Is Collapse Coming for Us?
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- Опубліковано 25 чер 2024
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In this Our Changing Climate climate change video essay, I dive into the worst-case climate change scenarios that could possibly lead to societal collapse. Specifically, I understand what the literature says will happen above four degrees of global warming in turns of natural disasters, as well as how that will unfold across our economic and social webs.
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Timestamps:
0:00 - Intro
3:21 - A World on Fire
6:47 - A Future of Extremes
12:53 - Collapse Under Capitalism
18:17 - All Is Not Lost
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Check out other Climate UA-camrs:
Queer Brown Vegan: / @queerbrownvegan
zentouro: / zentouro
Climate Adam: / climateadam
Kurtis Baute: / @scopeofscience
Simon Clark: / simonoxfphys
Sarah Karver: / @sarahkarver
Climate Town: / @climatetown
Jack Harries: / jacksgap
Beckisphere: / @beckisphere
All About Climate: / @allaboutclimate
Aime Maggie: / @aimemaggie
Just Have a Think: / @justhaveathink
Ankur Shah: / ankurshah
Planet Proof: / @planetproofofficial
Future Proof: / futureprooftv
Climate in Colour: / @climateincolour1273
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#collapse #anticapitalism #climatechange
🍂 How are you feeling about climate change these days?
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I guess you missed the IPCC report that we are above 1.5c.
The worst case scenario is 8.5c by the end of the century. We will be over 2.0 easily by 2030.
Good luck all.
I just love how you post a video exacerbating climate anxiety and also make a guided meditation to ease the same anxiety. 👌
It's absolutely necessary for the world to go plant based and to build a democratic system.
@@DarkDeepGreen Democracy can't handle climate, because the majority of people doesn't know anything about science. We need scientific leadership.
@@Mr.MasterOfTheMonsters Democracy doesn't mean anti science. Proposals for some sort of eco-authoritarianism create more problems.
We’ll go down in history as the first society that wouldn't save itself because it wasn't cost effective.” - Kurt Vonnegut
Economies of scale eventually hit brick walls.
Nice quote
There will be no history.
Says Kurt Vonegut who churned out commercial novels because it was cost effective to make a fast buck.
@@bobdooly3706 : Vonnegut's books never caused any damage to the environment.
who could have thought that infinite growth on a finite planet is not sustainable!
But each atom has a relatively limitless potential. If we can unlock the power we can change our philosophy on our planets view of energy.
@@demus89 E=mc2
The E is expressed in Joules. Do the math for a gram of power.
The only possible way to get that much energy out of a gram of matter is to annihilate the matter with anti-matter which is extremely costly to produce and near impossible to store, except for minute amounts, as it requires to be stored in high intensity magnetic field.
@@a.randomjack6661 so what your saying is we cannot in this time achieve fusion without putting more power into the system than we get out? Ok well in the event we successfully do this in the next 75 years that would indeed grant us a pretty much sustainable and virtually unlimited amount of energy?
@@demus89 You hadn't mention nuclear fusion, which is what the sun and stars do.
I am not an engineer, but all I've seen so far required a lot more energy going in than coming out, and by a rather huge factor.
Fusion is about fusing hydrogen atoms to meje tem become the next element on the periodic table, helium.
This requires temperatures equivalent to the inside of the sun, which can melt anything in a blink, hence the use of very intense magnetic fields, that requires a lot of energy to produce and maintain.
75 years is a long way away, specially at this accelerating warming rate.
Then, since we live in a capitalist realm, competition will do all it can to impair the process.
They've been doing this ever since we have nuclear reactors with tons of scary propaganda, which is why Germany for one, closed all it's nuclear power plants and burning (very profitable) fossil fuels.
There's a lot to take into account on issues like this.
In conclusion, IF nuclear fusion reactors can be achieved, it does not mean they will make it in the marketplace.
Current capitalism is very happy with the way things are going. Disasters means rebuilding, means more profits.
SRM or carbon capture also mean a lot more profits for a very long time. I don't think they want to get off that gravy train. They will do everything necessary to stay on it. 🤑🤑🤑
@@demus89 If you wonder what kind of system we live in, look up Pathocracy. It explains a lot.
Literally every hundredth of a degree of warming matters. Every human life taken by disease, or conflict, or famine, or suicide… those are all people, no different than us.
What we see on a macro ⚖️ (world) scale.
Is determined by our micro ⚖️ (individual) scale
And how many people would not suffer if we didnt have fossil fuels? Those are all people, no different than us.
True and all the plants and animals that will perish.
@@heww3960bearing in mind where most fossil fuels are used, this argument is absurd, we really no longer need them and owe nothing to them, they were useful when we knew no better, now we do, so either bother yourself to not parrot fossil fuel ceo arguments or leave and take your ilk with you
of course they are no different to us, but people have always had difficulty having empathy for people who are geographically removed from us.
If we haven't cared so far - we are going to be forced to care with regret. Because then it will be beyond "too late".
Regrets are nothing-burger emotions. They're almost as "useful" as are apologies; utterly meaningless.
The survivors won't care.
people care, the people in power dont
The ones livin'g in safety still won't care. It's sort of like a survival mechanism, as.long as you're okay it's all good. We shouldn't think that our species is going to behave any differently than it has.so.far.
As long as manufactured consent is as strong as it is today, nothing will change. People are gunned down on our streets, children gunned down in our schools, the unhoused population grows out of control, there is a mass g word happening in Gaza. Nobody cares and the ones that do our leaders do not listen.
I am afraid without more drastic action nothing can be done. But we also do not have time to. We need more action and we need it fast.
Worst part is that many popular climate prediction models have been compared to how extreme the weather actually ended up being and literally all of them severely undershot
Turns out not ALL undershoot. It's once again human bias: those that didn't undershoot were under-weighted to discount them.
It just shows how little scientists understand the true workings of this planet. It's more complex and interconnected than we fully comprehend... they are just guessing and spinning tales of disaster to get your submission to whatever the authorities want. Thats why they attack the people who question climate change instead of the questions themselves, which they dismiss as a conspiracy.
That's because alot of them didn't take into account the effects of a positive feedback loop.
Their projections of a warning globe were linear, bit as we now see, the more the earth heats up it begins to run away at one point getting faster and faster.
An analogy would be the melting of polar ice caps. The ice caps are reflecting huge amounts of electo magnetic radiation, but the more they melt the less reflective surface there is to reflect the incoming radiation. This means that the remaining ice melts faster than the ice before it did due to more radiation being absorbed by the oceans, heating up the ice faster.
@@bubba842 It also fails to account for the many other unknown changes that can result, or any impacts natural evolution might have. Like the fact that worldwide plant life has INCREASED by 15% in the last 2 decades. Or look at the Sahara, it's shrinking, and getting greener. Plants do *NEED* CO2 for photosynthesis, right?
@@craigrobertson42too much CO2 is bad for plants, talk to a farmer. Besides that, it depends on which plants you're talking about. Most of our crops don't like a high CO2 environment, and definitely don't enjoy a high temperature environment. Also, that greening is largely attributed to environmentalist action, and models show that it's definitely not enough
I'm a modern farmer and we struggle growing vegetables at 35c already. Vegetables in the tropics like 28c temps.
2023 Canadian wildfires
From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Beginning in March 2023, and with increased intensity starting in June, Canada was affected by a record-setting series of wildfires. All 13 provinces and territories were affected, with large fires in Alberta, British Columbia, the Northwest Territories, Nova Scotia, Ontario, and Quebec. The 2023 wildfire season had the most area burned in Canada's recorded history, surpassing the 1989, 1995, and 2014 fire seasons, as well as in recorded North American history, surpassing the 2020 Western US wildfire season. i try to tell people fossil fuel doesn't make pine needles and grass seed, The Beaufort Gyre rotates Clockwise and drains into Siberia and the Atlantic Ocean because of Westerly Winds from Canada
And the thing I hate the most about climate change is that, the ones suffering the most are the ones who didn't contribute as much to climate change 😞
Exactly right.
😂
Who are the " ones" suffering ?
@@bobdooly3706native people, small islander people, people that weren't even part of the system that makes this problems.
@@maestershaw8604 . No they are not suffering from rising ocean levels because they are stable and not rising.
That's always going to be true because children are born into every country of the world everyday.
"It's only on the brink that people find the will to change."
The brink happened a decade ago.
humans only learn when they get hit and feel the pain most of the times you would not fear what u didnt experience before because you dont know the consecuences so you dont think abaut them
You late now. Trust in the Lord
@@ernststravoblofeld Nope, we're literally on the brink, look up doomsday clock NYC
@Pabliski577 That's one group's idea of things. A "doomsday clock" is not a finely tuned measuring device. It's a rhetorical prop. But make no mistake, the last point at which the crisis could be averted was years past. All we can hope for now is to slow it down a bit, and hope to adapt. That's just facts.
South India is facing one of worst droughts, the heat is unbearable. I have been buying tankers of water to keep my Mango trees alive in my Farm. One more year of low rain fall like 2023 we would not even have water to drink
We need to reduce population of India to pre independence levels.
Are you from Karnataka? I don't know about that but in Tamil Nadu it's getting unbearable.
@@kalaidoscopez5388 Telangana
@@kalaidoscopez5388 Telangana
Need more crops that need less water, perhaps genetic engineering can help. Also we get a huge monsoon season with lots of water but most of it goes back to the ocean.
We need dams and a reservoir to store freshwater! Let the water infiltrate and restore groundwater also
ĘⒶt thė rǐçh.
everyone i know is fried by fluoride
Funny how in the year 2005 or so objectively more people cared about Socialism than they do now, so much of the general population has embraced economic liberalism and Conservatism in these past 19 years, I mean just look at the Poland... And yet in these Left Wing echochambers it seems like Socialism is doing _just fine,_ like its more relevant than ever even though this couldnt be further from the truth.
If The Left doesnt turn Populist like it has in Ireland or Mexico then we will all die, thats the simple hard truth of it all
Tax the rich. They like the term eat the rich the same way police play NWA at protests.
Considering that it's the rich that will actually be pushing this change.
But it is also the need for mass consumerism which props up the rich is part of the cause of the environmental catastrophic that is occurring worldwide and a lot of the solutions being pushed by figures such as Elon Musk eg electric cars are largely ineffective due to the need to produce electricity and the weathering that occurs of the road surface at a higher rate.
Just my opinion but the rich are the cause of this and i from what i have seen very few of them are actuality put protecting the environment above money.@@KRYMauL
It's up to the corporations. The corporations will let us go, help us go, if it increases their profit margins. The end.
Grammar correction: "Are letting us go", sorry, you conjugated in the wrong tense and I am one of those OCD grammar freaks. All the best for you!
It’s politicians.
@@raybod1775 Corporations are too powerful and control the politicians. The past 35 years has seen them form untouchable monopolies, lawyer up, and spend millions on propaganda. Meanwhile, regulations have been cut. The wealth divide has sky rocketed.
Capitalism itself IS the problem.
@@raybod1775paid by corporations.
"Let this radicalize you rather than lead you to despair." --Mariame Kaba
Why... I'm not some foaming at the mouth Lefty.
YEAH LET'S GO
@@jeffspicoli5399then you will be in some years to come when the heat will fome your mouth
Personally, I am doing everything I can to reduce my climate impact. I currently use 0.6tons CO2 per year according to the WWFs climate calculator. But then there are systematic issues I cannot control (outside of trying to influence people and political discourse). Swedish society -where I live, uses 3.2tons per person. Which takes me to 3.8tons, 0.3tons above the Paris Agreement target. The amount of compromises is something that very few are willing to do... But to me, it's actually enjoyable
Things I do:
- I don't purchase... anything, really... except food
- I use my clothes for 20+ years and I repair them. I see every purchase as a "lifetime purchase"
- I'm vegan, I eat after season
- I bicycle everywhere
- I don't own a car, I rarely use public transit even, except the really cold months.
- I avoid purchasing products with unnecessary plastic packaging, and if I do, I often re-use them, like bread bags and such.
- I live in a small studio apartment that has an exceptionally efficient heating solution.
- The only thing I purchase is new computer parts every 10 years or so. (which is also required of my job as a developer). These days I tend to salvage used parts instead.
- I also ghetto-mod furniture that are being thrown away.
I actually don't feel like I can do much more individually. I really love living like this, living in accordance to my morals. I just wished more people wanted to do the same. You kind of feel like an alien on your own planet not understanding how other people think, especially considering the long-term effects of our inaction. When I have more time on my hands I will try to engage more in volunteer work, and try to inspire people. Currently I am volunteering for a group called "Repair Café" where we support people to repair their the things they own (instead of buying new), while talking about topics such as "reduce, reuse and repair". :) It has become highly popular in my hometown.
its cool that you do things individualy, you are doing plenty but most people just shy away from the hassle of changing their lifestyle or themselfes wich is... well logical too i dont really blame them, changes have to come from the top down instead of thinking consumer behavior will change the industry. industry uses so much money to influence our way of thinking and living most people will never break their programming.
@@d4rkh4l34yeah, I agree... it feels like personal action is really only a "first step"... after that you need to inspire change and influence politics or join volunteer groups and protests.
We need to get corporations to actually care about climate change beyond PR buzzwords. That does mean that profits would have to be reduced, so I don't how the current Jack Welch mentality of profits over everything else can be curbed without government intervention and unions, though.
I'm trying also but I'm not as healthy as you. Keep up with the good work 💪🏼 keep being a model for all of us to follow 🙏🏼
🌎🌏🌍🕊️ For all of us
None of that has any significant effect when China is building coal power plants like they pokemon!
Dr Phillip Mason, "historically mankind has never been able to act until it was time to start digging mass graves of one sort or another." (Our Legacy, your future!)
Like in the covid pandemic.
How this has been handled is proof that capitalism is illogical and cannot sustain itself long-term.
Agreed, even though there are plenty more proofs for that.
@6Mike11 Yup. As if that could happen forever on a finite planet. 🙄
Newp. This is not caused by humans.
@@AtoMicEyeScream Try again. Literally everything points to it being human made pollution making a premature mass extinction era.
People are very greedy, rich countries cause this.
People, we need to organize! The feeling hopelessness is because of our lack of organizational bodies. Get organized! Join socialist or ecological party or group, fight the system! ORGANIZE WE GOT THIS!
Fighting the system is only one step and takes time we no longer have. Encourage people to grow their own food starting NOW. Tell them to focus on using what they have whether it's windows and a Balcony, or a back yard, create a Syntropic Microclimate. The people that do this are more likely to survive what is already happening and getting worse.
@@koicaine1230 this is a non solution and it's individualist decadence that casts those that will be most affected to the wind
BUT NO ONE LISTENS, I'm a 13 yr old and I am so afraid, all my classmates are too, we try, organize trash cleanups, make posters but, the people in power is really what changes things
@@SinbathSparrow The Government isn't going to save you no matter how much you protest. You say this is individualist and it is to a point but also, I'm sharing information that is vital for people's survival so really, I'm not being individualist.
@@millia_honey I get it. I have a 7 y/o that is going to inherit a Hellscape. Grow plants at home, plant seeds in parks (don't get caught), along your road if possible etc. Learn everything you can about Syntropic Agriculture, Microclimates and every manner of Regenerative Agriculture you possibly can. Tell your neighbors what you learn and work together to grow more. I hate it that our youth have to take action like this but here we are.
William Catton wrote "Overshoot" in 1982.
We have learned nothing since then.
E O Wilson, Theo Colborn, Rachal Carson, and a plethora of other environmental authors were warning us many decades ago, the indigenous people were telling us for 1,000's of years. Unfortunately the petro industry, the medical-industrial complex, and BigAg had other plans, and that is to make profit no matter the cost to the Earth and all life on her. We could have made changes but the people with the money couldn't allow that to happen.
Not true. We've learned and applied plenty since then. It's just not socialism yet. Stop doomering.
I believe that book demonstrated very succinctly that we won’t learn anything. It provides the biological explanation for humanities growth and its inevitable collapse.
@@bensanders5681 Sadly Ben I agree with you. When faced with diminished resources most animals reduce reproduction. We on the other hand tell ourselves that everything is just fine and that technology will solve all our problems.
It will not.
I interviewed Lyle Lewis who wrote -Racing to Extinction: Why Humanity Will Soon Vanish
That first chapter....was so brutal and intense. Like i never knew what a wetbulb event even was snd now its a new nightmare scenario
It doesn't matter how much the individual does if we don't set regulations for corporations and ban fossil fuels.
I fear that the ignorance in societies/electorates all over the world is too prevalent for this to happen.
And limit immigration. I made massive cuts in my greenhouse footprint by many small strategies, but many people from small footprint countries came here and radically increased their footprint. So many people did that that it completely erased my contribution and so much more. Half of US greenhouse gas emissions now are due to immigration since 1984. They had lots of children and immigrants need houses, jobs, food and everything else, their greenhouse footprints are much larger than the footprint of people already established there.
Nobody likes to talk about that, that immigrants are the majority polluters in developed nations. Also that immigration is the #1 cause of climate change.
I lost my trust in the human effort some time ago. and when I say lost I mean lost.
Do not stop praying and meditating on the issue though
@@SC-ne4ge in support of. of course :)
i live in malaysia. we're dealing with droughts now and floods during the end of the year, every year. pretty sure my country will suffer greater and greater climate extremes, and we;re not the only one in the global south. personally, i have very little hope.
I'm not even gonna watch this video, I no longer can. 2022 was the worst year of my life due to the anxiety I felt for climate change and war. I've pretty much given up on the idea I can do anything. It breaks my heart to admit it but I'm seriously considering just living as best as I can for a while and the put an end to everything. Can't go back to that suffering.
Also pray and meditate on the issue in a state of surrender
I hope you can recognize that holding out for suicide is not a rational way to live. Fortunately, there's power in the fact that if you know your state of mind isn't rational, then your assumptions might not true and thus your conclusions might not hold.
I don't have intense climate anxiety, but have also considered if taking myself out is the best choice for the future. I decided before I try something that severe, would instead use all of my money and potentially put myself into debt to move to a country which is further on the track to being net neutral or net negative. Preferably this would also somewhere which is geographically and economically in a place more favorable to be less affected by climate change or a major war.
@@_shadow_1 Try Cambodia. Very chill, lots of expats, $5 internet, $75 cell phone, fresh food, lots of souks, $5 tuk tuks and no WalMart. Of course, nothing for you to do there. You'd be a crow up n a tree. Caww caww.
There are people doing solutions, educating, or spreading a positive message. Watch DW Planet A, Mossy Earth, NHK Japan Zero Waste, Oh the Urbanity, Not Just Bikes, and Brothers Make. And Earthling Ed and Second Thought on the environment. Watch positive videos.
Is it sad that at the beginning when describing the conditions in Uttar Pradesh I thought this was a real event until the “millions” death count was mentioned and I was like “wait… I didn’t hear about this on the news”. I just assumed that such horrible weather was already present because it’s already so bad in reality.
You're hysterical.
@@100c0c fool
@@100c0c Explaining how would probably be more helpful.
I thought so too until he mentioned Ministry for the Future and then I remembered reading that book.
Omg same here. I was shocked at the numbers because I didn't hear about it.
It is sad & scary to think that most of society has access to this education & yet so many will choose not to care
Many can’t care because there is little they can do to change anything. We can certainly try but doing more stuff is not the answer. Quitting may actually be part of the answer but we’re conditioned to believe quitting is bad. A lot of times it’s necessary especially with addiction which one of the roots to our problems.
When I say can’t I mean they need to care about feeding themselves and families first. We have few options outside of the monetary system to do this and survive.
Individual consumers don't decide how supply chains work. Everyone choosing to live ascetically would be nice, but... we need systemic change.
Every dollar we spend increases CO2. Buy used clothing, turn down the heat, eat locally grown veggies, stop driving a 2 ton vehicle to pick up a one pound loaf of bread. Corporations make money from our consumer habits. Stop it!
Not going to be enough. Look at the tiny tiny influence reduced flying from Covid had on emissions, for example. You need to upend the entire system. It can't be fixed, the seeds to mess things (aka the world) up is an integral part of it. What system? The culture of focusing power into the hands of the few, corporate controlled governments and above-the-law businessmen.
My 2 watt per hour fridge is great. Less than 50 watts per day. No solar powered but can be. Take a little bit of self management in food buying and cooking. Got power consumption down to 1.7 kw per day and going to be lower next quarter. I'm running no solar at the moment. Got goal of less than 1 kw per day. It's great practically no power bill.
No need, dump the hair shirt you have been lied to, all is well and all will be well.
People have to buy what's made available to them and they are not monolithic. It's going to take national and international cooperation to mitigate the damage industry is doing.
Ich esse viel Fleisch! Fahre viel Auto und verbrauche viel Strom (hoffentlich Strom aus Kohle). Gemüse esse ich überhaupt nicht, ich esse doch meinem Essen das Essen doch nicht weg😂
Mich interessiert nur, daß ich ein gutes genußvolles Leben habe! Nach mir die Sintflut! Was interessieren mich nach meinem genußvollem Leben diese bedeutungslosen nackten Affen!❤
The majority doesn't want change. Only look at the continuous growth of animal agriculture because of growing demand.
Growing demand from a new middle class in the global South 🤔
@@HShango Yes exactly, while the west isn't showing any serious interest in consuming less overall.
Delusional. Demand is artificially induced by the owners of global meat production.
You should already know as a consumer that what your demand is totally irrelevant when it comes to capitalist production
@@HShangowrong. Don't try and blame the world's poorest for the apathetic unsustainable consumption of the world's richest.
The majority is kept unaware of the environmental costs of their consumption. Rather than blaming people for living certain lifestyles within a hegemonic culture of consumerism, it is much more helpful to critique the systems that produce commodities at an environmental cost and develop the consumerist subjects to buy them.
It is so, so important that we get moving on this issue. People need to get their priorities straight. If climate change and democracy aren't your top two issues on the ballot, especially in the USA, I think you likely need to reprioritize what's important to you.
Lol you’re not gonna vote your way out of this. Biden and trump both couldn’t care less about climate solutions. Biden can pretend to commit to arbitrary temperature goals, but he’s still a capitalist, and capitalism won’t save this world. Any solution to climate change proposed by a capitalist is a lie.
The rise and influence of asphalt and automobiles can’t be understated when it comes to our climate, pollution, and natural disasters.
The rise and influence of agribusiness deforestation and desertification can't be understated when it comes to our climate, pollution and natural disasters. FIFY.
Every country that has got rich enough to embrace mass automobility has done so. 😢
+every parcel of land that international agribusiness corporations can snag and convert to mechanized GMO monocrop operations they do 😭
@@user-uo7fw5bo1o unnecessary to be "rich country"
Poor/3rd world country embraced car centric also lead to mass automobility, lead to massive financial problems
@@02suraditpengsaeng41 Poor countries too? Shi-.
I don’t know how much longer I can live like this. Everything we do, everything we work and struggle so hard to support, is so wrong on a fundamental level. We have to drop everything and take the reins. Look at the regreening project in the Sahara. You think those people are looking to make money? No. They’re looking to secure their future, and they’re cooperating to do so. Even though regreening isn’t some magic bullet, those people consume almost nothing and their efforts are doing SOMETHING. We have to escape this.
We don't have to escape this, and all in all, we shouldn't. Humans have no respect for each other or for the planet and the life on her. We've had 1,000's of years to be compassionate and loving, but we chose not to be. We won't change.
There are people doing solutions, educating, or spreading a positive message. Watch DW Planet A, Mossy Earth, NHK Japan Zero Waste, Oh the Urbanity, Not Just Bikes, and Brothers Make. And Earthling Ed and Second Thought on the environment.
Hey, its not your fault. If it shakes you like this than please find kind of peace with it. Ecoanxiety is real :(
Do you mean regreening in the Sahel?
@@anacaeiro1049 Ecoanxiety is really an expression of doomerism
Most people look at climate in the short term and how it will affect them now, such as making environmental changes ,switching EVs and hydrogen cars ,etc). They don't want to make changes that could inconvenience them and want the status quo. They also think that their governments and the businesses will bail them out and that they have no control. These acts of indifference will be our down fall.
Not mention, switching to EVs can actually be worse as you're likely driving more due to charging infrastructure not being wide spread.
@@KRYMauL Most people that I know, including myself, have chargers in their garages. They are now part of the building code in some provinces in Canada.
@@davej.4989 Not everyone has access to a garage and not everyone lives in a city.
It never should have been about creating new cars. It should have been about EV conversion. All car manufacturers have engineers who could have spent time reviewing and converting previous models, then called up owners for conventions. Meanwhile, the government should have worked on infrastructure for charging or removable batteries for long trips. This could be very simple due to the previous work done by manufacturers. However, intellectuals talk and use data to state that things are getting bad and will cost. Because there is no wisdom within the 1%
One "tool" in the Climate Change Mitigation & Prevention Toolbox is *definitely* the mass adoption of AI models that are aligned with climate ethics that preserve human lives and restore ecological health.
People just don't care, and it's sad, cause it's our future that is on the line. I really believe if we were more united to earth our physical and mental capacity would be far greater, even this planet could grow. Society just don't think about that, if our bodys and this planet adapts from the day to day actions, I'm very curious on how we could've changed so much in terms of evolution if we all adopted simple and more natural ways.
People do care, it's just people see climate change as an after thought (something very far away). When climate change starts to hit your own back yard (apartments and houses) that is when (unfortunately it will be too late) that they will be aware of how mad climate change can be.
Not to mention climate refugees. If we think prejudice and racism is bad now, well....
@@HShango Fair, but it's not only climate change, a lot of more problems are already coming, and why? Just because of our lifestyles, consumption, capitalism and many more. Some people do care, but i think it's still not enough, nowadays society lives for that stimulation, and needing more. There's so many things on this world that i just think of what purpose did we create it and why, the materials, time, efforts, that could've been adopted to other parts of life, nature has rewarded us with so many things, it gaves all the things that we have nowadays. Solarpunk seems such a very desirable future and perfection, so why we don't transition to a more sustainable ways. The human race is slowly realizing that all of the bad habits and all of this stimulation it's never gonna enough and even gotta us craving for more and more, and it will never be enough. Until it all ends...
@@BB-te8tcthat is already happening
Industry doesn't care. The people do, majority anyways. I care as much as you do, and I don't drive by choice. I Recycle and I use little energy in my home. I do my part at least. And my 0 carb food does not come in a bag or box. It comes from a local family farm.
The Syrian civil war was possibly the first war to be a victim of climate change..
The extraordinary droughts that preceded the Arab spring were a key reason that gained support for the idea of rebellion against the government
Yes, heat waves during that time kicked off all big unrest due of food prices. Good shout.
Before the war they had also just become a net importer of oil
Not just the droughts, but in particular, hikes in prices of food and fuel helped raise revolutionaire spirit
(didn't the Egypt government reduce subsidies on either before the Tahrir square revolt started?)
Both Russia and Ukraine, prime agriculture exporters to the Arab region, suffered from droughts in the onset of Arab Spring
Thanks!
Collapse
So I've been working on a little writeup project involving the likelihood of a US collapse and the term "Rotted through" comes to mind. As for the why -
1.) Agricultural monocultures & factory farming and the environmental devastation necessary to support their current forms (Contaminated ground water, eradication of top soil, insecticides as toxic as DDT, runoff red tides, and the profit incentive and behaviors around "Cash crops. This doesn't touch on the lunacy that is lawn grass)
2.) Infrastructure decay caused by privatization. (According to a DOE & NERC assessment in 2010, the national energy grid have been getting 3% to 5% less stable annually, not better.) This doesn't even touch on how decayed the mass transport networks are. Rail accounts for 40% of all shipped goods and 50% of all bulk goods transport in the USA (Association of American Railroads, an industry trade group) and are also increasingly prone to catastrophic failures. This trend continues throughout other essential infrastructure such as the interstate system & just general fking housing since the opening of the floodgates to extractive investment entities like blackrock in 2008. Can add cost cutting onto that for air travel too with the ongoing Boeing debacle.
3.) The destruction of communities, isolation, and alienation. The vast majority of "modern" places of coexistence/congregation are extractive in nature (Work sites, bars, clubs, restaurants, even churches.) and the interactions taken with society outside of those locations are often rage inducing (see - cars/traffic) then only having "individual responsibility" peddled as a viable solution creates crushing levels of isolation. There is a reason the US's self-termination rate is nearing that of japan....
Any chance of a link to this when you're done?
I'd be very interested to read this when you're through. Could I have a link if possible?
We had a temperate winter here in SoCal and I am fearful for this summer. Global warming crept up on us. Now like a train going over a hill we are going downhill fast.
If anything should be able to bring humanity together it’s this. Time to abolish countries and religious superstition. The cruel rock we call home must be tended correctly!
Funny you say that I’m almost positive that NO religion, zany as many them can be has explicitly taught to destroy the earth and 75% probably say the opposite… it’s agnostic concepts like capitalism and nihilism that cause deterioration but sure let’s take away something to believe in that’ll fix everything🙃
say this then go back to doing nothing
Eh religion let people believe whatever they want to believe you have no right to take it away. Freedom of speech and expression
@@antoniobabb1938 let people believe what they want ASLONG as it doesn't infringe on other people's rights to freedom of expression
The problem is capitalism
Oh man. In less than a decade we went from "we MUST limit warming to 1.5C or suffer catastrophic consequences!" to "2.7C is happening, maybe if capitalism as we know it ends we can avoid 6C?".
1.5C is pretty much impossible right now, but 2C it's still possible. Considering how OPEC reacted in the last COP, we aren't totally off track.
Let's not be that species that litterally caused it's own extinction okay? That would be so embarrassing man!
We already have. Accept it.
Our leaders know what is coming. They know it will lead to people being scared and angry and easier to convince to hate and to react.
That means power for the powerful.
We're being led by arsonists.
Thats why Canada had a record forest arson season.
In austria we now have the warmest weather recorded in that time of season (and reagion).
But the CO2 tax will fix everything guys /s
And people still vote for climate change deniers (fpö, övp)
In California we now have snow in April, freezing in Santa Rosa, winter storm in Lost Angeles and Tulare Lake has returned after a century from when it dried up. Even Death Valley has a new lake. Photos from my garden at 6cm high in 2022, show this year is a climate snowpocalypse! The garden is 6mm high, in hiding.
@@aturchomicz821 yeah and even more when they get paid out (partly) so we can use them to feed into konsumerism. I'm sure most of the klimabonus probably was used as pocket money.(I mean i would love that if we had a yearly inflation reserve that gets paid out.)
Kim Stanley Robinson was very clever in writing Ministry for the Future. He knew if it was written as a kind of predictive non-fiction book that people would question all the scenarios - however by incorporating the bad scenarios into a dramatized story with believable characters to identify with, his message is much easier to take note of - and for some skeptics to swallow !
You know it’s bad when we’re not even dancing around the sabotage thing anymore
Underground. Temperature is constant there. Start building underground shelters for heatwave management. Make them very large with vertical ventilation shafts so they don't heat up due to body heat. Add water tanks to ensure water stays cool without needing power for refrigeration, cos we're going to need the power and water for light and emergency hydroponic supplies.
We can do that. We can. We *aren't* because we're not waking up to what we'll need to do for summers going forward. But we could.
Every day brings us a little closer
While I feel jaded, I will applaud for people who still want to reach better future. I will support you, even I if don't see how we can change humanity for better.
Let’s be honest. The 3 to 5% is based on the promise that we reduce emissions. Thats not happening. It’s not 3 to 5% if we just continue as normal.
Well that was depressing. Here's a bit of positivity to hang onto: if humanity loses, Earth wins. And that's fine.
Waiting with happy anticipation for the Earth's win. Seriously, humans have outlived their usefulness.
Well, you are bit optimistic about the chances humanity will die out. Reckon even in the extreme scenarios, there will be cooler pockets in which the hardy and resilient will survive.
Maybe, they will reinvent a sustainable culture like some native peoples had, after they found natural resources like mammoth or first growth forest, is not an endless resource.
They must, really, otherwise, they will quickly overshoot limited resources within their survival pocket, and succumb to an "Easter Island experience"
It is sad that we’ve strayed so far from nature that the only option is a drastic one :(
Thank you for these articulations
Thank you endlessly for the great content!
I study environmental science, and this video is pretty much spot on. The Earth's average temperature is 15C so 2C higher is huge, but its not 2C higher equally across the planet for example 1.5C warmer is equal to 3-4 degree's higher in the Arctic and northern Europe. The IPCC reports is an invaluable resource in understanding whats going on across the globe, but it is the conservative model the numbers are on the low end of predictions for example the 1.5C warming limit was suppose to be that in 2100 the Earth will be 1.5C warmer but last year we already hit that threshold. But its only at that warming if each year for the next 4-10 years its consistently above 1.5C. So whatever is happening its accelerating and breaking scientists predictions into the worse case scenario. Also with crops, about 60% of crops grown is not for human use but this number changes depending on the crop, like soy only a few % (like 2%) is for human food the rest is for animal feed for beef production. Out of 6000 calories of food produced only 2500 of that is for human consumption. Also crops are already failing around the world, especially in Europe, droughts in the summer is killing crops but also very wet winters is doing the same and also pushing the sowing of crops back by several months.
*"There is no way for you to make it on your own. Either we think Globally, or we perish individually."* Jacque Fresco, 1916 - 2017, Founder of The Resource Based Economy aka _The Venus Project_
Thank you so much for all the work you do!
“I accepted to come to this meeting to have a sober and mature conversation. I’m not in any way signing up to any discussion that is alarmist. There is no science out there, or no scenario out there, that says that the phase-out of fossil fuel is what’s going to achieve 1.5C.”
- Sultan Al Jaber, President of COP 28, also CEO of Abu Dhabi National Oil Company
Mukhtar Babayev will be the president for COP 29; he is also a former executive of the State Oil Company of Azerbaijian Republic.
Seems more and more likely, scenario SSP5-8.5 of the IPCC assessment may come to fruition (or at least the higher end of the spectrum). I say enjoy what you can, while you still can; pity the generations to come.
COP being run by a literal oil sultan was honestly one of the most infuriating things last year. They woulda been better off grabbing some rando off the street and telling them to do the job.
@@justawanderingsoul8643 oh they're better off alright. in their wallets
@@justawanderingsoul8643COP has been co-opted (appropriated) by the fossil interests, as, from their point of war strategy view, they should. It was already happening, Paris climate agreement was a bunch of crumbs in comparison to what was being recommended some years before, while the coopting was happening, and even that is not being kept by governments, and then the US just signed off that for 4 full years... so yea, the fact that now an oil sultan head the COP meetings is so blatantly counter to what the COP was supposed to be, shows even the most naïve, inexperienced, dumb, or brainwashed of us that it is gone, kidnapped in full, cero doubts left. :(
So... we have to do some other thing, stop wasting energy in what at the very best, is just a punching bag with no repercussions meant for us to vent and waste energy and momentum. Why the collective we has let itself be fooled by what it is fighting against with nice wording and science fiction, honestly is beyond my understanding.
"enjoy what you can while you still can" is what they want you to do.
"pity the generations to come." is just the final cognitive death throe of a pathetic species at end, an unbelievably dull last logical cry in pain, a narcissistic one at that. 'oh, I merely pity them. At least I enjoyed life while things were still good.'
The mindset of a pathetic species involuntarily killing itself.
our recycling isn't even being recycled anymore, I'm so close to giving up :{
@@zna9297 maybe so. This is disheartening
don't give up and let them win.
@@septanine5936 please stop fooling yourself
@@lorimason2288 and become enlightened of what?
@@lorimason2288 none of us wanna go this way over selfish MFS. why does nobody do anything i cant stop freaking out, ive made so many mistakes but i truely love humanity. i dont think i can ever get over where we are headed
The wisdom of 65 years on the planet makes me want to wish to the younger generations good luck,just be prepared for the worst bcs it will happen. My generation has destroyed any chances you might have had.
Sorry on behalf of all of us.
We f 'd your future.
It wasn't necessarily your fault it was the line of reasoning that gave rise to Jack Welch's reign at GM that ultimately crushed everything.
THEN DO SOMETHING. I WANT TO LIVE IVE LIVED IN PAIN I DONT WANT THIS. FIGHT FOR THE PEOPLE THAT HAVE NO CHOICE TO DO ANYTHING
I was one of the first degreed environmental scientists in the late 1960s, worked on the Environmental Policy Act that created Clean Air and Clear Water, then a department head at the new EPA. You are totally full of Luddite doodoo.
Don't blame yourself or your generation. It was our governments, not ordinary people.
Your content is invaluable and important, thank you, Charlie!
I greatly appreciate your posts
Thank You!!!
Doing great job, occ!!!
Thanks for the video!
Thanks for always ending the videos with actionable items!!
Joined the Patreon to help support the content
I wish I could contribute financially to your channel, but all I can give is engagement right now. I just wanted to say thank you for making climate content accessible
Keep going!! Great content
The reason we are not in a fire alarm mode as a species is simple, most people do not understand 3 degree warming, they think that 3 degrees warmer would be wonderful not knowing how ecosystems work. Education is key if we want people to care about our environment. In Canada where I live we are now going to elect a Conservative gov just on the basis of a carbon tax that is actually beneficial to most people since we get a trimester rebate in the mail, if you are not a high energy user you are simply making money but the far right has hijacked the issue to the point where the present gov no longer is viable. I have very little hope that we will do what is needed since most people are clueless on climate.
The average temperature in Guam is 75F. All jungle and fresh foods. That's way more than 3 degrees warmer than Canada. Face it, you ate the poisoned apple, and fell for high-school dropout paid child actress known as Gerta of Thunberg. Now you'll be waiting in the snow with everyone else for the EV bus that never comes, because it bricked on the freeway. You'll have to sleep in your woolies and break up wooden pallets to burn, because your Luddite PM banned natural gas.
Not just on climate, ever since social media took over from TV and papers as majors for "information", people just follow their gut feeling and hunches about important issues instead of really giving it a thought. Far right just won over a quarter of votes in my country on the basis of such misgivings. Most dunt even know, the major "party" is just a 1 member club in which the leader is the only one who has a right to decide, without _any_ internal democracy. Hardly a word had been said in media about that in the decade that guy Wilders built his movement. He is of course is a climate denialist, unwilling to have international cooperation or to support Ukraine.
Yes I've been talking about it on my channel for years.
👍Every truth teller is an island of rationality in an ocean of denial.
Amazing videos as always
Thanks for your efforts 😊
Our grandkids shall curse our names... Rightly so.
your grandkids wont even be here
@@gregflock380 my grandkids are already here.
@@cabanford I think you missed his point...oh , never mind
For GWoT1 and soon GWoT2 and bankrupting the nations with Federal funny money credit debt and vsury, ... but nothing to do with Climate Chains.
No they won't.
I still do not understand why three trillion tons of C02 equivalent industrial pollution has led to a fixation on trying to make the climate system livable. Pollution is produced by the economic system, so it is not climate models that matter most, but economic models. If an economic system is terminal to humans and life, I think it can be understood to have reached the sufficient threshold of failure, and should be discarded. Or we can try to change nature to suit the economy - because the 20% of humanity that benefits from overconsumption feel they are very special.
You must eat a lot of aspirin with an abynormal brain like that. Who even talks like that? 'Terminal' this and 'terminal' that? Do you have any understanding that America has the cleanest air and water industrial system of any on Earth?
For long time it was hoped - in vain - that big stake holders will be able change over time. If you predict to move away from oil in 10 years, you can map out your growth of company and move to something else.
Turned out capitalism in general is incapable of that kind of thinking.
I love this video!! Thank you
For those who are collapse-aware, this video still feels like it's painfully laced with hopium...
cuz we don't need more doomerism
@@septanine5936 says those who dont seem to understand the exponent factor
i hope i pass in peace. ive been in pain and disabled i dont wanna die
Doomism is for the lazy, stop moaning and get to work.
@@raclark2730 i cant work sadly, so my hope is based in peoples actions. and its not lookin good
The fact that we just had an earthquake in New York when you posted this 😅
I felt that too omg
The result of his earth-shaking analysis.
For reals? In New York prone to quakes ?
We may have físhless oceans by 2048🌱🖤
Cut that number down to like 2030
To be honest, every one of us are complicit in contributing to global warming due to overconsumption either with food waste or even buying too much that we don’t need.
Great stuff as always. Good ending too. I'll help you all I can when I can. Hugs and love.
Remember people we cant just wait for powerful people to do stuff for us, but direct action isnt just about revolting against the system, we need not only disruptions but also prefigurative politics if we dont wanna just end up becoming technocrats, eco-fascists or eco-terrorists.
We need alternatives and we need to build them ourselves, like permaculture, mutual aid networks and practicing direct democracy in our communities for example
One thing I would like to get more clarity on;
The IPCC likes to talk about „average temperature rise“ but what I’ve learned that if the average temperature rises 2°C, the temperature on land more likely rises 4-6°C, depending on continent/location, whereas bodies of large water heat up more slowly.
Their 'Hottest Day on Record!' says in the report fine print _"...climate model simulation..."_ yet not a one so-called 'climate scientist' seems to have read that report, _because their futurecasting is climate models and satellite images now._ Total artificial reality and bunko artistry, supporting al-Gore's Carbon Cap &Trade Scheme (real legal name) soft extortion racket, ... now with cutouts! *Every time government raises up a new carbon tithe, their government union gives them a matching salary increase!*
Thanks buddy I was having a lot of anxiety so I needed to watch this 😂
Thank you!
Anyone remember the gremlins from the Bugs Bunny cartoons? The ones that destroyed the military equipment? I’m ready to channel my inner gremlin. ::smacks wrench into palm::
I hope your optimism is right, and Hansen's prediction doesn't come through. I just have my doubts given the current political climate, and the amount of people who don't realize the issue.
I noticed that on occasion, human civilization must be picked and pruned like a garden, for the exact same reasons why you do so.
It's April and already 37-38°C and feels like 46-49°C in Kolkata, West Bengal, India. And we have to work in offices most of which doesn't have AC. It's simply unbearable. Sunderban, the largest mangrove forest in the World which West Bengal and Bangladesh shares, is already sinking and many villages have gone underwater.
When those Nukes fly, the climate seem seem cold...
The only way forward is degrowth and reduction in total CO2 and other greenhouse production
Such an interesting topic. Thank you for this perspective. It is very crucial & vital that we do something to stop this. Or face the grim consequences.
The ministry for the future is such a wonderful book, thanks for recommending it!
Still, even with this video, talking as though we are doing something, that we will meet our targets.
ALL we are doing is INCREASING co2 emissions year on year. We have cut nothing.
Track us on what we are doing, rather than what we could be doing, and we are at the top end of the 'worst case' models. no matter which ones you use.
At current rates, we have less than 6 years to COMPLETELY STOP using fossil fuels for energy production and transportation. And that is using the 'best case' scenario for stopping us blasting through 2.5c (which assumed a reduction from 2020 year on year).
we had bigger problem than climate change we knew about decades ago, and for some reason the climate is affecting me more.
i knew about the system that created climate change but no one wanted to listen back then, hopefully people will not get a narrow focus on Greenhouse gases but see the system that is the cause of the problem.
amazing content!
Love the direction you’ve been going in 👀
Economic Revolutions or Climate Apocalypse. Socialism or Barbarism.
Pathocracy, or how psychopathy takes over a society
More scientifically known as “Political ponerology”
if you change the P in ponerology with a B it sounds way more fun :3
For Gretan Luddites, it's more like Political Doom Pornerometry, measuring how many Little Green -Men- Them can dance on the head of a pin. Mental fentanyl.
@@d4rkh4l34 Sound description of most populist leaders philosophy
Your 5-10% of chance of a car crash isn't even an apt or full analogy. Right now, we have a 100% chance of a car crash. We see the crash coming together at us. All we can do at this point is decide when and how hard we are going to hit the brakes. We have a 5-10% chance of that inevitable car crash being catastrophic. But there will be injuries and damage no matter what. We can only decide at this point, is how much. Hopefully.
It is the beginning of April and we are expecting for this Sunday temperatures which are more common around July....30°C...30 degrees at the beginning of July...oh and we didn't have any real snow and freezing since the beginning of December...there was no Winter. I am starting to dread summer.....
im scared. i dont wanna go this way, nobody in my family believes or cares. im so scared
It's the beginning of April and snowing in California, freezing in Santa Rosa, winter storm in Lost Angeles and my 2022 garden 6cm high, is only 6mm high today. All our bees froze to death. Oh, there's a huge Tulare Lake now in Central Valley that was lost for 100 years, and even a new lake in Death Valley. 43F and cold drizzle.
Right now in America we are still hanging on to our way of life and the rich still prioritize wealth over the planet. Our car dependency resulted in urban sprawl and in many places such as the West Coast, we've run out of land to build and housing has become prohibitively expensive. So even though we have some of the highest incomes and carbon footprint, many are struggling to get by because of our inefficient use of transportation and land resources.
It's already too late