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Jingchen (Monika) Hu
Приєднався 16 гру 2015
If you like the lecture recordings of Vassar's MATH 347 Bayesian Statistics, check out my GitHub repo about additional course material: github.com/monika76five/Undergrad-Bayesian-Statistics. We have a textbook, Probability and Bayesian Modeling, for an undergraduate-level Bayesian statistics course: monika76five.github.io/ProbBayes/
If you like the lecture recordings of Vassar's MATH 241 Probability, check out my GitHub repo about additional course material: github.com/monika76five/Probability
If you like the lecture recordings of Vassar's MATH 241 Probability, check out my GitHub repo about additional course material: github.com/monika76five/Probability
Відео
Bayesian Analysis of Comparisons of Success of Nintento Properties
Переглядів 645 місяців тому
2min intro video - Theo Culvahouse
Exploring IMDb Ratings by Genre
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2min intro video - Szofia Lewis and Karlie Porter
Stock Market Predictions using Bayesian Inferences
Переглядів 615 місяців тому
2min intro video - Madhav Jha and Rayan Shikari
Modeling Stock Market Distributions - Using Bayesian Methods to Analyze Fat-Tailed Returns
Переглядів 455 місяців тому
2min intro video - Michael Came and Nora Jensen
COVID-19 Lockdown's Impact on Animal Activity
Переглядів 155 місяців тому
2min intro video - Owen Scollard and Markus Skelton
I Owe You One! How the Reciprocal Value of Favors Decays with Time
Переглядів 105 місяців тому
2min intro video - Miles Bader
Tau Aggregation is Altered by Variations in its Projection Domain
Переглядів 185 місяців тому
2min intro video - Kayleigh Mason and Jae Young Seo
A Bayesian Analysis of Horse Racing
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2min intro video - Dylan McFarland, Ian Zumpano, and Kieran Chai-Onn
The Relationship between Sugar Intake and Life Expectancy in Different Countires
Переглядів 85 місяців тому
2min intro video - Eriola Hajro
The Effect of Weather and Altitude on the Game of Baseball
Переглядів 175 місяців тому
2min intro video - Daniel Mori
How Does Fan Attendance Impact Performance in Soccer
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2min intro video by Alesio Dosti
Was There a Culture War? A Bayesian Analysis
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2min intro video - Celeste Brinkhuis (full subtitle: A Bayesian Analysis of Partisan Polarization and Secular Trends in US Public Opinon)
Bayesian Modeling as An Approach to Multiple Comparison Problems
Переглядів 635 місяців тому
Bayesian Modeling as An Approach to Multiple Comparison Problems
[12-min poster] Bayesian Applications in Finance
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[12-min poster] Bayesian Applications in Finance
[2-min intro] Extending Bayesian MLR with DAGs
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[2-min intro] Extending Bayesian MLR with DAGs
[12-min poster] Evaluating MLB Career Path and Trajectories
Переглядів 1252 роки тому
[12-min poster] Evaluating MLB Career Path and Trajectories
[12-min poster] Review of Composite Poisson Models for Goal Scoring
Переглядів 1022 роки тому
[12-min poster] Review of Composite Poisson Models for Goal Scoring
[12-min poster] Bayesian Analysis of Lacrosse Scores
Переглядів 1352 роки тому
[12-min poster] Bayesian Analysis of Lacrosse Scores
[12-min poster] Adjusted-OBP Metric for the MLB - Bayesian Hierarchical Modeling
Переглядів 1072 роки тому
[12-min poster] Adjusted-OBP Metric for the MLB - Bayesian Hierarchical Modeling
[12-min poster] A Bayesian Multivariate Linear Regression on the Effects of Wealth on Well-Being
Переглядів 2782 роки тому
[12-min poster] A Bayesian Multivariate Linear Regression on the Effects of Wealth on Well-Being
[12-min poster] Effect of Extra Home Game on Home Team Winning NBA Playoff Series
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[12-min poster] Effect of Extra Home Game on Home Team Winning NBA Playoff Series
[2-min intro] All-Nighters @ Vassar in the 2021-22 Academic Year
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[2-min intro] All-Nighters @ Vassar in the 2021-22 Academic Year
[2-min video] Measure Theory and Probability
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[2-min video] Measure Theory and Probability
[12-min poster] BART: Bayesian Additive Regression Trees - A Methodology Study
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[12-min poster] BART: Bayesian Additive Regression Trees - A Methodology Study
[2-min intro] Bayesian Approaches to Mendelian Randomization
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[2-min intro] Bayesian Approaches to Mendelian Randomization
[2-min intro] Beta-MPT: A Bayesian Hierarchical Model for Learning Cognitive Events
Переглядів 782 роки тому
[2-min intro] Beta-MPT: A Bayesian Hierarchical Model for Learning Cognitive Events
finally someone explains it in a way that makes sense! thanks so much!
Very very helpful
thank you for your insightful videos
How to hit 5000.69 subscribers
This is cool man, I am doing genomics research currently and I have to implement multivariate generalized Bayesian linear regression to find how genetic factors simultaneously influence traits. Your research, though in a different field, is very helpful as a reference and interesting too!!
I'm totally failing this ;-;
why were we sampling from the prior distribution for posterior prediction? Seems like an obvious error.
Ma'am, can I get the lecture note pdf?
Great explanation. Has anyone ever thought of using these ideas for a language model? I could have continuous learning built in, due to the Bayesian Approach?
What book do you use?
Please which textbook are you referring to in the video?
what are the prerequisites for this course
pre-req are at 4:18
Thank you for sharing those videos!
Thank you for your video! Your explaination is very clear and I've learned much from it. Please make more videos.
Hi Prof, i am not sure why " has the probability changed between 1992 and 1993" got interpreted mathematically into Pr(P1 < P2). It could also have been interpreted as Pr(P2 < P1) which would have a different result. The data samples are independent from each other (ie. data from 1992 is independent from 1993 and vice versa) hence, in my mind, the ordering should not matter.
Thannk you, excellent video!
but what the case for the difference between two dependent uniform random variables ? would you kindly make a case vedio for that
ok
excelente ejemplo/ejercicio! muchas gracias
谢谢老师 确实帮助比较大
Great video!
Okay.... Okay.... Okay
Thanks dia for reaching out to our understanding. Bit is there anyway I can access you slides in pdf format?
How do I do it for three iid uniform random variables?
which slides are you using? I can not find it in your github repo, the one with the restaurant one
Will ruin folks
ok? ok? ok? ok? ok?
When cdf is nondecreasing function is it right continuous??
Yes, Chinese explaining math. We can be 100% sure that it is correct.
A random variable itself is a set of values. These values can be interpreted as data points. E[X] is the weighted average (= the outcome that we most likely expect). Variance Var[X] is the degree of spread in the set of data points around E[X]. It shows the amount of variance among the data points. The larger the variance, the „fatter“ the distribution (= the graph is spread further from the middle point E[X]). Covariance Cov(X,Y) inspects how the values of two random variables X,Y correspond to each other. If Cov(X,Y) is large, then X and Y have correlating high values (= the values are high at the same points). For example: Studying more correlates to higher grades. But if Cov(X,Y) is negative, it shows that the high values of X correspond with the low values Y. For example: If it rains a lot, less people go outside.
There is a simple derivation for the expectation of X, s.t E[X] = n*p A binomial distribution Bin(n,p) is just the sum of n INDEPENDENT Bernoulli Distributions Y with probability p. As we know, E[Y] = p. Thus E[X] = n * E[Y] = n*p
Thank you so much you just made this so much easier ❤
The indicator function Z for an event A has ONLY two values. If x € A => Z(x) = 1 If x !€ A => Z(x) = 0 Since the sample space is just a partition of A and its complement A^c, we have: sample space = A u A^c Thus, E[Z] = 1*P[A] + 0*P[A^c] = 1*P[A] + 0*(1-P[A]) = P[A]
P[X = „Zero ex-girlfriends for CS majors“] = 1.0
{X <= b} = {X <= a} u {a < X <= b} (Union of disjunctive sets, use sigma-additivity of P): P[X <= b] = P[X <= a] + P[a < X <= b] ==> P[a < X <= b] = P[X <= b] - P[ X <= a] = F(b) - F(a)
Great tutorial. Please post more videos about DP
This course has solved so many questions I have for probability and I am feeling so much more confident about the coming up final! Thank you so much for your excellent explanation and for sharing those videos!
Thank you so much it helps a lot!
is there a text book this class is based upon ?
Yes please check out Probability and Bayesian Modeling monika76five.github.io/ProbBayes/
Thank u for explaining in detail!
Thanks
谢谢胡老师开放这门课程,对我帮助很大
谢谢胡老师开源这门课程,对研究生转到统计的我帮助很大
there is a little error in the writing of 5 choose 2 (you actually wrote what would be 5 choose 3 )
both are the same, arent they?
can you solve last question
Prof Hu. Very nicely explained. I have been following your videos and could make some decent progress. I have a question though; will the constants always get cancelled (immaterial of the choice of the prior)? If they don't, then looks like I will need to calculate the constant and will not have the luxury to drop them. Please advise.
Hey, thank you so much for uploading all these videos as I find those are very informative and helpful for clarifying my confusion. I was wondering how you approached the question that one of your students asked in the video (i.e., someone believes that every day out of the seven days are equally likely, how can we give a prior reflecting that belief for p itself). Specifically, what are possible values that p could take in that case? Many thanks ahead of time!
I want to say there is no comment but the content you've posted is high-value and much appreciated.
probability of saying 'okay' in a sentence i.e. P('okay') > 0.7 🤣🤣
I would say that the P("okay") > 0.9 🤣🤣
really love your voice