Speed King was a $100.0K 2yr old purchase which is a nice premium considering the stallion only commands a $12.5K stud fee I believe Speed King is a smartly bred colt with long bloodlines extending way back from one distinct family 1 His last workout is concerning and makes him appear unfit; however there are a few bloodline crosses from influential families, such as, 4m (Portage, Magic Spell) and again is family 23b (Gleaming, Gone West via Tim Tam & Discovery) But it’s these long bloodlines found in the bottom dam, family 1-n and again in Violent Beauty, 1-g, combined with a double in Mutakddim, 1-x, and another double in Relaxing 1-x. These family sub groups all tie to the founding mare Promise, and have mixed well with families 4m, 23b and what I call family 28 found in Herbager and Caro over the centuries Just based on breeding alone Speed King gets 2nd or 3rd
… Also Table Play has a lot of family 23b in the stallion Hard Spun. Built is just an exceptional bred Colt. If he stays healthy, will be in the Derby, and will show his true colours in the Lecomte
Great job Calvin! I agree, the bloodlines on Built are just super especially from family 23b found in Alydar, Smart Strike, Deputy Minister and will match well with the bottom dam - jungle rhythm
Happy New Year ! Way to Go , Calvin . When I started out On the Back side , I worked For David Adwell , he had Six horses at the Time . I walked all of them , this one Groom was afraid of this one horse . I could see he had a Problem and I asked Mr.Adwell , could I Groom him and walk them two ? He said Ok ! When everyone left the Barn . I fixed the Problem , the Horses Name was “ Disco Taco “, there were some Good Trainers in that Barn . Taco was on his toes , Early Fires H.O.F. , asked Mr.Adwell , for instructions. He said , ask the Trainer ! I was taken as I legged him up , I said “ Mr.Fires , keep him of the Cheap speed , when they turn for home look for a hole . I’ll see you at the winners. Circle . Well , I knew , two trainers who were getting their start , one I walked horse for free at Balmoral Park, the other was from Lousiana, great Horsemen . Mr. Carter , they Dropped a couple of $25,000.00 Claimers on me ! That ain’t right ! Well as I expected it was a speed duel , that was probably the Last Time they Went 21:+,44:+1:09+! Taco went to go thru one hole it Closed , Another it Closed , Mr.Fires , swong Taco out wide enough to shake hands with the rail birds ! Two horse on the Wire ! When they Gallop out , The Owner,asked what do you think ? I said follow me , Mr.Fires , Came back . He said “we got it “! My First Win ! “ Disco Taco”, By Red Ryder , he went two South Africa , 🇿🇦. My First win, and a win that went to Get Early Fires , in the H.O.F. . Mr.Fires got off got his tack and Said as long as your Rubbing Him , I’ll ride him . When I got Home (62 Miles ) away in Gary, Indiana , my Parents , asked what going on . I had the VCR ,set and they watched with enthusiasm. I didn’t sleep for three Days !
Thank you for your excellent research and analysis of the Breeders Cup races. I’ve been following you for years during the triple crown races, and appreciate all the work you’ve done. Thank you!
Seen a LOT of Handicapping Analysts Tossing Fierceness & Thorpedo Anna "Off The Board"....Will Never Understand Why....Nor Will i Ever Understand Why SL Was The 8-5 Favorite...Handicappers Still Grasping on to That 2.3 M Yearling Price i Guess
SL needs twelve furlongs to be at his best the winning post takes too long for him to get home in front already over thrown by Dornoch and Fierceness two rivals he will encounter in the Travers is asking SL far too much to do in the Travers even then there is a new filly in town which is a tower of speed and power in Thorpedo Anna as she just waits to explode come Travers day truly an exciting and spectacular race to watch end of story
Thanks, Barry, for following my videos. I'll have to see what my schedule looks like. I occasionally have done videos that are not on the Derby trail when there are horses I like entered in the race.
Mr. Carter, I’ve watched all of your videos for the past couple of years since I saw you on Y-Tube. But some of your videos appear after the races are run and are no use to handicappers. Thank you.
MF Had The Momentum and Was in Front of Dornoch Until MF Dramatically Reacted to Irads Dramatic Use of The Whip and Swerved Out...Irad Should Have Strongly Hand Ridden MF to Wire and He Would Have Won The Belmont...I Thought MF Deserved to be 4-5 Odds in The Belmont
Hello Mr.Carter , it has been Pretty windy , here in the “Windy City”, enough to Cause a Construction, mishap that was responsible for death . That wind is going Slow that Rain effect out East . As usually great Job ! Torpedo Anna, just devastated the Field in the “ Acorn” . Double ????
I took your Advice about the Horses that could Step -Up , over the Horses that have already performed at that level . The off track , well on a Rainy Day , Bet the Grey .
Hi Calvin, I believe you have the Preakness stakes handicap pretty well here. I wish the Just Steel owners would’ve skipped this race and saved him for the Belmont, I didn’t look hard enough at Mystik Dan’s breeding … a 4-m family cross on the bottom dam and on the stallion’s dam. - that’s potent. I found a few nice btoofmares and can report my findings if you’re interested. I personally visited the farms here in Toronto where they are boarding
Calvin, you couldn’t have been more correct in your assessment. Really well done calling Sierra Leone and Forever Young as triple crown candidates … both ran lights out and just missed by a nose. Let me know if I can be of any assistance identifying broodmares for your organization that match well with your chosen stallions
Pace makes the race of course. If the tracks sloppy who knows , it might be a mine that bird type coming up the rail for the win . fierceness bad race ,good race , his pattern . Sierra Leone Should lay off the lead and will be coming down the stretch of its fast I like him. I believe endlessly will be a live longshot horse today. And stronghold I like. Forever Young , catching freedom , just a touch have a shot . And I always put a few bucks on the gray west Saratoga .in a fast track I project.
this is no easy picking, it all depends on the pace setters, DORNOCH, FIERCENESS, ENCINO, TRACK PHANTOM, I think fiercess will take the lead, followed by Dornoch, saez is a master jockey he would keep fierceness honest and will make his move when he think his horse is ready and the race is on, I feel it would be a good exhausting battle and sierra leon and endlessly will come hard, thats all I am going to tell you folks
It just depends on what your budget is. If I have enough money, I like to play all the exotics. But if the funds are tight, I like to focus on the Superfecta as it has the best payoff.
Hell Calvin,great deduction again, you are so right on the Stats ,I’m liking Honor Marie to win , Forever Young , Catching Freedom , Sierra Leone . Thanks for all you do , really appreciated. Ride Safe
Hi Calvin, just Steel seems to have a very potent cross from family 4-M in Voodoo Lily and Change Water the bottom dam. Line was successful producing stallion Up To The Mark. I am expecting Just Steel in place or show
I talk about Just Steel in the video. His last 2 works at Churchill were not as sharp as they were at Keeneland before the Blue Grass, so that was of some concern.
I respectfully differ, the one mile workout in 1:40.0 was Super … means he cut fractions of 12.5sec per furlong. That’s a smart workout and most appropriate for a race bred to run-all-day. The 2nd work out was a taper workout to maintain fitness and conserve to build energy. I think this Just Steel is special and the breeding will show on Sunday. Studying breeding lines is my passion
If Forever Young lives up to his breeding, he can win the Derby and, perhaps, the Triple Crown. Stronghold could potentially be an exotics player. But don't see him in the exacta.
Hello Mr.Carter, Your back to being Hot 🔥! I like the analysis, Hoping for another “ Chamber Of Commerce Day “ . If not that Mystik Dan is going to be tuff! Thanks Take Care
Speed King was a $100.0K 2yr old purchase which is a nice premium considering the stallion only commands a $12.5K stud fee I believe Speed King is a smartly bred colt with long bloodlines extending way back from one distinct family 1 His last workout is concerning and makes him appear unfit; however there are a few bloodline crosses from influential families, such as, 4m (Portage, Magic Spell) and again is family 23b (Gleaming, Gone West via Tim Tam & Discovery) But it’s these long bloodlines found in the bottom dam, family 1-n and again in Violent Beauty, 1-g, combined with a double in Mutakddim, 1-x, and another double in Relaxing 1-x. These family sub groups all tie to the founding mare Promise, and have mixed well with families 4m, 23b and what I call family 28 found in Herbager and Caro over the centuries Just based on breeding alone Speed King gets 2nd or 3rd
… Also Table Play has a lot of family 23b in the stallion Hard Spun. Built is just an exceptional bred Colt. If he stays healthy, will be in the Derby, and will show his true colours in the Lecomte
@stephenmorris9018 I like his breeding and look forward to watching him on the trail. Thanks Stephen.
Great job Calvin! I agree, the bloodlines on Built are just super especially from family 23b found in Alydar, Smart Strike, Deputy Minister and will match well with the bottom dam - jungle rhythm
@stephenmorris9018 thanks Stephen.
Optical scratching good sign
Great job
@larryknepper5201 thanks Larry
Happy New Year ! Way to Go , Calvin . When I started out On the Back side , I worked For David Adwell , he had Six horses at the Time . I walked all of them , this one Groom was afraid of this one horse . I could see he had a Problem and I asked Mr.Adwell , could I Groom him and walk them two ? He said Ok ! When everyone left the Barn . I fixed the Problem , the Horses Name was “ Disco Taco “, there were some Good Trainers in that Barn . Taco was on his toes , Early Fires H.O.F. , asked Mr.Adwell , for instructions. He said , ask the Trainer ! I was taken as I legged him up , I said “ Mr.Fires , keep him of the Cheap speed , when they turn for home look for a hole . I’ll see you at the winners. Circle . Well , I knew , two trainers who were getting their start , one I walked horse for free at Balmoral Park, the other was from Lousiana, great Horsemen . Mr. Carter , they Dropped a couple of $25,000.00 Claimers on me ! That ain’t right ! Well as I expected it was a speed duel , that was probably the Last Time they Went 21:+,44:+1:09+! Taco went to go thru one hole it Closed , Another it Closed , Mr.Fires , swong Taco out wide enough to shake hands with the rail birds ! Two horse on the Wire ! When they Gallop out , The Owner,asked what do you think ? I said follow me , Mr.Fires , Came back . He said “we got it “! My First Win ! “ Disco Taco”, By Red Ryder , he went two South Africa , 🇿🇦. My First win, and a win that went to Get Early Fires , in the H.O.F. . Mr.Fires got off got his tack and Said as long as your Rubbing Him , I’ll ride him . When I got Home (62 Miles ) away in Gary, Indiana , my Parents , asked what going on . I had the VCR ,set and they watched with enthusiasm. I didn’t sleep for three Days !
the poorly bred non classic horse does it hail Iowa
Great Stuff Mr.” C” ! You think this will be an Exciting Triple Crown Year ? You Be Safe out there .?
@johnljacksonjr5074 time will tell. Thanks, John. You be safe, too.
Hello Mr.Carter ,Thank you for All you Do ! Merry Christmas and Happy New Year . Great Stats ,Fir this Year ! Looking forward to Cashing ! God Bless !
@@johnljacksonjr5074 Thanks, John. Happy New Year to you, too. Good luck!
Links blend in can't see
@larryknepper5201 thanks, Larry. I'll check it out.
May God bless you always
God bless you, too, Armando.
Thank you so much we miss thank you for sharing we wish you the best
Thank you, Armando. Same to you.
Hello Calvin , Thank you for all you Do , grey things are happening
Thanks John!
@ your Welcome ! Happy Thanks Giving , oh, Today Churchill race 7) #3 Barnes , Baffert Starter , named after assistant trainer “ Jimmy Barnes “
@johnljacksonjr5074 Happy Thanksgiving to you, too. I saw that about Baffert.
City of Troy turf to dirt don't like that angle if he wins he wins I won't bet him
COT had no chance…not trained nor bred for dirt
Nice job Calvin
Thank you, Steve.
Thank you for your excellent research and analysis of the Breeders Cup races. I’ve been following you for years during the triple crown races, and appreciate all the work you’ve done. Thank you!
Thank you, Robert. I appreciate your faithfulness following my posts all these years. Thank you.
You are something else great analysis I don't know how you did it but you're right God bless you always you're a gentleman and a scholar
@@ArmandoGarcia-pd5bh thank you for the wonderful comments.
That was very awesome 😎👍
@@ArmandoGarcia-pd5bh thank you.
Very nice work. Love the mix of favorites to longshots and the Breeding matters at the Breeders Cup. Thank you for the hard work.
@@DennisTobler thanks Dennis.
Thank you very much Mr.Carter ! As usual you are lamp unto our feet ! God Bless you
@johnljacksonjr5074 Thanks, John.
ouch
Seen a LOT of Handicapping Analysts Tossing Fierceness & Thorpedo Anna "Off The Board"....Will Never Understand Why....Nor Will i Ever Understand Why SL Was The 8-5 Favorite...Handicappers Still Grasping on to That 2.3 M Yearling Price i Guess
Thanks Calvin
@@Nearctic you're welcome. Good luck!
SL needs twelve furlongs to be at his best the winning post takes too long for him to get home in front already over thrown by Dornoch and Fierceness two rivals he will encounter in the Travers is asking SL far too much to do in the Travers even then there is a new filly in town which is a tower of speed and power in Thorpedo Anna as she just waits to explode come Travers day truly an exciting and spectacular race to watch end of story
The Wizard
@larryknepper5201 thanks, Larry.
Great to have your input Calvin . Your like “ Obi-Wan”, here !
@johnljacksonjr5074 Thanks, John.
Calvin can you do a Haskell analysis when the positions get set? I love your videos
Thanks, Barry, for following my videos. I'll have to see what my schedule looks like. I occasionally have done videos that are not on the Derby trail when there are horses I like entered in the race.
Mr. Carter, I’ve watched all of your videos for the past couple of years since I saw you on Y-Tube. But some of your videos appear after the races are run and are no use to handicappers. Thank you.
MF Had The Momentum and Was in Front of Dornoch Until MF Dramatically Reacted to Irads Dramatic Use of The Whip and Swerved Out...Irad Should Have Strongly Hand Ridden MF to Wire and He Would Have Won The Belmont...I Thought MF Deserved to be 4-5 Odds in The Belmont
I picked Dornoch in the Kentucky Derby and played him in the Belmont. Love Mage & Dornoch. The Dam /Puca is the winner
I'm glad you cashed in on Dornoch. I liked him for the win and was confident that he would run much better than he did in the Derby.
Wow amazing bet on dornoch
Hello Mr.Carter , it has been Pretty windy , here in the “Windy City”, enough to Cause a Construction, mishap that was responsible for death . That wind is going Slow that Rain effect out East . As usually great Job ! Torpedo Anna, just devastated the Field in the “ Acorn” . Double ????
Thanks, John. Stay safe in the "Windy" city. Kenny could, perhaps, do a double. But I'll be rooting for Dornoch and Sierra Leone.
I took your Advice about the Horses that could Step -Up , over the Horses that have already performed at that level . The off track , well on a Rainy Day , Bet the Grey .
Great Job agin Calvin ! On a Rainy Day , Bet the Grey !
Thanks, John. On to the Belmont.
Hi Calvin, I believe you have the Preakness stakes handicap pretty well here. I wish the Just Steel owners would’ve skipped this race and saved him for the Belmont, I didn’t look hard enough at Mystik Dan’s breeding … a 4-m family cross on the bottom dam and on the stallion’s dam. - that’s potent. I found a few nice btoofmares and can report my findings if you’re interested. I personally visited the farms here in Toronto where they are boarding
Calvin, you couldn’t have been more correct in your assessment. Really well done calling Sierra Leone and Forever Young as triple crown candidates … both ran lights out and just missed by a nose. Let me know if I can be of any assistance identifying broodmares for your organization that match well with your chosen stallions
Thank you, Stephen. Are you on Twitter or LinkedIn? And, if so, what is your handle.
Pace makes the race of course. If the tracks sloppy who knows , it might be a mine that bird type coming up the rail for the win . fierceness bad race ,good race , his pattern . Sierra Leone Should lay off the lead and will be coming down the stretch of its fast I like him. I believe endlessly will be a live longshot horse today. And stronghold I like. Forever Young , catching freedom , just a touch have a shot . And I always put a few bucks on the gray west Saratoga .in a fast track I project.
Thanks for the input. Good luck!
great picks as always Calvin! Good luck today!
Thanks, Jonathon. Good luck to you, too!
He is picking a Jap horse to win the Derby. This guy must be scraping dead tickets off the track floor.
I clicked your profile and saw that you didn’t make a video on handicapping the Kentucky Derby.
this is no easy picking, it all depends on the pace setters, DORNOCH, FIERCENESS, ENCINO, TRACK PHANTOM, I think fiercess will take the lead, followed by Dornoch, saez is a master jockey he would keep fierceness honest and will make his move when he think his horse is ready and the race is on, I feel it would be a good exhausting battle and sierra leon and endlessly will come hard, thats all I am going to tell you folks
I do great picking but just miss it because of how I wager how should I play tri and super plus how many ticket plays? Thanks for the help
It just depends on what your budget is. If I have enough money, I like to play all the exotics. But if the funds are tight, I like to focus on the Superfecta as it has the best payoff.
Hell Calvin,great deduction again, you are so right on the Stats ,I’m liking Honor Marie to win , Forever Young , Catching Freedom , Sierra Leone . Thanks for all you do , really appreciated. Ride Safe
You're welcome, John. Hope you have much success this Saturday.
Hi Calvin, just Steel seems to have a very potent cross from family 4-M in Voodoo Lily and Change Water the bottom dam. Line was successful producing stallion Up To The Mark. I am expecting Just Steel in place or show
I talk about Just Steel in the video. His last 2 works at Churchill were not as sharp as they were at Keeneland before the Blue Grass, so that was of some concern.
I respectfully differ, the one mile workout in 1:40.0 was Super … means he cut fractions of 12.5sec per furlong. That’s a smart workout and most appropriate for a race bred to run-all-day. The 2nd work out was a taper workout to maintain fitness and conserve to build energy. I think this Just Steel is special and the breeding will show on Sunday. Studying breeding lines is my passion
I read your review for 2023 Kentucky Derby..waiting patience for 2024 Kentucky Derby Analysis. Thank you..
It's posted on my UA-cam channel
Forever Young and Sierra Leone have same female family
Yes
Thank you for your analysis were do you think stronghold could end up or forever young
If Forever Young lives up to his breeding, he can win the Derby and, perhaps, the Triple Crown. Stronghold could potentially be an exotics player. But don't see him in the exacta.
Thank you
I'm very Confident in your Work and thank you for your contribution and your Formula. I've learned a lot Calvin .
Thank you!
Yes he is
Thanks Larry
Calvin , Calvin, your are the man !
Thank you.
Hello Mr.Carter, Your back to being Hot 🔥! I like the analysis, Hoping for another “ Chamber Of Commerce Day “ . If not that Mystik Dan is going to be tuff! Thanks Take Care
Thank you!