Відео

1:40 Use LEVERAGE earlier 3:30 Rebalancing 4:30 DCA (into TQQQ and/or SPXL) 5:20 Volatility Arbitrage

ISRAEL

People should realise after friedmans neo-liberalism policies were implemented in usa and uk from 1980- they have failed . And that no capitalist economist know what they are talking about they still cant agree how the great depression started and ended .

I take back my comment. I see you cited the website 😅

Why did you stop posting ? :(

The lesson to learn here is that the government is ALWAYS the cause of our problems and NEVER the solution. The only thing any government has ever been good at is murder theft and lying about it.

Not able to hear any voice, just noise

REMEMBER THE TRUE PROBLEM WE HAVE TODAY IS 44 YEARS OF NEO LIBERAL ECONOMIC POLICY PERPETRATED BY REAGAN ON!! REAGAN HAD A 4% INFLATION RATE HIS ENTIRE PRESIDENCY! IN THE 1970S YES IT WAS HIGHER BUT YOU HAD MORE BUYING POWER! WAGES HAVE BEEN STAGNANT SINCE 1979!! THAT'S WHY YOUR MONEY DOESN'T GO ANYWHERE ANYMORE!!

Which do you used for backtest?

I would love to see your trades!!! I’ve been following you for a bit!!! I think I have a similar way of thinking of Leveraged ETFs. I have been trading almost 6 years part time but want to do it full time, do you think that you would be willing to give me a break down of how you trade so that I may see if it’s possible to trade at the level you do?

You almost lost me at 3:35. Ken-eeshian? I suspect you are talking about the policies presented by John Maynard Keynes, which is actually pronounced "Kanes" hence "Kanesian" economics. But please, continue.....

An interesting video, not sure if you agree with the view mentioned at the beginning of the video, that the crisis was due to borrowing by the US government. It seems to me it was more to do with the gold peg that made realisation of productive economic output impossible.

The pause of the Brenton woods backed by gold was of course the start of the debt based economy. Globalisation was all about hiding the true inflation due to fiat currency printing out of thin air. The chickens are coming home to roost… and it going to be the worst depression in modern history

What website did you get that comparison page between lite and pro...I didn't see it on their website. Thanks

I'm continually amazed how few people know of the collapse of the 'Bretton Woods' agreement.

Very helpful information. Thank you!👍 NoAxe

Very interesting. Thanks for sharing! NoAxe

I realized exactly this a couple months ago. All the negativity around these leveraged ETFs comes from the volatility, as if they've forgotten that we all know perfectly well how to smooth out volatility--diversification across asset classes, rebalancing, and dollar cost averaging. It's so weird. In fact, rebalancing even thrives on uncorrelated volatility because it uses the other asset class to naturally buy the dips and take profits on the spikes.

Countries DO NOT NEED GOVERMENTS THE WAY ARE TODAY- ANY GOVERMENT SENATOR OR REPRESENTATIVE SHOULD HAVE A DIFERENT JOB AND GO TO THE CAPITOL HILL WHEN SOME LEGISLATIVE THING HAS TO BE DONE - SENATORIAL OR REPRESENTATIVES - ARE NOT A FULL PAID JOB - YOU BECOME A SENATOR OR A REPRESENTATIVE TO BRING GOOD FOR THE COUNTRY - YOUR SERVICE TO THE COUNTRY WILL BE REWARDED WITH SOME POINYS TO YOUR RETIREMENT.

You didn't tell if the monthly candle closes below 10Monthly SMA Then should we continue DCA or not

I did some extensive back testing on this strategy in portfolio visualizer. I had to use similar funds that mirror the sp500 and bonds to get it to go as far back to 1978 and then applied the 3x daily leverage so its not spot on, but in the ball park. I used VFINX and VWESX (large cap stock index and long term corporate bonds respectively. Attributing a 5% drag for costs (considering higher interest rates in the 1980s and the lower in the 2010s, and using Libor as the formula), this strategy return 26% CAGR from 1978 to now (mid 2024). The one thing I learned through various testing is that the best results come from only placing a trade bi-monthly and this factor changes the CAGR by as much as 10% per year on average depending on what signal time frame you stack it up against. The reasoning is that a lot of times the market can move under the 200 day moving average and trigger a false signal meaning that it isn't entering a bear market, but just a correction before resuming a bull run which would cause you to miss out of a lot of extra gains. If you trade at the signal all of those trades will cause you to lose in whipsaw action not to mention it creates more short term taxable events for your income taxes. The 2 month window allows for much of those false signals to be filtered out and even though it allows for more drawdown in recessions, the extra market gains from the false signals outweighs it, and by a lot too. This is the one thing I noticed that paper "systemic leverage for the long run" didn't touch on.

All I know is that my leveraged etfs are up over 40%. Isn’t 40% 40%? Yes you need to know when to sell that’s the catch most people don’t know when.

FNGU has been good to me..

Tldr: money printing causes inflation. Simple as that.

great stuff, keep it coming, pls

Thanks you very much. I watched your videos several times and they are the best and very detailed on Leveraged ETF strategy. Can you please make an updated video considering post 2022 crash? That will be great help. Thanks again.

To put it simply, stagflation is something that happens when Democrats are in power.

2024 is the new 1907s

I'm confused! IBKR Lite is free and it is commission free? And it is unlimited trades?

SOXL. Was just back testing rebalancing with SOXL and with CSWC (bond replacement), TPL (oil stock) and a basket of the fab five OEM stocks. (These trade at low multiples with high margins) I think the semiconductor industry will not stop growing even in a recession there will be demand driving new growth. The portfolio is split 25% between the four groups and rebalanced annually. Drawdowns never lasted long in the backtest. Dividends eventually produced enough income that drawdowns weren't really a concern. The rest of the CASH I keep. Over long term, I can make 3x more money and so I can keep 3x the cash and have reserves on hand.

The secret to reduced volatility is DCA via free money that you extract from suckers by selling a course🤯

I'm thinking of buying BITX soon, if I can get a price of about 23. It's a 2x leveraged BTC ETF. So, if BTC goes up around 4x from that point in this bull run/next 12-16 months, then BITX will go up around 8x, if I understand it right...which sounds fantastic!

It wasn't until half way through the video when it was finally mentioned that energy costs went up 4X's. in the early 70's and even more later in the decade. Could it be that this massive supply shock played a much bigger role than monetary policy?

George Soros Sells Stocks, Buys More Gold, Why Investors Should Care. Forbes article 2008. This is why Americans should be concerned. Soras invest heavily in US politics that will collapse the US Economy. Bought Joe Biden and the Democrat Party. They will collapse the American people if the Democrat Party and Joe Biden remains in power.

What the heck happened to the sound?

Can't hear it

Fantastic video

What he is really describing here is the Kelly Criterion. His "bliss point" is 100% Kelly.

If you owned a leveraged ETF and saw the beginning of a downturn, how easy would it be to sell? Who would want to buy it (unless the price dropped drastically)?

Abandoning the gold standard allowed for all kinds of financial alchemy. Had to pay for the Vietnam war also.

You can 'enhance' your position and play on implied volitatialty by both selling DOTM puts, and selling DOTM calls. If the fund is at $50, sell a long dated put at $25 ( a position you'd be willing to double ) and sell a long dated call i.e. $80. (If you're willing to cap your potential growth. And also willing to double your position if the index drops. Both are bullish, and should your call get exercised you earn both thr premium at the $80 share value. Which likely makes it an $88 per share? In this scenerio your puts expire worthless and add to your profits. In the inverse, should the stock drop to $23 you sold call options which would expire worthless, and now, you've agreed to double your position at the $25 strike. Because you hedged both positions as long as you have the cash to cover the increase in shares you simply lock in the lower dollar-cost-averaged price thanks to your DOTM put contracts which you'd sold and must cover.

That happened already.. no guarantee that the nasdaq will just keep going up for another 52 years. And leveraged etfs get shut down all the time trapping investors forever.. so don't think you're safe avging down hoping for the day it will come back. Like the guy in the video said, proper position size is your best friend

Very interesting info in your video. I use multiple 2x and 3x ETFs everyday. I go both long and short depending on the market trend. My strategy involves charting using Guppy Multiple Moving Averages and Dollar Cost Averaging. I also sell immediately when the Guppy trend falters. When a long ETF falls, its short twin goes up so I simply change horses frequently. Fabulous winning strategy in any trending market.

BITX is 2x Bitcoin etf. Up 40% in a week. 100 in a month.

I love this video and others you made on the topic!! Why do you use the sma of upro and not the actual index (Spx)? I wonder if using the upro average may distort results in some way. Do you know of any platform where you can set up this rules to play on automatically? Is the 10 months the same as a 120 days sma? Why do you choose 10 months and not 200days sma as in another video you made? Thanks!!!

Good and amusing video. Love the sound effects

Great video!

Could you describe a strategy using a stop loss (to not ride the drawdown all the way down)?

Thanks! for the super clear explanation of the platforms. Need your advice (sorry for the length of this - hoping you can help!) Thanks in advance! :) My money is at Interactive Brokers. I'm in the US. Currently using IBKR Lite, but willing to switch to Pro if needed. But first... I want to be able to trade directly from whatever charting program I use. I want to be able to seem my positions, orders, stops, etc. on that charting program. I want efficient trade execution. I'd like to be able to just DRAG SL's and limit orders on the chart and have it modify the orders. I've been using the Trading View charting program a lot (and I love it!) to analyze potential stock buys, utilize their huge library of indicators, etc. I find the TradingView interface so much smoother and more powerful than the TWS Desktop. TWS Desktop is really hard to look at for me - seems poorly organized, the fonts are difficult to look at, etc. Very messy screen design IMO. But only been trying to adapt to it for a month, so maybe it just takes time? I've tried the IBKR Online Portal a bit, and noticed it says "powered by TV" which gives me some hope - and it does have the smooth feel of TV - great! BUT, for example, when I click on the Indicators tab at the top, it doesn't have access to the huge and awesome library of TV indicators. (And many other weaknesses compared to full TV). I notice there is also a new IBKR desktop platform in Preview / beta mode. Is that because everyone is complaining about the poor interface of TWS? Seems strange that they are starting from scratch but I assume it's because it's written in an entirely new language. Regardless, my question is: have you used it? Do you recommend I try it based on the above discussion?

Please review the 5 /10 day ema cross ove on a daily chartr and see how beautiful this works It keeps you out of all downtrends. Its all you need