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Quantonomy
United States
Приєднався 29 лип 2018
Quantonomy - The Physics of Bitcoin
This is the official channel of Giovanni Santostasi, Saverio Madis Santostasi and the rest of The Bitcoin Power Law Team.
Dr. Giovanni Santostasi is the author of the "Power Law Theory of Bitcoin," the only full and complete theory of how Bitcoin grows and what Bitcoin is (a network ruled by multiple power laws).
Join us using the Patreon link below! Perks include powerful indicators for bitcoin investors, becoming a member of our community, online lessons at Discord, and more! Following our accounts on X helps you stay up-to-date with extra announcements and content!
This is the official channel of Giovanni Santostasi, Saverio Madis Santostasi and the rest of The Bitcoin Power Law Team.
Dr. Giovanni Santostasi is the author of the "Power Law Theory of Bitcoin," the only full and complete theory of how Bitcoin grows and what Bitcoin is (a network ruled by multiple power laws).
Join us using the Patreon link below! Perks include powerful indicators for bitcoin investors, becoming a member of our community, online lessons at Discord, and more! Following our accounts on X helps you stay up-to-date with extra announcements and content!
Interview with Bram Kanstein
Great interview with Bram, one of the best creators in the space in my opinion, some of the most interesting and relevant questions I had in an interview so far.
Visit our Website:
bitposeidon.com/
The hub for everything Power Law related.
Visit our Website:
bitposeidon.com/
The hub for everything Power Law related.
Переглядів: 52
Відео
Bitcoin Power Law Quantile Regression
Переглядів 4267 годин тому
Amazing how strong the support line is. Visit Bitposeidon.com to learn more about the Bitcoin Power Law.
How to Connect to Discord After Signing up on Patreon - Quick Guide
Переглядів 1177 годин тому
We made this quick guide due to popular request. How to set up and interpret our indicators: ua-cam.com/video/FJLdTCwGwug/v-deo.html Our main Website and source for all the Power Law Theory related information is: bitposeidon.com/ If you wish to support us on Patreon: www.patreon.com/ScaleInvariant Giovanni's X account: Giovann35084111 Saverio's X account: SMSantostasi
S-Curve Adoption vs Network Like Adoption. Let’s Get the Math Right.
Переглядів 66112 годин тому
In this video I discuss a recent post by @TimmerFidelity on X. He is a Director of Global Macro at fidelity. He mentions S curve adoption curves as a way to model Bitcoin adoption. But Bitcoin follows, as other networks, a power law adoption. There is empirical evidence real social networks follow power laws and not a S curve model. Also we address mathematical misunderstanding about the proper...
The Clock of Bitcoin: A Time-Lapse of Bitcoin’s History
Переглядів 2,1 тис.19 годин тому
Our main Website and source for all the Power Law Theory related information is: bitposeidon.com/ If you wish to support us on Patreon: www.patreon.com/ScaleInvariant Giovanni's X account: Giovann35084111 Saverio's X account: SMSantostasi - Director, Screenwriter, Editor, Researcher - Saverio Madis Santostasi BTC Power Law Spiral Clock, Assistant Screenwriter - Giovanni ...
How Much Per Day in how many years using the Bitcoin Power Law
Переглядів 931День тому
Use the app in the link (you can save it if you create your own account) to calculate how much per day and how much your # B of Bitcoin is worth in Y years in the future (use slider). www.desmos.com/calculator/6mwslrjftq
How S2F fails
Переглядів 581День тому
I would not be mad at S2F if it was not a really bad model. You can replicate it with noise, medium.com/@giovannisantostasi/s2f-and-the-zombification-of-the-bitcoin-world-6502151875a3 soccer prizes, medium.com/@giovannisantostasi/the-soccer-world-cup-and-stock-to-flow-model-a-love-story-381da69e1640 anything. Here I show you what happens if I increase issuance (coins produced) instead of decrea...
Technical seminar 6/4/24: feat. SavingFace. TradingView Crash Course
Переглядів 46114 днів тому
In this great lecture SavingFace shows us how to use TradingView and how to set it up to get the most out of our indicators. Find our indicators here: bitposeidon.com/power-law-indicators
Modding Our Indicators feat. SavingFace (Beginner's Guide)
Переглядів 71614 днів тому
SavingFace's X account x_X_77_X_x Giovanni's X account: Giovann35084111 Saverio's X account: SMSantostasi If you wish to support us on Patreon: www.patreon.com/ScaleInvariant 00:00 Introduction 00:28 TradingView tips 05:01 Modding and color coding 15:03 Other indicators 23:34 Accidental geologic references 26:12 Advice for beginner modders 30:24 Tips for new ...
The Biggest Bitcoin Power Law Misconceptions
Переглядів 1,8 тис.21 день тому
If you wish to support us on Patreon: www.patreon.com/ScaleInvariant Giovanni's X account: Giovann35084111 Saverio's X account: SMSantostasi - Geoffrey West's Presentation: ua-cam.com/video/XyCY6mjWOPc/v-deo.html Scale Invariance and Why Bitcoin Is Predictable: ua-cam.com/video/eJ8iWqi4u9Y/v-deo.html The Bitcoin Power Law Theory: ua-cam.com/video/DYfLbCZJWqY/v-deo.html&a...
How To Improve the Accuracy of Our Signals (Advanced Guide)
Переглядів 1,1 тис.Місяць тому
How To Improve the Accuracy of Our Signals (Advanced Guide)
Bitcoin and Giovanni's Authentic Italian Cooking: Preview
Переглядів 264Місяць тому
Bitcoin and Giovanni's Authentic Italian Cooking: Preview
How Bitcoin Investors Can Benefit From Our Power Law Indicators (Beginner's Guide)
Переглядів 1,9 тис.Місяць тому
How Bitcoin Investors Can Benefit From Our Power Law Indicators (Beginner's Guide)
Scale Invariance and Why Bitcoin Is Predictable
Переглядів 5 тис.Місяць тому
Scale Invariance and Why Bitcoin Is Predictable
New Power Law Indicator Customizable
Переглядів 1,4 тис.2 місяці тому
New Power Law Indicator Customizable
Play with the Bitcoin Power Law using the Desmos.com app
Переглядів 9282 місяці тому
Play with the Bitcoin Power Law using the Desmos.com app
Bitcoin Power Law Reading Club "Scale" by G. West, Chapter 2
Переглядів 3232 місяці тому
Bitcoin Power Law Reading Club "Scale" by G. West, Chapter 2
Power Laws between Price, Hash Rate and Addresses in BTC Phase-Space
Переглядів 2,2 тис.3 місяці тому
Power Laws between Price, Hash Rate and Addresses in BTC Phase-Space
How to Interpret and Set up Our Power Law TradingView Indicators for BTC
Переглядів 2,6 тис.3 місяці тому
How to Interpret and Set up Our Power Law TradingView Indicators for BTC
Why BTC stock to flow model based on scarcity is worse than wrong, it is complete nonsense.
Переглядів 2,1 тис.3 місяці тому
Why BTC stock to flow model based on scarcity is worse than wrong, it is complete nonsense.
Why Bitcoin's Scarcity is an Illusion
Переглядів 6 тис.3 місяці тому
Why Bitcoin's Scarcity is an Illusion
Power Law Trend and Power Law Spiral TradingView Indicators
Переглядів 9493 місяці тому
Power Law Trend and Power Law Spiral TradingView Indicators
Come fa a essere un supporto se per molto tempo è andato sotto?
Questo grafico non illustra bene la linea di supporto. Guarda invece questo video: ua-cam.com/video/DYfLbCZJWqY/v-deo.html -Saverio
@@quantonomy quindi qual è il supporto attuale? Sul grafico della legge di potenza su bitbo è circa a 30k, giusto?
@@arbo3495 Sí! -Saverio
LOL... How dot he power laws affect the last 2k years of humans??? They don't.
We don't mind ignorant comments, just the ones with an attitude. We thoroughly debunked this here: ua-cam.com/video/7sSjJRv3jrs/v-deo.html -Saverio
Hundred of papers showing power law determine human behavior. Here an example: time between conflicts follow a power law. Maybe learning something is good? www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10730599/
This is a very, very powerful video. An image/video that shows deeply complicated (yet surprisingly simple) concepts, explanations and details that you would need over 1,000 words to convey the meaning. This video sums up the log log bitcoin power law beautifully. Well done indeed, bravo!
Grazie Signore.
When I found out the background noise is music I liked the video even more.
Haha, here is my nerdy explanation. One of the first principles of sound design is to not make the music dominate the voice-over in a way that makes it more difficult to understand (a common mistake made by a lot of people). Background music gets reduced by around 20-30 dB, depending on the song. Due to the heavy beat of the song, the volume of this banger had to be turned down by a lot XD. -Saverio
@@quantonomy Thanks for taking the time to elaborate. 😀
i always wonder about the long tail, like how accurate is the long tale fit? as opposed to the middle of th "S" curve or the exponential part of the power law curve? and also, i always tend to be skeptical of these models cause they ignore human action, how can we predict adoption with the accuracy of scientific predictions if humans are not atoms that behave according to physical laws and also, there's no "fixed pie" from which . also, what are your thoughts on the possibility or impossibility of forecasts based on historical data, i can understand a short term forecast but when i see forescasts going to 2030 i'm like.... highly skeptical. thoughts?
There is no exponential part. The power law doesn't an incredible good job in explaining the data. There is no reason to complicate the model at this point. Occam Razor. Adding more parameters can give rise to overfitting and it is not necessary at this point. As we get more data we could add tapering effects. But it is not exponential and it will probably not be in the future.
l just have to applaud your content man, well done. I remember having a consultation with a trade analyst last Month, and it was incredibly insightful, at least $9k profits weekly. Can't stress enough how helpful experts in this field are! I would love to get that coaching session!! ❤
I'm favored financially with Bitcoin ETFs approval, Thank you buddy.$32,000 weekly profit regardless of how bad it gets on the economy.
Same here, I believe the Bitcoin ETFs approval will be life changing opportunity for us, with my current portfolio of $108,000 from my investments with my personal financial advisor <Eliz Martinez> i totally agree with you
Same here, I believe the Bitcoin ETFs approval will be life changing opportunity for us, with my current portfolio of $108,000 from my investments with my personal financial advisor <Eliz Martinez> i totally agree with you
YES!!! That's exactly her name (Eliz Martinez) so many people have recommended highly about her and am just starting with her, Kairangi from Brisbane Australia..🇦🇺
people are ignorant of profitability in bitcoin investment and that has been the major issues limiting their investment
Don Giovanni baciamo le mani 🎉
I heard that the power law does not work with BTC against other currencies. Why?
You heard wrong. It works will the stable currencies. You heard it from somebody with an agenda.
I think it was Giavanni himself that hyper inflationary currencies don’t work with power law. I’m curious as to what else breaks the power law more. Ultimately we should not be willfully blind. If someone says “oh it doesn’t work because of x” we should not just wave it away. We need to explode all these model to full scientific scrutiny which means we need to find ways to disprove it. And if it continues to survive constant testing then the better the law remains predictable. But perhaps only time will tell.
@@gh4534 you are blind if you ignore or not study the power law. Most people have no idea how science works. We already addresses this rather silly argument. Hyperinflationary currencies have a minuscule impact on the economy of the world. I already shown that if you make a weighted BTC model adding dozen of currencies with the relative weight of each currency you make a even better model than with dollar alone. This has been explained a 100 times. At this point the people that don't want to understand the multiple explanations given (it is a small correction effect, it works with dozen of stable currencies and so on and on) have some some agenda or deep misunderstanding. For the power law to be broken you will need all the major currencies to go hyperinflationary and most people have no clue what that would be for the world economy. I can tell you clearly, Bitcoin would not help in such a situation. We need to make a video about that soon.
You may have explained this 100 times but others may have joined this exploration recently. Furthermore, it is difficult to view everything video you have made or every video ever made about power law and btc and come to the same conclusion you may have reached today. You should allow others to be at differences stages of discovery. Have some patience. You sound tired of explaining it over and over again,
This is unreal for physics and mathematical minded people. I think generally though most people have no idea what you are talking about because they never learned math properly
BTC is currently best modeled with a power law. However, as time progresses and the # of people that remain to adopt BTC grows consistently smaller, it will become an S-Curve.
@@conduit242 It is not.
@@conduit242 I tried Gompertz and it doesn't fit well. In addition why to use a more complex model when it works perfectly with a simple power law? Occam Razor my friend.
@@conduit242 You should not say much after the fiasco of the Prophet bs.
Giovanni, you’re impassioned. I love that. But in a scientific debate, passion does not help prove your points. Simply state the power law formula and the exponential formula in x, where x is a transform of time or adoption or some other parameter, etc. Then plot best fit for both against a scatter plot of BTC price vs time or price vs address count non-zero sats since first valuation. Plot in linear-linear, log-linear, log-log. Then ask your debate opponent to refute. No passion required. Passion introduced by one debater inspires immediate passion in the other. The other debater is more likely to respond with passion rather than reason. Please stop the passion. It doesn’t help in a debate. Use simple argument. Less words. Don’t interrupt. Don’t curse. Please. The first statement: “It’s too early”. Fred’s answer was simple and to the point, truthful and without passion (paraphrasing): “Seven orders of magnitude.” An excellent refutation. Luke mentions that he doesn’t understand “scale invariance”. A very simple response would be to cite Geoffrey West’s excellent book, “Scale”. Inspire Luke to read “Scale”. Luke is a very smart person, but he needs to understand the principle and value of scale invariance. I think he’d be curious.
I'm Italian we have passion. Why people in America are so scared by passion? To use American feel too cold.
You are never wrong for doing the right thing, but who determines what is right? Being right is a self ego illusion 🤔
Incredibly Well thought out system…It is actually mindblowing how a person can construct something like this🤯👏👏
Thank you for this incredibly important information!!
Some explanation about the clock: 1) The blue line is the real price on a daily basis 2) The white line is the Full Model Power Law. Notice that is not an average of the price it is a predictive model that can be written as a simple equation. Pay attention to how closely the price follows the power law model. It is uncanny a simple equation can explain such complex system like Bitcoin but it does (eppur si muove). 3) The little circles are the halvings. They are not all the same place because block are not the same length. 4) The hand is the price at any given time. 5) The hours of the clock represent critical times: 12 tops, 3 bottoms, 6 Bear to Bull 9 Full Bull.
Hey Gio, I'm curious why you didn't map price? Does it flow as seamlessly as hashrate?
Price is the radius of the Helix, hash rate is the z axis. Time is implicit in the evolution. So this shows the relationship between price, time and hash rate. The reason you see this being so orderly is because they are all power law of each other.
@@quantonomy Very interesting, thank you for all the work you do. Do you attribute any significance to this pattern that has emerged? Are spirals significant in any way in your opinion?
nice 🎉
Can't stop watching this, makes me feel so good about buying BTC instead of dismissing it as a ponzi like my friends!
you still attack to the people who contribute the ecosystem. "S2F model mislead the public" this is really not cool
With lies?
I'm doing a service pointing out that is a fake model. It is fake, math says so not me.
Great work!!!
I’ve heard this music before but can’t remember the name, is it your own version?
Hey, the song is in the end credits of the video. Yeah, it is a cover of Hans Zimmer's "No Time for Caution" from the film Interstellar. -Saverio
@@quantonomy Thank you 🙂
@@Norbert-yk4jy You're welcome! :) -Saverio
Well done Saverio!
this is a great video, thank you. my only gripe is that i barely understand anything, as someone who knows nothing about math, and who is not a native english speaker. if you ever have time and feel like it, maybe you could make a version of this where you actually show every single power law in a way that people like me can follow and understand. maybe show the numbers and do the calculations on the screen and say "this price/hash rate/address number etc. is related to this number in this way, and i'll show you" etc.. anyway, thank you. cheers!
It it s a good idea, thank you for your advice.
this video kicks ass
3:34 haha those videos are like a plague, on the other hand i love watching them, they've become a 'genre' in the bitcoin space. so.... do you think 1 BTC is "enough" to be "set for life", or maybe even "only 0.1"? ;) would love to hear your opinion on it.
Yeah, they are. No substance.
@@quantonomy well tbh i like them, at least some of them present solid data and a reasonable projection of the future, it's just that some of them tend to overdo it and try their hardest to bend the data so that a laughably small amount would be 'enough'
Amazing video! Maybe would be nice to slow it down a little, to allow more time to read the titles and description of the events... Other than that great work 🏆🏆🏆
Yeah, I figured it would be a little difficult to follow all of the events due to all of the data on the screen but we wanted to cover a lot of info while following the rhythm and clock animation. Watching it a few times while focusing on different aspects or slowing down the playback speed helps. -Saverio
This is a criminally underrated channel
I was about to write this comment
nice work
Great video, thank you 💯
My pleasure!
I'm favoured $130k every 4 weeks! I now have a good house and can afford anything and also support my family❤
How please
I've been investing in Bitcoin by myself. I'm not really happy with what's going on, just few weeks ago I lost about $7,000 in a particular trade. Can you help me out or at least advise me on what to do?
I will advise you stop trading on your own if you keep losing. And i don't trade on my own anymore, I always required help and assistance
She's my family personal Broker and also a Broker to many families here in the United states, she is a licensed Broker.
😱Sounds familiar, I have heard her names on several occasions.. And both her success stories on wall street journey!!!
Where can I find your statistical analysis that produced the results detailed in this presentation? Is there a published paper?
The paper is in the work but you can follow on X or read our Medium article for now. giovannisantostasi.medium.com/the-bitcoin-power-law-theory-962dfaf99ee9
Brilliant, thanks!
Glad it was helpful!
Great video. Can you do a video on the impact of AI and quantum computing on bitcoin? Assuming you haven't done so already. Will look at your channel to see.
There appears to be much chatter on the decline of the world's population which is the result of declining fertility rates. World population is estimated to flatten out in the near future and start to drop. Wondering if this falls within the power law model?
I want a framed poster of the Bitcoin Power Law chart that I can frame and put on my wall! Will be fun to watch it over time and see how it performs. What a discovery!
I will be using “Complete garbage, complete trash” when im making my point now
Glad to start a trend.
Apparently Jeff Booth thinks your model is broken. He believes in Bitcoin taking a piece of every part of the economy & store of value. He is of the belief that Bitcoin will reach 10 of millions in short order, because of this. 😂
I talked with Booth, show me where he says it is broken? When Bitcoin will reach 10 M in 30 years then we will have hyperbitcoinization. If he says 10 M in few years the he is wrong.
@@quantonomy it’s not hard to find, he claims all models are broken
Great!
Wow this is awesome! Thank you!
Glad you like it.
Incredible. Bravo!
so cool giovanni. grazie.
Glad you like it.
Let me guess you also believe in flat earth? Measuring this in a fiat dollar system and calling it a law lol. We all know how scientific fiat money systems and central banks are...
I want you to reflect on the stupidity of this comment for a moment. We literally showed how the BTC-Gold power law is as perfect as the BTC-USD power law. The whole point is that the differences from short-term relatively controlled inflation are tiny when compared against an asset that has multiplied by a million times. How many more metrics do we need to compare bitcoin against to make our point clear? -Saverio
The numbers don’t lie
Absolutely brilliant! Excellent explanation.
Time will tell …
True but at the same time... it is wrong now, not tomorrow.
What about taxes?
Even with relative high taxes it works.
👊
You are wasting your time here Giovanni…..most moon boys will not understand a word you have written.
It is probably true. It is important to report the information.
viva la matematica
How does the power law look applied to other cryptos ?
It doesn't work with other cryptos.