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Credit Risk Modelling: Default Time Distribution
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In this video, we will focus on the default time distribution. We will see the relationship between the cumulative and the marginal default rates and how these two probabilities change with time depending on the credit quality of the borrower.
The Python code is available at the following address: quant-next.com/credit-risk-modelling-the-default-time-distribution/
0:19 Default Event and Default Time
0:38 Cumulative Default Probability and Survival Probability
1:35 Default Time Distribution with Constant Default Intensity Model
3:02 Marginal Default Probability
3:53 Cumulative and Marginal Default Probabilities as a Function of the Credit Quality
4:38 Exercise in Python
#creditrisk, #creditriskmodel, #quantitativefinance, #financeeducation, #quant, #quantnext, #defaultprobability
Переглядів: 573

Відео

Credit Risk Modelling: The Probability of Default
Переглядів 6622 місяці тому
★★ Save 10% on All Quant Next Courses with the Coupon Code: QuantNextUA-cam10 ★★ ★★ For students and graduates, we offer a 50% discount on all courses, please contact us if you are interested ★★ ★★ Visit us: quant-next.com ★★ ★★ Contact us: contact@quant-next.com ★★ ★★ Follow us: www.linkedin.com/company/quant-next/ ★★ In this video, we will focus on the probability of default, one of the key m...
Credit Risk: An Introduction
Переглядів 4732 місяці тому
★★ Save 10% on All Quant Next Courses with the Coupon Code: QuantNextUA-cam10 ★★ ★★ For students and graduates, we offer a 50% discount on all courses, please contact us if you are interested ★★ ★★ Visit us: quant-next.com ★★ ★★ Contact us: contact@quant-next.com ★★ ★★ Follow us: www.linkedin.com/company/quant-next/ ★★ In this video, we will give an introduction to credit risk, presenting the m...
Options, Pricing and Risk Management Part III - Course Overview
Переглядів 3572 місяці тому
★★ Link to the course: quant-next.com/product/options-pricing-and-risk-management-part-3/ ★★ ★★ Save 10% on All Quant Next Courses with the Coupon Code: QuantNextUA-cam10 ★★ ★★ For students and graduates, we offer a 50% discount on all courses, please contact us if you are interested ★★ ★★ Visit us: quant-next.com ★★ ★★ Contact us: contact@quant-next.com ★★ ★★ Follow us: www.linkedin.com/compan...
The SABR Model: Course Overview
Переглядів 4123 місяці тому
★★ Link to the course: quant-next.com/product/the-sabr-model/ ★★ ★★ Save 10% on All Quant Next Courses with the Coupon Code: QuantNextUA-cam10 ★★ ★★ For students and graduates, we offer a 50% discount on all courses, please contact us if you are interested ★★ ★★ Visit us: quant-next.com ★★ ★★ Contact us: contact@quant-next.com ★★ ★★ Follow us: www.linkedin.com/company/quant-next/ ★★ This course...
The SABR Model Part I: an Introduction
Переглядів 1,3 тис.4 місяці тому
★★ Save 10% on All Quant Next Courses with the Coupon Code: QuantNextUA-cam10 ★★ ★★ For students and graduates, we offer a 50% discount on all courses, please contact us if you are interested ★★ ★★ Visit us: quant-next.com ★★ ★★ Contact us: contact@quant-next.com ★★ ★★ Follow us: www.linkedin.com/company/quant-next/ ★★ In this video we will introduce the SABR (Stochastic Alpha Beta Rho) model, ...
Volatility Surface Parameterization: the SVI Model - Course Overview
Переглядів 6364 місяці тому
★★ Link to the course: quant-next.com/product/volatility-surface-parameterization-the-svi-model/ ★★ ★★ Save 10% on All Quant Next Courses with the Coupon Code: QuantNextUA-cam10 ★★ ★★ For students and graduates, we offer a 50% discount on all courses, please contact us if you are interested ★★ ★★ Visit us: quant-next.com ★★ ★★ Contact us: contact@quant-next.com ★★ ★★ Follow us: www.linkedin.com...
Risk Neutral Density: The Breeden-Litzenberger Formula
Переглядів 5444 місяці тому
★★ Save 10% on All Quant Next Courses with the Coupon Code: QuantNextUA-cam10 ★★ ★★ For students and graduates, we offer a 50% discount on all courses, please contact us if you are interested ★★ ★★ Visit us: quant-next.com ★★ ★★ Contact us: contact@quant-next.com ★★ ★★ Follow us: www.linkedin.com/company/quant-next/ ★★ In this video we will present the Breeden-Litzenberger formula which links t...
Volatility Surface Modelling: An Introduction
Переглядів 9074 місяці тому
★★ Save 10% on All Quant Next Courses with the Coupon Code: QuantNextUA-cam10 ★★ ★★ For students and graduates, we offer a 50% discount on all courses, please contact us if you are interested ★★ ★★ Visit us: quant-next.com ★★ ★★ Contact us: contact@quant-next.com ★★ ★★ Follow us: www.linkedin.com/company/quant-next/ ★★ In this video, we will give an introduction to the modelling of the volatili...
The Heston Model for Option Pricing: Course Overview
Переглядів 8285 місяців тому
★★ Link to the course: quant-next.com/product/the-heston-model-for-option-pricing/ ★★ ★★ Save 10% on All Quant Next Courses with the Coupon Code: QuantNextUA-cam10 ★★ ★★ For students and graduates, we offer a 50% discount on all courses, please contact us if you are interested ★★ ★★ Visit us: quant-next.com ★★ ★★ Contact us: contact@quant-next.com ★★ ★★ Follow us: www.linkedin.com/company/quant...
Greeks and Risk Management of Exotic Options: An Introduction
Переглядів 7309 місяців тому
★★ Save 10% on All Quant Next Courses with the Coupon Code: QuantNextUA-cam10 ★★ ★★ For students and graduates, we offer a 50% discount on all courses, please contact us if you are interested ★★ ★★ Visit us: quant-next.com ★★ ★★ Contact us: contact@quant-next.com ★★ ★★ Follow us: www.linkedin.com/company/quant-next/ ★★ In this video, we will discuss on the greeks of several exotic options, and ...
Finite Difference Methods for Option Pricing: Overview of the Course
Переглядів 2809 місяців тому
★★ Link to the course: quant-next.com/product/finite-difference-methods-for-option-pricing/ ★★ ★★ Save 10% on All Quant Next Courses with the Coupon Code: QuantNextUA-cam10 ★★ ★★ For students and graduates, we offer a 50% discount on all courses, please contact us if you are interested ★★ ★★ Visit us: quant-next.com ★★ ★★ Contact us: contact@quant-next.com ★★ ★★ Follow us: www.linkedin.com/comp...
Replication and Risk Management of Exotic Options: Overview of the Course
Переглядів 1829 місяців тому
★★ Link to the course: quant-next.com/product/replication-and-risk-management-of-exotic-options/ ★★ ★★ Save 10% on All Quant Next Courses with the Coupon Code: QuantNextUA-cam10 ★★ ★★ For students and graduates, we offer a 50% discount on all courses, please contact us if you are interested ★★ ★★ Visit us: quant-next.com ★★ ★★ Contact us: contact@quant-next.com ★★ ★★ Follow us: www.linkedin.com...
Monte Carlo Simulations for Option Pricing: Overview of the Course
Переглядів 2509 місяців тому
★★ Link to the course: quant-next.com/product/monte-carlo-simulations-for-option-pricing/ ★★ ★★ Save 10% on All Quant Next Courses with the Coupon Code: QuantNextUA-cam10 ★★ ★★ For students and graduates, we offer a 50% discount on all courses, please contact us if you are interested ★★ ★★ Visit us: quant-next.com ★★ ★★ Contact us: contact@quant-next.com ★★ ★★ Follow us: www.linkedin.com/compan...
Options, Pricing and Risk Management Part II: Overview of the Course
Переглядів 2,2 тис.9 місяців тому
★★ Link to the course: quant-next.com/product/options-pricing-and-risk-management-part-2/ ★★ ★★ Save 10% on All Quant Next Courses with the Coupon Code: QuantNextUA-cam10 ★★ ★★ For students and graduates, we offer a 50% discount on all courses, please contact us if you are interested ★★ ★★ Visit us: quant-next.com ★★ ★★ Contact us: contact@quant-next.com ★★ ★★ Follow us: www.linkedin.com/compan...
Introduction to Finite Difference Methods for Option Pricing
Переглядів 2,6 тис.9 місяців тому
Introduction to Finite Difference Methods for Option Pricing
Introduction to Monte Carlo Simulations
Переглядів 1,4 тис.10 місяців тому
Introduction to Monte Carlo Simulations
American Option Pricing with Binomial Tree
Переглядів 63010 місяців тому
American Option Pricing with Binomial Tree
Artificial Neural Network for Option Pricing with Python Code
Переглядів 1,9 тис.Рік тому
Artificial Neural Network for Option Pricing with Python Code
Options, Pricing and Risk Management Part I: Overview of the Course
Переглядів 6 тис.Рік тому
Options, Pricing and Risk Management Part I: Overview of the Course
The Heston Model (Part II)
Переглядів 4 тис.Рік тому
The Heston Model (Part II)
The Heston Model (Part I)
Переглядів 12 тис.Рік тому
The Heston Model (Part I)
Introduction to Stochastic Volatility Models
Переглядів 6 тис.Рік тому
Introduction to Stochastic Volatility Models
Exotic Options - Part II
Переглядів 1,1 тис.Рік тому
Exotic Options - Part II
Exotic Options - Part I
Переглядів 2,2 тис.Рік тому
Exotic Options - Part I
The Option Greek Delta Explained
Переглядів 1,8 тис.Рік тому
The Option Greek Delta Explained
Introduction to Option Greeks and Risk Management
Переглядів 5 тис.Рік тому
Introduction to Option Greeks and Risk Management
The Volatility Smile and Skew
Переглядів 7 тис.Рік тому
The Volatility Smile and Skew
Implied Volatility Calculation with Newton-Raphson Algorithm
Переглядів 1,3 тис.Рік тому
Implied Volatility Calculation with Newton-Raphson Algorithm
Principal Component Analysis - The Maths
Переглядів 2 тис.Рік тому
Principal Component Analysis - The Maths

КОМЕНТАРІ

  • @armandrogier5365
    @armandrogier5365 Місяць тому

    Un bon accent franchouillard ze volatilité iz ailleurs of ze coleu at ze monè. Cela dit c’est une video tres utile et tres bien!

    • @quantnext4773
      @quantnext4773 Місяць тому

      Thanks for your comment! The French accent is part of the charm of Quant Next :)

  • @junal27
    @junal27 Місяць тому

    Excelent presentations, please keep up with your work, thank you

  • @junal27
    @junal27 Місяць тому

    Gracias

  • @Dods30
    @Dods30 Місяць тому

    How are you able to discern the put/calls on the same volatility curve? Put/call parity?

    • @quantnext4773
      @quantnext4773 Місяць тому

      Yes exactly. By call-put parity you have, for a given strike K and maturity T, with sigma the Black-Scholes (BS) implied volatility from the call price: put_price = callBS(sigma) + K.exp(-r.T) - S = putBS(sigma) So the BS implied volatility of the put is equal to the BS implied volatility of the call.

  • @VC-oo2mi
    @VC-oo2mi Місяць тому

    So when would the Heston/SABR model be more applicable and more closely tied with market pricing?

    • @quantnext4773
      @quantnext4773 Місяць тому

      SABR would be more applicable to interpolate / extrapolate time slice volatility curves or for the pricing of path-independent options as there is no parameter to control the term structure of volatility in this model. Heston is more suitable to price path-dependent exotic options, to model the whole volatility surface when you need to price options with different strikes and different maturities as it uses additional parameters to model the term structure of volatility with a mean-reverting Cox-Ingersoll Ross process for the instantaneous volatility. If you are interested to go further, here is the link to our course on the topic: quant-next.com/product/options-pricing-and-risk-management-part-3/

  • @anindadatta164
    @anindadatta164 2 місяці тому

    quite a few new variables added compared to black Scholes method, speed of mean reversion, volatility of the variance, correlation of the two wiener process. Even correlation of the two volatilities would keep fluctuating and not remain constant. Do All these variables increase the accuracy of volatility and underlying price prediction? Does this predict the volatility skew curve shape?

    • @quantnext4773
      @quantnext4773 2 місяці тому

      Adding these new parameters allows to build different shapes of volatility surface, while it is flat under the Black-Scholes model. The different parameters can be calibrated to fit as best as possible the observed volatility surface. Stochastic volatility models such as SABR or Heston can be used for interpolation / extrapolation of the volatility surface or to price exotic products. The prime objective of such model is not to predict the future level of volatility or underlying asset price but to price and risk manage options. If you are interested, please have a look at our course: quant-next.com/product/options-pricing-and-risk-management-part-3/ Best regards, Quant Next quant-next.com/

    • @anindadatta164
      @anindadatta164 2 місяці тому

      @@quantnext4773 I truly appreciate the huge effort made by this model to build different shapes of volatility surface and extrapolate the same. However, my concern is what will be the accuracy when 6 different variables are used and many of the variables are stochastic

  • @gonegirl-xs1el
    @gonegirl-xs1el 3 місяці тому

    Very well explained! thank you

  • @user-lp2yd8hh3x
    @user-lp2yd8hh3x 3 місяці тому

    are there longer version of this video? I mean stochastic calculus for finance,pls if there is can u send me?

    • @quantnext4773
      @quantnext4773 3 місяці тому

      Hello, Thanks for your interest in our videos. If you are interested in applications of stochastic calculus in finance, you might be interested in our course on Options, Pricing and Risk Management Part I: quant-next.com/product/option-pricing-risk-management-part1/ Best regards, Quant Next quant-next.com/

  • @velshanvijaysurya3671
    @velshanvijaysurya3671 3 місяці тому

    what are the application you will tell about

    • @quantnext4773
      @quantnext4773 2 місяці тому

      Hello Surya, Thanks for your interest in Quant Next. Through the course, you will see with Python code: - how to price vanilla options with the Heston model using the semi-analytic formula and compare it with Monte Carlo simulations - how the different Heston parameters impact the shape of the volatility surface - how to calibrate the parameters to market prices - how to estimate the risk neutral density function from the characteristic function with Fast Fourier transform - how to price a path dependent exotic options by Monte Carlo simulations and path independent ones by numerical integration Best regards, Quant Next

  • @alidir7570
    @alidir7570 3 місяці тому

    Very good explanation, thank you!

  • @sinarb2884
    @sinarb2884 4 місяці тому

    don't you mean when beta = 1 and nu = 0 in the flat volatility smile slide?

    • @quantnext4773
      @quantnext4773 4 місяці тому

      Yes of course, thanks for spotting it! The extract has been deleted.

  • @ryanling2605
    @ryanling2605 4 місяці тому

    Why is the stock more leveraged when return is down?

    • @quantnext4773
      @quantnext4773 4 місяці тому

      A company is more leveraged when its stocks are going down. The debt-to-equity ratio, calculated by dividing a company's total liabilities by its shareholder equity will typically increase when stocks are lower all other things equal.

  • @geonwilliams
    @geonwilliams 4 місяці тому

    Great video, thanks. Can you explain how at 0:56 you are showing put and call options on the same chart? Is it OTM puts on the left of spot and OTM calls on the right? In which case, how are ITM options represented? Sorry if I'm being dense.

    • @quantnext4773
      @quantnext4773 4 місяці тому

      Thanks for the feedback. We used here implied volatility for call prices. This being said, the volatility implied by a put price will be very similar than the volatility implied by a call price with same expiry and strike price.

  • @aarondelarosa3146
    @aarondelarosa3146 4 місяці тому

    Python Code is missing.

    • @quantnext4773
      @quantnext4773 4 місяці тому

      Hello, If you are interested to go more in depth, we propose one full course dedicated to the Heston model including applications and tutorials in Python: quant-next.com/product/the-heston-model-for-option-pricing/

  • @rooftop1510
    @rooftop1510 4 місяці тому

    great video. i have a question, what is the reason that the derivative of (the integral) wrt k gives 2 term? the first term make sense due to Fundamental theorem of calculus, where's the second term from? 2:00

    • @rooftop1510
      @rooftop1510 4 місяці тому

      i suspect the two terms come from product rule of the derivative, but does it mean the first term should not have the probability density function, but the derivative of it?

    • @quantnext4773
      @quantnext4773 4 місяці тому

      Hello, this is the Leibniz integral rule (cf en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Leibniz_integral_rule)

  • @rexylem
    @rexylem 5 місяців тому

    3:36

  • @hello_world704
    @hello_world704 7 місяців тому

    When is part 3 going to come out?

  • @_Slaze
    @_Slaze 7 місяців тому

    Good video. I'm really glad I just found your channel

  • @paidamoyomutepfa288
    @paidamoyomutepfa288 7 місяців тому

    What a powerful lecture on Neural Networks

  • @21sNeeo
    @21sNeeo 8 місяців тому

    thanks mec

  • @sz7232
    @sz7232 8 місяців тому

    Great explanation thank you ! waiting for part 3.

  • @user-hc5kf1my6n
    @user-hc5kf1my6n 8 місяців тому

    This is so clear and precise, thank you!

  • @cunningham.s_law
    @cunningham.s_law 8 місяців тому

    what about more general boundary conditions like robin or cauchy?

  • @Sau_UNCCMathFin
    @Sau_UNCCMathFin 9 місяців тому

    Thank you for the video. Eagerly awaiting new videos in the finite difference series.

    • @quantnext4773
      @quantnext4773 9 місяців тому

      Thanks a lot for the support! If you are interested in finite difference methods for option pricing, please have a look on our website, there is a course available on this topic: quant-next.com/product/finite-difference-methods-for-option-pricing/

  • @62294838
    @62294838 10 місяців тому

    Thanks so much! Good explanation!

  • @user-eb9ek6eo2q
    @user-eb9ek6eo2q 11 місяців тому

    Part 3 please🥹🥹🥹

  • @user-qw9yy8uo7g
    @user-qw9yy8uo7g 11 місяців тому

    Thank you so much!!!

  • @hkrish26
    @hkrish26 11 місяців тому

    Thanks 🎉

  • @hichamboukharsa1639
    @hichamboukharsa1639 Рік тому

    Really interesting thank you for this video, waiting for part 3 to discuss calibration and pricing

  • @MH-ny3sd
    @MH-ny3sd Рік тому

    Bonjour, vous êtes Français ? Bien à vous.

    • @quantnext4773
      @quantnext4773 Рік тому

      Bonjour, Yes i am :), but all videos and courses are in English. Best regards

  • @riccardo582
    @riccardo582 Рік тому

    How do you plot the distribution the distribution of stock returns implied by the parameters of the Heston model ??? Thanks in advance for the answer p.s. your videos are awesome

    • @quantnext4773
      @quantnext4773 Рік тому

      Thank you very much for your support! I obtained the density of the stock price implied by the Heston model from European call options priced with the Heston model (with "real" probability parameters) using the Breeden-Litzenberg formula which derives the underlying return distribution from option prices. Another way to obtain the density of the stock price implied by the Heston model could be by using its characteristic function (we don't know the density but we know the characteristic function with the Heston model) and we recover the density function the Fourier inversion theorem. I will talk about it in future videos.

    • @riccardo582
      @riccardo582 Рік тому

      Thanks

  • @bipulahmed315
    @bipulahmed315 Рік тому

    Good explanation

    • @quantnext4773
      @quantnext4773 Рік тому

      Thank you for your feedback and your support!

  • @mhrvth
    @mhrvth Рік тому

    That was the best explanation of the greeks I've ever seen. Simple, clear, straight to the point. Same for the volatility smile and other videos.

    • @quantnext4773
      @quantnext4773 Рік тому

      Thank you for your feedback and your support!

  • @DrAtomics
    @DrAtomics Рік тому

    Thanks

  • @rakeshd7131
    @rakeshd7131 Рік тому

    Please make it in linear order and make a playlist. Start from what is quant. different categories like quant finance, trading ...what are pre-request for each category.

    • @quantnext4773
      @quantnext4773 Рік тому

      Dear Rakesh, thanks for your interest in quant finance. This videos will be indeed part of a full course on Options, Pricing and Risk Management (coming soon!). If you are interested in this course, please leave us your email and we’ll get back to you as soon as it is ready : contact@quant-next.com

  • @GlossyFloss
    @GlossyFloss Рік тому

    Hi, I am highly interested in pursuing quantitative analysis and want to get a head start on my education. Where would you recommend I start as I understand the math but not the functions like E(S). Thanks!

    • @quantnext4773
      @quantnext4773 Рік тому

      Hi, We provide videos and courses on quantitative finance. Yoy may need additional training on probability and stochastic processes. We already provide some introduction videos on stochastic calculus: ua-cam.com/play/PLDRKecZj6C2ye5ou9OmhHs2OBpjEhfpoV.html but you may be interested in additional ones on probability. Please contact us: contact@quant-next.com

  • @dornelastrader1410
    @dornelastrader1410 Рік тому

    May we have a word Mr. Quant? Ty for the content

    • @quantnext4773
      @quantnext4773 Рік тому

      Sure, please contact us: contact@quant-next.com

  • @missoss
    @missoss Рік тому

    Dude your content is awesome.

    • @quantnext4773
      @quantnext4773 Рік тому

      Thank you for your feedback and your support!

  • @satioOeinas
    @satioOeinas Рік тому

    Great video.

  • @satioOeinas
    @satioOeinas Рік тому

    Keep uploading, amazing work! Thank you. ❤

    • @quantnext4773
      @quantnext4773 Рік тому

      Thank you for your feedback and your support!

  • @stochasticxalid9853
    @stochasticxalid9853 Рік тому

    Excellent material. Thank you from the very bottom of my heart. Merci du fond du coeur...