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Investing: Is Warren Buffett Lucky or Skilled?
In a market made up only of portfolio managers, half would perform better than average (before fees). Assuming a normal distribution, we would see some natural outliers at either end of the distribution. Is Warren Buffet a natural outlier? This video explores that idea through Monte Carlo simulation.
Thanks to pixabay.com for the beautiful high resolution color photos used in this video.
Check out this related video by Ben Felix, one of my favorite YouYubers: ua-cam.com/video/p6HrepdLSu4/v-deo.html
Переглядів: 388

Відео

How To: Compute Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) in Excel
Переглядів 4373 роки тому
This video explains Compound Annual Growth Rate and how to calculate it using Excel. The POWER and RRI functions are used.
Investing: How Likely is a Stock Market Correction?
Переглядів 2023 роки тому
This video shows an analysis of the S&P 500 index. We look at the historical likelihood of a correction within the 12 months following a record high close for the index.
Excel Problem Solver: How To Win Playing Monopoly
Переглядів 8883 роки тому
This video shows how to use statistical probability to win the board game known as Monopoly
How To: Compute Internal Rate of Return From Irregular Periods
Переглядів 2,2 тис.3 роки тому
This video explains the finance concept known as Internal Rate of Return, an alternative to the Net Present Value approach to valuation of a series of cash flows. The video demonstrates how to use the Excel's XIRR function, and draws comparison to the IRR, NPV, and XNPV functions. Internal Rate of Return Explained (IRR Function): ua-cam.com/video/bmW7pASbcIQ/v-deo.html Calculate Net Present Val...
Investing: How Earnings Can Grow Faster Than Sales
Переглядів 2383 роки тому
This video covers the basics of net sales, cost of sales, variable costs, fixed costs and gross profit margin. It explains how earnings can grow faster than sales in a growth company.
Investing: The Benefits of Diversification
Переглядів 3853 роки тому
This video demonstrates the primary benefit of diversifying an investment portfolio through use of a Monte Carlo simulation of competing fund managers. An X-Y scatterplot further illustrates the point. Chasing Top Fund Managers by Ben Felix: ua-cam.com/video/p6HrepdLSu4/v-deo.html Thank you to Pixabay for the stunning royalty free pictures of active fund managers: pixabay.com/
Excel Problem Solver: Animate Excel Charts in Power Point
Переглядів 6773 роки тому
This video shows how to create an Excel line chart and then animate the chart using Power Point.
How To: Understanding Excel's Date & Time Functions
Переглядів 2243 роки тому
This video explains how to use the TODAY() and NOW() functions to reference the current date and/or time in Excel. The video also includes a general discussion of Excel's handling of dates and times. Does Anybody Really Know What Time It Is? - Chicago (Leonid & Friends cover) ua-cam.com/video/FB-nXQc6LMU/v-deo.html
How To: Understanding the OFFSET Function
Переглядів 1713 роки тому
This video explains how to use the very versatile Excel OFFSET function to reference a cell or array. A practical example combining OFFSET and another function is demonstrated.
Excel Problem Solver: Import Real Time Stock Quotes Without Office 365
Переглядів 19 тис.3 роки тому
This video shows how to set up an Excel worksheet to update with real time stock quotes using both Google Finance data or stock price data sourced from Office 365's Excel free version.
How To: Use SWITCH or IFS as an Alternative to Nesting IF Statements
Переглядів 5453 роки тому
This video explains how to use the Excel SWITCH and IFS functions as an alternative to nesting IF statements. The techniques are compared side by side.
Excel Problem Solver: Pick Randomly From a List and Choose No Duplicates
Переглядів 1,5 тис.3 роки тому
This video shows how to set up an Excel worksheet to randomly pick from a list of items but never pick the same item twice. Dealing playing cards from a deck of 52 is the scenario used. The RAND, ROUNDUP, INDEX, and RANK functions are described, as well as conditional formatting.
Investing: The Shiller PE
Переглядів 1,8 тис.3 роки тому
This video describes the Shiller PE ratio (also known as CAPE or PE10). The Excel CORREL function is used to calculate the inverse correlation between the Shiller PE and the S&P Composite index's subsequent 10 year annualized average return. An X-Y scatterplot and a 2 axis line chart are also used to illustrate the negative correlation.
Understanding the Statement of Cash Flows
Переглядів 4583 роки тому
This video explains the basics of the Statement of Cash Flows used in financial accounting. A Statement of Cash Flows is created using a comparative Balance Sheet and other financial information.
How To: Excel Functions To Make Text Capitalization Uniform
Переглядів 7683 роки тому
How To: Excel Functions To Make Text Capitalization Uniform
How To: Calculate Net Present Value of Cash Flows in Irregular Periods
Переглядів 1,3 тис.3 роки тому
How To: Calculate Net Present Value of Cash Flows in Irregular Periods
Excel Problem Solver: Are Mega Millions Lotto Drawings Biased?
Переглядів 6 тис.3 роки тому
Excel Problem Solver: Are Mega Millions Lotto Drawings Biased?
Excel Problem Solver: Version II - Optimize Manufacturing Costs Using Excel Solver
Переглядів 1,8 тис.3 роки тому
Excel Problem Solver: Version II - Optimize Manufacturing Costs Using Excel Solver
How To: Internal Rate of Return Explained
Переглядів 3643 роки тому
How To: Internal Rate of Return Explained
How To: Why INDEX-MATCH Beats VLOOKUP
Переглядів 2453 роки тому
How To: Why INDEX-MATCH Beats VLOOKUP
Investing: Bond Valuation and Duration
Переглядів 1683 роки тому
Investing: Bond Valuation and Duration
How To: The Poor Man's Monte Carlo Simulation
Переглядів 3563 роки тому
How To: The Poor Man's Monte Carlo Simulation
Investing: The Kurtosis of Four Investment Options
Переглядів 1,8 тис.3 роки тому
Investing: The Kurtosis of Four Investment Options
Investing: Are Berkshire Hathaway's Glory Days Gone Forever?
Переглядів 2073 роки тому
Investing: Are Berkshire Hathaway's Glory Days Gone Forever?
How To: A Monte Carlo Simulation Demo
Переглядів 1,9 тис.3 роки тому
How To: A Monte Carlo Simulation Demo
Election Analysis: The Voting Weight of Swing State Cities in U.S. Elections
Переглядів 4183 роки тому
Election Analysis: The Voting Weight of Swing State Cities in U.S. Elections
Excel Problem Solver: Optimize Manufacturing Costs Using Excel Solver
Переглядів 4,7 тис.3 роки тому
Excel Problem Solver: Optimize Manufacturing Costs Using Excel Solver
Investing: Calculate Skewness of S&P 500 Returns
Переглядів 2,5 тис.3 роки тому
Investing: Calculate Skewness of S&P 500 Returns
Investing: Calculate Beta of a Security
Переглядів 7383 роки тому
Investing: Calculate Beta of a Security

КОМЕНТАРІ

  • @donnyalfato8798
    @donnyalfato8798 3 місяці тому

    thanks a lot bro!

  • @davidhaylett1810
    @davidhaylett1810 3 місяці тому

    What this is telling investors is that the US market is overpriced. What follows from that is either very low returns going forward or a crash

  • @finiteloops8610
    @finiteloops8610 3 місяці тому

    Wonderful video! After getting the Google data instructions I skipped the MS Outlook bit and got the refresh settings instructions. All worked perfectly. Thank you!

  • @sastry99
    @sastry99 5 місяців тому

    This is really a fantastic video which explains the steps in importing the stock data into the stand alone MS Office version (non subscription version). Thanks a lot for the video. Really useful and your efforts are well appreciated.

  • @PosthumanAge
    @PosthumanAge 5 місяців тому

    Great tutorial!

  • @sophia212
    @sophia212 7 місяців тому

    Hello, I am doing a report on Benford's Law that has to be 12 pages for highschool. Where did you get the trasaction amounts (the 6000 numbers) from? Are those able to be sent to me or is there a place where I can find them? I want to do a similar test to prove that Benford's law works to detect fraud. Thank you!

    • @spreadsheetgeek4070
      @spreadsheetgeek4070 7 місяців тому

      Basically, I made up the data using random number generation then skewed it in the direction I wanted to simulate a single cashier who should be focused on.

  • @lisabrown4770
    @lisabrown4770 9 місяців тому

    Can I use this method to input real time stock data in my excel app on my iPad Pro?

  • @harumih.3727
    @harumih.3727 9 місяців тому

    I don't think that using "=1" is effective way because every time, you entered "=1" you have to change it to "=2" and "=3" etc. which is much time-consuming. I think that using a reference of the cell is more efficient. For example, when you are calculating the COUNT for the cell with a value of 1, you just simply reference a cell where "1" is entered. Then, for the cell below, simply copy the above formula, changing automatically the above referenced cell the next reference. I tested it myself. Instead of "=1" I entered "E3". Excel formula accordingly search the reference E3 to find the value, for example, and the next formula down the row of 4, Excel searches a value in the cell E4. This way, you wouldn't need to spend time to replace 1 with 2, and with 3, and with 4, and so on.

  • @wickensteiner
    @wickensteiner 10 місяців тому

    very helpful video!

  • @Ldubbs1213
    @Ldubbs1213 10 місяців тому

    How do I do this if the row header is the item description and below the item description is how many stores ordered that specific item

  • @rickswineberg
    @rickswineberg 10 місяців тому

    Make the countif criteria dynamic, have it refer to that cell.

  • @saurabh_arora
    @saurabh_arora Рік тому

    Awesome explanation! 👍 I just want to ask how did you get that +/-(1/2n) in the formula of confidence interval? Does it really matter in case of a large sample size?

  • @NietzscheanStocks
    @NietzscheanStocks Рік тому

    Awesome! Can you share this sheets?

  • @davidhutchinson2296
    @davidhutchinson2296 Рік тому

    how do you select cards rather than use random

  • @antaresVJ
    @antaresVJ Рік тому

    All I'm getting are script errors. Doesn't work on 2016.

  • @michaelabghari2392
    @michaelabghari2392 Рік тому

    Great analysis, I personally questioning return of BRK shares under performing compare to spy , he benefiting his fame ,

  • @affromma
    @affromma Рік тому

    I'm using Office Pro Plus 2016 and when I get to 3:57, and go to the "Data" ribbon, there's no "Get Data from the Web" button [and I couldn't find it in the menu to add it to the ribbon]. Is there a workaround or do I need to update Excel?

  • @midlifecrisis920
    @midlifecrisis920 Рік тому

    What a detailed explanation. Loved it!!

  • @davesteel7513
    @davesteel7513 Рік тому

    Your comment that information is much more widely proliferated now versus the 60's to 80's, is the key. Bill Dickerson was a great investor that I personally knew. He was a millionaire by the time he was 23. He had to buy through a real live broker, he had to pay fees and had to wait until the next day to see how he had done. His sole guiding document was the Wall Street Journal. He made charts and graphs (before computers) and developed his theory that almost any stock will go up if you just wait for it. Fast forward 60 years, using nothing more than statistics and some heavy duty computers, James Simons made a 39.1% average net annual return between 1988 - 2018. He looked at the market as a whole using mathematical models to analyze and execute trades. Buffett would have done much, much better if he used Simons' approach but his ego won't let him.

  • @jacktang-v9o
    @jacktang-v9o Рік тому

    i done with the auto share price updated in google sheet, but once i public to web and try to get data from web (excel 2021) load the data, all the inform are appear except for my share price (it show "loading..."), wondering where is go wrong, any tips?

  • @sashsash1111
    @sashsash1111 Рік тому

    Thanks this is great

  • @sashsash1111
    @sashsash1111 Рік тому

    "I don't want to upload it to the cloud due to privacy concerns" ## streaming to 12 k viewers , :D

  • @jdosses
    @jdosses Рік тому

    Awesome! Very useful, finally understood the concepts

  • @trollrequiem0444
    @trollrequiem0444 Рік тому

    That's so good man, thanks a lot

  • @HtheKing
    @HtheKing Рік тому

    top lad nice one g

  • @robertocortesi4236
    @robertocortesi4236 Рік тому

    Very Good ! Thank's !

  • @peterw903
    @peterw903 Рік тому

    Thank you - This is the best solution I have found to get real-time quotes into Excel 2021 without paying for Office 365 - it works perfectly. I import them as a separate sheet in excel and just refer to them where I need them. also makes it easier to add new symbols. I would have never found the update frequency time setting without your video also!

  • @DavidS-gm6nv
    @DavidS-gm6nv Рік тому

    Excellent video illustrating a very powerful point. Would the sum have been closer if 2018 year end constituent weightings been applied to the 2019 returns. Applying year end 2019 weightings to 2019 returns "double-weights" 2019 performance because the performance is built into the year end 2019 constituent weightings (stocks that did well end the year with a greater weighting, and those that didn't do well end with a smaller weighting than they did at the beginning of the year). Just a thought.

  • @Anfo89NG
    @Anfo89NG Рік тому

    Thank you!!!

  • @c.comploj3775
    @c.comploj3775 Рік тому

    So the Office version does not work without 365 subscription nowadays? Was anyone able to do it in Office free version?

    • @c.comploj3775
      @c.comploj3775 Рік тому

      This worked. However, I cannot make the main sheet work directly on the OneDrive. Any ideas?

  • @bernie9071
    @bernie9071 Рік тому

    Thank you for the great video. It was very clear and works like a charm. I'm using Excel 2021. Question: Stock values from Google Sheets comes in as a table. A table within any workbook prevents Custom Views from working (Its greyed out). Is there a way to import stock data, but not as a table, so that the custom views can be used?

  • @ruddybandiwila2549
    @ruddybandiwila2549 Рік тому

    Good Day I wanna Know a formula, how to pick up the most common number on any list or raw

  • @aditisyal6441
    @aditisyal6441 Рік тому

    Can Benford's law be assistive in investigating fraud cases where fraudsters misused the Covid relief funds? Is there a pattern observed in cases already investigated?

  • @SuperReddevil23
    @SuperReddevil23 2 роки тому

    where to get the monte carlo package

  • @christhescienceguy6285
    @christhescienceguy6285 2 роки тому

    I've notice 19 rarely ever gets picked for the mega ball. It's only happened twice in the past year which is unusual.

  • @49trades4
    @49trades4 2 роки тому

    you the man!! just the video i needed... thanks

  • @JohanaSellersConner
    @JohanaSellersConner 2 роки тому

    Thank you!!!!! Great video!!!!!

  • @xerxessultanian8162
    @xerxessultanian8162 2 роки тому

    thank you for real. i wonder if there are some zero price data or some messing price data, must we delete these days or make them somehow? i hear there is a approach and we can make five days data by running a geometric codes in mathlab but i don't know how...? i wonder if you know more details about what i'm talking about...

  • @ziggetty5102
    @ziggetty5102 2 роки тому

    thank you for this very clear video . i had a problem to get the info into an excel 2013 sheet. i got all kind of errors and gave up. BUT went to another computer where i have excel 2019 and there it worked like a charm. i now have also everything in 1 sheet. after i did the import i did an edit of the query. i selected first row as headers (because i have a header row in googlesheets) and also selected specific colums. so i get the following columns from my google sheet: ticker name currency price 52w-low 52w-high. so the first 6 columns come from google sheet and i can freely use column 7 and further. these are now not effected by the data refresh.

    • @ziggetty5102
      @ziggetty5102 2 роки тому

      although i managed to get everything working in 1 sheet, i prefer the 2 sheet approach. in that way the query stays simple and all from google sheet is imported in sheet1 and in sheet2 i have my holdings ticker symbol # of shares etc. price info i then get with the excel vlookup function so that ticker symbol in sheet2 is matched with the ticker symbol in sheet1 and i get the correct price info.

  • @frankrizzo7781
    @frankrizzo7781 2 роки тому

    Here is the skew for common stocK between 1926 and 2016.there was 36 trillion of wealth creation. 25000 companies or 96% of all stocks produced little wealth creation. 1026 stocks or 4% of stocks produced 35 trillion and of those companies 90 or less than 1/3 of 1% was responsible for almost 20 trillion.

  • @datacool
    @datacool 2 роки тому

    Hello sir, I'm confused about the norm.dist and standardize functions, as far as I know the norm.dist function is also to find zscore, but doesn't standardization also use the same formula to find zscore? Then why are the results different? CMIIW

  • @ghosm9855
    @ghosm9855 2 роки тому

    How would you apply the shiller pe to other markets?

  • @darwin6984
    @darwin6984 2 роки тому

    Thumb up from HONG KONG trader in ibank

  • @ABC77077
    @ABC77077 2 роки тому

    Can you normalize promotion type that has qualitative info ?

  • @gusmor2208
    @gusmor2208 2 роки тому

    Great trick! You just gained a sub and a like.

  • @artur50
    @artur50 2 роки тому

    Great!

  • @mahamsaleem4533
    @mahamsaleem4533 2 роки тому

    hy if i have a likert scale questionaire response like high moderate low and no how can i normalized in values to calculate minimum and maximum plz reply

  • @didierleprince6106
    @didierleprince6106 2 роки тому

    A big merci (:

  • @suhasjadhav1610
    @suhasjadhav1610 2 роки тому

    Lucid explanation.

  • @cletusattaho1807
    @cletusattaho1807 2 роки тому

    thanks for the information ,in a situation where you have a negative skew value for currency ,how do you describe that Mean -0.04% Standard Error 0.06% Median -0.03% Mode #N/A Standard Deviation 1.30% Sample Variance 0.02% Kurtosis 0.70 Skewness -0.25 Range 8.41% Minimum -4.46% Maximum 3.95% Sum -21.17% Count 502