Why Robots Will Take Our Jobs
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- Опубліковано 27 лют 2024
- AI is going to change everything about the economy. Here's why we shouldn't be afraid of what is coming.
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Host: / nickfreitasva
I don't want any AI that's like the one that Google has.
True bro.
Elaborate, please. I know nothing of this.
@@jonathanellis5811Google's AI, named Gemini AI, is literally a woke AI, like when it is asked to generate pictures of people like George Washington or the Vikings blah blah blah who were White skinned, it produced pictures with all of them being black skinned.
@@jonathanellis5811 search for Google's absolutely woke Gemini AI project
Yes im begging elaborate im shaking in my couch and crying in despair
The problem is that there is a limit on how fast people can learn new skills and, unless a major breakthrough in direct to brain downloads occurs, those new jobs will be replaced by robots and AI faster than people can train for them.
That means we need to rework our schools.
There are 4 administrators for every 2 teachers in the American school system. What if AI dropped that to one administrator overseeing the administrative AI for every two teachers. Now, we can double the salary of teachers and incentivize our best and brightest to become teachers. We'd even have money leftover to buy more school supplies and equipment.
What if we specifically taught speed reading, speed math, advanced reading comprehension, and improved memorization techniques in our schools? We could have everyone learning much faster. What if AI could analyze a student's learning style and craft an individualized rubic to optimize their success and opportunities?
@@carsonrush3352 I'm holding out hope for a breakthrough in direct to brain downloads.
@@carsonrush3352 direct to brain downloads would make teachers and classrooms and the need for years of training obsolete.
Yeah, but when AI helps people train, they’ll be able to train faster.
You won’t even need human educators in my opinion. Except for corner cases where an AI just doesn’t know the answer.
Ultimately we’ll be entrepreneurs exploiting all of these powerful new tools.
Animals are naturally entrepreneurial anyway. Humans get trained out of it by education. They get trained to sit, listen and regurgitate for 12 or 16 years.
It’s this a natural mode of learning that needs to be jettisoned.
Instead, we have the giant thumb of the State pressing down on the scale.
Yeah what about people with disorders/autism or someone like me who can’t do certain jobs. I hate social media already as it drives me nuts. I sure as hell don’t want to do jobs in that field. A lot of people can’t hack being a engineer or computer science. That’s the problem.
I think AI is the first innovation where this pattern no longer holds.
wages been stagnant ftom 80s
Why do you think that?
@@DeusVult77763 all former versions of automation still lacked the key ingredient, basic sentience. AI is now doing creative work - writing, art, video. mix in boston dynamics style robots, and you have a ton of low / mid level jobs that will be under threat. sure it creates more jobs - i'm in one of them - but not at the pace of which it will replace others.
@@lgbnz and those new jobs are above avrage iq racket so half inluding beginner gigs are in danger
@@TheJarric Because the US has become more and more socialistic since the day of Lyndon Johnson.
¯\_(ツ)_/¯
Only problem is that these advances are, eventually, going to happen so fast that people won't be able to learn new skills fast enough before they get replaced.
This is completely ignoring the reality of the demand side. It takes time to figure out what new skills are actually in demand. Right now, we can only describe these skills as "AI expert". In the social media revolution, it took time to flesh out the kinds of jobs social media influencers would actually need to be successful, partly because they needed to get popular first. It's the same thing with AI. As adoption increases, so too will there be clarity on the skills that will be called upon, and it won't necessarily be AI-related. Businesses that have managed to supercharge their technical needs with AI and robotics would be free to pursue other avenues with the freed up funds. They don't just go to profit. The successful businesses reinvest and grow.
The only caveat to this is the worrying trend of businesses only optimizing shareholder value, which puts profits at odds with growth. Shareholders often don't care about growth, but only the stock price going up, but without growth, the hope of new jobs isn't there except maybe in new startups, where there isn't much of a choice but to grow or die.
@@Zeero3846 the problem is that human beings have a limit on how fast they can learn and sometimes are unable to learn new skills at all or are too old to learn new ones.
I don't want to be stuck in an office. I don't want to make a lving from social media. I don't want a tech job. I want to do something real. I want my work to be tangible and meaningful. I also don't want to contribute to the weakening of the human race. The more we lean into tech, the more dependent we become upon it, and the less capable we are as individuals.
There’s truth here, but what about people whose interests and talents do not lie in the areas opened up by these advances? Not everyone enjoys working with computers or social media. For example, some would honestly prefer to do physical labor, or to design and create things with their hands.
I agree. The argument Nick makes here assumes that every major technological advancement was just like the one previous. In the past the Industrial Revolution forced entire civilizations to move from agricultural communities where there where ownership was much more scattered to big cities where ownership was much more centralized and therefore the masses had less agency. We’ve been continuing on this path for decades and it’s only getting worse.
It's a bigger world than you think. There will be new interesting opportunities
Well, their interests will need to change. Surprisingly you are not worried about when few hundred years ago majority of society worked on farms. Today less and less people work on farms but we have more food than ever.
If you want more physical labor, you should protest against using water piping infrastructure. WC (water closet) put so many people out of jobs, because the transport of our biotrash has been automated.
@@nickfoster848 Jesus Christ told us all of this would happen maybe if people listened to God instead of men you would do a whole lot better and be so better prepared for what's coming next which is not something nice it will be worse and worse.
One major error: the USA rust belt didn't come about because of an evolution in heavy industry. Notice how japan, south korea, taiwan, germany and Switzerland have preserved their big industrial bases, even in the teeth of chinese competition. They did it not thru subsidies, but thru pursuing national industrial policies supported by regulatory, tax and currency practices that made their countries continually favorable to an industrial base. America did the opposite - it pursued federal spending, taxation, regulation and currency management policies which favored services and, above all, financial sectors over heavy industry. THAT is why we lost so much of our tremendous industrial base. It's also why we could quite rapidly gain it back. Combined with the richness of natural resources still present in america (including energy and, surprisingly, rare earth metals), we could once again become a Titan of industry. We wouldn't have a $27T economy - it would be more like $75T or more. It's a matter of WILL.
My thoughts exactly. I believe 45 is on the same wavelength, my friend!!
Sounds a little socalist-ey. Jeesh, the government is always over stepping and messing things up.
@@NotAffiliated The exact opposite, actually. The industrial policies of Germany, Switzerland, Japan, Sweden, Taiwan and South Korea involve zero subsidies, lighter and simpler regulation and lower taxation. They all have extremely strong industrial bases, and yet zero natural resources (which should make them non-competitive on a cost basis.) Yet they prosper. If the USA followed the same approach, we wouldn't have a $28T economy, but a vastly larger one.
@@StudSupreme
Some of those are also de-industrializing, or have to put in insane work hours like robots too. Thriving is a bit exaggerated.
@@1wun1 Not actually correct. Germany is starting to lose heavy industry because their current political establishment is reversing course on industrial policy in favor of 'green' energy lunacy. Otherwise, all the nations mentioned continue to have dominant manufacturing sectors, despite competition from China. Speaking of China - they brutally overwork their employees because they CAN (having 1.5B, 80% of whom are in deep poverty, lets you get away with such shenanigans.)
While I adore you, my warrior Brother; I'm not so sure that our current society is 'richer' than the one in which I grew up (nor the one in which you grew up -I'm 78 yo). In the last 20 years I have sensed that we have neglected those values which enabled us to make prior progress. Be Well, My Bro!
yeah automation increasing wealth hold globally but wages been stagnat till 80s to poin millenials are gonna stay poorer than theyre parents
The problem with appealing to precedent is that just because something has always worked out a given way in the past doesn't necessarily mean it will continue to do so. Putting one foot in front of the other will predictably move you forward and it's not unreasonable to expect it to continue to do so... right up until you step on a landmine.
Your content is usually rock solid. However, the case of AI taking over is a false equivalency to the Industrial Revolution and the rise of the Internet. Most of the jobs that were lost during both events were gradual and only impacted a small number of industries. Whereas with AI taking over, we're talking about possibly millions of jobs being wiped out in a very short amount of time across a multitude of sectors. Manufacturing, Food Service, Finance, Marketing, Customer Service, Information, etc. will all be affected.
even wef thinks its gonna cost at least 2% of jobs
No doubt this is largely true, but I've also wondered about the consequences for society as a whole as the manual/physical jobs become redundant. Will we just get more dependent on the automated processes and the AI? How do we maintain functional independence in a future where more and more of the economy is automated under the control of relatively few?
Will many people just become drones with no purpose?
Reduction in physical jobs meant we have become weaker, unfitter requiring most to go to the gym etc. to keep fit. I feel our brain power is becoming weaker as computers work out most of the stuff. I feel certain we will have to endeavour to actively ‘train’ our brains more and more so we don’t turn into drones.
even wef thinks its gonna cost at least 2% jobs as for social ill think judge dredd nailed it
Unemployment in the rustbelt is created by moving the job somewhere else. Away from union control, the killer of jobs in that situation.
Theres one issue. Humans have a limit on how fast we can learn new skills.
Since when was life supposed to be easy?
It’s never been easy, but the whole point of society at all is providing stability and prosperity for the largest number of people.
AI and robots can’t possibly put everyone out of work for the simple fact that then no one will have the money to utilize said AI/robot based services. A balance will ultimately be struck naturally so long as we let free markets drive the economy.
Amazon famously has warehouses run almost completely by robots. They tried an experiment, they opened a 2 million square-foot warehouse run almost entirely by humans. Humans did all the jobs that the robots had done before, stowing, and retrieving packages and cleaning up and all that stuff. But Amazon only knew one way to do things, so the humans were given jobs that were very robotic, almost brainless, and extremely repetitive. I worked at that warehouse. It was not a good job. I went brain dead in no time at all.something like that should definitely be handled by robots, or the humans should be given the freedom to do what humans do, to work the way humans work.
Haven't you ever worked in a factory? Nearly all manufacturing jobs are like that: brainless and repetitive.
@@selohcin yes, I’m sure those jobs will go to robots first. A lot of them already have. I did work in a factory for a couple of months, building tree stands. I was an assembler. It was a very complicated assembly with about 50 different parts that I had to put together as quickly as possible with no mistakes. I got paid for each one that I built. I got so fast that I was making about $15 an hour, which is way above the eight dollars an hour that they had hired me at. I challenged myself every day to improve my assembly procedure and my efficiency. I was proud of my work and so I looked forward to going to work every day. Sometimes I got frustrated because I was not able to get all the supplies I needed to put the thing together, and that slowed me down big time. Luckily, I only did it for a couple of months, and then I started college, so I had to quit working there. I don’t know if I could’ve continued in that job for years. I don’t think a robot could have done that job.
The big issue here was talked about by Jordan Peterson.
These new high tech jobs require higher levels of cognitive ability.
When we have robots able to do these jobs, they could also perform the newly created jobs as well. Therefore wealth would belong to those who have robots and everyone else can pick food out of garbage.
Robots don’t get tired, robots don’t demand pay, robots don’t complain & robots don’t forget.
Didn't Klaus Schwab tell us that the only job left was going to be a robot repair man?
I'm taking Mechanical Engineering with a major in Automation. In short, industrial robotics. This is right up my ally. My prof has said that we automate to make jobs more efficient, safer, and more consistent. I'm inclined to agree. And I like the point you make about jobs being invented that we don't even know about.
LOL A Biden fund raising ad played before this video LMAO
Lets push Nic ahead - this videos speak trouth and are awesome!
I'm a huge 2001, A Space Odyssey fan, and I have to admit my friend's Alexa creeps me out.
It's only a matter of time until Alexa locks her out of the house.
She really should watch that movie.
I'm sorry, Dave. I'm afraid I can't do that.
It's misleading to lump robotics and AI together. Both can be done with an Open Source approach, just as both can be done with a closed-source approach that turbocharges existing oligarchies. The critical difference is in the economies of scale: an oligarch-controlled AI with 10x the development & operating budget will be more than 10x stronger, because it will smarter, because they'll have the budget to hire more of the top talent *and* they can copy what works from the Open Source projects (without sharing their own successes). I'm much more optimistic about robotics being used for good than AI.
Perhaps a better analogy is the destiny of horses after the internal combustion engine
"Dumb" machines displaced the majority of jobs in manufacturing and agriculture
Now machines are becoming intelligent, it fact exponentially more intelligent than us
Labour will almost disappear while capital will dominant society even more
Not so sure about this one. History does not in fact repeat itself.
What new jobs will be opened? New technologies open fewer and fewer jobs than past inventions
and theyre higher iq jobs
0:29 Was that a CGP Grey reference?!
So you create a new job... which is ALSO done by a robot.
Past innovations still required human activity of some sort. But when a robot can do ANYTHING a human can, then ANY new job created is simply another sale for Cyberdyne Systems.
I never miss your videos, but I think I'll give this one a miss. I have a hard enough time sleeping already 😱
Additionally, large-scale automation is third of the road to post-scarcity; vast raw resources we have already handled, and only missing technological part is cheap and powerfull energy, be it fusion or orbital solar, or even large-scale fission mixed with said orbital solar and some other renewables like water and tidal.
Of course they will. They already are. They already have been for decades.
This is not Ai but a learning machine & people will become redundant unless they adapt to a specialising job market.
I'm a Mechanical & electrical fabrication engineer till my failed health that worked mainly with surgical & coolant system but tube works in general.
That world has 14 million Engineers in decline with a 80 million shortage.
The reason governments are working to AI though not achieved as learning machines are the stage before is the shortage of industrial workers cannot be met to the worlds production demand.
Even if they use electronic automation to replace workers like technicians, machine servicers etcetera.
we Engineers will still be required though we are dwindling & if their are not enough of us to keep the machines & assembly lines operating as I was involved in part the whole system will eventually collapse.
World governments are terrified but they aren't going to tell you that as we have a growing elderly population with only unskilled foreign labour to replace them as most did not bother to have children, much less educate them.
We Engineers & skilled craftsmen can live without society for we can make everything we need.
Only lot that I value are farmers for food & garbage men as they do thankless work.
Mind I have years of stored goods & stock material for making anything I'd need.
My brother just thinks I'm a lunatic but I'm self-sufficient for the foreseeable & have the knowledge & experience to make most anything I could ever need.
Society needs Engineers & technical minds to function but we don't need society that doesn't appreciate our efforts.
Governments are trying to use digital technologies & computerisation to compensate for Engineers lack of numbers but they will never lower the demand enough.
Why should I work my guts out till now every breath is wheeze & pain for a society that says ''I'm privileged'' based on my complexion while being stright.
if robots aren't made to fill the gap & no one bothers to work-learn STEM fields then the globe will collapse under the worlds ever growing population.
What do you own that was not designed & produced by Engineers, technicians et cetera?
When consumption cannot be met then prices will inflate till no one can afford anything & then the currency collapses even for the richest man till the money printed is worth more as paper or kindling then as a currency.
It has happened before in the world & it will happen to the globe since globalization has fused all national economies into 1.
If 1 nation falls it bring the rest down with it & eventually the whole lot will collapse under it's own weight of general corruption due to these globalist-socialists/woke as the youth call them.
Robots in manufacturing is nothing knew but they want to replace the skilled labour due to shortage but technicians & engineers will be required for maintenance let alone quality control.
No Engineers then no robots as it doesn't matter what you program on a computer as the tangible must be made for the intangible in theory to operate!
I worry more about having nothing in the shops then not being able to have a job as you likely will get made redundant!
In short learning machines are kicking the proverbial bucket further down the road but the issues in society production of goods has not been addressed as the people in charge are politicians with no understanding of what the are doing concerning technology.
''Apes with type writers''.
I like Nick for his straight forward approaches to "things" but AI is way different than simple Industrial Revolutionary themes.
AI has (already or soon will have) free enought thoughts that the people become redundant. Thinking more HALL2000 vs Terminator. For people who are on the GOOD side they will benifit just as the Railroad/Oil/Tech tycoons of the past. The FEW (like Nvidia, MS or Google executives) will become trillionaires while the poor & middle-class become the dregs of society.
. FYI, im a 57 yr old Electrical Engineer who retired in December. I was called in today for an hour to troubleshoot a new design. Easy work for me as i started back in the late 1980s doing hands on Electrical/Mechanical/ Fabrication work. 😊😊
FIRE MOVEMENT BABY!😂😂😂
Nick got this one totally wrong. Yes, it's true that new technologies create the need for new jobs while displacing old jobs, but it is the type and nature of those new jobs that should concern people. Nearly every one of the new jobs created has required extensive technical skills that ordinary people are in no position to learn. (Seriously, just ask all the self-taught programmers out there.) Truck drivers and coal miners who get put out of work by future advances in AI and robotics ARE NOT going to just "learn to code", like Joe Biden would have you believe. If they had that level of intellectual capacity and disposition, they would already be doing those white collar jobs.
Great theory, I hope you're right.
Humans need not Apply. Nice CGPGrey reference
Nice reference to "Humans Need Not Apply."
I appreciate this view point however I’m not sure he is right. I believe the emergence of AI is unique because AI has the potential to replace every sector not just one. It could replace for example web software developers and then you might say well there will be AI developers but here is the thing. AI can develop it self. I am a software developer, computer hacker, and am IT certified. I think his prediction may be wrong
In the long term he may be correct. But he fails to take into consideration the transition. Furthermore, automation will never replace a wealthy politician.
Great work Nick! Scooby snacks for you.
Praying for Israel.
My allegiance is to Liberty and the Republic.
AI is a computer program. Computers are and have always been subject to garbage in garbage out. It’s only as good as the information input.
Let's hope you're right.
Beard Wednesday!
Wow
Not worried about robotics. I am worried that people will blindly follow something that isn't what its name implies, namely AI. Artificial it is, intelligent it is not. AI will only be as smart as the dumbest person programing it and will have all the prejudices of all the programmers (see google's AI NAZI pictures for that example).
In the long run it will likely improve our lives, but if we look at history when the industrial revolution happened it was sndolyte Hellish working environment for most people, life absolutely sucked in the start til workers unions and such happened. Same thing will happen with robots and ai revolution.
sure it will... you cant extrapolate to infinity or argue for things you dont know. also heres a funny story a.i. wrote for me.
kid:"What did you do before everything was automated?"
grandpa: "Well, I used to be a 'Predictive Job Creator Analyst'. My job was to imagine all the jobs that automation would eventually create."
kid:"Wow, so what happened to that job?"
grandpa:"It got automated, turns out A.I. is better at making ridiculous videos about how there will be more and better jobs that make us richer"
Yes, but unemployment still exists, which means that the labor system is corrupt. Labor requirements and changes are occurring very quickly, and fortunes are rising so much that many people, despite their skills and certificates, can't keep up with the labor market requirements. Do you know how much pressure there is on new generations in terms of the quantity and variety of skills they need, and the level of quality they need to achieve, all of this in order to join the lower limit of the labor market that does not provide them with the necessary capabilities to continue working? I believe that the reason for all this is the free market policy, which aims to provide humanity with what it wants. We've created a situation where everyone takes what they want, not what they need, which has caused this chaos.
Machines and infrastructure have been taking over our jobs for a long time.
It’s only the division of labor that makes us care.
If you had to haul your own water from a well every day, you’d care about automating that using pipes more than preserving the work.
And if you get stranded in an island with 100 robots, all equipped with AI, you quickly see it’s a relevant whether anyone hires you or not. You can do vast amounts of work with your robots to meet all your daily needs, or to build communication systems to get rescued off the island. Or launch a satellite.
You’ve got all the power in the world in that scenario but no job. boo-hoo! 😭
Hurry up robots I’m tired of working already I’m only 25 but I job hop every 3 months gen z ain’t putting up with what the older generations endured
tax robots
I think the problem is AI. It's not just a step up in technology like the printing press. It's all whole new being who surpasses our abilities. That's the problem.
I am looking forward to when robots or AI begins working in fast food places especially the drive thru , then maybe my order will be correct .
Amazingly, AI has helped more programmers than it's replaced.
The number of problems that can be solved with software is currently limited by the number of programmers. Or was.
In the future, it’ll be limited by the number of people that can review code written by AIs. And that’s a much faster rate of problem-solving.
And don't forget, automation lowers the cost of goods, making the world better for who???? The poor!
The surplus labour supply will just be eliminated, “go somewhere else” as the classical liberals put it
No. Not embracing replacement. Shut up.
.... Dude, folks have never been more reliant on the system. This has created mass ignorance. Most people cant swing a hammer, or plant a garden, or hunt, or fish. They got lazy, reliant on machines.. oh sure, everyone can read... What are they doing with rhat ability? Most people arent doing much with it, lets be honest.
All new tech does is make people more helplessly reliant on the system.
Did skynet create this video?
NO a.i. PERIOD!!!!!!
No worries for jobs like mine, oil refinery and turn around. No robots here and never will be.
@Craig121000 I don't think so, you obviously don't know what your talking about. 31 years in the industry. No one coming in to learn anymore.
This also go for plumbers, welders, pipe fitters or any other skilled labor jobs. No robot climbing in a boiler steam drum to roll tubes.
@Craig121000 I think your the person sitting behind a screen
what happens when we eventually switch to renewable energy?
@mistermood4164 Never going to happen, without oil you can't make any of the renewable sources you speak of. Those big carbon fiber blades on wind generators 100% oil product. No oil, no future sorry to pop your bubble.
I'd like to see mass automation lead to the end of Wage Labor and a new type of economy that we've never seen before.
A village of 10 people: Everyone spends each day catching just enough fish to eat and survive. One spends evenings working on an invention, the net. Now 2 people can catch enough fish for the entire village. You can either look at it like 8 are now out of work, or you can look at it like now those 8 can expand what they do to agriculture, or improving how the fish is cooked, or building better houses, catching even more fish to sale to the next village, etc.
The Economic Alchemy is Technology. Paraphrased from Paul Zen Pilzer.
As much as I appreciate your content, this time you're wrong in my view.
AI isn't just a machine. It's something that will inevitably wipe us out.
A steem engine couldn't do that.......
Robots may redeem the burden of heavy duty working, and free humans to do creative, philosophical and scientific work.
The only humans afraid should be the ones that hate or can't think.
Don't underestimate the importance of heavy lifters. At the end of the day, they're the ones that have to confirm the value that the creatives claim to bring. Actual progress is where these two groups meet.
@@Zeero3846 Please point me where have I underestimated then. I just said that the manual labour is something that was never supossed to be done by humans, we have a fantastic brain that is more potent than any computer in the world, historicaly we have been trying to get away from these jobs, like when we use livestock as chariot engines so to speak, dogs to hunt, an windmill to crush grains such as wheat...
First!
Robots fix other robots. Robots program other robots. Robots can do everything people can do and will in time do it better and cheaper and on time all the time with zero training required. Robots are the end of humanity. Stop with the propaganda bro!
You're overlooking the opportunity to NOT create new jobs. When robots take over, we could just not come up with new ones. Instead, we could take the wealth created and fund a UBI. What is the point of ever increasing efficiency and more wealth creation, if not allowing ourselves to no longer need to work? For those that really want to work, sure, we can have jobs for them. But I think our society is too obeseesd with work to not recognize that not all jobs are needed, and not all people need to have a job. We need to start accepting that it's OK that not everyone has a job.