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Nate Duncan
United States
Приєднався 14 жов 2011
#NBACast LIVE play-by-play from Nate Duncan and Danny Leroux, hosts of the Dunc'd On NBA podcast,. Mute your TV and sync-up for the most in-depth NBA commentary there is. Subscribe to Dunc'd On Prime today (link below) for full access to the podcast, NBA salary sheets, subscriber mailbags pods, subscriber happy hours and much more.
How Shai Gilgeous-Alexander TORCHED the Mavericks
Nate and Danny show how Oklahoma City Thunder star Shai Gilgeous-Alexander scored 39 points against the Dallas Mavericks in the NBA Cup quarterfinals.
Subscribe to Dunc'd On Prime. It’s the only place to get four more episodes per week of Nate & Danny, plus every pod with John Hollinger & Nate as well!
duncdon.supportingcast.fm
*Prime is the ONLY place to hear every Hollinger & Duncan episode, featuring the Godfather of NBA analytics and former Grizzlies VP John Hollinger
*Plus, you get everything you need to keep up with the NBA from Nate Duncan & Danny Leroux. Six episodes per week of the most in-depth NBA podcasting, featuring detailed game breakdowns, salary cap analysis, and scouting, all commercial-free.
*Daily Duncs. Dan Feldman brings you a newsletter summary and analysis of the most important NBA writing and news of the day, in email or audio form.
*Even more benefits: Our amazing Discord of fellow basketball nerds, written chats, and of course all your favorite pods like the mock offseason and trade deadline, Top-10 Prospects, Offseason and Preseason Outlooks for all 30 teams, and more.
duncdon.supportingcast.fm
Subscribe to Dunc'd On Prime. It’s the only place to get four more episodes per week of Nate & Danny, plus every pod with John Hollinger & Nate as well!
duncdon.supportingcast.fm
*Prime is the ONLY place to hear every Hollinger & Duncan episode, featuring the Godfather of NBA analytics and former Grizzlies VP John Hollinger
*Plus, you get everything you need to keep up with the NBA from Nate Duncan & Danny Leroux. Six episodes per week of the most in-depth NBA podcasting, featuring detailed game breakdowns, salary cap analysis, and scouting, all commercial-free.
*Daily Duncs. Dan Feldman brings you a newsletter summary and analysis of the most important NBA writing and news of the day, in email or audio form.
*Even more benefits: Our amazing Discord of fellow basketball nerds, written chats, and of course all your favorite pods like the mock offseason and trade deadline, Top-10 Prospects, Offseason and Preseason Outlooks for all 30 teams, and more.
duncdon.supportingcast.fm
Переглядів: 373
Відео
The secret to Thunder's NBA Cup win over the Mavericks
Переглядів 28919 годин тому
Nate and Danny show how the Oklahoma City Thunder offensively rebounded so well against the Dallas Mavericks in the NBA Cup quarterfinals. Subscribe to Dunc'd On Prime. It’s the only place to get four more episodes per week of Nate & Danny, plus every pod with John Hollinger & Nate as well! duncdon.supportingcast.fm *Prime is the ONLY place to hear every Hollinger & Duncan episode, featuring th...
How Thunder's NBA-best defense SUFFOCATED the Mavericks
Переглядів 28819 годин тому
Nate and Danny show how the Oklahoma City Thunder defense shut down the Dallas Mavericks in the NBA Cup quarterfinals. Subscribe to Dunc'd On Prime. It’s the only place to get four more episodes per week of Nate & Danny, plus every pod with John Hollinger & Nate as well! duncdon.supportingcast.fm *Prime is the ONLY place to hear every Hollinger & Duncan episode, featuring the Godfather of NBA a...
Can anyone catch Nikola Jokic for NBA MVP? | Dunc'd On
Переглядів 86014 днів тому
Nate and Danny explain their MVP ballots for hte season so far. Subscribe to Dunc'd On Prime. It’s the only place to get four more episodes per week of Nate & Danny, plus every pod with John Hollinger & Nate as well! duncdon.supportingcast.fm *Prime is the ONLY place to hear every Hollinger & Duncan episode, featuring the Godfather of NBA analytics and former Grizzlies VP John Hollinger *Plus, ...
Tough Joel Embiid updates, organization rankings Part 2 | Hollinger & Duncan
Переглядів 51921 день тому
John and Nate discuss the Atlanta Hawks getting fined for sitting a healthy Trae Young, the Philadelphia 76ers/Joel Embiid, NBA organization rankings and eliminating a team from the playoffs. Subscribe to Dunc'd On Prime. It’s the only place to get four more episodes per week of Nate & Danny, plus every pod with John Hollinger & Nate as well! duncdon.supportingcast.fm *Prime is the ONLY place t...
Cavaliers in, Knicks out as contenders? And other East questions | Hollinger & Duncan
Переглядів 603Місяць тому
Cavaliers in, Knicks out as contenders? And other East questions | Hollinger & Duncan
Victor Wembanyama's 50-Point game, news, longshot NBA champions | Dunc'd On
Переглядів 228Місяць тому
Victor Wembanyama's 50-Point game, news, longshot NBA champions | Dunc'd On
How Nikola Jokic is singlehandedly saving Nuggets from disaster
Переглядів 2,3 тис.Місяць тому
How Nikola Jokic is singlehandedly saving Nuggets from disaster
Joel Embiid's MVP days are behind him
Переглядів 3492 місяці тому
Joel Embiid's MVP days are behind him
Celtics can't TOTALLY dominate the regular season again... can they?
Переглядів 3142 місяці тому
Celtics can't TOTALLY dominate the regular season again... can they?
What Are The Freaking Odds? | Dunc'd On Live
Переглядів 6215 місяців тому
What Are The Freaking Odds? | Dunc'd On Live
How 76ers can add ANOTHER $20 million player
Переглядів 3,7 тис.5 місяців тому
How 76ers can add ANOTHER $20 million player
No longer among NBA's worst contracts... Rudy Gobert eligible for $243M extension
Переглядів 8395 місяців тому
No longer among NBA's worst contracts... Rudy Gobert eligible for $243M extension
Suns aren't trading Kevin Durant. Should they extend him?
Переглядів 3485 місяців тому
Suns aren't trading Kevin Durant. Should they extend him?
Celtics can take top 2025 free agent off the market
Переглядів 4475 місяців тому
Celtics can take top 2025 free agent off the market
Hawks MUST trade Trae Young or Dejounte Murray
Переглядів 5276 місяців тому
Hawks MUST trade Trae Young or Dejounte Murray
Jaylen Brown turns into Dikembe Mutombo vs. Mavericks
Переглядів 1576 місяців тому
Jaylen Brown turns into Dikembe Mutombo vs. Mavericks
Luka Doncic gets ball stolen FOUR times in Game 1
Переглядів 2056 місяців тому
Luka Doncic gets ball stolen FOUR times in Game 1
These veteran extensions will define the NBA offseason
Переглядів 5986 місяців тому
These veteran extensions will define the NBA offseason
Time for Heat to trade Jimmy Butler?
Переглядів 4936 місяців тому
Time for Heat to trade Jimmy Butler?
Pacers' defense in SHAMBLES vs. Celtics in Game 2
Переглядів 2476 місяців тому
Pacers' defense in SHAMBLES vs. Celtics in Game 2
Jaylen Brown pulls WNBA move on Pacers
Переглядів 1,1 тис.6 місяців тому
Jaylen Brown pulls WNBA move on Pacers
Who will get traded this summer? | Hollinger & Duncan
Переглядів 9186 місяців тому
Who will get traded this summer? | Hollinger & Duncan
Let’s go 🦌
kinda crazy to not even mention that cade is 3rd league-wide in assists and triple doubles this year...
Why would we care about Triple doubles? It´s a running joke on the show that caring about Triple doubles is stupid.
Gradey, baby!!
It’s insane to have Mobley ahead of Chet. Chet has the ceiling of being a near All NBA player strictly on offense. He combines that with DPOY level defense. His archetype is the most valuable in the league behind A+ offensive initiator. Cher broke two bones after never having an injury pre NBA. The foot is worrying. The hip is not. I’d worry more about Mobley’s meniscus than Chet’s injuries.
Don’t want to denigrate the work because I love the effort you guys put in. Just disagreeing with Holinger on that one.
Chet's body type is prime for injuries, so handwaving away the hip is a no-go. Completely agreed with everything else. If Chet didn't get injured, I'd have him competing for No. 1. He has some of the best BBIQ in the League.
He missed his entire first season due to injury and has another serious one now. All things being equal he may be better than Mobley, but need to be on the court to realize that value.
@@miVulgar He played 82 games last year. Two freak injuries shouldn´t be a ared flag.
@@osirisra1476 What data is there to back that claim up? I’d be willing to bet that less weight on tall guys is better for injury rates. Without data I don’t buy that claim.
yee yr 2 of this boston team still had jb jt n tro on rookie deals, kyrie, gordon, al, smart, rob williams n a ton of picks. that team was the championship favorite. they massively under achieved and we lost kyrie for nothing that summer (couldnt have seen that coming to start the yr) ....we still went to 4 more ecfs n 2 titles in the 5 yrs since. n btw we still have a 5-10 yr window of contention a head of us along w 6 firsts n a bunch of seconds to help sustain the winning run relative to this okc team i think this boston team did a better job of managing the 2 timeline thing while retaining picks n flexibility. and then okc being in the west... its not clear to me that okc wins more than the current celtics run. its all potential rn
its close!
I had this idea while listening to your description of Sarr’s shooting, or lack thereof - it would be fun to see a segment where you dig up old clips of your descriptions of teams or players, then have you guys listen and try to guess who you were describing. It could be a good segue into retrospectives. Anyway, great pod as always!!
That's a bad man!
More game footage please, I like seeing the plays you're talking about when you analyze them
The hustle!
Great commentary as always!
hearing danny say luka played v good defense threw me there a lil lol. good defense for luka maybe. he did a good job digging down as the low man but wasnt covering a ton of ground in rotation. n i thought he did his best to be physical at the poa but even then guys got by eventually so mavs were sending the big over early which led to some great looks for the thunder. late in the game the effort waned n he didnt provide much resistance at all. could never understand where the narrative that luka was a good defender came from last yr. no1 corrected it early enough so eventually seeped into the nba zeitgeist but that was crazy as hell to me. i get it we all root for luka but like yall say w trae theres a big difference between improved and good
yooo that pause and confusion😭
12:51 that’s straight out of comedy movie 😂😂😂 they just stop talking and stare at each other while vast amounts of barking ensues 😂😂😂
this Giannis disrespect is frankly bizarre
Doesn’t win enough. You can’t have a double standard for Jokic this year when you said that about Luka last year.
No way they said that. And Jokic is much much better then Luka last year and his advanced numbers are all time
@ winning matters. The end.
@ 1. Making things up about other people is disgusting. 2. IMPACT ON WINNING MATTERS. NOT WINNING.
@@hjalmarskytnielsen9383 how much impact on winning do you have if you can’t do better than the 8 seed? Answer = not enough.
@ how much impact on winning do you think an individual player can have?
How long will it take for the duncd on team to realize strong castle is good? I believe Danny had him 20 on the board and Nate hated him as well
Well I have no clue where Danny stands on this cuz he caves to Nate’s opinion 100% of the time. It’s a flaw of having this in my rotation for nba content. Idc honestly cuz they are both flawed (Nate I guess). They will laugh and make crazy declarations 15 games into any season.
Fox News: 2024-25 NBA MVP odds: Nikola Jokic: +180 (bet $10 to win $28 total) Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: +320 (bet $10 to win $42 total) Jayson Tatum: +500 (bet $10 to win $60 total) Giannis Antetokounmpo: +700 (bet $10 to win $80 total) Anthony Davis: +1400 (bet $10 to win $150 total)
The true MVP is Kevin Durant. 11-2 with him and 1-7 without him. They already gave jokic the 2022 MVP that should have gone to kd. I always hear jokic fans use the argument that without Jokic their team sucks. Well that's true but they aren't that great with him either. In comparison with kd the suns are actually a top 3 seed and when be doesn't play they are pretty much the wizards.
No they are absolutely amazing with him on the floor
basically im skeptical bc at the end of the day the on/off concept is essentially a sample of total game/szn/career data that overlaps with an individual players minutes - it doesnt prove causation. where as i know for sure that a player's ts% is influenced directly by that players performance. factoring a stat like ts% into a players impact on winning is a much more transparent process. i feel that the on/off stats can add an unnecessary layer of opacity that can easily lead to misinterpretation if ppl lean n them too much. on/off can hint at value hidden by the traditional box score but ultimately you still have to discover it watching the game. i feel the in game discoveries are a more valuable and convincing discussion point than these stats that ppl seem to jump to immediately now days to build or defend their view again thats how i see it from my limited perspective. is there anything im missing?
When regular stats said someone else, you use advance stats to say Jokic. When someone is winning, you say Jokic has no help. Jokic is not MVP. We need to start looking at Giannis or a player on a team with a better record. Giannis leads the league in PERS.
Giannis needs to become crocodile and his team mate which is Damian lillard because they are not floor general like jokic...they cannot make their team mates better.. But JOKIC DOES... JOKIC IS THE MOST IMPACT PLAYER IN THE NBA AND NO ONE EVEN CLOSE...
KD is the true mvp but Giannis has a case
Did you not listen to the video. They used a bunch of advanced stats
@@hjalmarskytnielsen9383 they only use stats that support their arguments and ignore stats that don't. No player ever has averaged over 30ppg at over 60FG percentage. Giannis is doing it twice.
You don't even have to go to advanced stats really. Jokic is 3rd in scoring, leading the league in rebounding at 13, 2nd in assists at 10.4, 8th in steals (a Center!). He's 2nd in the league in 3pt % at .522. And his team is so bad when he's not on the court that they struggle to beat the worst teams in the league. To say that he's the runaway MVP by any sane measure is an understatement. He's having an elite Hall of Fame season. And he's doing it because his teammates are trash without him and he has to play 37 minutes a night for the Nuggets to have any chance! Nobody in NBA history besides Oscar Robertson in 1962 and Russell Westbrook's MVP season has averaged a 30pt triple double, but Jokic is doing it! It's just absolutely nuts that he's improved his game from his 3rd MVP season last year but we're witnessing it!
You don't need to go into stats to even know the true MVP named Kevin Durant
@@Christopher._M Ha! Ha! 😄😄
@@cugelchannel4733 11-2 with him and 1-7 without him That's the most clear value a player can have.
Thanks again for answering the question guys! What I heard was: look for a solid sample size before trusting, be skeptical of outlier numbers - they require extraordinary explanations, and use your brain - which is fair! lol. I have a few follow up thoughts/questions: -are some metrics better at isolating a players impact on winning than others (do some account for more relevant context than others) n why? - do you feel there are a couple metrics that when used together, accurately rank players within a 85/90% confidence interval? - are there fool proof tells, statistically or when watching, that let you know not to trust the data? - do y’all have a mental framework that separates what all-in-one metrics are good at and bad at?
Burying ayton like ya’ll did from a 15 game sample size on contest % which will normalize (he was also injured) while he averages 15/10/1/1/1 is crazy and just straight mean spirited .
love these discussions. id say esp when it comes to awards itd be helpful to talk through how yall use and value the "advanced" stats or on/off based stuff. bc i think many dont fully understand them whether they believe in them or not
right now it seems the value of off these impact metrics gets convoluted. i think the basketball community could use a standardized way to contextualize all the numbers so ppl can have discussions on the same plane
i like danny consider what the most important skillset for a players position when evaluating. so how do yall think abt jokics rim protection specifically?
Probably the worst thing that happened to NBA discourse is the absurd reliance of on/off indicator, which take as long or longer thab 3-pt% to normalize. It takes at least a season. You two are supposed to be intelligent enough to ask the question: How big a sample size do I need for my +/- numbers to become increasingly valid?
Danny with the shower curtains kills me 😂
Love your stuff....enjoy the stats stuff
The fact that the Spurs have a chance to “win and you’re in” is amazing. If the spurs win this group that would be absolutely shocking
Fourth
Duncan’s hate boner for Harden is irritating.
It’s kind of off putting you hysterically laugh at a totally serviceable center like Ayton based on one statistic.
Firs... shoot. Second!
First
Was this shot making metric (eerily similar to lockes PAC he wouldn’t stop talking about for yesrs) actually pioneered by him? Is this the progression of something he made or am I tripping?
Take a shot every time Danny creates a run-on sentence with "and."
Take another shot every time Nate interrupts Danny
Anybody flying into Dulles deserves what they get lol it’s not that much cheaper
My face when Clingan gets more blocks in a game than ayton has this season and it's by 3. 😂
I’d really like to ask Nate how he truly feels, the reception he’s gotten in the basketball community in the last 3yrs and how his business is doing. Nate was undeniably the most ardent Jokic skeptic. Everyone can be wrong, the issue I had with his takes pre-title was it was devoid of context(esp. with Nuggets injuries) and entirely dismissive of his playoff performances which were historic even then.
Why does everyone keep calling Jokic the best "regular season" player in the league? If I recall, during their championship run, Jokic was breaking Wilt Chamberlain records, and setting many other all time post season records. Unfortunately, with the exception of that championship team which was all about chemistry, Jokic mostly plays with a bunch of bums that would be average players on every other team in the league. He's just as dominate in the playoffs, but he doesn't have the supporting cast for consistent playoff success as a team.
0 mention of Christian Braun and how well hes played. Genuinely how?
Please watch the games guys. The numbers tell 5% of the story
They need to watch the game to see those unbelievable passes
Do you think Stefon castle is the best player in the 2024 draft?
This seems like two guys looking at the stat boxes only (and even then not even the ones current thru the Mavs game) rather than watching ANY of the actual games?
2:14 peyton watson’s shooting 39% from 3 fam
And CB shooting 60%%
Greetings from Serbia. Joker is excellent player.
Greetings from Denver. Joker is the best basketball player in the world
Was the biggest complaint with darvin ham his rotations or his schemes?
Misuse of timeouts was a huge one, never called timely TOs to regroup/adjust during big opponent runs…just let them keep crushing them routinely. The lack of play calls or really any loose idea of sets/schemes, nothing creative what so ever. Seemed to have favorites, LOVED playing Prince, LOVED playing 3 guard lineups, just a lot of nonsensical stuff. Obv there was no magic formula to be unlocked as said here, JJ wasn’t going to take the EXACT same roster (slightly worse even lol) and turn them in to a 50+ win team. Their only true C is AD, I don’t even see Hayes as a true C. If he is, he’s bad. Like I would never want to depend on him to even play the 13-16MPG AD is out when he plays, let alone playing him for 30 mins when AD sits. They’re depending on Kolokolo rn when Hayes is out which is funny. Vincent is bad, and Vando hasn’t played. Only played 29G last year, but got 76G from AD, and Dinwiddie was semi helpful. At least hit some 3s, same with Prince… (tho he obv played too many mins) but ya it’s pretty clear JJ is just better. He has more buy in, and they’re actually running some plays and not iso’ing nonstop. Using AD as a hub. But unless they improve the roster, (need a real backup C, and at least one more 3&D guy…ideally can get some contributions from Christie or Knecht also) even the best HC isn’t fixing this team. There’s 0 doubt Ham is an actively bad HC though. You just can’t do some of the stuff he did and be even near above average, I’m sorry. I’m a DET fan and I got to see Monty sabotage DET… (really looked intentional, that’s how bad it was) he was one of the bottom 3-5 HCs and that’s being kind. Darvin wasn’t Monty bad last year, but he’d absolutely be in my bottom 5 as well. He also seemingly lost the locker room. So even if JJ is average, he’s a huge upgrade. Add in that the players seem to like and respect him, and it’s a massive upgrade. But like I said the roster is so flawed right now it doesn’t matter that much. He’s worth some extra wins for sure, but unless LAL makes some moves, they’re cooked even with good health. I like something with DLo + JHS + whatever small contract (maybe it needs to be Lewis idk) plus a protected 1st for Sexton and Kessler if possible. Kessler would help so much when AD is off the floor, especially when he doesn’t play. Then Sexton brings infinitely more rim pressure than DLo. He’s not the volume 3P shooter DLo has been, but he’s still a good one…and I think he could increase his volume on LAL enough. He’d be getting more C&S 3s, especially in the corner, and he is/would be a knockdown C&S guy on LAL. Both are young too so they can help now and be around for a while. So if I was LAL and could do DLo/JHS/Lewis and like a T4-T6 protected ‘29 1st for Kessler/Sexton I’d definitely do it. They could open up a roster spot and save enough in a deal like that to sign a minimum guy also, whether that’s now or later on. If I’m UTA I’d definitely do it, a lightly protected ‘29 LAL 1st is quite valuable, and it’s basically all expiring money. If they could get it T4 protected or better you for sure do it, or maybe you can get LAL to amend the ‘27 T4 protected 1st to even T3, and add a ‘29 T3. I’d even consider taking an unprotected ‘29 swap if LAL unprotected the ‘27 1st. Just an idea, trades for LAL are very hard to come up with and I think that one’s decent.
I would also add, the issue wasn't just Ham not starting DLo-Reaves-Rui-LeBron-AD. It was Ham not starting DLo-Reaves-Rui-LeBron-AD despite all the mounting evidence pointing towards this being the best lineup available, and instead putting Prince in a position where he was way over his head (and I say this as someone who thinks Prince is a useful player and was OK with him starting initially given Vando's injury). Sure enough, once Ham stopped fucking around and reverted to the team's five best players, the results improved. That doesn't mean nobody is ever allowed to change the lineup again. 😂 As far as Redick goes, there is some merit to the idea that people were too quick to anoint him in their rush to shit on Ham. (I also agree with both the Dunc'd On boys and BOnYTB above that this roster is seriously flawed, and there isn't a magic bullet that's going to fix it.) By the same taken though, it's also a bit early to say Redick is "not the upgrade from Darvin Ham the Lakers hoped" - we're only 11 games into the season.
Injuries are skewing things early. Hard to get reads on the injury riddled teams. Don't care about the cup.