinionated, thorough and precise. WELL DONE.
He gave three extremely different forecasts, asked the viewer what they think then said he's bearish with a q1 top like everyone else is currently, then said he wasn't watching the market very much lol
was the previous tops of 4yr cycle were in oct/nov? I want to short 12 month swing at 200k but something tells me we may not get 200k but stop at 180k which is bad for me.
I wouldnt count out MicroStrategy. They diluted thier shares heavily, but increased thier Bitcoin yield. Short term loss for long term gain is what I see. Top isnt in as long as Bitcoin isnt finished running.
I genuinely believe that MSTR frontrunning bitcoin has already priced in the correction you’ve mentioned. I also think it will lead on the next leg up, unlike 2021 which set a lower high hence the MSTR blow off top.
There will be 2 tops. Like 2013. The first around March/April (120-130k). This will be a false top, and BTC will go down for 3 or so months, then rise again to a new all time high, and the true top around November/December (140-160k).
Might also need to keep an eye on economic data releases for recession or recession scare at least. Right now, is it logical to assume that the Fed will cut rates very conservatively and no QE/end of QT unless something breaks? So something like a mix of Q1 and Q4 scenario, basically 2024 but exaggerated.
Hope you had a great vacation man, let's make generational wealth within these next couple months! Looking forward to watching your analysis closely now
Is it likely that we are going down to 80-85k bitcoin next week? I have a feeling we are getting a last shakeout and then straight up after that (blow off top) what do you think?
I think the bear market scenario is the most likely, because the other two are far less likely, and why is that? because so many people over the past two years and nearly every elliott wave analyst and many people that i've spoken with all believe btc will top out at 120k to 140k, it won't happen because all of the people who think it will happen. btc will either not make it to those levels or it will go above those levels. I'd be shocked if btc hits those levels and reverses.
@@cryptocurrentlyYT here's the thing, btc isn't trying to allow everyone to pick the top. Very often the elliott wave count won't make sense until the move is over. People make the mistake by thinking this market moves according to whether or not the bull or bears win out, yeah right, this market, i have no doubt, is controlled and manipulated prolly by groups of people with very big bank account all working together.
That's all nice and Dandy. But when you Look at the all bullish Charts you have to Look also the 30% correction during all the bullmarkets. Where is the correction?
Well we only have 1 data point (last cycle) so we can’t know for sure, but based on MSTR’s price action a deeper correction for Bitcoin is my base case. 🤝
that makes sense. Resistance at 102K is very strong. Our last line of support is at 87K before the door is open to flip macro resistance 76K into support
If Bitcoin follows its historical patterns, we could see a $200K Bitcoin by the end of 2025, or even higher. Several major catalysts are set to shape the crypto market that year, including central banks adopting Bitcoin, a new SEC commissioner bringing fresh perspectives, increased institutional participation, potential crypto regulations, and the Federal Reserve lowering interest rates throughout 2025. The timing has never been better to engage with the market. Personally, I’ve grown my portfolio from 3B’tc to 26B’tc in just a few months. A significant part of this success comes from the insights and guidance of Hana Christina. Her insights have been invaluable in navigating this exciting market.
The possible and more likely on your thumbnail should be swapped. I see a lot of people selling and buying in back higher and taking less profits with this bogus idea that the crypto market will top end of Q 1.
While crypto markets are neutral to greedy, trad fi is currently in fear, jpow really scared everyone but imho it’s a total psy op, trad fi already rebounding and crypto has lots of room to run. Bitcoin is such a huge narrative this year as we move from P-B, B-B, & now B-G businesses and governments will fomo hard diminishing returns will be debunked. It’s a great time to be in crypto
"veryone youtube is always wrong apart from benjamin cowen"- 2019-2021 lengethening cycle theory aged very well? lol, ETH going hime list goes on and on...
@@nikhilkalra1530ETH didn’t go home but it has underperformed both against BTC and compared to the rest of the market. Cowan has got a lot right like BTC dominance hitting 60%, ETH underperforming against btc etc
Many thanks! Agree with most comments - also read article on WSJ about DoGE ability to cut costs , summary = very limited … large chunk related to interest payments on huge debt 😱 , Medicare. The potential to cut costs therefore rests mainly re government employees, which is limited savings. I think q1 is too short for top, q3 potential… plus we need an altseason to fire up 😂
I predict in the future you will extend the white line as follows: you get bullish after bitcoin peaks around 124k in februari, then the whole market tanks and, as the whole market gets bearish, as the contrarian you are, in response you will draw a second peak for q4 2025 around 180k
Pi cycle MA’s are an excellent cycle top predictor. Why make it more complicated than that. Bitcoin hitting 85-87k would be great for a top close to or above 150k.
Oh don't get me wrong guys we have fib levels to the upside but in case the S&P turns here I expect BTC to follow and the top was already in...so all eyes on the s&p
Yes with 11 week lag. I have a offset on the global liquidity index and Ben flowing it since August. But the Global liquidity index showing that at this period BTC should be under 90k and the bounce that we had now should not happen this hard. The bottom on liquidity is by the first week of Feb 2025 according to the 11 w lag but the correlation might have decoupled a bit or you don't see that ?
@@cryptocurrentlyYT you could of gave an update bitcoin fell about 17% percent, Thats pretty huge. Also Holidays have been over for 5 days now Just saying.
"Fearful around 91k" - That makes me so god damn bullish.
Imagine going back 2 years ago and telling people there will be fear in the markets when bitcoin is at 91k.
Watched BTC go from 70k to 15 k can't wait for the people at 90k watch it go to 50 k
That never happened lmao. Wtf are you talking about? I wish that happened id have bought way more
@@trublu3483 It sure did, during the last bear market, which went from btc 2021 max at almost $69K, down to below $16K, almost exactly 2 years ago. At least that's what I think he meant.
yeah, lol. probably in future we will see headlines like bitcoin just crashed to 500k!
@Emrico35 that's not a "probably", that's an absolute
Everybody was calling for a 22%-32% pullback and it never happened and everybody on UA-cam is telling everyone to sell. We should be doing the opposite of the herd.
I've been waiting until 3 specific UA-camrs all start saying "expecting more downside" and like clockwork that has marked the daily or weekly cycle low, it's insane how bad these guys are at calling markets but good if you use them to make contrarian trades
@@GoldenVisage
Like they say, if they were any good, they wouldn't need to have UA-cam channels.
I think it's your algorithm bubble. find a few legit realistic channels and watch only them. there's alot of trash out there. Also remember: NOBODY can predict what's going to happen next. We can only look at history + charts
I think a lot of people are expecting giant pullbacks as that happened in previous cycles. But with ETFs at play this cycle, surely you need to expect BTC to not drop so aggressively anymore?
I think selling BTC now would be insane. I believe the true peak price should arrive, as it always has done so-far, about 1 month short of 4 years since the last peak price (which was in November 2021), so most likely in October 2025. Sure, you can follow the Pi cycle indicator, or CBBI, or whatever else you fancy, but ultimately, all BTC peaks so-far have followed the halving cycle - 3.9 years.
Let's all hold hands and sell the top together
There are never any happy endings for us when institutions are involved, sell early.
Let’s do it 🤝
wow! I was blown away by the quality of your analysis and your perception of the market. Subscribed, keep up the good work man!
If the market had its own mind, I'd say that it's been trying to shake out as many people as it could in this 100k chop zone of fear-of-the-top we've been in for almost 2 months.
Just weeks ago there were 300-500k targets, now they are 120k or calling for bear market, crazy how can sentiment change so much in such a short time.
OPINION: I think we'll go to around 130k, sentiment will switch again, 500k targets will be back, people who sell now will perhaps buy back in due to fomo, and we'll go even higher.
I think the top will be just shy of 200k, it doesn't seem many people have this target in mind rights now. It's a middle ground between the conservative 120k targets and overblown 500k targets.
Very hard to call right now.
But 150k to 250k would be my guess at the moment.
And there will be at least one big correction. Question is:
Do we get this correction now or later? And will it be quick or slow?
If it's slow, it could be another opportunity for Altcoins to gain market share.
Makes sense to me 🤝
No more than 150.000. 115.000-120.000 is the top imo
@@sem3113 I really don't know, where this 115-120k number comes from.
This would be so untypical for Bitcoin.
Keep in mind the last bullrun ended early because of the FTX debacle. It would have gone higher otherwise.
A 180k top makes the most sense, so I agree. In every bull market BTCs top was at a key Fibonacci level, the current FIB levels are 178,000 and 555,000 lol. So 180k is my target, maybe with a wick up to 190k then a final weekly close around 180
Hello and welcome back to my favorite relaxed and realistic BTC youtuber 💪🏾
Let’s go Mitchell 🤝
Thanks for sharing your insights! Bitcoin recently hit new highs, currently around $99,000, signaling strong upward momentum that could mean exciting opportunities for investors. This growth phase shows Bitcoin’s resilience and potential for further gains. Growing a portfolio from 3.2 BTC to 26.4 BTC amid these market dynamics is impressive. At the forefront of this evolution is Kerrie Farrell, whose expertise in crypto and traditional trading has proven invaluable for navigating today’s market..
Her full bio is on the web showcasing her expertise..
I appreciate the professionalism and dedication of the team behind Kerrie’s trade signal service..
Investing with an expert is the best strategy for beginners and busy investors, as most failures and losses in investment usually happen when you invest without proper guidance. I'm speaking from experience.
Kerrie is very sound in analysis and her service delivery is top notch. I am so grateful to her for her assistance which has made me a much better and profiting trader..
Thank you…. I have searched her up Google I think I am satisfied with her experience..
Thank you for keeping your views optimistic. Your voice and speech is very calming so I can listen and relax with your in the background as I try to fall asleep.
Happy to hear that my friend 😂
Can you please tell which metric are you using for global liquidity?
Free “global liquidity index” indicator on tradingview 🤝
Personally I think btc will hit a new ath in 2025. My top is around 150k. And when ethereum is making it's run and getting close to it's ath than alts will runn like crazy
Makes sense to me 🤝
Awesome analysis, I really like the way you analyze the Bitcoin chat and narrative. You and Bob Loukas are my favorite.
I appreciate that my friend, I have a lot of respect for Bob 🤝
Btc topped 8-9 months after microstrategy top in 2021
It was more of a double top because the November 2021 high was barely above the April 2021 high 🤝
Brings me joy to be part of the ten favorite people.
I think we have had our pullback from our all time high, down to 91.5k. I don’t see how we can tackle the low $80,000, high 70 range like you claimed. There is so much momentum ahead for Bitcoin in the year 2025, just based on historical halving periods, the trump administration soon to take office, existing ETF’s, and Michael Saylor continuously claiming more and more bitcoin. The rally we had in November during elections was simply based on the fact that trump won. Imagine when he is ACTUALLY in office.
Markets love to buy the rumor and sell the news so let’s see 🤝
Amazing video, could you just tell me which index on TV are you using for global liquidity? Much appreciated!
Yup, it’s a free “global liquidity index” indicator on tradingview 🤝
1:06
100% agree with you.
I remember that sentiment as well & kept it.
Served us all well it seems so far.
Glad we are on the same page my friend 🤝
Very nice look on the markets, congrats!
Fun fact: It took bitcoin 121 weeks to reach it's 2017 cycle top from it's 2015 bottom. It took bitcoin 122 weeks to reach it's (real) 2021 cycle top in april from it's previous bottom. 122 weeks from our current bottom is mid march 2025. I don't believe in these kind of statistics but tbh it wouldn't surprise me if it turned out this way...
Along this theme, if you check how much BTC grew from the bottom of previous cycle to top of current one
2d cycle: 45k%
3d cycle: 9.4k%
4th cycle: 2k%
5th cycle: ? (Should be ~500%)
But we are already 500% up.
@@PetroDarchyn Getting smaller but still epic returns.
@@PetroDarchyn500% up from the low or from previous market cycle top?
@@apokist 500% from the low apparently
@@PetroDarchyn law of diminishing returns, sadly kicks in
Current extreme low vol with high OI requires defensive strategy but 2025 rally can go to the usual Oct period based on the traditional cycle
We never top in a Q1 during the last 2 cycles
Always on Q4
So maybe an other double top scenario Q1 & Q4
Thanks for the calm analysis. It’s a tough week ahead with serious macro data, it could be the catalyst for a proper reset . Well will see the reactions and strength of these narratives soon
Let’s see what we get 🤝
Welcome back, mate! Hope you had a good festive season. But my outlook for 2025 is bearish. Markets will take a beating if rate-cut optimism fades. And tariffs will start a global trade war. Tariffs will not just stay between US and other countries but will also escalate to other countries imposing tariffs on other countries. In this light, the data coming out this week and next will cause major moves in the market. If rate-cut optimism increases, markets rally. If it fades, markets fall. So, it is all on incoming data at this point. And I also anticipate many more black swans in 2025 as the election is over.
By March any volatility about tariffs will probably be gone. But yeah black swans will probably be a plenty
Makes sense to me my friend, always good to hear from you 🤝
I think your spot on with the Ethereum analysis. We need it to outperform BTC to kick off alt season
Glad we are on the same page 🤝
I hear your argument and I can definitely rationalize it. The problem is it goes against the entire history of BTC. So I guess I wonder with such a big claim, what's your big evidence to support it? I didn't notice any huge catalyst other than TA to support your thesis. We also have the most crypto friendly environment in the history of crypto! There's never been more money looking into and flowing into crypto as a whole. We have more bullish signals than I ever remember, I've been interested in BTC since 2013 and bought in mid 2017. (Biggest mistake ever NOT buying in 2014) So overall I think we're going to be able to hold hands and sell the top, or close to it, together in Q4 2025! Haha
I agree with you, but what is this “We can all hold hands and sell the top” narrative. If you’ve been in crypto you should know that’s not how it works. Its a ruthless market
So will we just have 4 year cycles forever and hold hands and sell in Q4 every post halving year and buy in Q4 every bear market year? I have a hard time believing that there won’t be surprises and Bitcoin will always do what it’s done before 🫡
Have you heard anything about the Ethereum options on the ETFs? Those were supposed to be approved in December and nothing happened. There was no rejection and there was no approval at least not that I have come across in any material online. The SEC somehow just ignored the go date
Please don't pay any attention to anyone on social media and do what you're doing right now for as long as you can. This is your recipe to success. Absolutely amazing analysis and great insights. Organized, opinionated, thorough and precise. WELL DONE.
He gave three extremely different forecasts, asked the viewer what they think then said he's bearish with a q1 top like everyone else is currently, then said he wasn't watching the market very much lol
Appreciate that my friend 🤝
No SOL ETF. It’s just a memecoin chain.
Sol strategies stock
That’s fair, but tradfi just cares about whether or not they can make money off it 🤝
The 4yr cycle still in tact for a October/ November top
was the previous tops of 4yr cycle were in oct/nov? I want to short 12 month swing at 200k but something tells me we may not get 200k but stop at 180k which is bad for me.
Definitely a possibility I am watching 🤝
I wouldnt count out MicroStrategy. They diluted thier shares heavily, but increased thier Bitcoin yield. Short term loss for long term gain is what I see. Top isnt in as long as Bitcoin isnt finished running.
I understand that’s the current narrative, but we’ll see how much everyone cares about “bitcoin yield” during a larger correction or bear market 🤝
I genuinely believe that MSTR frontrunning bitcoin has already priced in the correction you’ve mentioned. I also think it will lead on the next leg up, unlike 2021 which set a lower high hence the MSTR blow off top.
There will be 2 tops. Like 2013. The first around March/April (120-130k). This will be a false top, and BTC will go down for 3 or so months, then rise again to a new all time high, and the true top around November/December (140-160k).
Thanks for the insight Nostradamus.
YESSIR MY DAWG IS BACK 🫡🔥💎😎
where did you get your global liquidity chart??
Free “global liquidity index” indicator on tradingview 🤝
@@cryptocurrentlyYT I tried searching it already and just cant seem to find the same one as yours. Can I get the ticker for it?
Might also need to keep an eye on economic data releases for recession or recession scare at least. Right now, is it logical to assume that the Fed will cut rates very conservatively and no QE/end of QT unless something breaks? So something like a mix of Q1 and Q4 scenario, basically 2024 but exaggerated.
Agreed, will continue watching economic data as we go forward 🤝
love your content dawg
Appreciate you Felix 🤝
you think now we're in distribution phase?
We could be, but by base case is we go higher into March-April 🤝
can you also look at the bitcoin dominance and btc/eth pair?
I feel like those metrics can complicate decision making, but I’ll consider it 🤝
Hope you had a great vacation man, let's make generational wealth within these next couple months! Looking forward to watching your analysis closely now
Let’s go Galaxy 🤝
The more people discuss the possibilty we already peaked this cycle, the less I believe it.
Let’s see how everyone feels at $120k 😂
Is it likely that we are going down to 80-85k bitcoin next week? I have a feeling we are getting a last shakeout and then straight up after that (blow off top) what do you think?
I don’t have a reliable way of predicting Bitcoin week to week, I like to focus on larger timeframes 🤝
Rotating all my btc into fartcoin right now
😂
Buffet would be proud 😂
Yes, I love being a favorite 🤗
Appreciate you Wayne 🤝
I think the bear market scenario is the most likely, because the other two are far less likely, and why is that? because so many people over the past two years and nearly every elliott wave analyst and many people that i've spoken with all believe btc will top out at 120k to 140k, it won't happen because all of the people who think it will happen. btc will either not make it to those levels or it will go above those levels. I'd be shocked if btc hits those levels and reverses.
All we need is some new narratives and everyone will raise their price targets 🤝
@@cryptocurrentlyYT here's the thing, btc isn't trying to allow everyone to pick the top. Very often the elliott wave count won't make sense until the move is over. People make the mistake by thinking this market moves according to whether or not the bull or bears win out, yeah right, this market, i have no doubt, is controlled and manipulated prolly by groups of people with very big bank account all working together.
That's all nice and Dandy. But when you Look at the all bullish Charts you have to Look also the 30% correction during all the bullmarkets. Where is the correction?
We had one in August of 2024 and we may be in one now 🫡
@cryptocurrentlyYT That's 6 month ago
Do you mind my asking - did you travel abroad? And if so, where and how was it? I have vacation time coming and I need to break in my passport. 😊
It was actually domestic travel 😂
hmmm cc, bitcoin follows mstr so we can say btc top is close?
Well we only have 1 data point (last cycle) so we can’t know for sure, but based on MSTR’s price action a deeper correction for Bitcoin is my base case. 🤝
thanks man
You got it Rony 🫡
102k next target, then big move downside. 90k retest then 85k.
😂
that makes sense. Resistance at 102K is very strong. Our last line of support is at 87K before the door is open to flip macro resistance 76K into support
head and shoulders bearish formed, bearish flag we trade right now at 90-100k range tells us we going to 80k.
Makes sense to me 🤝
It went from 108K to 91K why isn't that enough of a dip for a rally back to 120K? Everytime alts get a good pump bitcoin ruins it.
It could be, but keep in mind we went from like 65k-108k in 1-2 months 🤝
Trump dump coming very soon.
If Trump says the word Tariff during Inauguration.
Short Short Short.
Wrong
haha give me that 80k bitcoin price to buy spot.
Agreed 🤝
The top is coming the top is coming
😂
Waiting for the black swan event to drop that throws off every market technical analysis and prediction video in 2025.
I get where you’re coming from, but if you’re waiting for a black swan it isn’t a black swan 😂
@ lol good point 🤔
Q4 top for sure.
I hope so 🤝
If Bitcoin follows its historical patterns, we could see a $200K Bitcoin by the end of 2025, or even higher. Several major catalysts are set to shape the crypto market that year, including central banks adopting Bitcoin, a new SEC commissioner bringing fresh perspectives, increased institutional participation, potential crypto regulations, and the Federal Reserve lowering interest rates throughout 2025.
The timing has never been better to engage with the market. Personally, I’ve grown my portfolio from 3B’tc to 26B’tc in just a few months. A significant part of this success comes from the insights and guidance of Hana Christina. Her insights have been invaluable in navigating this exciting market.
Next 4-6 weeks should be interesting imo.
totally agree, big moves incoming
Agreed 🤝
The possible and more likely on your thumbnail should be swapped. I see a lot of people selling and buying in back higher and taking less profits with this bogus idea that the crypto market will top end of Q 1.
I understand where you’re coming from, but I think most people are expecting a Q4 top. 🤝
Microstrategy is far from topping, bookmark this 😂
I’d be happy if you end up being right 😂
Yeah I took some profits in Q4 2024 so if everyone gets blindsided in 2025 I'll make it out ok...
Same 🤝
. Where have you been?
Took an end of year trip with the family and decided to take a break from markets 🤝
Everyone expecting q4 just like how everyone waiting for 10k btc lol
Yup 😂
Unfortunately it's over...
Definitely a possibility, but not my base case 🤝
While crypto markets are neutral to greedy, trad fi is currently in fear, jpow really scared everyone but imho it’s a total psy op, trad fi already rebounding and crypto has lots of room to run. Bitcoin is such a huge narrative this year as we move from P-B, B-B, & now B-G businesses and governments will fomo hard diminishing returns will be debunked. It’s a great time to be in crypto
The S&P 500 dropped like 5% I don’t know if I’d call that “fear” but I get where you’re coming from 🤝
no altcoin season...
That’s a possibility, but I wouldn’t be surprised if we saw a small one before the cycle ends 🤝
seems like everyone youtube is always wrong apart from benjamin cowen
"veryone youtube is always wrong apart from benjamin cowen"- 2019-2021 lengethening cycle theory aged very well? lol, ETH going hime list goes on and on...
@@nikhilkalra1530ETH didn’t go home but it has underperformed both against BTC and compared to the rest of the market. Cowan has got a lot right like BTC dominance hitting 60%, ETH underperforming against btc etc
How can everyone always be wrong when there are opposing views on UA-cam? 😂
Good summary man
Appreciate that Chris 🤝
Still don't understand ur cash position, makes no sense to try to catch a massive correction at this point considering u beleibe we are near the end
Just risk management I think
I think it's for alt coins
It’s a win win for him , he has exposure to markets still , has locked in some profits in cash and could take advantage of a potential dip
It’s not to cash a massive correction, it’s to reduce volatile in my portfolio and take advantage of new opportunities if they show up 🤝
You're one of my 10 fav people.
🫡
clean. crisp. pragmatic. no bullshit. no fluff.
missed you, man.
Appreciate you Amul, glad to be back 🤝
HE IS BACKKKKK i hope your vacation went well ❤
Thank you my friend, it was a much needed break after all the post-election madness 😂
BTC $224,000 top October 16, 2025. See you there.
Never delete this comment.
gif me 224k for mega swing short into bear market!!
I’d be so euphoric 😂
i would love to hear you taking about btc mining companies, if they also past this cycle ATH.
I don’t really like them as investments because they trade like leveraged Bitcoin 🤝
Thanks buddy
You got it Batman 🫡
I am very happy you have returned
Me too 🤝
Bitcoin already TOP!
MSTR is in a bear market!
Didn’t you say this at $70k? 😂
Many thanks! Agree with most comments - also read article on WSJ about DoGE ability to cut costs , summary = very limited … large chunk related to interest payments on huge debt 😱 , Medicare. The potential to cut costs therefore rests mainly re government employees, which is limited savings. I think q1 is too short for top, q3 potential… plus we need an altseason to fire up 😂
Should be a fun year 😂
Welcome back my dude
Appreciate that my friend, it mostly came from years of watching TA on UA-cam and filtering out what didn’t work for me and keeping what worked 🤝
This thesis is going to make ppl sell and buy higher
I like to take some profits along the way so I’m never tempted to buy higher 🤝
@cryptocurrentlyYT nicee
I predict in the future you will extend the white line as follows: you get bullish after bitcoin peaks around 124k in februari, then the whole market tanks and, as the whole market gets bearish, as the contrarian you are, in response you will draw a second peak for q4 2025 around 180k
Banger comment 😂 please remind me of this if I flip bullish 🤝
Pi cycle MA’s are an excellent cycle top predictor. Why make it more complicated than that. Bitcoin hitting 85-87k would be great for a top close to or above 150k.
Too many people will front run the pi-cycle top in my opinion 🤝
Should we have a global recession we can all buy deep under 30k
2026 when bear market starts, yes.
Agreed 🤝
Oh don't get me wrong guys we have fib levels to the upside but in case the S&P turns here I expect BTC to follow and the top was already in...so all eyes on the s&p
we're gonna have a late top from what i'm seeing right now. M2 is just about to go up in Q1, and will probably peak at start of 2026
I really hope so
M2 is going down
M2 peak in q2 2025
That would be awesome 🤝
Hi
Hi
77k inevitable
Cma gaps get filled ~66% of time
Imagine 😂
Bro what are al these XAI211K bot comments haha😂
Not bot nevermind. XAI211K most power coin tomorrow. All other coin get rekt and you go hospital.
ok bot
Everytime I remove them they change the number 😂
Cee.cee is the MAN :.
Appreciate you 🤝
Your videos are amazing - Thanks so much!
Appreciate that my friend 🤝
no Altseason ?
Big alt season 🎉
We probably get one before the cycle ends 🤝
its so funny how on every video ur wrong xD
How? what did he get wrong?
Curious....
what did he get wrong?
wat
He won't reply
huh?
Hope you had a good vacation! Thanks for the video
I did! Appreciate you Peter 🤝
I think investors frontrunning eachother is most likely. The question is by how much?
Exactly 🤝
Person #9
Let’s go 🤝
Great market summary! Thanks!
Appreciate you my friend 🤝
Is the correlation between BTC and global liquidity is diverging? Because it's not flowing the liquidity Chart
It follows with a lag 🤝
Yes with 11 week lag. I have a offset on the global liquidity index and Ben flowing it since August. But the Global liquidity index showing that at this period BTC should be under 90k and the bounce that we had now should not happen this hard. The bottom on liquidity is by the first week of Feb 2025 according to the 11 w lag but the correlation might have decoupled a bit or you don't see that ?
ICP is the best technology right now and AI narrative. Easy 30-50x
Never
The problem is no one cares about it. This cycle is about speculation and not tech
@ I doubt it. The meme coins had their run. Now it’s time for real technology what crypto is about!
😂
Makes no sense for a Solana ETF shit doesn’t even do anything 😊
Neither does gold
@@jakem112jewellery, electronics, medicine etc.
😂
First!
You a real one 🤝
Q2 top in April 20. We top
Let’s see Mani 🤝
Happy new year here's to a successful 2025 🎆⭐
Happy new year to you as well my friend 🤝
lets go
Let’s go 🤝
The second bitcoin had some volatility he went ghost instead of doubling down and giving an update. Sad kinda thought this guy was alright
Its been new years and christmas chill out
He said he will be on vacation for 2 weeks
Said he'd be away in his last video for holidays
Literally said I was taking the holidays off in my last video 😂
@@cryptocurrentlyYT you could of gave an update bitcoin fell about 17% percent, Thats pretty huge. Also Holidays have been over for 5 days now Just saying.
Older altcoin will death forever or their is no any hope???????????? So as possible bullrun will finish. Their is no sign of altcoin pump???
I think we’ll have an altcoin pump before the cycle ends 🤝