- 22
- 68 360
Civic Future
Приєднався 14 лис 2022
Civic Future identifies and supports highly talented individuals to enter public life.
Charity number: 1204528
Charity number: 1204528
Kickstarting the next baby boom. Phoebe Arslanagić-Little, Aveek Bhattacharya & Ruxandra Teslo.
As birth rates fall in the UK, trailblazer nations and regions are implementing or seeing the fruits of pro-parent policies. The policies emerging as effective are compatible with democratic values and aimed squarely at making parents’ and prospective parents’ lives better and easier.
With great reason for hope and action, this event will kick start a conversation about those policies and the political challenges and opportunities in the UK.
How can consensus be created to implement promising pro-child policies in the UK? How big of a challenge does our short-termist political culture pose? And as the political reality of an ageing society means politicians are incentivised to channel funds towards older age groups, can we change this dynamic?
Speakers:
Ruxandra Teslo, cultural commentator, author, and PhD student in Genomics at the Sanger Institute.
Aveek Bhattacharya, economist and Research Director at the Social Market Foundation think tank
Phoebe Arslanagić-Little, Director of Boom
Chair:
Inaya Folarin Iman, journalist and Head of Events, Civic Future
With great reason for hope and action, this event will kick start a conversation about those policies and the political challenges and opportunities in the UK.
How can consensus be created to implement promising pro-child policies in the UK? How big of a challenge does our short-termist political culture pose? And as the political reality of an ageing society means politicians are incentivised to channel funds towards older age groups, can we change this dynamic?
Speakers:
Ruxandra Teslo, cultural commentator, author, and PhD student in Genomics at the Sanger Institute.
Aveek Bhattacharya, economist and Research Director at the Social Market Foundation think tank
Phoebe Arslanagić-Little, Director of Boom
Chair:
Inaya Folarin Iman, journalist and Head of Events, Civic Future
Переглядів: 429
Відео
What is driving the rise in petty crime and anti-social behaviour?
Переглядів 6034 місяці тому
Anti-social behaviour and petty crime in Britain have reached alarming levels. Recent statistics from the Office for National Statistics (ONS) show that shoplifting is at a 20-year high, with a 30% year-on-year increase. Shockingly, 55.2% of anti-social behaviour incidents recorded between 2019 and 2021 received no response from authorities, leading to a vicious cycle. Some attribute this surge...
How should the UK approach China? RT Hon Michael Gove, Tanner Greer, Desmond Shum
Переглядів 5 тис.6 місяців тому
00:00 Introduction by Cindy Yu 01:59 Desmond Shum 10:47 Tanner Greer 19:30 Rt Hon Michael Gove 32:50 Panel discussion 46:51 Q&A with audience For nearly a century US military and economic power and liberal democratic values defined the global order. This is changing. The rise of China, with its vast population, surveillance state, industrial strength, and strategic alliances, is forcing western...
Should the state play more of a role in the economy?
Переглядів 1,3 тис.6 місяців тому
00:00 Introduction by Liam Halligan 04:35 Prof Richard Jones 10:26 Hilary Salt 17:37 Prof Mark Pennington 24:26 Marc Warner 29:28 Sam Bowman 37:02 Panel discussion 57:10 Q&A with audience Britain’s economy has been stagnant for nearly two decades. Growth is sluggish, productivity lags behind other advanced economies, and our industrial base is substantially depleted. Whilst promises to ‘level u...
How do we radically improve Britain's state capacity? Lord Adonis, Dominic Cummings
Переглядів 28 тис.6 місяців тому
00:00 Introduction by Munira Mirza 03:42 Lord Adonis 18:15 Dominic Cummings 23:00 Panel discussion 40:28 Q&A with audience It’s commonplace to say Britain isn’t working, citing the housing shortage, escalating care costs, NHS waiting lists, porous borders, bankrupt councils, stalled infrastructure projects, failed military hardware on an extensive list of evidence. Despite the expanding size an...
What is the national interest? - Yascha Mounk, Elisabeth Braw, Phil Mullan, Benedict Macon-Cooney
Переглядів 4516 місяців тому
00:00 Introduction by Munira Mirza 00:47 Introduction by Inaya Folarin Iman 03:27 Yascha Mounk 09:12 Elisabeth Braw 15:45 Phil Mullan 24:49 Benedict Macon-Cooney 30:15 Panel discussion 1:01:55 Q&A with audience What defines the national interest? It’s common to frame Britain’s challenges as part of a broader western malaise. While geopolitical rivalry, threats to supply chains, mass migration a...
State of the nation: resilience in the era of disorder - Samo Burja, Mike Bird, Joel Kotkin
Переглядів 8986 місяців тому
00:00 Introduction by Munira Mirza 00:56 Introduction by Baroness (Gisela) Stuart 02:30 Samo Burja 11:08 Joel Kotkin 21:11 Mike Bird 27:20 Panel discussion 50:24 Q&A with audience 1:24:39 Closing remarks In an era marked by rapid technological advancements, resurgent geopolitical tensions, economic stagnation, and growing political polarisation Britain faces a crucial question: how should we na...
Why can't we get net migration down?
Переглядів 2,6 тис.8 місяців тому
With Lord Glasman, Tim Leunig, Karl Williams, Poppy Coburn and Luke Sheridan
What is the role of soft power today? with Helen Ramscar, Alexander Evans and Ollie Ryan Tucker
Переглядів 5049 місяців тому
Coined in the late 1980’s, the concept of ‘soft power’ has become a staple feature of foreign policy and international development debates. Its advocates see it to be a form of international influence, a means of ensuring that foreign nations remain on-side and align with our values and interests without resorting to coercion. Proponents point to international aid or the influence of major inst...
Is our schools policy radical enough? with Rachel Wolf, Daisy Christodoulou and Ben Yeoh
Переглядів 43511 місяців тому
Education policies currently promoted by the main parties include tackling school exclusions, supervised teeth brushing for children and extending maths lessons until 18. But is our schools policy radical enough? Teach First, beginning in the early 2000s, brought a radical approach to teacher training, recruiting and fast-track training outstanding graduates to become teachers in schools servin...
AI - Should we be pessimistic or optimistic?
Переглядів 161Рік тому
Should we be optimistic or pessimistic about technology progress? As AI and transformative technology rapidly advance, so too do debates about its impacts. Concerns focus on job loss, societal fragmentation, and the potential for unchecked power in the hands of a tech-savvy elite. Conversely, advocates highlight historical fears of progress, emphasising the democratising effects of past innovat...
Why can’t we get stuff done? with Munira Mirza, Joe Hill, Bryan Cheang, Sam Dumitriu
Переглядів 902Рік тому
Why can’t we get stuff done? This event explored the key challenges facing British state capacity today. Speakers: Munira Mirza, Chief Executive, Civic Future Joe Hill, Engagement Manager, Faculty AI (soon-to-be Policy Director of Reform think tank) Bryan Cheang, Assistant Director of the Centre for the Study of Governance & Society, King’s College London Sam Dumitriu, Head of Policy, Britain R...
Examining Britain’s housing conundrum with John Myers, Ike Ijeh, Simon Thomas, Andrew Orlowski
Переглядів 361Рік тому
This event explored the key challenges facing British housing policy today, from NIMBY vs YIMBY and urban design to planning reform and affordability. Speakers Panellists: John Myers, Founder of YIMBY Alliance Simon Thomas, national committee member of the Community Planning Alliance Ike Ijeh, architect and Head of Housing at Policy Exchange Andrew Orlowski, business columnist, The Telegraph Ch...
Towards a Resilient and Secure British Food System with Professor Timothy Lang and Eamonn Ives
Переглядів 298Рік тому
What are the key challenges facing British food policy today? Food policy is under great scrutiny, from the reliability of our supply chains to the potential public health challenges of ultra-processed food to the sustainability of our farming methods. Therefore, this event invites us to assess our understanding of food security and consider how we build a more secure and resilient food system....
Unlocking the Potential - Matt Clifford, Logan Graham, Saffron Huang, Marc Warner
Переглядів 1,1 тис.Рік тому
Unlocking the Potential: Harnessing Technologies for a Prosperous Future 0:00 Introduction by John Thornhill 3:54 Matt Clifford 7:49 Logan Graham 12:00 Marc Warner 14:08 Saffron Huang 20:49 Panel discussion 36:12 Q&A with audience 57:26 Closing remarks by Munira Mirza In the grip of the digital revolution, artificial intelligence, embodied by tools like ChatGPT, has surged into the public disco...
How to be good stewards of progress - James Phillips, Ben Reinhardt, Stian Westlake, Rachel Wolf
Переглядів 592Рік тому
How to be good stewards of progress - James Phillips, Ben Reinhardt, Stian Westlake, Rachel Wolf
Progress on trial - Aria Babu, Nicholas Boys Smith, Matt Ridley, Sam Richards
Переглядів 2 тис.Рік тому
Progress on trial - Aria Babu, Nicholas Boys Smith, Matt Ridley, Sam Richards
Rekindling Britain’s economic flame - Lord Sainsbury, Andy Haldane, Anton Howes, Deirdre McCloskey
Переглядів 2 тис.Рік тому
Rekindling Britain’s economic flame - Lord Sainsbury, Andy Haldane, Anton Howes, Deirdre McCloskey
Progress: Have we run out of road? - Tyler Cowen, David Edgerton, Sam Bowman, Diane Coyle
Переглядів 10 тис.Рік тому
Progress: Have we run out of road? - Tyler Cowen, David Edgerton, Sam Bowman, Diane Coyle
Demographic shifts with Louise Perry, Aria Babu and Paul Johnson
Переглядів 415Рік тому
Demographic shifts with Louise Perry, Aria Babu and Paul Johnson
Why do liberal democracies feel stuck?
Переглядів 9 тис.2 роки тому
Why do liberal democracies feel stuck?
? Gove?
Really interesting. Thanks
sounds like its going nowhere ... discussion's all over the place ...
Get rid of undeserved peerage! Stop passing inhuman laws against the British people! Get rid of the criminal WEF, globalists communist puppets in both houses! Defend Britain's boarders and get rid of corrupt self serving civil servants and replace them with individuals with genuine skill and qualifications and morals! Sack all MP's nepotism and conflicts of interest starting with Milliband! Stop waffling and gaslighting the British public and rid this country of the greater malignant disease that is islam! This is a Christian state, not a sectarian police state. Sack all judges who facilitate two teir justice. That would be a start!
Classic Dom
High churn populations are populations with fewer & weaker bonds between people & so lower levels of trust, less shared community & common values goals & investment in the place. Make those high churn multi-ethnic, multi-religion, multi-racial, multi-cultural high churn populations & those aforementioned problems are massively exacerbated. Throw in political correctness ideology where certain people are policed more or less, prosecuted more or less, sentenced, punished or rehabilitated & stigmatised or demonised or forgiven & baby handled more or less than others & you've thrown in further complications & barriers to having a well behaving & well policed population.
Pro Natalist polices are Right Wing coded merely because the Left have mostly departed the field preferring to prioritise maximising legal capacities to inutero infanticide.
Children are indeed valuable in themselves, (somewhat contradicts Aveek Battacharya's earlier championing of the infanticidist position earlier), & it is no contradiction to also have the value that some kinds of babies are more preferable to others in general & in particular contexts - one need only look at the impact & costs of inbreeding in the Pakistani & Bangladeshi populations in England to have a perfectly reasonable example of why. & as for Eugenics, any partner choice that isn't by random lottery (or a perverse aiming for something other than a naturally driven choice) will inevitably be on eugenic grounds to varying degrees, (health, beauty, intelligence, skill, social proof etc.), & playing the progressive puritan against a desire for natural goods amongst the peoples of the West is just a spiteful blindspot.
Given the French State's policy of obscuring detailed demographic data there is some cause to question exactly how French these higher fertility "French women" really are. Anyone who says this doesn't matter or is dangerous to care about is themselves dangerously deluded &/or indifferent (or worse, intentionally malicious) regarding the actual erasure of native peoples & cultures in their homelands in the occident. p.s. Official data for the student bodies of English schools show that ethnic Britons will be a minority within ten years.
We don't need a Black Death for a rebalance & diminishing of inequality in this country - we just need mass remigration & a return of citizenship & leave to remain to those who deserve it by heritage & earn it by contributions & love & respect of our country it's peoples & their heritage. Labour requirements can be filled by lowering the age of compulsory education to 14 & ensuring immigrant labour comes & leaves in cohorts & is not allowed to distort polity or politics. Follow that up by undistorting the London weighting by making good on levelling up & then rebalancing the shape as well as the distribution of the economy.
The problem remains the cutting off from the roots; that's the problem with industry, demographics, culture, society, law & politics & continuing to insist that desires, efforts & policies to stop & reverse these are to be off the table as anethema to the ideological creed is to commit to continuing failure & managed decline.
The campaigners against nuclear power in decades past here have so much decline, suffering & lost potential to answer for...& they don't even see it let alone will admit it.
20:35 A truth spoken clearly - though the ultimate reasons why were not truly stated & the consequences for native peoples not even touched upon.
Why is giving native Britons of the UK demographic & cultural security so offensive to these people? & why do they feel so entitled to deny people that when clearly haven't the right? These non proposed, demographic & cultural policies of increasingly marginalising & minoritising Native Britons, that were never openly proposed or voted for, but in fact voted against have been a disaster & need to be stopped & reversed. School student body demographic reporting have the children of English families becoming a minority in the English school system in around 10 years. By the trends of the official voluntarily provided census figures, along with official immigration ones since, the English nation will be a minority in their homeland in a mere few decades & all Britons (in the Isles not just the UK) will be some short years after that, & who knows what the reality on the ground means for how much sooner crossing each of these demographic thresholds will occur. Still no mention of this on tv, or most of the supposedly independent & dissident online media, the omerta remains unbroken & the slow walk ethnic cleansing into dissolution continues. We want, have appealed for & are entitled to demographic & cultural security in our homeland from our institutions who are denying us it. It IS an existential issue & we are rapidly approaching a point when self defence calculus applies. Organisations like the IFS & OBR never criticise bringing in millions of people who haven't paid in but immediately draw from the public purse, are a weight on public services & housing & only a minority of whom ever contribute anything, with an even smaller number meeting the costs their presence imposes, let alone surpass them. Nor do they criticise & attack borrowing billions to pay for unneccesary things the public doesn't want & hasn't called or voted for & aren't good for the families of the nations of this country. But billions for people who've broken into the country or overstayed illegally (the majority) & are costing far more than they could generate in tax contributions, services provided & infrastructure built, let alone what they actually do. A policy of mass remigration would be the foundation of a cure for all sorts of ills: housing (especially social), waiting lists, traffic, rubbish mess, prison overcrowding, child g3n!tal mut!lat!on, acid attacks, stabb!ngs, shame k!llings, bl00d feuds, r*pe, s3xual assaults, modern day slavery, fraud scams & the general degradation of social trust that comes with a high churn, ethnically diverse society. When I checked last year, only 44.5% of the White British population are under 40 according to official ONS stats. (Which is to say 44.5% of the 73.5% of the official population on the basis of voluntary census data, giving 32.7% of the official total) Offical ONs stats had the population of just England at 56.5million, of which 41.54million are White British, of whom only 9.14milllion are females under 40 (this demographic is the reproductive generational portal) & we have been below replacement fertility (2.1 children) for half a century & half of women at 30 are now childless & even if all 2.5mil of them try for a single child only half will succeed; that only leaves 6.64mil under 30s to have children with co-ethnics & provide most of the demographic future of the English. Current trends showing fewer than half (3.2mil) will; whilst the inflows of millions of foreign extraction continue (policies of just population stability puts the official figure of foreign extraction to match the gap at circa 60mil) & will likely continue to increase as the easiest lever to pull for (headline not per capita) GDP growth - unless you stand on the principle that the native people of the land not being outnumbered & replaced in most of their homeland is more important than line-go-up
18:46 Putting aside the cream selection effect & not being representative of the average in their home country, there is the issue of continually doing down the especially male working class contingent for decades & priorotising time & resouces on more opposite cohorts.
17:30 Has the population of foreign extraction been excluded from the results? He says the approval levels will increase - doubtlessly so as the numbers of foriegn extraction continues to rise.
16:02 An absolute falsehood.
UKs Musk.
Bloody marvellous conversation. Cummings was a national loss. Adonis began to shed his Socialist stigma. More Cummings please. I sense that Carrie was the straw that killed-off the Conservatives.
Cheers Dom
Blacks.
Get ready for it to get worse as they take more and more jobs and replace them with AI
Interesting that none of the speakers talked about understanding consequences of decisions
Way less complex than any of this If you dont allow most men to get a job that supports family formation, it can only end in lawlessness and petty crime The upper class needs to change their ways unless they want to lose their government Bc thats usually what happens at the end of theae trends
Have you guys considered poverty?
People were poorer in the past and behaved better, there was far less anti-social behaviour in the 1960s for example.
@religdeb not exactly the crunchiest chip in the bag are you?
@@religdebyes but EVERYONE WAS and they didn't see how the "other half" lived on their Instagrams in the 1960s Cmon man Unless young men are able to get a job that supports family formation your society is doomed to fail until that returns
@@shervm.6597 why? Because you don't like the truth?
@@ChrisAthanas inequality was way worse 100 years ago and there was far less crime, 100 years ago most British people couldn't even afford healthcare as there was no NHS and only the rich could afford the fees. People were well aware of the inequality, why do you think you had the enormous general strike of the 1920s? The working class were sick of the poverty and inequality. All this anti-social behaviour exists today because the police have abandoned patrolling the streets and have given up holding people responsible for their behaviour. 60 years ago you could get a prison sentence for simple offences like driving irresponsibly, now you can physically attack someone and avoid jail. The country is a joke now.
Alienating the parent with less income instead of justice being properly administered to prevent neglect of children being done by the parent with the fatter looking wallet who is being coddled at the time by people hoping to get money out of that wallet is a big part in why children starting to come of age who are starving and living on the street are more often these days turning to crime after they have been brainwashed into believing their estranged through divorce other parent has nothing to offer them.
Maybe someone can help me here. If other countries can train a surplus of carers, doctors etc, why cant we do so too? Why do we need to drain the surplus intellectuals of third world countries to just keep the UK running?
Very interesting discussion.
The British state, as we all know, should not play a role in anything, and certainly not the economy, unless we want to end up as some combination of Venezuela and Zimbabwe.
China
This UK will end up like some soviet era country because there are far to many in the civil service that still has a British empire mindset and thinks everything is just going to continue failing along and dont think for a moment that the majority would fight and die for it because it isnt worth dying for and especially for those in london
Can only be done if all the public agree,.
Gove is rather mad. I wonder if he knows anything about China. He certainly does not realise that China's population is 20 times larger. He is clearly not ready to negotiate in good faith. Greer seems like a decent analyst but his commentary feels shallow. Shum made a lot of money probably by giving bribes via his wife that was close to the Chinese president. Clearly he has an axe to grind. The whole panel feels a bit stale with very little focus on China in the future.
gove is a moron
It’s only when you type it out that you realise what a boring and uninspiring title for a book “Education Education Education” is.
I love this government backed think tank, so white and middle class. As a banker myself, more people = more profits. Not sure what everyone else gets in return. No migrants in my area anyway
Can't believe how much Gove has aged...wont be long now. Little did we know he only knows what is reported in MSM on China.
17:37 ...wow Britain and all western nations could 180 overnight out of their death spirals if they used reason again instead of communism
By the time anything is done by the government to effectively slow the pace of immigration, the public will have moved to vigilantism, paralell infrastructure, pres- ganging and coordination with foreign powers, all things already being discussed Remigration is inevitable at this stage.
Gove!😂😂😂😂
It' s quite simple stop trying to run every aspect of people's lives. Do less get out of the way and only do what is 100 % required. Time for the State to fade into the background.
Yes, stand out the away and allow Muslims to build more mosques and gradually saturate the towns where their demographic dominates. Freeeeeeeeeeeeedom.
All hot air. After all the Studies, Committees, Meetings, Briefings and massive increase of costs, Government departments make decisions and the wheels eventually start to turn the market, society and requirements will have already changed. Thousands of miles of Railways and Canals have been lost over successive Governments Most Hospitals are not fit for purpose as is much of the Housing stock. The cost of Energy in the UK is one of the most expensive in the world yet our new Government is funding The Crown Estate to the tune of £8.5 Billion so that the UK can be "Energy Independent" after selling the rights to Foreign Companies and Hedge Funds .
Just close the departments.
Cummings comments are apt the other contributors are not perceptive beyond the superficial superficial level which is misleading. In nations of large urban concentration in which the cities were heavily built up above and below the ground by 1900 new motorway, railway, light rail construction was prohibitively expensive long ago and generally new main line rail construction was uneconomic in the US and UK from 1900 the Great Central and Transcontinental Milwaukee Road being classic examples burdened by far higher construction cost, debt as well as a captured market That also means that the totally nineteenth structure of the Midland railway survives today because it was the established route and served all the small towns and cities where the expresses dont stop today, they only stop from Sheffield at Derby, Nottingham , Leicester on route to London anyway and the success of British Railways from 1900 was that most trains did not stop. A train from Exeter , Sheffield, Hull or Newcastle did not stop or only made one stop. The accusation that MacMillan wanted to close the Railways and commissioned Beeching to do the justification is only half true Beeching was driven by two wrong assumptions first that the future of railways was in rail freight and secondly the key to rail profitability was to get rid of the duplicated main lines. The truth was the great money losing lines were the Cambrian, Central Walws, West Highland andSkye lines. Any competent government could have closed most of those lines in 1963/65 aided by the weather and storms. The real incompetence was the Alec Douglas Home interlude which reversed all the correct transport and military decisions and approved all sorts of unaffordable military programmes like CVAO1s putting military planning into rhe field of fantasy and confusing all study of the issue
Sociologists like Cummings should avoid using Churchill and Nelson as examples Churchill was Boris for about two purposes in Winston's case leading Britain in 1940-42, which was probably crucial to defeating Hitler (Churchill actually thought Prussian militarism, Guderain, Rommel and the SS were the German threat and Hitler was an idiot useful to have in power in Germany as he guaranteed military inefficiency) Churchill did provide brilliant military and national leadership. His three greatest calls were his first as PM, his identification as Sailor Guderain as the greatest threat ( my mother said Rommel + Winston only rated him 2nd) and ' find a hundred expendable bombers and tell the pilots to fly them straight into Guderains HQ house on the banks of the Meuse) and they obeyed the order 2O battle fighter bombers hit the house.Sailors HQ unfortunately was next door. Secondly attacked the potentially disloyal French fleet not one, but twice and again at Mesirs Kelab, Dakar and Casablanca and thirdly earlier in 1940 as first loord he demanded the Deflinger raised it's turrets put back on the RN White Ensign to fly from its mast and it be positioned offshore on the German bombers flight path into Glasgow so they would waste their bombs destroying their own greatest WW1 battle cruisers. Nelson fitted the British hero cavalier type legend of the time but I actually consider Villeneuve systematic command system approach and like Guderain address the forces and leader for 24 hrs with a totally systematic command and control approach far superior given too the inferior forces Villeneuve was leading In military battlefield command discipline, control and intelligence in both senses. The discipline system in 18C Naval and Land warfare is everything and not a productive thing to study today. To teach anything but particularly Maths and Science Teachers of very high intelligence are essentially. It is often said that the best secondary teachers are those just bright enough to master the discipline. To teach calculus or physics that still means a min IQ of 120 for sixth form teaching and 115/116 for the sixth form. So teachers for 5th form need to be in the top fifth of the population and for sixth form science the top ten percent and that is essential
You know you can just put a grating over the intake to the powerstation ?
Catalytic converter
The paper pushers need to be automated out of existence with AI.
Look at the vaccine harms, what the governmet has done is the equivalent of the German T4 programme, it's just not everyone dies immediately.
Pournelle's iron law of bureaucracy: In any bureaucracy, the people devoted to the benefit of the bureaucracy itself always get in control and those dedicated to the goals that the bureaucracy is supposed to accomplish have less and less influence, and sometimes are eliminated entirely.
Civil Service and NGO's
Putin out of control? Between 2014 and 2022 over 12,000 ethnic Russians were murdered by the Ukrainian government installed after the violent Maidan coup. The Minsk agreements that were agreed and became international law was a smokescreen to allow the Ukrainians ro rearm, this has been confirmed by Merkel and Hollande. Just before the Russian intervention the Ukrainian government had been massively shelling civilians in the Donbass including with cluster munitions. If there was any case for R2P this was it.
A lot of people do not have the IQ to do advanced mathematics. Getting more people to pass means lowering standards as IQ is mostly genetic.
We don't need house building if we have mass remigration.
If the Conservatives want to have people who are interested in governing then they should allow the local constituency party to pick the candidates and not Party HQ. Cameron should be pilloried for what he did to the Party.