Centre for Complex Systems Studies Utrecht
Centre for Complex Systems Studies Utrecht
  • 90
  • 35 840
CCSS Meeting #66: GDP and well-being in the world economy since 1820
Dr. Auke Rijpma gives an overview of the relationship between economic growth and wellbeing over the past two centuries and discusses the promise and challenge of developing new measures of wellbeing.
Dr. Auke Rijpma is an assistant professor in economic and social history, at the Faculty of Humanities (UU). He is interested in long-run economic growth, but above all in how economic growth results in widely shared gains in wellbeing. To do this he takes a quantitative and computational approach to the historical record, and tracks how things like income, health, work, and inequality changed as economies grew and stagnated. He works historically because it provides the diverse cases we need, and the necessary long-term view at which many of these processes operate. A big-data approach is needed to make the most out of new large-scale historical microdata becoming available, and to be able to have a “broad wellbeing” perspective, which takes into account the multidimensional character of wellbeing. He constructs and analyses such datasets in a diverse team of historians, social scientists, and computer scientists in projects like the Historical Income Panel of the Netherlands, CLARIAH, and the Cape of Good Hope Panel.
Lecture Overview
Despite years of dissatisfaction, economic growth still dominates our thinking about the progress of nations. GDP is meant to measure economic activity but excludes important aspects of wellbeing such as the contributions of non-market goods and services, and it says nothing about the distribution of resources in society. While more resources expand our possibilities and we should expect per capita GDP and many wellbeing indicators to be correlated, it is a valid concern that measuring societal progress using economic growth might cause us to miss the mark.
In this presentation, I will give an overview of the relationship between economic growth and wellbeing over the past two centuries. It builds on the work done in the How was life? project (Van Zanden et al. 2014; 2021; Rijpma et al. 2018), tracing wellbeing in the world economy since 1820 along 10 indicators. The presentation will focus its analysis on the concept of decoupling-periods when the relationship between economic growth and wellbeing changed-and discuss possible drivers of this relationship. In closing, the presentation will discuss the promise and challenge of developing new measures of wellbeing.
References:
Rijpma, Auke, Jan Luiten Van Zanden, and Marco Mira d’Ercole. 2018. “A Long-Term Perspective on the Development Experience of Emerging and Industrialised Economies.” OECD Statistics Working Papers 2018/10. Paris: OECD Publishing. doi.org/10.1787/ad930641-en.
Van Zanden, Jan Luiten, Joerg Baten, Marco Mira D’Ercole, Auke Rijpma, Conal Smith, and Marcel Timmer, eds. 2014. How Was Life? Global Well-Being since 1820. Paris: OECD Publishing. doi.org/10.1787/9789264214262-en.
Van Zanden, Jan Luiten, Marco Mira d’Ercole, Mikołaj Malinowski, and Auke Rijpma, eds. 2021. How Was Life? Volume II: New Perspectives on Well-Being and Global Inequality since 1820. OECD. doi.org/10.1787/3d96efc5-en.
Переглядів: 65

Відео

CCSS Masterclass #5. Lecture 3: Models with random Data and Stochastic Forcing
Переглядів 874 місяці тому
First lecture of the CCSS Masterclass on Numerical and Analytical Methods for Spatially-Extended Neurobiological Networks given by Dr. Daniele Avitabile (mathematician in the Amsterdam Center for Dynamics and Computation at Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, and a member of Inria's MathNeuro Team). Please note that there is a break from 1:09:37 until 1:15:27. CCSS Masterclass on Numerical and Analyt...
CCSS Masterclass #5. Lecture 2: Numerical Methods for Brain Dynamics
Переглядів 1834 місяці тому
Second lecture of the CCSS Masterclass on Numerical and Analytical Methods for Spatially-Extended Neurobiological Networks given by Dr. Daniele Avitabile (mathematician in the Amsterdam Center for Dynamics and Computation at Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, and a member of Inria's MathNeuro Team). CCSS Masterclass on Numerical and Analytical Methods for Spatially-Extended Neurobiological Networks:...
CCSS Masterclass #5. Lecture 1: Models, analytical and semi-analytical methods
Переглядів 1134 місяці тому
First lecture of the CCSS Masterclass on Numerical and Analytical Methods for Spatially-Extended Neurobiological Networks given by Dr. Daniele Avitabile (mathematician in the Amsterdam Center for Dynamics and Computation at Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, and a member of Inria's MathNeuro Team). CCSS Masterclass on Numerical and Analytical Methods for Spatially-Extended Neurobiological Networks P...
Science Jam #52: Games vs Nature: from Cancer to Endless Evolution
Переглядів 1176 місяців тому
By Dr. Artem Kaznatcheev, Algorithms and Complexity, Utrecht University Games vs Nature: from Cancer to Endless Evolution The mathematics of theoretical computer science can be extended to create new theories of biological & cultural evolution in cancer, metascience & other domains. I want to provide two examples of how viewing evolution as a game between the population and the environment is u...
CCSS Meeting #64: Neural ODEs and stochastic methods for data-driven model closures
Переглядів 3916 місяців тому
Prof. dr. Daan Crommelin (Centrum Wiskunde & Informatica (CWI) and University of Amsterdam) joined us in person to provide the fourth talk within the CCSS lunch meeting theme Neural Differential Equations and the applications in Complex Systems. Daan Crommelin is a senior researcher in the Scientific Computing research group at CWI (Centrum Wiskunde & Informatica, the national research institut...
CCSS Meeting #63: From GDP to beyond GDP in monitoring and policy analysis
Переглядів 647 місяців тому
Dr. Frits Bos discusses the issues around moving beyond GDP for monitoring and policy analysis of the economy, and illustrates beyond GDP for the Dutch economy in historical perspective and for cost-benefit analysis of investment projects and policy measures. Dr. Frits Bos is a senior researcher at CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis and an expert in cost-benefit analysis, fisca...
CCSS Meeting #62: Using Scientific Machine Learning Tools for Forecasting
Переглядів 1198 місяців тому
Dr. Jorge Arroyo Esquivel (Carnegie Institution for Science) gives the third lecture within the series of meetings on Neural Differential Equations and the applications in Complex Systems. Dr. Jorge Arroyo Esquivel is a Postdoctoral Fellow in the Department of Global Ecology in the Carnegie Institution for Science. He is a theoretical ecologist interested in using mathematical and computational...
Science Jam #50: Agent-based modelling of pedestrians
Переглядів 918 місяців тому
By Dr. Judith Verstegen, Urban Geography, Utrecht University Agent-based modelling of pedestrians Walking in urban spaces is a complex behavior studied in a multitude of domains, e.g., transport science, health geography, sustainability science, and psychology. Agent-based modelling is way to support these domains with testing their theories and evaluating the effects of potential policy interv...
CCSS Meeting #61: Complexity and data science for the Sustainable Development Goals
Переглядів 458 місяців тому
Dr. Elisa Omodei (Central European University, Vienna) gives a talk on the role complexity and data science can play in working towards the sustainable development goals focusing on the case of food security. Dr. Elisa Omodei is an Assistant Professor at the Department of Network and Data Science of the Central European University, Vienna, Austria. Previously, she worked at the United Nations, ...
Science Jam #48: Ecological spatiotemporal indicators and countries' resilience to economic crisis?
Переглядів 2810 місяців тому
By Dr. Els Weinans, Geosciences, Utrecht University. What can ecological spatiotemporal indicators tell about the resilience of countries to economic crisis? Economies are subject to crisis. Some crises have been caused by shocks that are exogenous from the viewpoint of financial systems such as the Covid-19 pandemic, while others have been caused by endogenous processes, such as the 2008 finan...
CCSS Meeting #59: Beyond-GDP: State-of-the-Art and Way Forward
Переглядів 4911 місяців тому
Dr. ir. Rutger Hoekstra (Leiden University) shows some examples from his book “Replacing GDP by 2030: Towards a common language for the Well-being and Sustainability Community” to demonstrate how we can transition to a well-being society. Rutger Hoekstra is an associate professor at the Institute of Environmental Sciences of Leiden University. He leads the WISE Horizons project which is a 4-yea...
CCSS Masterclass #4. Lecture 3: Firm Networks and Instabilities
Переглядів 4311 місяців тому
Third lecture of the CCSS Masterclass on Collective Effects and Crises in Socio-Economic Systems given by Prof. Jean-Philippe Bouchaud (co-founder and chairman of Capital Fund Management (CFM), adjunct professor at École Normale Supérieure and co-director of the CFM-Imperial Institute of Quantitative Finance at Imperial College London). III: Firm Networks and Instabilities As with individual ag...
CCSS MasterClass #4. Lecture 2: The Random Field Ising Model (RFIM)
Переглядів 6411 місяців тому
Second lecture of the CCSS Masterclass on Collective Effects and Crises in Socio-Economic Systems given by Prof. Jean-Philippe Bouchaud (co-founder and chairman of Capital Fund Management (CFM), adjunct professor at École Normale Supérieure and co-director of the CFM-Imperial Institute of Quantitative Finance at Imperial College London). II: The Random Field Ising Model (RFIM): a Unifying Frame...
CCSS Masterclass #4. Lecture 1: Growth, Concentration and Inequalities
Переглядів 9511 місяців тому
First lecture of the CCSS Masterclass on Collective Effects and Crises in Socio-Economic Systems given by Prof. Jean-Philippe Bouchaud (co-founder and chairman of Capital Fund Management (CFM), adjunct professor at École Normale Supérieure and co-director of the CFM-Imperial Institute of Quantitative Finance at Imperial College London). I: Growth, Concentration and Inequalities The phenomenon o...
CCSS Meeting #58: An introduction to scientific modelling with neural ODEs
Переглядів 745Рік тому
CCSS Meeting #58: An introduction to scientific modelling with neural ODEs
Science Jam #46: Perceptions of complex systems
Переглядів 73Рік тому
Science Jam #46: Perceptions of complex systems
Science Jam #45: Emergence in the Brain: Theory, Practice, and Opportunities
Переглядів 204Рік тому
Science Jam #45: Emergence in the Brain: Theory, Practice, and Opportunities
CCSS Masterclass on Ecological Networks Lecture 1: Mappa mundi
Переглядів 133Рік тому
CCSS Masterclass on Ecological Networks Lecture 1: Mappa mundi
CCSS Masterclass on Ecological Networks Lecture 3: Terra incognita
Переглядів 89Рік тому
CCSS Masterclass on Ecological Networks Lecture 3: Terra incognita
CCSS Masterclass on Ecological Networks Lecture 2: Points of interest
Переглядів 75Рік тому
CCSS Masterclass on Ecological Networks Lecture 2: Points of interest
CCSS Meeting #56: Fostering social tipping dynamics to Accelerate Sustainability Transitions
Переглядів 58Рік тому
CCSS Meeting #56: Fostering social tipping dynamics to Accelerate Sustainability Transitions
CCSS Meeting #55: Navigating Transitions through Complexity
Переглядів 67Рік тому
CCSS Meeting #55: Navigating Transitions through Complexity
CCSS Meeting #54: Does a sustainability transition require limiting economic complexity?
Переглядів 110Рік тому
CCSS Meeting #54: Does a sustainability transition require limiting economic complexity?
CCSS Colloquium: The Dynamic Likelihood Filter for Wave Data Assimilation
Переглядів 39Рік тому
CCSS Colloquium: The Dynamic Likelihood Filter for Wave Data Assimilation
CCSS Meeting #53: Working at the limit: Thermodynamics and optimality of the Earth system
Переглядів 263Рік тому
CCSS Meeting #53: Working at the limit: Thermodynamics and optimality of the Earth system
Science Jam #43: Modelling Global Water Resources
Переглядів 90Рік тому
Science Jam #43: Modelling Global Water Resources
Moving past paradox: The mathematics of interactive decision-making
Переглядів 44Рік тому
Moving past paradox: The mathematics of interactive decision-making
Maximize impact with limited social network information: Seeding highdegree neighbors
Переглядів 36Рік тому
Maximize impact with limited social network information: Seeding highdegree neighbors
Discontinuous constituency and BERT
Переглядів 61Рік тому
Discontinuous constituency and BERT

КОМЕНТАРІ

  • @scottmiller2591
    @scottmiller2591 4 місяці тому

    Please do something about the github for lecture 1 - it's saved as a png, not as a pdf, and will induce epileptic seizures (as well as being useless).

  • @Stealph_Delta_3003
    @Stealph_Delta_3003 6 місяців тому

    Is any papers or references avavilable for the lecture?

  • @tonyvu1853
    @tonyvu1853 6 місяців тому

    why are you writing gdp equations, this is retarded. it's because energy per capita peaked from declining EROIE of hydrocarbons, not your fictional linear regression stuff. also elite subsistence policies from inflation is obvious.

  • @vivianoosthuizen8990
    @vivianoosthuizen8990 10 місяців тому

    Pathetic sound

  • @cyrus9912
    @cyrus9912 10 місяців тому

    *promosm*

  • @vsotofrances
    @vsotofrances Рік тому

    I do not agree with many of the ideas shown. The talk takes out our monetary system from the the System (curiosly enough, Capitalism cannot be touched).

  • @vsotofrances
    @vsotofrances Рік тому

    A flow of free energy (work) should not be confused with a state change as free energy in chemical.bonds.

  • @FrankReif
    @FrankReif Рік тому

    This presentation is missing a key consideration, it should have included the entropic losses associated with storage. The techno economics of having to meet peak load under unusually low RE generation is such that our main concern is how to replace fossil fuels' primary advantage - dispatchable long term energy storage.

  • @philipm3173
    @philipm3173 Рік тому

    Why did it stop

    • @centreforcomplexsystemsstu6802
      @centreforcomplexsystemsstu6802 Рік тому

      We have stopped the premiere but have directly published it so the video should still be visible

    • @philipm3173
      @philipm3173 Рік тому

      @@centreforcomplexsystemsstu6802 ok thank you

  • @raminsafizadeh
    @raminsafizadeh 2 роки тому

    Jaw dropping work!

  • @Iridescent6790
    @Iridescent6790 2 роки тому

    I have a 20 minute video on this book,on my channel, which is perhaps slightly easy to digest if you would like to get into these ideas.

  • @ktex4873
    @ktex4873 2 роки тому

    This is the elites needing control over the people and money. No more. No less.

  • @armchairpraxis7760
    @armchairpraxis7760 2 роки тому

    still right in 2021

  • @g.l.5072
    @g.l.5072 3 роки тому

    Did you know?

  • @olegkrasovsky4363
    @olegkrasovsky4363 3 роки тому

    Finally I found a comprehensive explanation to the processes I have been observing over the last decade or so.

  • @newdawnrising8110
    @newdawnrising8110 3 роки тому

    The sound quality makes his accent unintelligible.

    • @centreforcomplexsystemsstu6802
      @centreforcomplexsystemsstu6802 3 роки тому

      In response to your feedback, our board have agreed to update our audio/visual system. Hopefully things will be improved with the new system.

    • @andreww.8262
      @andreww.8262 3 роки тому

      Subtitles suffice

    • @teacherconor9037
      @teacherconor9037 2 місяці тому

      ​@@centreforcomplexsystemsstu6802 just put a noise-cancelling mic on the speaker's lapel. The mic you have is probably the camera's inbuilt mic, therefore at the back of the room on the camera, and is picking up every rustle and movement in the room.

    • @teacherconor9037
      @teacherconor9037 2 місяці тому

      Sounds like the recorded sound is coming from the camera's built-in mic. Which is therefore at the back. Probably not noise cancelling. Picking up every rustle and fidget in the whole room.

  • @GrantCastillou
    @GrantCastillou 3 роки тому

    It's becoming clearer that with all the brain and consciousness theories out there, the proof will be in the pudding. By this I mean, can any particular theory be used to create a human adult level conscious machine. My bet is on the late Gerald Edelman's Extended Theory of Neuronal Group Selection. The lead group in robotics based on this theory is the Neurorobotics Lab at UC at Irvine. Dr. Edelman distinguished between primary consciousness, which came first in evolution, and that humans share with other conscious animals, and higher order consciousness, which came to only humans with the acquisition of language. A machine with primary consciousness will probably have to come first. The thing I find special about the TNGS is the Darwin series of automata created at the Neurosciences Institute by Dr. Edelman and his colleagues in the 1990's and 2000's. These machines perform in the real world, not in a restricted simulated world, and display convincing physical behavior indicative of higher psychological functions necessary for consciousness, such as perceptual categorization, memory, and learning. They are based on realistic models of the parts of the biological brain that the theory claims subserve these functions. The extended TNGS allows for the emergence of consciousness based only on further evolutionary development of the brain areas responsible for these functions, in a parsimonious way. No other research I've encountered is anywhere near as convincing.

  • @learngo4000
    @learngo4000 3 роки тому

    ua-cam.com/video/PCJ1NKKs71o/v-deo.html

  • @integrativnamedicina
    @integrativnamedicina 3 роки тому

    Poor sound (all the ambiental noise included - coughing etc). What a shame. Please take care of the basics next time. Otherwise - great and important lecture!

  • @KommentarSpaltenKrieger
    @KommentarSpaltenKrieger 3 роки тому

    It is said that one can only keep one or two facts out of any given unit of educational material. The one fact that will stick with me is that general well-being and elite overproduction are two negatively correlated trends. Just one criticism: Doesn't the open ending of the crisis devalue any claim of the like that there will be a civil war or anything similarly concrete beyond unrest ?

    • @JG-vh6oy
      @JG-vh6oy 3 роки тому

      Anyone claiming to know how it will turn out, unless they plan to instigate something like a civil war themselves, is making a large leap in logic. Turchin is proposing a broad historical trend and suggesting that the US is entering a crisis period of some description, little more. Random bumps in the winding road of history will dictate whether the car briefly flirts with going off road only to safely return, or is sent flying over a cliff

    • @KommentarSpaltenKrieger
      @KommentarSpaltenKrieger 3 роки тому

      @@JG-vh6oy That sounds about right to me.

  • @magnoem1
    @magnoem1 3 роки тому

    YOU KNOW

  • @gaguy1967
    @gaguy1967 3 роки тому

    the sound is awful

    • @centreforcomplexsystemsstu6802
      @centreforcomplexsystemsstu6802 3 роки тому

      Thanks for your feedback; our board have agreed to update our audio/visual system. Hopefully things will be improved with the new system.

  • @centreforcomplexsystemsstu6802
    @centreforcomplexsystemsstu6802 3 роки тому

    9:13 Challenge 1: Pathways for affordable, sustainable and healthy diets Dr. Gideon Kruseman, International Maize and Wheat Improvement Center (CIMMYT) 24:30 Challenge 2: Diversity and perturbation relationship in spatially implicit high dimensional models Dr. Rubén Díaz Sierra, Universidad Nacional de Educación a Distancia (UNED) Dr. Mara Baudena, Copernicus Institute of Sustainable Development (UU) 38:55 Challenge 3: Predicting the metabolism of bacteria from on incomplete genome data Dr. Bas E. Dutilh, Institute of Biodynamics and Biocomplexity (UU) 54:00 Challenge 4: Regional Embodied Knowledge Flows Dr. Carla Do Rosario Costa, School of Economics (UU) 1:09:58 Challenge 5: Trawling through the rubbish: Data mining of the scientific literature on marine plastic pollution Dr. Erik van Sebille, Institute for Marine and Atmospheric research Utrecht (UU) 1:21:46 Challenge 6: Networks and chemical evolution of oil paintings Dr. Yuliia Orlova, Van 't Hoff Institute for Molecular Sciences (UvA) 1:35:54 Challenge 7: "Free-riding" vs. "Free-driving" How Geoengineering might shape international climate negotiation Dr. Claudia Wieners, Institute for Marine and Atmospheric research Utrecht (UU)

  • @kuldeepmeena7615
    @kuldeepmeena7615 4 роки тому

    Sir Stochastic Models and Applications vs random processes subject which is the best elective .how to choose any one

  • @veerjainatgmail
    @veerjainatgmail 4 роки тому

    Hope there will be a book on this.

  • @dennisclark554
    @dennisclark554 4 роки тому

    Leviticus 25:10 "And ye shall hallow the fiftieth year, and proclaim liberty throughout all the land unto all the inhabitants thereof: ... ."

  • @09izad
    @09izad 4 роки тому

    It's scary how right he is. 2020

  • @ankitagrawalgeneral
    @ankitagrawalgeneral 4 роки тому

    Thanks for uploading. Very nice talk. I did not quite understand why vaccination to whole population is not a good strategy.

  • @kennethbenck9323
    @kennethbenck9323 5 років тому

    Thank you for your talk.